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CoVid19 Part XII - 4,604 in ROI (137 deaths) 998 in NI (56 deaths)(04/04) **Read OP**

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Comments

  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    Strazdas wrote: »
    Dr Holohan says he hopes / expects to see new case growth dropping 'by the end of next week'.

    That would be so great to hear, and give a bit of hope to people. So long as it isn't down to low testing rates.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,195 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    Local_Chap wrote: »
    200 staff and 100 residents, surely that can't be right?

    No it was 100 in total, 35% (or 70) staff tested positive


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 308 ✭✭CitizenFloor


    When the pubs open, I intend to give them a lot of business for as long as my liver holds out!


    A true patriot :p


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭FVP3


    Incredible story from China of the Americans snatching consignments of masks meant for France. They showed up with "wads of cash".

    The supplies are now not going to France.

    https://uk.news.yahoo.com/amphtml/face-masks-china-intended-france-101726494.html?__twitter_impression=true

    Time Europeans realised the US is our enemy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,490 ✭✭✭SweetCaliber


    402 new Cases today, 13 new Deaths.

    Table with 10% prediction for April and charts:
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IMavHMFAT59NaRmSJxfHIVxAhiT46CmzL0tj0Esqalc/


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 727 ✭✭✭poppers


    endainoz wrote: »
    If it takes nearly two weeks to get results, and if you factor in the incubation period it absolutely could come from Cheltenham.

    I said anyone showing symptoms from now on never mentioned anything about people waiting for tests or results


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,436 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    That has to be joke. I thought they're ramping up testing

    There are anecdotal reports of fewer people being admitted to hospitals in the last 24-48 hours.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,886 ✭✭✭✭Bob24


    fr336 wrote: »
    I'm guessing it wouldn't be too wise to get a takeaway such as a Domino's at the present time? Not because of contact with the driver, more infection via the food etc or am I being OTT?

    Yeah I think the highest risk would be for whoever baked/packaged the pizza to be contaminated and leave some droplets on the food after cooking or on the inside of the box (ideally Dominos’s could give surgical masks to whomever takes the pizzas from the oven and puts them into the boxes to alleviate that risk, but I am not sure they can).

    In the grand scheme of things and assuming you’re not getting them too often it is a fairly low risk. But it is there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,783 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Strazdas wrote: »
    Dr Holohan says he hopes / expects to see new case growth dropping 'by the end of next week'.

    Likely 'hoping' for a drop sooner than that but doesn't want to give a hostage to fortune...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,990 ✭✭✭c.p.w.g.w


    In relation to Dr Holohan speaking about contacts.

    I have 1 at home...but in work I had 14 contacts in my 7 hour shift last night alone...yet we are "essential".

    I have taken the steps to pretty much isolate myself in my day to day but have to go to work unless i want to get the sack


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,806 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    So 84 deaths were not in an ICU setting. I assume the rest were nursing homes etc? Very sad


  • Posts: 522 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The 402 new cases is fully expected given the tighter testing criteria and this is what they wanted to have a higher positive report out of tested cases.


    Still only what, 11% or so too?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,363 ✭✭✭✭branie2


    May the 13 people who died rest in peace.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 445 ✭✭iwillyeah1234


    Cause its absolute bull**** from the worst rag out there

    Telegraph corroborates part of the Mail story
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/royal-family/2020/04/01/andrew-parker-bowles-coronavirus-diagnosis-sparks-fears-royals/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,131 ✭✭✭kg703


    me89 wrote: »
    I doubt it's from Cheltenham at this stage, Cheltenham finished 3 weeks tomorrow.

    My colleagues were at Cheltenham(working), some got symptoms straight away and one only started showing at the end of last week. A good few still sick. The worst comes towards the end for a lot.

    Separately, my sister in laws symptoms started around the 11th March, was in contact with a confirmed case a week before that and just got a positive test result and was told to isolate until April 12th..... thats a month!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,279 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    ecoli3136 wrote: »
    Still only what, 11% or so too?


    Higher I suspect, as they are not reaching their target number of tests.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,607 ✭✭✭bennyl10


    If only 14 deaths are form ICU
    Just how many have been in nursing homes? How bad is that situation looking now we have that figure


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    splinter65 wrote: »
    We’re getting the better of this.

