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Infrastructure investment in a post covid-19 world

  • 01-04-2020 5:39am
    #1
    marno21
    Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,461 Mod ✭✭✭✭


    In light of Ireland and the rest of the world living through the greatest economic shock of most citizen's lifetimes, when the dust settles on this major event we will be living in a changed world. The degree of this change is not yet known.

    Ireland is just coming out of years of austerity after the 2008 recession, which was much worse in ireland than in many other Western countries. We have the benefit this time of their being no internal systemic issues in Ireland to make it worse here than in other countries. In fact the OECD predicts Ireland will be the least affected Western country time time around. The large pharmaceutical cluster in ireland no doubt helps here.

    However, Ireland, whilst one of the most advanced and developed countries in the World living wise has major infrastructural issues which go unresolved. How do you see the approach to this changing in a world post covid-19?

    PS: Chatter about how it affects road investment is permitted here. No point in a parallel thread in the roads forum


«1

Comments

  • #2
    marno21
    Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,461 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Personally, while there has been a lot of chatter about Metrolink getting cancelled etc., I disagree with this viewpoint. Another few years of austerity is not palletable in this country and if FG/FF retain power they won't be too keen on it with Mary Lou breathing down their necks. The lack of public transport capacity is a major issue in the Dublin area and projects like Metrolink will help address the housing issue by providing much more serviced land.

    Add to the ECB potentially financing projects that stimulate growth in member states and there will be a major case to proceed with the project. And I haven't even touched the green element of all this yet.


  • #3
    tigerboon
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 726 ✭✭✭tigerboon


    "The large pharmaceutical cluster in ireland no doubt helps here."

    You're assuming that stays the case. There might be calls (with incentives) for a lot of large companies to repatriate and help get their own countries off the floor.


  • #4
    marno21
    Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,461 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    tigerboon wrote: »
    "The large pharmaceutical cluster in ireland no doubt helps here."

    You're assuming that stays the case. There might be calls (with incentives) for a lot of large companies to repatriate and help get their own countries off the floor.

    I’m talking short term (next 12-24 months)

    Regardless given the sunk costs by many of the foreign companies they won’t be leaving anytime soon

    In Cork anyway, MSD, Johnson & Johnson and Eli Lilly have all made major expansionary investments in the past few years and they won’t be abandoning them anytime soon


  • #5
    hmmm
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,205 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    When this draws to an end I expect we will see massive public fiscal & monetary stimulus to try and essentially restart economies. Infrastructure is always a good investment in those circumstances, as it gets people and money working very quickly. There will also be huge opportunities for companies with strong balance sheets to capture new markets while their competitors are reeling/bankrupt.

    A pandemic is very different to other financial crises. In previous economic downturns, economic stimulus taps are turned on while it is happening, in an attempt to keep the economy above water. In this case, stimulus doesn't work because people are afraid to spend/leave their houses. I expect we'll see a very different approach this time, and much more concentrated on a particular point in time.


  • #6
    Harry Palmr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    Buy low/sell high.

    Build when the costs are as low as they are likely to ever be and develop medium-long term wealth through projects.

    After 2008 everyone droped their plans and the construction sector collapsed which of course came back to bite us when the economy picked up steam we can't make this error yet again.


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  • #7
    bk
    Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 22,989 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    Obviously it depends on how long the pandemic lasts, how many people die unfortunately, etc.

    However recessions that are caused by pandemics usually are quiet short and the economy usually rebounds strongly once it passes. All those people locked up at home, who can't wait to get out and get back to the pubs, restaurants, gyms, etc. and start spending.

    I think this recession will be quiet different to 2008. As you say, the Irish industry and economy went into this healthy. Pharma and medical equipment made here will obviously do well. But IT is also doing very well through this due to everyone working from home and discovering cloud services, etc. and of course there is always the need for financial services and agriculture.

    BTW I think countries will look to pull back the manufacture of PPE, etc. from China only to Europe/US and I think Ireland could be well placed to benefit from that on an EU wide basis.

    Of course tourism, airlines, retail, restaurants, etc. will suffer in the short term and may take time to bounce back. Specially international tourism might take quiet a while for people to trust travelling internationally again.

