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CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) *Read OP*

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  • #2732
    lbj666
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,027 ✭✭✭lbj666


    kingshankly wrote: »
    Cheltenham crew taking affect now

    So you are telling me that by the time they got home on Saturday, they have shown symptoms and made it through the backlog of testing.

    Cheltenham gang and our other already established scapegoats in temple bar wont start appearing on stats for another 4-5 days by in which case numbers will be so high that that theyll be buried amongst the figures.


  • #2733
    Mortelaro
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,431 ✭✭✭Mortelaro


    gozunda wrote: »
    Well above Leo's predicted 30% ...

    It's not Leo's, its the models
    However these were infected before the pubs and schools shut


  • #2734
    harr
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,511 ✭✭✭harr


    That number might get people back inside .. the amount of teenagers and kids wandering around today was mad. All shops trying the best they can but parents need to up responsibility for where kids are.. local playground full today local park near even had families having picnics.
    This is exactly what happened in Italy, people told to stay home took it as an extra holiday and went out on family breaks and to socialise in groups.
    We are following that pattern now ...
    Time for the full lock down


  • #2735
    sammyjo90
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,236 ✭✭✭✭sammyjo90


    jos28 wrote: »
    Anyone got a link to a graph since our first case was announced here

    There is literally one...8 posts up


  • #2736
    Downlinz
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,666 ✭✭✭Downlinz


    Andrew00 wrote: »
    The Cheltenham and skiing brigade

    The Cheltenham cases won't have shown symptoms yet, that'll be next weeks problem.


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  • #2737
    threeball
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,754 ✭✭✭threeball


    Shelga wrote: »
    I would absolutely do this- try to get infected deliberately and "get it over with" if there was hard evidence that this grants immunity.

    It doesn't; there have been multiple cases of reinfections.

    I was watching an american doctor on CNN today who was discussing it with Anthony Fauci. All evidence points to the fact it behaves like any other virus and we gain immunity. The cases reported appear to have been relapses due to the virus not leaving the body fully.


  • #2738
    Goldengirl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,853 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    An Ciarraioch wrote: »
    If it's 91 today, that would be a 25% increase, turning yesterday's slowdown into a trend.

    Not 91..191!


  • #2739
    namloc1980
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,445 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    HSE have a a load of PPE which is great.


  • #2740
    This is it
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,103 ✭✭✭This is it


    Mortelaro wrote: »
    Yes ,But remember theres more being tested than last week AND these positives caught their disease from before pubs and schools shut

    At 19k tests a day though,when it ramps uptown that level of testing,numbers found positive will soar
    But again it's not the test that's making people positive obviously
    The positive people in much greater numbers than those tested are already out there and growing

    Question is will rate of growth be stemmed by the semi lock down
    We wont and cant know that

    Absolutely. I understand the more tests the more positive results but I wasn't expecting such a jump.


  • #2741
    stephenjmcd
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Away With The Fairies wrote: »
    It was to be expected though. Just hope they pull through this.

    Take that in perspective of the 84, 20 odd are associated with travel.


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  • #2742
    ChikiChiki
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,949 ✭✭✭ChikiChiki


    Spanish Eyes wrote: »
    Most of that increase could be from idiots coming back from Cheltenham, and the FaceBook warriors in the Supermarket meltdown last Thursday.

    But if not, and it may be too early to tell admittedly, there could be another huge spike soon.

    Most of us are begging for a lockdown now. Well I am anyway because many people are just total idiots right now. Not all, but the actions of the few affect the many.

    Trust me, none of them two cohorts would be capable of joining the dots and if they were, they probably don't give a ****e.


  • #2743
    whisky_galore
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,029 ✭✭✭✭whisky_galore


    Thelonious Monk wrote: »
    People are not taking it seriously. A woman had 3 kids with her in the supermarket yesterday. Gangs of teenagers everywhere. Our health services are going to get smashed.

    Gangs of teens throwing stones at buses and cars are a usual feature in Cork, even the middle of a goddamn pandemic.


