CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) *Read OP*

Antares35 wrote: »

I don't think any of us can be accused of living in a fantasy land anymore. We all have things to worry about, myself included. My elderly parents, one of whom has an underlying condition are in one of the worst affected countries, and I am on the cusp of bringing their first grandchild into a world suffering the fallout of a pandemic.

Fantasy land is one place I am not in. Doesn't mean I want to be a misery merchant either. I'll take whatever glimmer of positivity I can to get through the day.

Am not loving this at all, i just want to drill it home to everyone this isnt going away anytime soon we cant let our gaurd down weve made a good start to flatten the curve but we can do more and not get complacent.

Stheno wrote: »

Its 5

Theres 6 in one cluster recovered so its more

CSSE09 wrote: »

They don't expect the peak to be near, he said we'll still be going up the curve just at a slower rate, one of the reporters asked if it went up by 15% per day would that be good and he said they'd be happy to see it be 15%.

No country in Europe seems to have peaked yet (certainly not Italy).

The aim is to get behind the curve and slow the spread right down

Yakult wrote: »

He is *probably* right.

Don't think for a second numbers will drop off starting today and people can leave their guard down again.

He keeps repeating the mantra of social distancing and that it's a societal effort so hopefully not too much danger of that.

Xertz wrote: »

Which would achieve what? They could devalue the lira and have no ability to feed the population? You can at least print Euro within the scale of the Eurozone without drastically impacting inflation as the currency is a reference value and is huge and there's a massive internal market with most goods/services readily available in that € currency.

Once you get down to smaller currencies you're into risk of hyperinflation and lass of spending power, and because supply chains are global and complex, that means you'd end up with loss of ability to supply basic goods and services.

May be a good time to reevaluate floating EURO rate for national economies, with fixed rate for inter EU and international trade.

Maintains EURO international stability while allowing individual economies tweak national measures, reduces arguments in favour of exiting EU.

e.g. Germany buys EURO at 1/1 to DM, Italy 1/1.4 Lira, Germany sells in EURO, Italy pays in EURO. EURO/non-EU currencies floats as normal.

Jin luk wrote: »

Am not loving this at all, i just want to drill it home to everyone this isnt going away anytime soon we cant let our gaurd down weve made a good start to flatten the curve but we can do more and not get complacent.

I get the need to drill home the importance of control measures (especially because so many people are being complete plebs about the whole thing) but it just seems that every time there is a bit of good news, someone shoots it down.

But yes it is annoying to see so many morons thinking "ah shure it'll be grand" when there are people dying

harr wrote: »

All those results from the new test centres and new batch of kits hasn’t kicked it yet as far as I am aware.

Oh

I remember being shocked that 130 in Italy had died in one day just last week. This is just a surreal situation

Yakult wrote: »

Look around the now, people still not adhering to the social distancing. Thinking it's all just a game.

We need to get fairly serious about this and not in two weeks when we have an even higher number and it's too late to act.


Seek to raise spirits through other means, you will only be disapointed otherwise.

Most people doing most of the things most of the time is what he said. 100% compliance is impossible and even in a full lockdown very difficult. The message needs to be repeated 100 times a day.

iwillyeah1234 wrote: »

jesus. 627 ?

wasn't it 425 the other day, and even i thought that was getting hairy.

There's no sign of that Italian curve levelling off yet is there? Scarey..

New cases may start dropping in the next 4 or 5 days once we pass the 14 day mark since the lockdown. Unfortunately the deaths will continue to rise for some time after that. However fewer new cases may ease the stress on the health system a bit which may in itself lessen the rate of death. But it will probably still keep rising for a few days yet

Re the whole 'flatten the curve'.
The daily figures don't mean squat unless you test test test like crazy and take actions upon them.

The whole point is to reduce capacity to the health system.
We may not be testing enough and be fooled into thinking we're flattening the curve, but our hospitals will be under huge pressure shortly.

Without huge testing, we've no idea how bad this is and therefore can't determine best preventive measures (further restrictions and isolation of confirmed cases).

Anyone who is looking for solice at our daily case count without looking at the big picture is in for a shock in the next couple of weeks.

Hobgoblin11 wrote: »

Is social distancing the new norm until a vaccine is widely in effect?

Sounds to me like it will be around for years !!

In all liklihood yes and not a bad thing.