    I'd agree with the report that says we will be one of the countries who suffers the least.

    I'd also say that we won't see austerity type budgets. Quiet the opposite in fact for a number of reasons.

    2008 was different because we were so directly hit by it, the cost of government lending went WAY up due to it be a financial crisis, hell folks might not remember, but the government was worried if they would even be able to borrow at any cost! Austerity was necessary then because of the circumstances and it was also forced on us by the Troika.

    This time around, the cost of government lending is at an all time low and Irish bonds are particularly attractive given the overall health of our economy. Not only is their no appetite for austerity by FG/FF, but there is non across Europe and most of the rest of the world.

    Governments around the world saw how damaging it was and how it led to the rise of the far right. Also it just doesn't make any sense for a recession like this.

    With this sort of recession, once the pandemic is dealt with, the correct move is too pour money into economies to restart them as quickly as possible, to have people feel comfortable to go back out and start spending again. Austerity doesn't make sense it this case, as it would just drag it out and likely lead to a worse depression.

    And I haven't seen any government suggest that, they are all talking about printing money, etc. once the lock down is over.

    So if anything I'd think we should absolutely be investing in infrastructure like Metrolink, etc. Money will be cheap and it can help employ people who are laid off from retail, restaurants, etc. that might be slower to restart.

    Of course we need to beat this pandemic first.


  • #8
    CatInABox
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 10,399 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatInABox


    And I haven't seen any government suggest that, they are all talking about printing money, etc. once the lock down is over.

    And the one Government in the EU that did suggest something along those lines, the Dutch, have been slapped back pretty hard, including by some of their former ministers.


  • #9
    bk
    Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 22,989 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    To reinforce the difference between now and 2008 crisis. The NTMA has just raised an extra €4 billion in bonds at a rate of 0.05%, by comparison the rate in 2011 for a 10 year bond was 14% !!

    You can easily see why austerity was necessary in 2011, given that borrowing money then was so expensive. But now, at 0.05%, it is almost giving away money for free.

    Not that I want to see us take on massive debt just to blow it like we did in the Celtic tiger days. But taking on debt to support the health service now and investing it in infrastructure like Metrolink over the next few years is a no brainer IMO.


  • #10
    Dats me
    Registered Users Posts: 333 ✭✭Dats me


    marno21 wrote: »
    Personally, while there has been a lot of chatter about Metrolink getting cancelled etc., I disagree with this viewpoint. Another few years of austerity is not palletable in this country and if FG/FF retain power they won't be too keen on it with Mary Lou breathing down their necks. The lack of public transport capacity is a major issue in the Dublin area and projects like Metrolink will help address the housing issue by providing much more serviced land.

    Add to the ECB potentially financing projects that stimulate growth in member states and there will be a major case to proceed with the project. And I haven't even touched the green element of all this yet.


    The only problem with this is that MetroLink, BusConnects, DART etc are all very very far away from being shovel ready and designers for the rail projects at least seem to have been chosen mainly for the cheapest tender so there isn't expertise there in the first place let alone to fast track it.


    Busconnects is slightly different because there are four different designers, I think Busconnects is our best chance tbh. But still a good while away, busconnects.ie says ABP application later this year so probably 18 months of detailed design after that?



    I do think we should see a lot of cycling projects, policy seems to be moving that way.


  • #11
    CatInABox
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 10,399 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatInABox


    Dats me wrote: »
    The only problem with this is that MetroLink, BusConnects, DART etc are all very very far away from being shovel ready and designers for the rail projects at least seem to have been chosen mainly for the cheapest tender so there isn't expertise there in the first place let alone to fast track it.


    Busconnects is slightly different because there are four different designers, I think Busconnects is our best chance tbh. But still a good while away, busconnects.ie says ABP application later this year so probably 18 months of detailed design after that?



    I do think we should see a lot of cycling projects, policy seems to be moving that way.

    All of these projects are nearing the planning application stage. Design work is essentially done on Metrolink. The rail designers have designed and completed rail projects around the world.

    Cycling projects will still need to be designed and put through planning.

