CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) Read OP

Panrich · 18-03-2020 11:18PM

namloc1980 wrote: »

In the last week the daily increase has been 63%, 29%, 43%, 31%, 32%, 31%, 25%. It is already in the numbers so not sure how you can say it isn't likely!?

I'm just using the figures to say that we'd have to see an increase in the rate from 12th to 18th (+31.75%) to hit 15,000 (+33.1%).

If we see an effect from the measures , we may actually see an improvement in that rate, so that is why I don't think it is likely that we will hit the rate required to hit 15,000. Any percentage swing makes a big difference. but as I said, I acknowledge that we may see an increase from increased testing as well.

However we would have to 'outperform' Italy to be at 15,000 by the end of the month. They took 16 days to go from 323 cases to over 15,000.

YFlyer · 18-03-2020 11:20PM

ZX7R wrote: »

Depends
If it's been paid back over the lifetime of the mortgage
You won't even notice it

Say mortgage of €1,200 pm. Fifteen years remaining. That be an extra €20 pm.

If people can be frugal during this period, probably won't have a choice. Then the extra €20 pm shouldn't be harsh.

cnocbui · 18-03-2020 11:20PM

Jinglejangle69 wrote: »

Already seen signs from people that we have beat this after tonights numbers.

I'm all for optimistim but this needs to be drilled home every few days.

We pessimists always worry that those misguided optimists may never cop on.

TomOnBoard · 18-03-2020 11:20PM

Panrich wrote: »

We'd have to average over 33% every day to hit 15,000.

It doesn't look likely on the daily increases so far but it's not out of the question, especially if we do more testing.

Even at the estimated 30%, we'll hit 15,000 by 2nd April based on today's figures. BY that time, we'll be seeing 3-4,000 new cases every day if the 30% rate of increase prevails.

EVERY case we can prevent today, NOW, will mean many fewer cases in 10 days time.

Stay the **** HOME!!

YFlyer · 18-03-2020 11:21PM

Cocooning...lol

An Ri rua · 18-03-2020 11:21PM

Sober Crappy Chemis wrote: »

Yep. Chest pain. Hyperventilating. Until I relax and then the symptoms disappear.

If you're reacting like that, then you need to remove yourself from Boards. The sky is not falling. It is if you panic and fail to do your bit. So just do your bit, advise others in your circle of same and for the love of God stop panicking. Be alert, be very alert, keep doing all the right things, which includes mental rest. But stop feeding your anxiety.

Fart · 18-03-2020 11:21PM

cnocbui wrote: »

We pessimists always worry that those misguided optimists may never cop on.

Better than misguided optometrists.

stephenjmcd · 18-03-2020 11:22PM

Strazdas wrote: »

The response of the health service and those involved in testing and contact tracing has been phenomenal and the Govt are playing a blinder.

And nearly every single one of us have been doing our bit in terms of hygiene and social distancing....excellent team effort so far.

Couldn't agree more. While tonight's numbers are good that we didn't break over 30% we're a long way from being out of the wood and this has to keep being drilled into people.

But the government and the whole of the civil service are playing an absolute blinder. They come in for alot of stick but they've put an unreal shift in so far.

The general public following the advice they are given also helps.

Dr Tony also said tonight they've noticed people are keeping track of the close contacts they have had in the event of being contacted by the HSE, this is speeding up the contact tracing, its something we should all aim to do

cnocbui · 18-03-2020 11:23PM

Quantum Erasure wrote: »

not exactly...

Nice try, but we both know that you wouldn't be in a hurry reaching for the ibuprofen to relieve any highly suggestive symptoms. :P

kilkenny31 · 18-03-2020 11:23PM

Panrich wrote: »

I'm just using the figures to say that we'd have to see an increase in the rate from 12th to 18th (+31.75%) to hit 15,000 (+33.1%).

If we see an effect from the measures , we may actually see an improvement in that rate, so that is why I don't think it is likely that we will hit the rate required to hit 15,000. Any percentage swing makes a big difference. but as I said, I acknowledge that we may see an increase from increased testing as well.

However we would have to 'outperform' Italy to be at 15,000 by the end of the month. They took 16 days to go from 323 cases to over 15,000.

If we continued the growth of the past few days say 25% we would be on the same trajectory as Italy. In 16-17 days we would be at 15000

loopymum · 18-03-2020 11:23PM

JP Liz V1 wrote: »

Is Dr. Ciara in hospital?

no, she was in hot press with all her sheets and towels contaminating it earlier today

TomOnBoard · 18-03-2020 11:24PM

xabi wrote: »

She did her show today from home

I think she was in her hot press... She must have some hot press!! The cat can't fit in mine!

Stheno · 18-03-2020 11:25PM

stephenjmcd wrote: »

Couldn't agree more. While tonight's numbers are good that we didn't break over 30% we're a long way from being out of the wood and this has to keep being drilled into people.