  • #2744
    spookwoman
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    deise08 wrote: »
    Very big jump. More testing so would expect that.
    Also we're 12 days away from the cancelled Italy game.

    But there is a huge backlog on test results and waiting for tests


  • #2745
    SweetCaliber
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,487 ✭✭✭SweetCaliber


    Some jump today folks, expected that though:

    506238.PNG

    Spreadsheet aswell as charts available here:
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IMavHMFAT59NaRmSJxfHIVxAhiT46CmzL0tj0Esqalc/edit?usp=sharing


  • #2746
    Jin luk
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 389 ✭✭Jin luk


    Start listening now lads wont you's, wise up and take action.


  • #2747
    fritzelly
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    jos28 wrote: »
    Anyone got a link to a graph since our first case was announced here

    https://coronavirus-ireland.com/


  • #2748
    spookwoman
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    whisky_galore wrote: »
    Gangs of teens throwing stones at buses and cars are a usual feature in Cork, even the middle of a goddamn pandemic.

    reopen spike island


  • #2749
    RogerThis
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 748 ✭✭✭RogerThis


    Date|Total|New Cases|Percent Change
    02-Mar|1|1|100%
    03-Mar|2|1|100%
    04-Mar|6|4|200%
    05-Mar|13|7|117%
    06-Mar|18|5|38%
    07-Mar|19|1|6%
    08-Mar|21|2|11%
    09-Mar|24|3|14%
    10-Mar|34|10|42%
    11-Mar|43|9|26%
    12-Mar|70|27|63%
    13-Mar|90|20|29%
    14-Mar|129|39|43%
    15-Mar|169|40|31%
    16-Mar|223|54|32%
    17-Mar|292|69|31%
    18-Mar|366|74|25%
    19-Mar|557|191|52%
    20-Mar|724|167|30%
    21-Mar|941|217|30%
    22-Mar|1,224|282|30%
    23-Mar|1,591|367|30%
    24-Mar|2,068|477|30%
    25-Mar|2,689|620|30%
    26-Mar|3,495|807|30%
    27-Mar|4,544|1,049|30%
    28-Mar|5,907|1,363|30%
    29-Mar|7,679|1,772|30%
    30-Mar|9,982|2,304|30%
    31-Mar|12,977|2,995|30%
    01-Apr|16,870|3,893|30%


  • #2750
    Cork Boy 53
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    kingshankly wrote: »
    Cheltenham crew taking affect now

    No too early for that to show.


  • #2751
    YFlyer
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,717 ✭✭✭YFlyer


    gozunda wrote: »
    Well above Leo's predicted 30% ...

    It will be in next years Leaving Cert Maths exams.


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  • #2752
    RugbyLad11
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 547 ✭✭✭RugbyLad11


    bennyl10 wrote: »
    We are always going to see increases.
    We won’t see any results of the measures for at least 2 weeks.(about 10ish days from now)


    They’re expecting 15000 by the end Of the month.

    Let’s keep perspective.

    They are not expecting 15000. That figure is worst case


  • #2753
    Away With The Fairies
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    Duke of Url wrote: »
    How the cock are health case workers getting infected?

    They have more protection then the rest of us?

    If it's anything like the people testing, they don't have enough protection. I don't think they wear the hazmat suits.


  • #2754
    FLOOPER
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 871 ✭✭✭FLOOPER


    Would think it’s fairly in line without doing the maths that an increase of about 33% per day considering there was a backlog.

    Yesterday’s figure was only 25% up on previous day.

    I’m ball parking here obviously.

    Scratch that. I was looking at figures from a different day. Apologies.


  • #2755
    eggy81
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,172 ✭✭✭eggy81


    Downlinz wrote: »
    The Cheltenham cases won't have shown symptoms yet, that'll be next weeks problem.

    Theres Cheltenham case already in hospital.


  • #2756
    GM228
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,922 ✭✭✭GM228


    A chart I have produced myself giving a little more in depth details such as mortality rates, population infection rate etc based on confirmed cases.