    If we're going to be using any projects for stimulus, then it's going to be Metrolink, BusConnects and Dart Expansion in Dublin. A more interesting question is what projects can be done similarly in the rest of the country? I haven't looked in a while, where is the M20 at?


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  • #12
    Dats me
    Registered Users Posts: 333 ✭✭Dats me


    CatInABox wrote: »
    All of these projects are nearing the planning application stage. Design work is essentially done on Metrolink. The rail designers have designed and completed rail projects around the world.

    Cycling projects will still need to be designed and put through planning.

    If we're going to be using any projects for stimulus, then it's going to be Metrolink, BusConnects and Dart Expansion in Dublin. A more interesting question is what projects can be done similarly in the rest of the country? I haven't looked in a while, where is the M20 at?


    Not trying to be argumentative but I'm afraid that's not true. The route is still in preliminary design stage and a railway order application is made with a preliminary design. It will also take a year (at least, Metro North took three years) to get through ABP, hopefully a lot of the detailed design can be done while they're waiting and they don't just stop and wait. But it will be 2022 at the very least until it's shovel ready.



    Even the public line is for ABP application at the end of the year and then one year for ABP consideration.


  • #13
    Cookiemunster
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 12,196 Mod ✭✭✭✭Cookiemunster


    CatInABox wrote: »


    I haven't looked in a while, where is the M20 at?


    It's just started the route selection process so it's a few years away from ABP yet. They could probably fast track the M21 which is currently with ABP.


  • #14
    PMBC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,111 ✭✭✭PMBC


    Surely a massive public housing programme is also on the cards. Much faster through planning - used to be Part 10 by local authorities and then put hundreds of small schemes out to tender for small local builders. Quality shouldn't be an issue if there are good CoWs from Councils. Take the dead hand of the Department off the controls with their ten page cost control forms HCA1 etc - god how we hated them. As one of their architects, recently deceased said - control freaks.


  • #15
    Bsharp
    Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Bsharp


    Dats me wrote: »
    The only problem with this is that MetroLink, BusConnects, DART etc are all very very far away from being shovel ready and designers for the rail projects at least seem to have been chosen mainly for the cheapest tender so there isn't expertise there in the first place let alone to fast track it.

    Busconnects is slightly different because there are four different designers, I think Busconnects is our best chance tbh. But still a good while away, busconnects.ie says ABP application later this year so probably 18 months of detailed design after that?

    I do think we should see a lot of cycling projects, policy seems to be moving that way.

    I'd tend to agree with this. We're seeing the result of tenders awarded at lowest cost, resulting in less resourcing on these projects with lower levels of expertise involved. This always leads to a longer project duration.

    Busconnects will need to be implemented on a phased basis to be successful. Should never underestimate the level of effort involved to relocate services along such extensive corridors. Moving kerb lines causes such headaches and getting third party agreements including utility provider proposals and works can take an age


  • #16
    Dats me
    Registered Users Posts: 333 ✭✭Dats me


    Bsharp wrote: »
    I'd tend to agree with this. We're seeing the result of tenders awarded at lowest cost, resulting in less resourcing on these projects with lower levels of expertise involved. This always leads to a longer project duration.

    Busconnects will need to be implemented on a phased basis to be successful. Should never underestimate the level of effort involved to relocate services along such extensive corridors. Moving kerb lines causes such headaches and getting third party agreements including utility provider proposals and works can take an age


    Yes exactly this. A €3bn project and lots of design decisions to make that will impact hugely on cost. Scrimp on a couple of million on the tender for the engineering design and any of the many many decisions to be made let alone overall project management, supervision etc. could easily cost ten, one hundred times the saving if they go wrong.



    It's visible already in how far they're off the project timeline already which may end up costing the project dearly.


  • #17
    hans aus dtschl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,241 ✭✭✭hans aus dtschl


    It sounds like a lot of the N22 is ready for construction crews?

    With the reduction in traffic and change in people's daily lives it's possibly an opportunity to fast-track more of the sustainable mobility policy and achieve some degree of modal shift. I currently see a lot of people out walking and cycling, seemingly for the first time in years, and we're coming in to the summer months. If you're ever going to break habits, now is a good time to try.

