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CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) *Read OP*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,017 ✭✭✭SharpshooterTom


    Seriously? can you not grasp the concept that the USA is behind Italy etc on the curve in terms of time?

    Yes I know, it will get worse.

    But I'm just rebutting people who are shocked the positive cases in the US are beginning to surpass a lot of European Countries. There's a very good reason for that.


  • Posts: 5,557 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Woodsie1 wrote: »
    Russia locked its Chinese border within days of this thing kicking off over there.
    I reckon any flights from China after were sent to the gulags for quarantine once landed.
    No fcuking about in Russia they dont give a chite about political correctness.

    This virus doesnt care about political correctness either,no matter what any country does this virus will march on relentless,county monaghan in ireland excluded


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭FVP3


    As for the much repeated ( on this thread) claim that Germany is not reporting deaths from Covid if there is a co-morbidity, is there a source beyond this thread? It keeps turning up like a bad penny on this thread, but I dont think I have seen a link.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,357 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Because that is just how it looks.

    So that's the criteria...brilliant.

    There can't be any other reasons?

    Perhaps Germany's testing rate is higher. Perhaps the age range of the confirmed cases are younger than in Italy or Spain. Maybe older folk did what they were asked to do and stayed away from others.

    No, it has to be some sort of conspiracy. :rolleyes:

    Even if they were hiding cases, it would impossible for them to keep that charade up. Germany's own journalists are asking the same questions. It would, literally, demand a huge number of people to be in on it to pass off.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 790 ✭✭✭forgodssake


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Same as China does - some countries report all conditions on the death report saying for example pneumonia as a complication of flu - China for example does not, it only records the actual cause of death (no one dies of flu in China)

    Cannot find that pneumonia report but I'm tired and drunk


    Thank you for replying. I do hope that they change how they are recording this to give a true reflection of the devastation it has caused.
    Hope you enjoyed your drinks !


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,844 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    spookwoman wrote: »

    New cases mean little compared to total cases. Every county has peaks and valleys. You can't just take 1 day here and there and compare.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    It has 6 times the population so it probably should have 6 times the number of cases.

    The USA is quite a bit down the list at 79. Their mortality rate is also relatively speaking OK.

    There is a delay of a few weeks between the number of new cases and the death rate. It gets a lot worse when the hospitals cannot cope with the surge of sick patients.

    The number of cases in the USA has just started to rocket up, Each case will infect 2 or 3 other people.... unless containment works effectively...then disaster.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    This virus doesnt care about political correctness either,no matter what any country does this virus will march on relentless,county monaghan in ireland excluded

    Deserves bonus thanks for that


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Tony EH wrote: »
    So that's the criteria...brilliant.

    There can't be any other reasons?

    Perhaps Germany's testing rate is higher. Perhaps the age range of the confirmed cases are younger than in Italy or Spain. Maybe older folk did what they were asked to do and stayed away from others.

    No, it has to be some sort of conspiracy. :rolleyes:

    Even if they were hiding cases, it would impossible for them to keep that charade up. Germany's own journalists are asking the same questions. It would, literally, demand a huge number of people to be in on it to pass off.

    Someone posted earlier that all death reporting has to go thru something like 3 different departments before being released - don't quote me on the number of departments but seems to be a lot of red tape involved


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,017 ✭✭✭SharpshooterTom


    There is a delay of a few weeks between the number of new cases and the death rate. It gets a lot worse when the hospitals cannot cope with the surge of sick patients.

    The number of cases in the USA has just started to rocket up, Each case will infect 2 or 3 other people.... unless containment works effectively...then disaster.

    I'd argue they're doing better than the UK are. They've never once purposefully engaged in herding and a lot more of their country has practised lockdowns and school closures quicker.

    Its going to be a disaster everywhere. There's no vaccine so all countries doing their best to contain it without destroying the economy. There is no exit to any of this.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 949 ✭✭✭Woodsie1


    This virus doesnt care about political correctness either,no matter what any country does this virus will march on relentless,county monaghan in ireland excluded

    Cant exclude Monaghan and not exclude Russia!
    PC matters when people are involved,its people carrying this everywhere.
    Them Russians dont care about racism or even borders(Ukraine?)..there will be no hesitation in shutting up shop and carting off anyone suspected of the virus to save the rest of the country.
    Never underestimate the strength of Russia to get things done...its all still very Soviet in the land they still control.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭FVP3


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Someone posted earlier that all death reporting has to go thru something like 3 different departments before being released - don't quote me on the number of departments but seems to be a lot of red tape involved

    Source: this thread.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,003 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    Woodsie1 wrote: »
    I admire your optimism in them.

    That speech was a horrible Churchill rip off for social media likes and clicks and Coveney is a cold and calculated as they come.

    Id actually rather Coveney in charge because hed make the difficult decisions without worrying about his media profile(IMHO of course)

    I think they are doing an excellent job.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,149 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    New cases mean little compared to total cases. Every county has peaks and valleys. You can't just take 1 day here and there and compare.

    eh :confused:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 949 ✭✭✭Woodsie1


    I think they are doing an excellent job.

    Who Leo and Simon?
    Nah they havent a fcuking notion...the people doing an excellent job are the civil servants,the frontline staff...those 2 are riding on the back of real heroes.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    FVP3 wrote: »
    Source: this thread.

    Maybe Germany are only testing healthy people - nah shouldn't go there


  • Posts: 5,557 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Woodsie1 wrote: »
    Cant exclude Monaghan and not exclude Russia!
    PC matters when people are involved,its people carrying this everywhere.
    Them Russians dont care about racism or even borders(Ukraine?)..there will be no hesitation in shutting up shop and carting off anyone suspected of the virus to save the rest of the country.
    Never underestimate the strength of Russia to get things done...its all still very Soviet in the land they still control.
    The monaghan comment was tongue in cheek because at the time of posting it is the only county in ireland not to have any cases of covid19.you dont seriously think i was comparing monaghan to russia do you?.......then again......


