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CoVid19 Part XII - 4,604 in ROI (137 deaths) 998 in NI (56 deaths)(04/04) **Read OP**

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 100 ✭✭gamerguy1


    Italy has 100k cases and Spain 80k cases and seem to be slowing a little but will know in a few weeks if lockdown is working. Both countries have around 60 million, I wonder what's the true figure on the amount infected. We have 5 million and with our rate of cases we might reach their level in a few weeks which is frightening.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,349 ✭✭✭ooter


    I think if we are the UK we would have 44,000 cases. I could be wrong.

    yeah that's right, the UK have 25k cases


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,640 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    The numbers are clearly cumulative, just look at the damn numbers. They are all totals in every column! No one has confirmed they are the days figures in fact it was confirmed in yesterday's briefing they are cumulative when it was clearly stated that they are.

    watch Prime Time in about 20 mins


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,148 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    RogerThis wrote: »
    Stats per county not adding up to 2677

    Every set of figures they have have unknowns


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,069 ✭✭✭Xertz


    The shortage of reagents is global and the Irish systems are trying to get their hands on supplies against serious global competition for the same resources.

    UK: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/global-shortage-of-coronavirus-testing-kits-threatens-expansion-plan-chglmtm93
    Canada: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/global-shortage-of-coronavirus-testing-kits-threatens-expansion-plan-chglmtm93 & https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/manitoba-coronavirus-testing-analysis-1.5511909
    USA: https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-03-28/introducing-l-a-s-new-coronavirus-testing-czar-can-he-improve-our-grossly-inadequate-capacity-so-far

    Belgium - KU Luven has a new technique requiring less reagent (reactif in French gets mistranslated sometimes) https://www.brusselstimes.com/belgium/103427/coronavirus-belgium-looks-to-increase-tests-by-10000-per-day-coronavirus-covid19/

    We should probably be looking at ways of doing this with less reagent ... that KU Luven research might be useful if it can be implemented quickly.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,429 ✭✭✭SuperTortoise


    No, if you're going to die from Covid-19, it is because your immune system overreacts and attacks your organs - primarily your lungs. Unless you have a preexisting condition that's exacerbated by Covid-19 and you die from that.


    In those cases do they treat the patients with immune-suppressant drugs? And if so is it a case of those drugs just not working?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 820 ✭✭✭no.8


    RugbyLad11 wrote:
    I see lots of people celebrating and saying fantastic job by the Government because we didn't hit the 15,000 cases or 30% increase per day.

    RugbyLad11 wrote:
    Don't forget Leos unrealistic prediction of 15,000 cases by the end of the month.


    I'd recommend looking at last night's video to get up to speed on that. It was based on modeling where no mitigation took place


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,394 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    JoChervil wrote: »
    Well, an article in The Lancet analysing 181 cases from Wuhan claimed it was connected with D-dimers and blood clothing

    Are you saying that Covid-19 deaths are not primarily caused by the immune system attacking the lungs/organs and cytokine attacks?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭Gynoid



    They wouldn't have the reagents either which are now having supllier shortages.


    Where does this reagent come from, do you know? Abroad? Is it expensive? Difficult to make?
    Thanks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,374 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    gabeeg wrote: »
    Oh spare me the pious crap.

    This has zero to do with out frontline staff.

    No its you trying to get a swing as the politicians and the HSE I am just wondering why your not coming out and saying so instead of hiding behind IT'S NOT TESTS ITS SWABBING. Anyway I am finished with this time to go and do something fun and destress


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 816 ✭✭✭Macdarack


    gamerguy1 wrote: »
    Italy has 100k cases and Spain 80k cases and seem to be slowing a little but will know in a few weeks if lockdown is working. Both countries have around 60 million, I wonder what's the true figure on the amount infected. We have 5 million and with our rate of cases we might reach their level in a few weeks which is frightening.