    Many of the projects required for sustainable transport are surface-level roads realignment/reassignment, the type of things local authorities can manage reasonably easily, and can be done reasonably quickly. It's mostly wider footpaths, segregated cycle lanes, lane segregation etc.

    It sounds to me like a quick infrastructure investment that could tick over 12-18 months while we wait for larger infrastructure projects to become shovel-ready.

    After that the usual projects we all want to see: Metrolink, M20, BusConnects etc.


  • #18
    Irish Steve
    Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 6,522 Mod ✭✭✭✭Irish Steve


    I would like to hope that both employers and employees have seen the advantage of home working, and that would suggest that while there is still a need for public transport upgrades, the focus of investment will need to change to reflect the differences that have come about as a result of this emergency.

    A much more significant issue is to address the issues that have come up in respect of things like supply chains, and manufacturing industries. Somehow, the imbalance between costs of critcal items have to be addressed to ensure that the economy can source critical items locally, and not have to go into panic mode to get supplies from the other side of the world.

    I fully understand why the Chinese have such a massive manufacturing base, but it's reached the point where it's becoming increasingly difficult to source a whole range of items from places other than China that never used to be a problem, and we're seeing now just how difficult that is making things for a range of services.

    Shore, if it was easy, everybody would be doin it.😁



  • #19
    CatInABox
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 10,399 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatInABox


    That's not necessarily a supply chain issue, but an unforeseen demand issue. Rather than require us to maintain factories churning out equipment, which will almost certainly be much more expensive than what we source from china, wouldn't it be better for us to create a "national reserve" of stuff that is essential, like PPE?


  • #20
    Tomrota
    Registered Users Posts: 338 ✭✭Tomrota


    The government spending when it comes to COVID highlights just how unwilling politicians are to invest in infrastructure. The money has always been there, we have been told the past nine years by Fine Gael that they couldn’t build infrastructure due to the 2009 financial crisis. Now we’ll be told for the next 10 we can’t do it because of the COVID crisis. And we’re already decades behind European countries.


  • #21
    marno21
    Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,461 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Tomrota wrote: »
    The government spending when it comes to COVID highlights just how unwilling politicians are to invest in infrastructure. The money has always been there, we have been told the past nine years by Fine Gael that they couldn’t build infrastructure due to the 2009 financial crisis. Now we’ll be told for the next 10 we can’t do it because of the COVID crisis. And we’re already decades behind European countries.
    I mentioned this in my original posts. Austerity is not an option this time around, and the politicians know it too. Varadkar said as much last week.

    There will be civil unrest if another 4/5 years of austerity is imposed. And whoever tries to impose it will get roundhouse kicked at the next election.


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  • #22
    Tomrota
    Registered Users Posts: 338 ✭✭Tomrota


    marno21 wrote: »
    I mentioned this in my original posts. Austerity is not an option this time around, and the politicians know it too. Varadkar said as much last week.

    There will be civil unrest if another 4/5 years of austerity is imposed. And whoever tries to impose it will get roundhouse kicked at the next election.

    But since infrastructure never seems to be a voting issue, don’t you think they’re gonna stall it as much as posible like they have been doing already their entire time in government?


  • #23
    Grandeeod
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,211 ✭✭✭✭Grandeeod


    I was frequently lambasted over the years for being critical of Irish Governments using excuses and fudges not to splash the cash on major projects like Metro and Dart Underground. I was always of the opinion that they could do it if they really wanted to despite any economic factors. Now we find ourselves in the middle or even just the beginning of a very unusual scenario regarding Covid-19.

    We have spent 5 billion on social protection provisions. I am not going to even question that decision, but it does highlight the fact that if you really really have to or want to spend on something that is needed, you can do it.

    After this is over and settled down, I expect PT projects costing in the billions to be shelved yet again. But always remember that the state was able to find billions when it felt it really needed billions. PT will never ever be in that category in your life times.

    This post is made with the greatest respect to those who have died, will die and to those who are suffering because of where we are right now.


  • #24
    Grandeeod
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,211 ✭✭✭✭Grandeeod


    marno21 wrote: »
    I mentioned this in my original posts. Austerity is not an option this time around, and the politicians know it too. Varadkar said as much last week.

