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CoVid19 Part XII - 4,604 in ROI (137 deaths) 998 in NI (56 deaths)(04/04) **Read OP**

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,322 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    is_that_so wrote: »
    No evidence is what the NEPHT/HSE are saying based on what the WHO says
    A) there is plenty of evidence for the efficacy in limiting the spread of contagion. For a start why would they work in hospitals, but magically stop working outside of them? B) what respect I had for the WHO has fallen off a cliff. They've been regularly and dangerously inept in their response to this crisis and are way to quick to kow tow politically when it suits. That organisation needs an enema and way more resources and powers thrown at it in a better form.
    but there's nothing stopping you getting one. There are actually very few countries who have it by law. Austria were about to introduce it and now it seems there aren't enough. We could expect exactly the same situation here.
    Indeed. It is almost entirely down to the lack of supply. Not their efficacy. The CDC and others have said pretty much that. So I wish these organisations would just be honest about the whole thing. If they were two a penny you can be damned sure it would be mandatory, either legally or socially for going outside, like it is in many places in the far east.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 876 ✭✭✭ITman88


    I once poked fun at someone who said that a terrorist attack was of no significance if you compared it to road deaths. I compared the number of French people that died due to heart disease between 1940 and 1945 with those that died at the hands of the Third Reich, and was therefore able to 'conclude' that the Third Reich in western Europe wasn't a big deal. :pac:

    If no measures were taken to halt the spread of the disease we would expect 20,000 dead here. I'm more than a little bit tired of people trying to justify that.

    That death rate was a prediction from models.

    Models that have been incredibly flawed in the past.

    https://www.rt.com/uk/484319-coronavirus-swine-flu-hysteria-redux/amp/?__twitter_impression=true


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,332 ✭✭✭blackcard


    rusty cole wrote: »
    ok so weird , how come some have them and others don't. This is all about education too,if they need compliance, then follow through and don't dither!

    Got mine a week ago, maybe you are not on An Post's mailing list


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 288 ✭✭citysights


    rusty cole wrote: »
    Can I ask, have any of you got this new Covid-19 leaflet that was imminent last week? In a time where people need facts, where is it? nearly 2 million for a bleeding printer and here we are waiting for a tell all covid info pack?

    anyone get one?? or like the tests now, was the idea of them more credible than the tangible items themselves...bloody joke.

    also Leo was quick to point out, they'd be delivered FREE OF CHARGE!! very good of him eh.. I mean our Taxes pay for them anyway.

    I got it along with the two free post cards.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 801 ✭✭✭frillyleaf


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    Your right, it's not hindsight in that sense, but it's like talking about the next recession, we all know it's coming, but do you know how bad it will be? You can have posters galore saying that we are going to be in the Sh!ts for years, others saying months, others saying whatever, some of them are going to be right, but that doesn't mean their logic for solutions are right does it?

    Imagine if Leo came out tonight and announced that all healthcare works must sleep in hotels near their hospitals/nursing homes - and must do this for the next 2 months - no exceptions.

    Everyone else must continue with this "lockdown" for the next 2 months at least.

    There would be uproar in society - because you can't just lockdown people for large period of time with no end in sight and expect them to be ok with it. Everything has to be done in stages.

    I do understand it has to be done in stages and I think overall that the implementation of these stages of restriction have been handled quite well with the exception of travel being unrestricted in and out of northern Italy, travel to and from Cheltenham, and non restricted travel in general from infected areas.

    I’m not an export nor do I envy anyone trying to steer our country through this. I do feel it is being handled well with the exception of unrestricted travel. I do feel we could have bought ourselves more time to prepare for this if these simple restrictions occurred.

    I’m still not sure of the logic of allowing unrestricted travel from epicentres. I’ve asked a few times and haven’t been given an answer apart from “ it was going to get here anyway”. I know that but I think restrictions would help in terms of slowing it down and contact tracing at the start.

    If someone could explain this to me I could try to make sense of it as maybe there is logic or just lack of resources to do so. I’m surprised by lack of resources as there’s empty hotels all across Dublin that may be glad of the business ? Maybe not?

    I’m not saying we should have closed airports or cut off flights etc as I know people need to get home. I just don’t understand why we have had no restrictions when a lot of countries are just quarantining new arrivals to manage the spread of infection.

    I do also feel we had insight as to what lay ahead so it is different to predications about recessions etc. Italy got caught out first and understandably so. Anyone who looked at what was happening in Wuhan when these cases started to appear in Italy was capable of understanding who serious this was and the potential of spread of this disease.