    New cases in Italy has leveled and has started to drop a bit according to worldometre. Light down the end of the tunnel somewhere.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,323 ✭✭✭✭Witcher


    no.8 wrote: »
    I'd recommend looking at last night's video to get up to speed on that. It was based on modeling where no mitigation took place

    Stop talking sense...it's Leo's fault don't ya know?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,073 ✭✭✭JoChervil


    Are you saying that Covid-19 deaths are not primarily caused by the immune system attacking the lungs/organs and cytokine attacks?

    Yes, a quote from this article:
    "The potential risk factors of older age, high SOFA score, and d-dimer greater than 1 μg/mL could help clinicians to identify patients with poor prognosis at an early stage."

    I don't see strong immune system here


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 136 ✭✭OUTOFSYNC


    What do you think a physicist, or a chemistry lab would have to offer? Specifics equipment and specific analysts are required. Maybe you could train a chemist familiar with NMR in PCR if you had the right equipment available, but it’s not as simple as sending samples to all the laps in the country


    There are many many academic , private and even a few government DNA testing labs that would have the equipment needed to extract dna/ rna and identify the genetic code. It's a standard laboratory technique for a biologist. There are many biologists and biology labs in Ireland. The testing could be done 24 hours.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 748 ✭✭✭RogerThis


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Every set of figures they have have unknowns

    How would they not know where the person has died?


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,792 Mod ✭✭✭✭yerwanthere123


    The “ramping up of tests” etc was a PR exercise. The “we have plenty of PPE” was a PR exercise.
    The bullshyte about getting to “15,000 tests a day” was a PR exercise.

    All we are getting from Simple Simon and Varadkardashian is spin and PR bluster.

    I think they're doing a good job, and I'm happy to have them at the helm. Our government, like most countries, have made mistakes in their initial approach, but since then I think they've been excellent. I think we've been one of the most proactive countries in the world even, and we've been miles ahead of bigger, powerful and more resourceful countries. I'd much rather be in Ireland under our government than a lot of others.


  • Posts: 24,713 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    watch Prime Time in about 20 mins

    The only reliable numbers are those in the hse report ever evening. Anything was can’t be relied upon especially by the media who have been reporting these cumulative numbers as “in ICU today” regularly since day 1.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 912 ✭✭✭bekker


    Talisman wrote: »
    The figure is less than 50% for isolation units. You may not find exact numbers but the best place to look is the annual report for critical care capacity in the HSE.

    https://www.hse.ie/eng/about/who/cspd/ncps/critical-care/critical-care-capacity-planning/national-adult-critical-care-capacity-census-2019-report.pdf
    Thanks very much, makes for grim reading in light of our current situation.

    It would seem to confirm the envisaged difficulty of physical separation for COVID-19 patients.

    If CPAP is to be used to relieve strain on limited resources of ventilators in ICUs, it needs to be be done in an environment where seal leakage will not pose a transference problem and where all medical staff can work in fully comprehensive enclosed PPE.

    Hopefully the plan is to use the newly activated centers for this purpose, but like everything else there is ^no^ real information available.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Its illegal to evict someone at the moment.

    Only tenants. Not lodgers or those renting a room in an owner occupied property.....they are not protected by the legislation


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,063 ✭✭✭Spudmonkey


    The “ramping up of tests” etc was a PR exercise. The “we have plenty of PPE” was a PR exercise.
    The bullshyte about getting to “15,000 tests a day” was a PR exercise.

    All we are getting from Simple Simon and Varadkardashian is spin and PR bluster.

    Simple Simon? Varadkardashian? Did you come up with those all on your own? Pity to see there are such small minded individuals out there complaining about all and anything being done by the government! Why such experts spend their time sitting on their holes at home complaining rather than stepping up I really don't know.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


    No its you trying to get a swing as the politicians and the HSE I am just wondering why your not coming out and saying so instead of hiding behind IT'S NOT TESTS ITS SWABBING. Anyway I am finished with this time to go and do something fun and destress

    Martin, I'm simply saying taking fluid from a human-being and storing it somewhere does not constitute a medical test.

    There's not much politics in that sentence.