    There will be civil unrest if another 4/5 years of austerity is imposed. And whoever tries to impose it will get roundhouse kicked at the next election.

    I'm surprised at you Marno. Anything said now by any politician can be taken with a pinch of salt because none of them anywhere around the world except maybe China and Russia have any resources/plans to recover. Varadkar is a meaningless minnow in the scheme of things. I'm confident he knows that. Not wanting austerity measures is absolutely correct, but it's not a guaranteed approach. Over the last few weeks billions have been pumped into the world economy to no real affect. Uncertainty is the elephant in the room and Irelands open economy isn't even really controlled by us anyway.

    Could be wrong, but there's lots to be played out. PT and infrastructure in general will suffer. No doubt.


  • #25
    marno21
    Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,461 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Grandeeod wrote: »
    I'm surprised at you Marno. Anything said now by any politician can be taken with a pinch of salt because none of them anywhere around the world except maybe China and Russia have any resources/plans to recover. Varadkar is a meaningless minnow in the scheme of things. I'm confident he knows that. Not wanting austerity measures is absolutely correct, but it's not a guaranteed approach. Over the last few weeks billions have been pumped into the world economy to no real affect. Uncertainty is the elephant in the room and Irelands open economy isn't even really controlled by us anyway.

    Could be wrong, but there's lots to be played out. PT and infrastructure in general will suffer. No doubt.

    Sorry, I didn't mean to be alluding that I was following the Varadkar line, I was speaking about no austerity from personal opinion, and simply reflecting that the Taoiseach said the same last week.

    I fully agree with the rest of your post - it is impossible to say anything with certainty at the minute - we have no idea what's around the corner - however I don't think it'll be politically possible for Ireland to go down the route of austerity again for another few years, we just about made it past the last episode.

    Indeed as you say there's lots to be played out.


  • #26
    Idbatterim
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,854 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    I think the reduced employment, money in peoples pockets to spend and remote working etc, will ease pressure and reduce how unbearable the traffic situation was BUT the population is still growing and there could be a quick turnaround, they need deliver this scheme... finish the plans and then if they cant give the immediate go ahead, depending on circumstance at the time, ok. But if they try to reinvent the bloody wheel again, I really do give up...


  • #27
    Idbatterim
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,854 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    Grandeeod wrote: »
    I was frequently lambasted over the years for being critical of Irish Governments using excuses and fudges not to splash the cash on major projects like Metro and Dart Underground. I was always of the opinion that they could do it if they really wanted to despite any economic factors. Now we find ourselves in the middle or even just the beginning of a very unusual scenario regarding Covid-19.

    We have spent 5 billion on social protection provisions. I am not going to even question that decision, but it does highlight the fact that if you really really have to or want to spend on something that is needed, you can do it.

    After this is over and settled down, I expect PT projects costing in the billions to be shelved yet again. But always remember that the state was able to find billions when it felt it really needed billions. PT will never ever be in that category in your life times.

    This post is made with the greatest respect to those who have died, will die and to those who are suffering because of where we are right now.

    nail on the head, like I have said for years. These sums, are an irrelevance in the scheme of things. 5 billion in 3 months Grandeeod!

    https://www.thejournal.ie/covid-19-esri-welfare-unemployment-5070540-Apr2020/

    Say for example your typical budget, where they blow up welfare an extra billion every budget, that is an extra billion every bloody year. So the cost of that one increase, over a decade , is ten billion!!! :eek:

    The sum for one project is quite large, I do get that. But in the scheme of government spending and how many years it recouped over and all of the benefits it brings...


  • #28
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    The mind boggles at the mathematics required to compare the lack of investment in infrastructure versus the necessity to keep people alive, fed and housed during a global pandemic and say "I KNEW they had the cash!!".

    Some of you are clowns


  • #29
    Cookiemunster
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 12,196 Mod ✭✭✭✭Cookiemunster


    Deleted User wrote: »
    The mind boggles at the mathematics required to compare the lack of investment in infrastructure versus the necessity to keep people alive, fed and housed during a global pandemic and say "I KNEW they had the cash!!".

