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Trump vs Biden 2020, And the winner is.......... (pt 4) Read OP

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Comments

  • #5492
    y0ssar1an22
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,021 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    Quin_Dub wrote: »
    Closer to 100k left to count..

    96% complete , roughly 4.6M votes counted so far so 4% would be somewhere north of 95k on that basis.

    99% per that website. I used .5% left to get to 24k left to be counted


  • #5493
    Graham
    Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,643 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    SoapMcTavish wrote: »
    Pennsylvania ?

    Tabulating to resume 'this morning'.


  • #5494
    MadYaker
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,344 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    hmmm wrote: »
    If you had said to the Democrats at the beginning of the year that they would have a candidate who went up against a Trump who increased his total vote, would win MI, WI, probably PA, Arizona and possibly Georgia (!), they'd have taken your hand off. The only reason Democrats are disappointed is because they thought they had a chance at Texas (!). Biden was the right candidate for the right time, and his team kept their focus on the states which mattered.

    He also did pretty much zero traditional style campaigning with rallies and townhalls etc


  • #5495
    y0ssar1an22
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,021 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    Deleted User wrote: »
    You have failed at your maths for both Pennsylvania and Georgia quite severely.

    PA: 6,361k counted. at 95% percent means 5% = 334k.


  • #5496
    ohnonotgmail
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,927 ✭✭✭✭ohnonotgmail


    y0ssar1an22 wrote: »
    PA: 6,361k counted. at 95% percent means 5% = 334k.

    what is your source for 95% counted? AP, the NYT and the Guardian all show 89% counted


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  • #5497
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 8,717 ✭ [Deleted User]


    y0ssar1an22 wrote: »
    PA: 6,361k counted. at 95% percent means 5% = 334k.

    It is not 95%. I'm not registering on that website to check what it says, but all other reputable websites are saying it's 89-90% counted.


  • #5498
    y0ssar1an22
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,021 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    ohnonotgmail wrote: »
    what is your source for 95% counted? AP, the NYT and the Guardian all show 89% counted

    https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/

    they have the count at 91-98.6%. i used 95% being counted to calculate 334k being left to count.


  • #5499
    Injuryprone
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Injuryprone


    y0ssar1an22 wrote: »
    i can see trump getting to 268.

    alaska 3
    pennsylvania 20
    georgia 16
    north carolina 15

    arizona to biden

    with nevada being the swing state. biden about 8k in front with between 87-99% counted.

    as per: https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/

    Of the states left, I think trump likelihood of winning rank as follows:

    Alaska
    North Carolina
    Arizona
    Georgia
    Pennsylvania
    Nevada

    I would have Biden favourite in the bottom 4


  • #5500
    y0ssar1an22
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,021 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    Deleted User wrote: »
    It is not 95%. I'm not registering on that website to check what it says, but all other reputable websites are saying it's 89-90% counted.

    you dont need to register. or at least i didnt


  • #5501
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 8,717 ✭ [Deleted User]


    y0ssar1an22 wrote: »
    https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/

    they have the count at 91-98.6%. i used 95% being counted to calculate 334k being left to count.

    That is not a reputable website.


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  • #5502
    JazzyJ
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 685 ✭✭✭JazzyJ


    readyletsgo wrote: »
    3.30pm Irish Time
    8pm Irish Time
    4am Irish Time (tomorrow Morning)

    Here you go, i think

    Not quite, they're all ET so add 5 hours to each time:

    Georgia 10:30am ET 3.30pm Irish Time
    Nevada 12pm ET 5pm Irish Time
    Arizona 9pm ET 2am Irish Time (tomorrow Morning)


  • #5503
    Graham
    Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,643 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    y0ssar1an22 wrote: »
    PA: 6,361k counted. at 95% percent means 5% = 334k.

    NYT indicates 89% of estimated PA votes reported so far.


  • #5504
    y0ssar1an22
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,021 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    Deleted User wrote: »
    That is not a reputable website.

    well fair enough then. i thought it was an official election website


  • #5505
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 8,717 ✭ [Deleted User]


    y0ssar1an22 wrote: »
    well fair enough then. i thought it was an official election website

    Where did you even find that website? :pac:


  • #5506
    ohnonotgmail
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,927 ✭✭✭✭ohnonotgmail


    y0ssar1an22 wrote: »
    https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/

    they have the count at 91-98.6%. i used 95% being counted to calculate 334k being left to count.

    they quote a range of 91%-98.6%? some quality journalism there. best to stick to professional journalists like the AP.