    I'm starting to worry you've been taking the fluid out of me


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,009 ✭✭✭✭bilston


    gmisk wrote: »
    So would everyone.... but we can't force Northern Ireland to implement the same policies at the same time as us (although there are meetings going on between ROI and the NI executive).
    Northern Ireland have 28 the ROI have 71.
    So NI disproportionately high to ROI.
    NI testing very few for a long long time as well

    NI 28/99 = 28.3% of deaths and makes up about 27.3% of the population of Ireland.

    Saying Northern Ireland's deaths are disproportionately high may be factually correct, but it is so minimal it's not worthy of a mention.

    The only certainty is that NI and the island as a whole are faring a lot better than England and Wales.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,148 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    RogerThis wrote: »
    How would they not know where the person has died?

    Same way they have unknowns for the ages - maybe it's last minute data that hasn't been correlated yet


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,063 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    You don’t have to be smart to know Leo Varadkar is all fart, no poo. Everything is about his image and public perception to him. Didn’t he rehire his expensive PR man as soon as this crisis kicked off.

    The bizarre thing about this post (aside from it being a subjective opinion) is that on some threads you wear a hat such as this and on more you wear one supporting Trump. How do you think Leo compares to the D in terms of concerns about public image?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 912 ✭✭✭bekker


    Gynoid wrote: »
    Where does this reagent come from, do you know? Abroad? Is it expensive? Difficult to make?
    Thanks.
    It's proprietary, in answer to question during tonight's briefing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,429 ✭✭✭SuperTortoise


    JoChervil wrote: »
    Yes, a quote from this article:
    "The potential risk factors of older age, high SOFA score, and d-dimer greater than 1 μg/mL could help clinicians to identify patients with poor prognosis at an early stage."

    I don't see strong immune system here


    Can you post a link to that article, i would'nt mind reading it, thanks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,073 ✭✭✭JoChervil


    Are you saying that Covid-19 deaths are not primarily caused by the immune system attacking the lungs/organs and cytokine attacks?

    Also:
    "Baseline lymphocyte count was significantly higher in survivors than non-survivors; in survivors, lymphocyte count was lowest on day 7 after illness onset and improved during hospitalisation, whereas severe lymphopenia was observed until death in non-survivors. "

    So very weak immune systems were shown here


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,548 ✭✭✭Martina1991


    Gynoid wrote:
    Where does this reagent come from, do you know? Abroad? Is it expensive? Difficult to make? Thanks.
    There are shortages in 2 things.

    Viral Lysis buffer: needed to break down the virus particles and release its RNA.
    This can be made in Ireland with the right reagents and recipe. I've seen a couple of reports of college laboratories making the buffer for labs which is great.

    There are also shortages in RNA extraction solutions. This is manufactured and cannot be made easily.

    This is the material other countries are also in huge demand for. I dont know where we source it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,507 ✭✭✭✭expectationlost


    RogerThis wrote: »
    Stats per county not adding up to 2677

    Carlow|5|0.10%
    Cavan|24|1.20%
    Clare|40|1.50%
    Cork|238|8.90%
    Donegal|46|1.70%
    Dublin|1487|55.50%
    Galway|86|3.20%
    Kerry|66|2.50%
    Kildare|66|2.50%
    Kilkenny|36|1.30%
    Laois|15|0.60%
    Leitrim|6|0.20%
    Limerick|67|2.50%
    Longford|10|0.40%
    Louth|44|1.60%
    Mayo|36|1.30%
    Meath|54|2%
    Monaghan|13|0.50%
    Offaly|34|1.30%
    Roscommon|10|0.40%
    Sligo|19|0.70%
    Tipperary|71|2.70%
    Waterford|33|1.20%
    Westmeath|77|2.90%
    Wexford|15|0.60%
    Wicklow|73|2.70%
    Total|2671|100.00%
    add source and date of data


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 748 ✭✭✭RogerThis


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Same way they have unknowns for the ages - maybe it's last minute data that hasn't been correlated yet

    There is a difference in unknowns for ages, but there are unknowns for sex too.
    These aren't last minute data, it's from two days ago.


This discussion has been closed.
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