    Some of you are clowns


    Absolutely nobody is begrudging the money being spent. But they could easily have been borrowing that very low cost money before the crisis to build the needed infrastructure and make the country a better place to live in for everyone. They chose not to. Wind your neck in.


  • #30
    Zebra3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,946 ✭✭✭✭Zebra3


    Just look at the money burnt up with the banks.

    So much utterly wasted.

    25% of that spent on PT would have been amazing.


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  • #31
    bk
    Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 22,989 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    Well you do need to keep in mind the cost of borrowing and if others will be willing to lend to you.

    It is easy to borrow Billions now, when the cost of borrowing is just 0.04% for our last round of borrowing just a few weeks ago and when there is lots of interesting in lending you the money.

    But remember, just back in 2011, the cost of Irish 10 year bonds was 14% and even at that, we were lucky to get it, for many borrowing rounds, the government didn't even get all they were looking for.

    Folks seem to have already forgotten that austerity was basically forced on us during the last recession by external investors and Troika. The very high cost of borrowing and difficulty with borrowing left us with no choice but to cut back on borrowing and thus spending.

    It is only in the last 5 years or so that the cost of borrowing for us has come way down and as a result, all the development projects were dusted off. Metrolink, Dart Underground, Bus Connects, but also the Childrens hospital, NBP, various road plans, etc.

    Non of these would have been possible after 2008, due to the cost of borrowing.

    In some ways, we have been very lucky that this pandemic hit when it did. When our economy was already very strong and their are no underlying weakness in it (unlike 2008) and the cost of borrowing internationally is so low. Imagine if it had hit in 2009 instead! We were have been utterly screwed.

    How we fair through this situation, depends how long it goes on. If it is relatively short, then I don't think there is any major danger to these major projects. But if it goes on for 18 months, then the cost of borrowing will balloon and we would be in serious trouble again.


  • #32
    Zebra3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,946 ✭✭✭✭Zebra3


    But we borrowed a lot quite unnecessarily.

    Billions upon billions to save a worthless bank that no longer exists.


  • #33
    Podge_irl
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,290 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Cookiemunster wrote: »
    Absolutely nobody is begrudging the money being spent. But they could easily have been borrowing that very low cost money before the crisis to build the needed infrastructure and make the country a better place to live in for everyone. They chose not to. Wind your neck in.

    But there is two major infrastructure projects - BusConnects and Metrolink -underway.


  • #34
    Cookiemunster
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 12,196 Mod ✭✭✭✭Cookiemunster


    Podge_irl wrote: »
    But there is two major infrastructure projects - BusConnects and Metrolink -underway.

    They've not even gone to ABP. They're a long way from being underway.


  • #35
    Idbatterim
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,854 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2058068997

    take a read of this incredible ****! As someone who has paid in god knows what into the system in taxes over the last fifteen years, I am meant to be ok with the likes of this? and accept the third world public transport here, its totally unacepptable!


  • #36
    Sam Russell
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,870 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Zebra3 wrote: »
    Just look at the money burnt up with the banks.

    So much utterly wasted.

    25% of that spent on PT would have been amazing.

    The amount spent on the banks was €60 billion - the amount spent on trying to bring the economy back to life was a further €140 billion, much went on interest charges, dole and other SW.

    As well as that, austerity caused huge social costs - we do not want that again.


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  • #37
    Tomrota
    Registered Users Posts: 338 ✭✭Tomrota


    Podge_irl wrote: »
    But there is two major infrastructure projects - BusConnects and Metrolink -underway.
    And how many major projects have been completed in Dublin over the past 15 years for public transport in Dublin since the two Luas lines were built? List 5.


  • #38
    Sam Russell
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,870 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Tomrota wrote: »
    And how many major projects have been completed in Dublin over the past 15 years for public transport in Dublin since the two Luas lines were built? List 5.

    1. Mad cow roundabout - Newlands Cross overpass.

    2. The M50 three lane expansion.

    3. The Westlink barrier free tolling.

    4. The re-signalling of the Dart/ Phoenix Park tunnel service..

    5. The ten minute Dart frequency.

    There's five for you. Did not include the children's hospital as it is not built yet.