But the government and the whole of the civil service are playing an absolute blinder. They come in for alot of stick but they've put an unreal shift in so far.

The general public following the advice they are given also helps.

Dr Tony also said tonight they've noticed people are keeping track of the close contacts they have had in the event of being contacted by the HSE, this is speeding up the contact tracing, its something we should all aim to do

Also thought Tony did a great job conveying to the media how important it is to get the message out to younger people that they may feel fine but need to know they can place older people in grave danger

YFlyer · 18-03-2020 11:25PM

loopymum wrote: »

no, she was in hot press with all her sheets and towels contaminating it earlier today

Heard earlier Joe Duffy was upset that it wasn't him.

martingriff · 18-03-2020 11:25PM

Jin luk wrote: »

Today was the last day we will see under a 100cases in 24hours for a while now, you can quote me on this at 20:50 tomorrow night.

So you can tell people I do your so. GOD WHY. You will be right or did I just get wooshed

2xj3hplqgsbkym · 18-03-2020 11:25PM

Panrich wrote: »

I'm just using the figures to say that we'd have to see an increase in the rate from 12th to 18th (+31.75%) to hit 15,000 (+33.1%).

If we see an effect from the measures , we may actually see an improvement in that rate, so that is why I don't think it is likely that we will hit the rate required to hit 15,000. Any percentage swing makes a big difference. but as I said, I acknowledge that we may see an increase from increased testing as well.

However we would have to 'outperform' Italy to be at 15,000 by the end of the month. They took 16 days to go from 323 cases to over 15,000.

15,00 is not a target!
That would be great if we don’t reach that number, however I fear we will see rapid increases in days to come with improvements in testing capacity.

UrbanSprawl · 18-03-2020 11:26PM

leck · 18-03-2020 11:27PM

radiotrickster wrote: »

Not sure it’s been confirmed in media but the persons daughter said it on Twitter: https://twitter.com/carnsoreboxer/status/1240363570761736194?s=21

expectationlost wrote: »

doesn't mean she had it.

She tweeted previously that her mother tested positive for Covid19, results came back Sunday.

But elsewhere it said her mother had COPD, so death might have been attributed to that with the virus as a contributory factor, rather than the other way around.

Tony EH · 18-03-2020 11:27PM

Jinglejangle69 wrote: »

The vultures?

Jesus Christ.

1% of loans in Ireland.

Here we go with Pearse Doherty.

Can you politicking pricks give it a rest for one night?

And that goes for all sides. None of your crap is wanted.

YFlyer · 18-03-2020 11:27PM

Ireland Call is back baby.

Sober Crappy Chemis · 18-03-2020 11:27PM

Mortality rate in Ireland right now is

2/366 = 0.55%

gabeeg · 18-03-2020 11:28PM

We're almost at 20,000 new cases for the day.

Mervyn Skidmore · 18-03-2020 11:28PM

In terms of prisoners being released. Am i mad for thinking that they could be planning on using a couple of minimum security prisons as treatment centres? Beds and rooms available with very little modifications.

extra gravy · 18-03-2020 11:28PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

So what's the story with the Yanks, are they charging people to be tested/receive treatment?

The CDC can guarantee free testing for coronavirus under the Public Health Service Act. The Director of the CDC committed to this a few days ago but now seems to be backtracking. If this doesn't happen, there's an emergency bill in the works that would make free testing law.

Panrich · 18-03-2020 11:28PM

kilkenny31 wrote: »

If we continued the growth of the past few days say 25% we would be on the same trajectory as Italy. In 16-17 days we would be at 15%.

I agree that it is pedantic to worry when we will hit 15k cases as we will in early April at best but at 25% increase every day until 31st march, we would be at 6658 cases.

A Pyrrhic victory because by 4th April we would still be at 16,254.

Quantum Erasure · 18-03-2020 11:29PM

cnocbui wrote: »

Nice try, but we both know that you wouldn't be in a hurry reaching for the ibuprofen to relieve any highly suggestive symptoms. :P

how d'you mean nice try?

YFlyer · 18-03-2020 11:29PM

Sober Crappy Chemis wrote: »

Mortality rate in Ireland right now is

2/366 = 0.55%

How many of the 366 in hospital?

Shn99 · 18-03-2020 11:30PM

YFlyer wrote: »

How many of the 366 in hospital?

84 of the first 271 cases

Sober Crappy Chemis · 18-03-2020 11:30PM

gabeeg wrote: »

We're almost at 20,000 new cases for the day.

In Leitrim?

Widdensushi · 18-03-2020 11:31PM

Sober Crappy Chemis wrote: »

Mortality rate in Ireland right now is

2/366 = 0.55%

mortality rate is not a true picture when people can't get tested and others with it are not even looking to get tested

CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) *Read OP*

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CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) Read OP