    Ireland Coronavirus Statistics - Updated 19:30 19/03/2020

    Key Statistics
    Total Cases: 557
    Mortality Rate: 0.54%
    Recovery Rate: 0.9%
    Poplulation Infected: 0.011%


    DATE
    |
    Cases
    |
    New Cases
    |
    Total Cases
    |
    Case Increase
    |
    Daily Reporting Change
    |
    Deaths to date
    |
    Mortality Rate
    |
    Hospitalised
    |
    Hospital Rate
    |
    ICU
    |
    ICU Rate
    |
    *Recovered
    |
    Recovery Rate
    |
    Population %

    29/02/2020|0|1|1|0.00%|0%|0|N/A|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.000%
    03/03/2020|1|1|2|100.00%|0%|0|N/A|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.000%
    04/03/2020|2|4|6|200.00%|300%|0|N/A|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.000%
    05/03/2020|6|7|13|116.67%|75%|0|N/A|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.000%
    06/03/2020|13|5|18|38.46%|-29%|0|N/A|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.000%
    07/03/2020|18|1|19|5.56%|-80%|0|N/A|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.000%
    08/03/2020|19|2|21|10.53%|100%|0|N/A|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.000%
    09/03/2020|21|3|24|14.29%|50%|0|N/A|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.000%
    10/03/2020|24|10|34|41.67%|233%|0|N/A|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.001%
    11/03/2020|34|9|43|26.47%|-10%|1|2.33%|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.001%
    12/03/2020|43|27|70|62.79%|200%|1|1.43%|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.001%
    13/03/2020|70|20|90|28.57%|-26%|1|1.11%|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.002%
    14/03/2020|90|39|129|43.33%|95%|2|1.55%|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.003%
    15/03/2020|129|40|169|31.01%|3%|2|1.18%|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|NR|0.003%
    16/03/2020|169|54|223|31.95%|35%|2|0.90%|84|37.7%|6|2.69%|5|2.24%|0.005%
    17/03/2020|223|69|292|30.94%|28%|2|0.68%|108|37%|7|2.40%|5|1.71%|0.006%
    18/03/2020|292|74|366|25.34%|7%|2|0.55%|NR|NR|7|1.91%|5|1.37%|0.007%
    19/03/2020|366|191|557|52.19%|158%|3|0.54%|NR|NR|7|1.26%|5|0.9%|0.011%

    NR = Not Reported

    Source: Department of Health

    *"Recovered" rates are not reported by the Department of Health in the above link, these figures are taken from the Worldmeters and Johns Hopkins websites which use data suplied by the DoT to the ECDC under the WHO Guidelines for reporting.


  • #2757
    Strazdas
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,295 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Seamai wrote: »
    They were hoping for less than 110.

    We're actually still behind the Varadkar Tuesday night prediction.

    Dr Holohan is still optimistic that social distancing will kick in in several days time.....expect numbers to keep climbing steeply before then


  • #2758
    Quantum Erasure
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,612 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    gozunda wrote: »
    Well above Leo's predicted 30% ...

    in line with it taking into account yesterdays figures


  • #2759
    RugbyLad11
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 547 ✭✭✭RugbyLad11


    enda1 wrote: »
    Takes 2-3 days to get results, many (most?) GPs closed Tuesday. More testing came online Monday. So no suprise to see a big increase, and likely up to 350/day or so like the CMO predicts by the weekend.

    I thought GPs don't do the testing? An ambulance will come to your house


  • #2760
    Seamai
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,250 ✭✭✭Seamai


    Andrew00 wrote: »
    The Cheltenham and skiing brigade

    Don't forget the thousands of Italian rugby fans who came here almost two weeks ago.


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  • #2761
    jamesf85
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 206 ✭✭jamesf85


    kingshankly wrote: »
    Cheltenham crew taking affect now

    What are people talking about?

    This nonsense...

    There's likely 10,000 people infected in Ireland right now. It's more contagious than the flu and the flu hits a few hundred thousand over the course of a couple of months.

    How idiotic are people, with more testing we're going to get more cases.

    The only important numbers are deaths and ICU's...that's it! Assume that we have 10k cases as of this minute, because that's probably being generous.


This discussion has been closed.
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