  • #39
    Grandeeod
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,211 ✭✭✭✭Grandeeod


    Sam Russell wrote: »
    1. Mad cow roundabout - Newlands Cross overpass.

    2. The M50 three lane expansion.

    3. The Westlink barrier free tolling.

    4. The re-signalling of the Dart/ Phoenix Park tunnel service..

    5. The ten minute Dart frequency.

    There's five for you. Did not include the children's hospital as it is not built yet.

    The poster asked about Public Transport projects. I see two small enough ones on your list. Three on your list were done in Celtic Tiger days and hardly merit PT projects.


  • #40
    Zebra3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,946 ✭✭✭✭Zebra3


    1. M3 Pace branch off Maynooth line.

    2. Extension of Luas to Broombridge.

    3. Extension of Luas to Bride's Glen.

    4. Docklands branch of Luas.

    5. Saggart brach of Luas.


  • #41
    CatInABox
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 10,399 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatInABox


    FG and FF are certainly making the right noises about capital spending while they're trying to court each other.

    Capital spending deemed key to FF-FG coalition government

    The article says that there's nothing specific mentioned so far, but I'd be highly confident that they'll push forward with Metrolink now.


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  • #42
    Tomrota
    Registered Users Posts: 338 ✭✭Tomrota


    Zebra3 wrote: »
    1. M3 Pace branch off Maynooth line.

    2. Extension of Luas to Broombridge.

    3. Extension of Luas to Bride's Glen.

    4. Docklands branch of Luas.

    5. Saggart brach of Luas.
    Thank you for actually listing public transport projects. Only problem is they’re tiny. We have one of the highest GDP in the world per capita. Look at some other European countries and what they’ve done. Many smaller and far poorer than Ireland. It’s all about priorities. There are cities with lower populations and cities with lower population densities than Dublin which have metros.

    The amount of external problems not having a good public transport system has on quality of life and the economy is just unbelievable. Ireland is terrible for public transport investment, we all know this on the forum. We should have met capacity for 2020 years ago. And we should be aiming to create capacity for 2030 for growth levels that exceed 2030 targets. Not doing years of feasibility studies when the system is already tearing at the seams.


  • #43
    Zebra3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,946 ✭✭✭✭Zebra3


    How could I forget the glorious WRC? :pac:


  • #44
    marno21
    Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,461 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    CatInABox wrote: »
    FG and FF are certainly making the right noises about capital spending while they're trying to court each other.

    Capital spending deemed key to FF-FG coalition government

    The article says that there's nothing specific mentioned so far, but I'd be highly confident that they'll push forward with Metrolink now.
    At this stage it's not really feasible to proceed with much else, given that public transport is specifically mentioned.

    MetroLink, DART Expansion and BusConnects are the only projects sufficiently advanced in planning and design to possibly go ahead in the next few years.

    Advancing planning for DART Underground, Metro South and taking the regional city transport plans (Cork Luas, Cork Suburban Rail, Galway BusConnects) seriously is another option. There are some easy, quick wins in there which are being squandered.

    And roads. Lots of roads. M20, N17 dual carriageway, Cork North Ring Road, N2/N14 to Donegal all should proceed.


  • #45
    hans aus dtschl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,241 ✭✭✭hans aus dtschl


    I'd have said lots of the active travel scheme pieces of infrastructure should be funded too.

    A lot of people are suddenly after discovering how mobile they are capable of being, over the past month or so.

    Active travel projects are low-cost individually, they're easy to fund, they're quick to deliver, they don't need massive amounts of expertise and they can be quite transformative.


  • #46
    marno21
    Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,461 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    hans aus dtschl wrote: »
    I'd have said lots of the active travel scheme pieces of infrastructure should be funded too.

    A lot of people are suddenly after discovering how mobile they are capable of being, over the past month or so.

    Active travel projects are low-cost individually, they're easy to fund, they're quick to deliver, they don't need massive amounts of expertise and they can be quite transformative.

    I agree on all that. Should be easier to finance a lot more of these as their per project costs are much smaller.