  • #5507
    y0ssar1an22
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,021 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    Deleted User wrote: »
    Where did you even find that website? :pac:

    twas linked here previously by a poster


  • #5508
    martingriff
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,347 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    namloc1980 wrote: »
    The Supreme cannot make law and decide that the rule changes (if any) were wrong. They can only interpret the actual law. If rules were changed lawfully then there is no case and it seems that's already been decided:

    https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/23/pennsylvania-court-ballot-signatures-431794

    https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/02/trump-scotus-pennsylvania-ballots-433889

    Thanks for that


  • #5509
    kilns
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,525 ✭✭✭kilns


    Typical Trump circle tactics, Pam Bondi from the Trump campaign was on Fox and Friends and they are attacking the woman in charge of the vote count, calling her out by name as bias against Trump. She is just doing her job yet the Trump campaign have no regard for her safety


  • #5510
    is_that_so
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Graham wrote: »
    NYT indicates 89% of estimated PA votes reported so far.
    Sen Bob Casey of PA said there are 400K left to count.


  • #5511
    listermint
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,382 ✭✭✭✭listermint


    y0ssar1an22 wrote: »
    twas linked here previously by a poster

    Never go down the link rabbit hole.

    Use reputable websites that have a reputation to lose.

    New York times for example. Quality layout.


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  • #5512
    y0ssar1an22
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,021 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Sen Bob Casey of PA said there are 400K left to count.

    at least my 334k wasnt that far off the mark :pac:

    ETA: well actually 19% off


  • #5513
    biko
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,219 ✭✭✭✭biko


    After sitting in his basement and doing a few small rallies - Joe Biden is the most popular candidate in history

    https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/joe-biden-wins-more-votes-than-any-other-american-presidential-candidate-in-history/articleshow/79054509.cms

    Seems legit


  • #5514
    y0ssar1an22
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,021 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    listermint wrote: »
    Never go down the link rabbit hole.

    Use reputable websites that have a reputation to lose.

    New York times for example. Quality layout.

    was using that for the georgian senator as well!

    back to the drawing board. really like all the permutations and stuff. better than work!


  • #5515
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 8,717 ✭ [Deleted User]


    y0ssar1an22 wrote: »
    at least my 334k wasnt that far off the mark :pac:

    ETA: well actually 19% off

    He likely means that's how many they have left to count, rather than how many there is left to announce since their last update.


  • #5516
    ThewhiteJesus
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,714 ✭✭✭ThewhiteJesus


    biko wrote: »
    After sitting in his basement and doing a few small rallies - Joe Biden is the most popular candidate in history

    https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/joe-biden-wins-more-votes-than-any-other-american-presidential-candidate-in-history/articleshow/79054509.cms

    Seems legit

    in fairness to him it was a good tactic, Donald slit his own throat in political terms with his handling of covid.


  • #5517
    flazio
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,614 ✭✭✭✭flazio


    What's the situation with Winsconson(10)?
    CNN and others have called it for Biden but the BBC say their sources reckon it's still too close to call and therefore the BBC have Biden still at 243 instead of 253. Honestly I want Biden to get through but I'm reluctant to believe it'll happen until I see him on the steps holding the Bible.

    This too shall pass.



  • #5518
    omega man
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,172 ✭✭✭omega man


    [Deleted User] wrote: »
    He likely means that's how many they have left to count, rather than how many there is left to announce since their last update.

    Assume the gap will be closer than currently reported if counting is down to 400k ballots?


  • #5519
    MeMen2_MoRi_
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,982 ✭✭✭MeMen2_MoRi_


    biko wrote: »
    After sitting in his basement and doing a few small rallies - Joe Biden is the most popular candidate in history

    https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/joe-biden-wins-more-votes-than-any-other-american-presidential-candidate-in-history/articleshow/79054509.cms

    Seems legit

    The curse of covid, more people being allowed to vote more easily. It's a cruel conundrum.


  • #5520
    Leroy42
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,053 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    y0ssar1an22 wrote: »
    was using that for the georgian senator as well!

    back to the drawing board. really like all the permutations and stuff. better than work!

    So you think the democrats orchestrated a voting fraud, but only to make a tiny, knife-edge victory in the key swings states and at the same time ignored the senate so even if Biden gets elected they left the majority up to the normal voting process?

    And that they didn't bother with it in Florida, which had they then the EC wouldn't even be close? Or Ohio?

    You actually think that?


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  • #5521
    dark crystal
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,962 ✭✭✭✭dark crystal


    biko wrote: »
    After sitting in his basement and doing a few small rallies - Joe Biden is the most popular candidate in history

    https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/joe-biden-wins-more-votes-than-any-other-american-presidential-candidate-in-history/articleshow/79054509.cms

    Seems legit

    Not holding super spreader rallies does not equate to sitting in his basement. This is a baseless slur Trump used regularly to denigrate his opponent. It's a demonstrable and silly lie, as anyone who followed Biden's campaign on anything other than Fox, OANN or some other biased news source could quite clearly see.

    The only one sitting in a bunker over the last few months was Trump, when the scary protesters frightened him. Of course, he says he was just inspecting it...


This discussion has been closed.
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