    I feel some people thought this was just a weird disease that would be contained to China similar similar to others but when cases started spreading fast in Italy that could have been a good time to have travel screening or restrictions to and from Ireland.

    If is we communicated as to why we haven’t done this it could make sense....


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  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Went out today for a stroll to buy some groceries and was met with checkpoints and police taking temperatures and names here in Vietnam. That along with the loudspeakers talking about fines etc. for meeting socially or not wearing a mask all feels rather dystopian but kind of reassuring I suppose. Still not a full lockdown but it's just heavily advised that you only go out for essentials.

    Anyways, ye'll all be wearing masks in a couple of weeks. The amount of utter shlte I read on this thread about them made me stop coming to it for a few days. "If you have a beard, they're completely pointless." and the likes. How can you think that a mask is pointless because a small bit of air can enter and exit along your cheek because of a beard. Masks get damp.. That's the only thing that matters. It means it's stopping water droplets. I see CNN are catching on now about the West's mistake in not mandating them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 77 ✭✭RiseAbove4


    Ok, I’ll give this a go in the catch all thread, aka The Daily Blur


    Ive just read this on a UK forum;

    “In order to medically claim that someone is recovered you need to retest them to make sure they no longer have the virus”

    Is this true for Ireland and elsewhere too?

    The number listed under Recovered have always worried me, but maybe I’m misunderstanding them


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,393 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    is_that_so wrote: »
    We all now know about models and worst case scenarios so a large sack of salt with this possible €30bn cost to the economy. That's another Anglo sized bill!

    https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2020/0401/1127866-governments-covid-19-costs-could-hit-30-billion-kbc/

    Anything that comes from KCB bank
    You would need more than salt to digest it


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 65 ✭✭Lwaker.


    UK daily cases similar to our own per capita but death rate is 2.5 times ours.

    Fake stats

    Depends on level of testing


  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 51,690 Mod ✭✭✭✭Stheno


    The CDC in the US are now reporting that they believe at least 25% of positive cases are asymptomatic

    If that's true it would be a huge factor in the spread

    Antibody testing cant come quick enough imo


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    I've no idea why you're so hostile to me pointing out the truth? :confused:

    I've no opinion on David Norris one way or the other.


    Apologies. I actually meant to respond to the post below yours


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,845 ✭✭✭Antares35


    Probably not of much interest but in the context of all things Covid! I am trying to find a way to do online shopping for my elderly parents who are in lockdown in Spain. I really would love if they could avoid going out at all. I asked a facebook group in the area if they know of any supermarkets doing home deliveries. Two people messaged me and offered to do their shopping for them. I'm already teary and emotional today, and this has just sent me over the edge in the nicest way possible way. Some people really are just amazing, and it can be the small acts of kindness in adversity that get you through :):) This has really made my day...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,611 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    Facehugger is advocating, whether he knows it or not, for the complete collapse of our health system. A thriving economy with no health system. Don't think he's thought it through tbh

    Its difficult for some people.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,337 ✭✭✭alan partridge aha


    Lwaker. wrote: »
    Fake stats

    Depends on level of testing

    We can only go on the figures we have.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,758 ✭✭✭BrianD3


    ITman88 wrote: »
    The current deaths from Italy sound insane, but it’s nothing unusual for March in Italy.
    62000 deaths in March a number of years ago, when we see the number of deaths from this March we can than accurately see the rise in deaths.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2020-03-31/italy-s-mild-flu-season-may-solve-mystery-of-coronavirus-deaths
    Interesting. And this would be compounded if, in addition, the flu season hit Italy much later than usual - at around the time when the world was starting to panic about Covid-19.

    March 2020 - Covid-19 starts killing in the cohort who "should" have died of flu in November 2019.

    The late flu would be killing from the same cohort in addition to those that were "supposed" to die from flu in March 2020.

    The healthcare system is hit with all of this at once, people are panicking, everything is being attributed to Covid-19, it becomes difficult to distinguish who is dying from Covid vs who is dying with it. Hospitals become chaotic due to illness itself and panic, the bodies pile up resulting in more panic.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,564 ✭✭✭OscarMIlde


    If we need more tests done quickly we should send some away if there is capacity somewhere else. Each batch could have known Positive/ negative control samples in them so that we could verify that those samples were correct. We could also send samples that have been split in to an A and B sample and then test our A sample when we have the capacity.This is what they do for drug tests for athletes.


    The regime for testing is broken at the moment and we need to face up to that, it is a vital part of the fight against the pandemic. Testing means that we know where to target our resources and it means that we can get vital health care workers back into the system quicker when we know they are negative.