    Case in point: https://www.echolive.ie/corknews/200000-people-live-or-work-near-route-of-life-changing-Cork-greenway-proposal-3b586dfd-2b28-4ff8-9aba-1393c9d67574-ds

    The old Bandon railway line would make a fantastic greenway too


  • #47
    CatInABox
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 10,399 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatInABox


    Over in the UK, a legal bid to halt the UK governments £29 billion roads project has been launched. It's by the same group that successfully blocked (for now, at least) the third runway at Heathrow, on the basis that the project ignored the Paris Climate Agreement. I had wondered if governments around the world knew what they were signing up to at the time, and so it has proven.

    Whatever projects are proposed in the future, this is another hurdle for roads projects to jump over. Personally, I think the Paris Agreement didn't go far enough, and fully support the fact that it should be used a benchmark for projects like this. Increases in emissions as a result of a project should definitely be considered as part of the environmental impact assessment.


  • #48
    Nermal
    Registered Users Posts: 2,704 ✭✭✭Nermal


    CatInABox wrote: »
    Over in the UK, a legal bid to halt the UK governments £29 billion roads project has been launched. It's by the same group that successfully blocked (for now, at least) the third runway at Heathrow, on the basis that the project ignored the Paris Climate Agreement. I had wondered if governments around the world knew what they were signing up to at the time, and so it has proven.

    Whatever projects are proposed in the future, this is another hurdle for roads projects to jump over. Personally, I think the Paris Agreement didn't go far enough, and fully support the fact that it should be used a benchmark for projects like this. Increases in emissions as a result of a project should definitely be considered as part of the environmental impact assessment.

    Using the courts to do what you couldn't achieve at the ballot box.

    The government needs to apply a bit more scrutiny to the opinions of judges.


  • #49
    roadmaster
    Registered Users Posts: 3,853 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    CatInABox wrote: »
    Over in the UK, a legal bid to halt the UK governments £29 billion roads project has been launched. It's by the same group that successfully blocked (for now, at least) the third runway at Heathrow, on the basis that the project ignored the Paris Climate Agreement. I had wondered if governments around the world knew what they were signing up to at the time, and so it has proven.

    Whatever projects are proposed in the future, this is another hurdle for roads projects to jump over. Personally, I think the Paris Agreement didn't go far enough, and fully support the fact that it should be used a benchmark for projects like this. Increases in emissions as a result of a project should definitely be considered as part of the environmental impact assessment.

    In 20 years all private transport will be electric powered so this should take away one of the sticks that is used to beat road upgrades and improvements


  • #50
    hans aus dtschl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,241 ✭✭✭hans aus dtschl


    roadmaster wrote: »
    In 20 years all private transport will be electric powered so this should take away one of the sticks that is used to beat road upgrades and improvements

    Environmental concerns and public and/or active transport aren't the biggest roadblocks (ahem!) we've had in the last 20 years. The biggest problem has been funding.

    Again - certainly not aimed at you specifically - roads currently get the vast majority of all land-based infrastructure investment.

    So if it ever comes to a point in the future that public and/or active transport are ever NOT the impoverished poor relation of roads, then I'd say electric vehicles would certainly take away some of the "environmental" road block. But the biggest concern would still probably to be financial.

    On the topic of the thread, it's not inconceivable that transport priorities will change fundamentally in a post-Covid19 world. Some cities such as Milan are using the upheaval as an opportunity to re-allocate more road space to active transport users. Brighton has done similar. We may see some of that in Ireland's urban areas.


  • #51
    Sam Russell
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,870 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    roadmaster wrote: »
    In 20 years all private transport will be electric powered so this should take away one of the sticks that is used to beat road upgrades and improvements

    I would not be too sure of that.

    Batteries might be the flavour at the moment, but there are significant issues to the source of materials for the best battery technologies. We might see hydrogen fuel cells be the major source of power for private vehicles, but we might see a return to more public transport, with perhaps self driving electric powered micro-buses.

    The benefit of hydrogen based fuel cells is that the production of hydrogen just requires water and electricity as the only consumables. No CO2, no NOX, and all could be sourced from wind and wave.

    I would like to see rail infrastructure installed for Dublin at least. Metrolink, Dart expansion, and Dart Underground.


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