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,357 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Someone posted earlier that all death reporting has to go thru something like 3 different departments before being released - don't quote me on the number of departments but seems to be a lot of red tape involved

    And so there should be. To be sure.

    But that doesn't mean that they're hiding cases, despite what some bozos on here would have you believe.

    Germany began mass testing very early and were carrying out over 160,000 tests a day. They were catching cases early and immediately putting those people into the health system and 80% of positive cases were younger than 60 years of age.
    "In the short term at least, mass testing feeds through into a lower fatality rate because it allows authorities to detect cases of Covid-19 even in patients who suffer few or no symptoms, and who have a much better chance of survival. It also means that Germany is likely to have a lower number of undetected cases than countries where testing is less prevalent. Indeed, one notable feature of the coronavirus outbreak in Germany so far is the high number of relatively young patients: according to data from the Robert Koch Institute, more than 80 per cent of all people infected with the coronavirus are younger than 60.

    “Especially at the beginning of the outbreak in Germany we saw many cases connected to people returning from skiing trips and similar holidays,” said Matthias Stoll, a professor of medicine at the University of Hanover. “These are predominantly people who are younger than 80 and who are fit enough to ski or engage in similar activities. Their risk of dying is comparatively low.” Hans-Georg Kräusslich, a professor of medicine and the head of virology at the University Hospital in Heidelberg, said: “In most cases the illness is mild and shows few symptoms, and we assume that the detection of such mild cases varies from country to country. In statistical terms that leads to a difference in case fatality rates.”

    https://www.ft.com/content/c0755b30-69bb-11ea-800d-da70cff6e4d3


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,899 ✭✭✭UrbanSprawl




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 949 ✭✭✭Woodsie1


    The monaghan comment was tongue in cheek because at the time of posting it is the only county in ireland not to have any cases of covid19.you dont seriously think i was comparing monaghan to russia do you?.......then again......

    No of course not lol...
    Me comparing them should have had a :p


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,527 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    Germany are reporting deaths with people who have pre-existing conditions https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-germany-death/germany-confirms-third-death-related-to-coronavirus-idUSKBN20Y1IR

    If you compare Ireland numbers with Italys at similar points there was 41 dead in Italy. Even on February 27th Italy had 593 confirmed infected and 17 dead so 6 times Ireland's mortality rate.


  • Posts: 5,557 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]



    Once i heard the english accent in the first few seconds i couldnt listen to anymore and take it seriously


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,256 ✭✭✭Sam Quentin


    I think they are doing an excellent job.

    Totally agree 100%....
    Ireland absolutely Rocks.
    The scare mongering and total negativity and Italy this USA that,, is getting absolutely boring. Nobody in any way shape or form should get complacent. But we are doing a great job(bearing in mind nothing is great or good about this hell that has befallen us)


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 51 ✭✭trumptheman


    Totally agree 100%....
    Ireland absolutely Rocks.
    The scare mongering and total negativity and Italy this USA that,, is getting absolutely boring. Nobody in any way shape or form should get complacent. But we are doing a great job(bearing in mind nothing is great or good about this hell that has befallen us)

    I still think the flight situation needs to be sorted as soon as possible. Other than that an A1 job.

    Anyone know if there even doing temperature checks at the airport for incoming passengers?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,844 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    I think they are doing an excellent job.

    The scary part is, it's all down to each and every one of us, not just the government.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,899 ✭✭✭UrbanSprawl


    Once i heard the english accent in the first few seconds i couldnt listen to anymore and take it seriously

    propaganda springs to mind


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,946 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    I wouldn't be putting too much belief into the fatality rates we are seeing from any country.

    Today Italy has 53,578 confirmed cases and 4,825 case deaths. This is a mortality rate of 9%. However, the death figure we are using here is a function of the laboratory confirmed cases, which is not a conclusive figure. The real infection figure in Italy is a large multiple of the 53,578 confirmed cases, however there simply isn't the resources to test every single patient every single day. Nor should they be given the pressure they are under. It's impossible to get a proper mortality figure (if ever with this volume of cases) given the circumstances and if anything repeating these figures as cause for concern is simply misleading.

    The only closed system we've seen a mortality rate from so far is the Diamond Princess. From the Diamond Princess we had 712 cases and 9 deaths (with 567 confirmed recoveries). That yields a death rate of 1.26%, which is a far more reliable indicator than any country to date. Given there being 136 remaining open cases we could see this figure rise - or it could be a case that resources aren't being concentrated on closing cases.

    When the antibody tests become available we'll get a truer figure into the rates of infection, and true population mortality rate. Until then, it's anybody's guess.


  • Posts: 5,557 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Someone posted earlier about coveney and churchill,simon coveney should never be put in the same bracket as that bigoted murdering racist scumbag churchill,simon coveney way more class


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 888 ✭✭✭bb12


    I still think the flight situation needs to be sorted as soon as possible. Other than that an A1 job.

    Anyone know if there even doing temperature checks at the airport for incoming passengers?


    I've said it before and I still think the Irish gov are pursuing a policy of herd immunity by stealth. not closing airports or cafes or shopping centres.

    Pushing the social distancing mantra should be enough to slow down infections so the health care can cope but i don't believe they have any intention of actually trying to halt the virus in its tracks


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  • Posts: 5,557 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    propaganda springs to mind

    Not just propaganda,but they have proven their stupidity over the last few weeks that they cant be taken seriously,they make trump look intelligent


This discussion has been closed.
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