    You can't send them away, it's an RNA based virus. The RNA would be degraded and unsuitable for RT-PCR by the time it reached another country.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,409 ✭✭✭emo72


    i havent posted on these threads. but have 1 question.
    how can we know the death rate, if we cant accurately count the people that have the virus?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,575 ✭✭✭RandomName2


    Wibbs wrote: »
    +1. While tragic these outliers are just that outliers, but the press are quick to jump on this tiny minority of tragedies because it gets clicks.

    Although the numbers are relatively small, so may not therefore be entirely reliable, the statistical likelihood of someone very young dying of the disease is about 0.2% last I saw. I'd imagine that that would make Covid-19 the single most dangerous thing for young people, even if on an individual basis death would be very unlikely.

    If that statistic holds true, then if 100,000 young people (say between the ages of 10 and 22) got infected, you might expect 200 of them to die (provided that the hospitals were able to cope with that number of cases, which they of course wouldn't).

    For instance testicular cancer has about 90% survival rate, and only occurs in 1 in 10,000 males. You can therefore say that testicular cancer will virtually never kill anyone. :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭chasm


    rusty cole wrote: »
    Can I ask, have any of you got this new Covid-19 leaflet that was imminent last week? In a time where people need facts, where is it? nearly 2 million for a bleeding printer and here we are waiting for a tell all covid info pack?

    anyone get one?? or like the tests now, was the idea of them more credible than the tangible items themselves...bloody joke.

    also Leo was quick to point out, they'd be delivered FREE OF CHARGE!! very good of him eh.. I mean our Taxes pay for them anyway.

    Nothing here yet, no leaflet, no postcards. That said i'm still waiting on my iodine tablets and my free tree ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    emo72 wrote: »
    i havent posted on these threads. but have 1 question.
    how can we know the death rate, if we cant accurately count the people that have the virus?

    We can’t, not until it’s over.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,665 ✭✭✭kyote00


    They go to the morgue each day, count the bodies and put them in their spreadsheet...
    emo72 wrote: »
    i havent posted on these threads. but have 1 question.
    how can we know the death rate, if we cant accurately count the people that have the virus?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 65 ✭✭Lwaker.


    We can only go on the figures we have.

    This again


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    ITman88 wrote: »
    That death rate was a prediction from models.

    Models that have been incredibly flawed in the past.

    https://www.rt.com/uk/484319-coronavirus-swine-flu-hysteria-redux/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

    So all of the world's best virologists and infectious-disease epidemiologists have got it wrong so far ? And some randomer on Russian TV has all the answers.

    It's all just a 'storm in a teacup' ? :rolleyes:

    Why do you keep trying to minimize the lethal effects of this pandemic ?

    GettyImages_1216041772.0.jpg

    Even Trump was convinced by the terrible numbers on the charts behind him yesterday.

    .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,665 ✭✭✭kyote00


    I 'think' they use the 'register of elections' to send them out....so if you are not on this or haven;t updated recently then you probably wont get them....

    Electronic versions of everything here......
    https://www.hse.ie/eng/services/news/newsfeatures/covid19-updates/partner-resources/
    chasm wrote: »
    Nothing here yet, no leaflet, no postcards. That said i'm still waiting on my iodine tablets or my free tree ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,135 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    The CMO tony Holohan is in hospital for non covid 19 tests. Id say it's stress and hopefully he's okay and back doing the great job he's been doing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,201 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Italy, new deaths down, new cases up

    727 fatalities recorded, down from over 800 yesterday.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,201 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Still 5:30 for DOH press conference?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,049 ✭✭✭✭briany


    So all of the world's best virologists and infectious-disease epidemiologists have got it wrong so far ? And some randomer on Russian TV has all the answers.

    It's all just a 'storm in a teacup' ? :rolleyes:

    Why do you keep trying to minimize the lethal effects of this pandemic ?

    Even Trump was convinced by the terrible numbers on the charts behind him yesterday.

    .


    Ah, now, when has RT not had our best interests at heart, like. It's not as if they're literally the mouthpiece of the Russian government or anything.


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,939 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Italy, new deaths down, new cases up

    727 fatalities recorded, down from over 800 yesterday.

    4,782 new cases today. Up around 700 on yesterday.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,575 ✭✭✭RandomName2


    Fr_Dougal wrote: »
    We can’t, not until it’s over.

    What a silly answer. If you don't know now, you definitely won't know when it's over!

    We can get an accurate picture in countries that have mass testing. In a country like Ireland we can only get a figure in relation to hospital admissions, but remember it would usually take a couple of weeks from infection to death (so there will always be some lag between number of cases reported and number of deaths).


This discussion has been closed.
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