    Are we? The death toll will probably be in triple figures by tomorrow and the number in ICU will also be up. And we have a long way to go before hitting the peak.


  • Posts: 522 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Higher I suspect, as they are not reaching their target number of tests.



    11% growth on positive tests.

    While I accept that there is a high multiple of undiagnosed cases out there the trend is still encouraging.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 445 ✭✭iwillyeah1234


    kg703 wrote: »
    My colleagues were at Cheltenham(working), some got symptoms straight away and one only started showing at the end of last week. A good few still sick. The worst comes towards the end for a lot.

    Separately, my sister in laws symptoms started around the 11th March, was in contact with a confirmed case a week before that and just got a positive test result and was told to isolate until April 12th..... thats a month!

    There has been one outlier case in China that had a infection to symptoms span of 49 days! ( maybe a mutation of Corona)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,239 ✭✭✭Coyote


    Number updated to match today's report

    I have updated the % needing ICU to 6%, I also left the number of new cases going forward as the testing numbers are unsure

    No Change in number
    507993.PNG

    Slow Change
    507994.PNG

    Big Drop in numbers
    507991.PNG

    again with all of this I'm just trying to show people the 14 day delay in an change in how we deal with this
    if you wait till we are overloaded it's too late
    everyone has to make up there own mind but at least look at the maths
    if anyone has questions or thinks it could be changed with better data let me know


    interesting visualization of covid19
    http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/

    you need to decide what you do today to affect 3 weeks from now


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,607 ✭✭✭bennyl10


    Are we? The death toll will probably be in triple figures by tomorrow and the number in ICU will also be up. And we have a long way to go before hitting the peak.

    According to the CMO we do not have that long to go at all.

    People just can’t panic in the coming days when figures go up!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,992 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    A silver lining in that cloud is that they have surpassed the 60% required for herd immunity.

    How the fuk do you figure that finding exactly?

    'Herd immunity' without vaccination remains an unknown


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 306 ✭✭Just Saying


    I think the variation in the number of cases could well be a result of timing differences in getting lab results...the 3 and 5 day averages are not showing dangerous levels of growth.

    In addition the increases are probably the result of more stringent selection for testing and the higher percentage of positives reflect that this change of targeting is working.

    Also deaths at 13 with a remarkably high median age of 92 whilst regrettable is not indicative of a problem that is going out of control.

    All told I would think that they are reasonably happy with the situation in terms of the ability of the Health Service to cope.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 338 ✭✭lastusername


    murpho999 wrote: »
    Cyclists should not be on the path simple.

    As for runners, well it's important to get the exercise, if the paths are narrow then it's the same problem if people are walking so I don't see the difference to be honest, just do the same as you would do with a walker.


    I'm in Dublin and out running on the roads these days to give people plenty of room, it's pretty cool to be able to do that with so little traffic!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,886 ✭✭✭✭Bob24


    Incredible story from China of the Americans snatching consignments of masks meant for France. They showed up with "wads of cash".

    The supplies are now not going to France.

    https://uk.news.yahoo.com/amphtml/face-masks-china-intended-france-101726494.html?__twitter_impression=true

    Yep crazy story, I reported this in the morning and for some reason someone didn’t believe it.

    If true (which it seems to be) it not only shows that Americans aren’t to be trusted related to this, but it also shows how desperate they are for PPE (the fact that they also accepted “humanitarian help” from Russia must have been a serious humiliation for many in the white house).


  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 14,444 Mod ✭✭✭✭pc7


    Ok hope this doesn’t come across wrong in text, but is it good news the daily death figure isn’t rising? (RIP to all), isn’t that a good sign that maybe measures are working?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,239 ✭✭✭Coyote


    sorry uploaded the wrong day numbers


  • Administrators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 78,513 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭Beasty


    ecoli3136 wrote: »
    11% growth on positive tests.

    While I accept that there is a high multiple of undiagnosed cases out there the trend is still encouraging.
    Depends entirely on how many tests were carried out

    If it's still at the 1,500/1750 level the trend is not, in my view, encouraging


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 42,675 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    FVP3 wrote: »
    Time Europeans realised the US is our enemy.

    :rolleyes:

    This is the type of action I'd like to see from my government but we'll never see it because they are afraid to look bad.


This discussion has been closed.
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