CoVid-19 Part VIII - 292 cases ROI (2 deaths) 62 in NI (as of 17th March) *Read OP*

otnomart wrote: »

Thanks !

Wonder what happened to the Cork - Wuhan sequence !

So the three Irish cases are as follows (please correct me if I am wrong):
-the Dublin one was originated via contact with the Netherlands and/or Bavaria (via Italy)

-one from Limerick was originated via England and/or the Netherlands

-second one from Limerick is 100% from the Netherlands


https://nextstrain.org/ncov?f_country=Ireland&f_division=Dublin,Limerick

There's a Northern ireland one from Feb 26 as well, which also groups in with the big European set of sequences.

So we've five virus genomes from Ireland in total, all imported from Europe, and two or three might be linked - would need patient history to know this.
All 5 are highlighted here: https://nextstrain.org/ncov?f_division=Limerick,Northern%20Ireland,Dublin&l=radial&m=div

I don't know if they're planning to do more of this work here, as I'm not sure how valuable it is to sequence viral genomes from occasional patients when you reckon there are thousands of people out there with it.
We really need to be doing more of the PCR tests for presence / absence, and also antibody tests when rapid tests are approved.

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Some figures so far today

Spain 2086 new cases, 90 deaths
Germany 1980 new cases
South Korea 93 new cases
USA 1,100 new cases, 8 new deaths
Netherland 346 new cases, 15 new deaths

Spanish figures seem to get updated during the day...I'm not sure if they report them by province?

I don't know what's going on with Germany, but they must have a different definition of Covid 19 related deaths.

South Korea's numbers are disappointing, they seem to be rising a bit again. Hopefully it's just a one day variance.

Dazzler0911 wrote: »

As an Irish man living over in London I'm getting pretty f**ckin anxious now - and I'm a calm person. Pubs, Tube, Schools still open as usual. Walked past a couple of pubs last night on my way home and they were rammed with people.

I'm still being told to work in our office here in Canary Wharf even though I can easily WFH

I don't envy you.

The CMO & Health Minister over there both need to be fired. Unbelievable incompetence. Following economic advise rather than medical. I read his statement, its insulting to anyones intelligence.

If I lived over there I would have to take the matter into my own hands and disappear with whatever reasons I had to employ.

I’m not understanding why Trump stands aside for Pence to give more of the detail....
Is it just damage limitation I.e,the less he talks,the more rubbish he comes out with??
Like saying (initially) this self-swab was going to be done by a health professional (corrected it afterwards to be fair....)

Its blatantly obvious and only a matter of time before thousands of people start fleeing the UK and come to Ireland.

bilston wrote: »

All eyes on Italy's numbers today.

The number who have died there has stabilized in the last three days

15/3 368
16/3 349
17/3 345

Let's hope there has been another decrease, even to show a trend that we can pin our hopes on.

That said we are only 9 or 10 days on from the lockdown there so it might be another few days before the numbers start reflecting that.

Where can we see how many Italy have tested over the past week?

DOCARCH wrote: »

The only thing I would worry about Italy is that I would not be surprised if there is another increase in cases, and then deaths after, in the coming week to 10 days, after the mass exodus from Lombardy when they shut that region down.

The movements from the North to the South of Italy ended on Sunday 9 March when the nationwide lockdown kicked in.
That was 9 days ago, I believe the average incubation period is less than that.
So most of those who were infected by the 9 March and moved to the South, should have already developed symptoms by now.
Therefore I hope that the peak will be reached soon and the curve will start flattening then.

One thing I don’t understand is contact tracing . I get the immediate circle of family and friends etc but if some is on a train or bus then surely that chain breaks as no one knows who was on the bus ?

blade1 wrote: »

WHO on BBC.
Giving a bit of light at the end of the tunnel.

ISOLATE
ISOLATE
ISOLATE

Missed the beginning of it.

Dazzler0911 wrote: »

As an Irish man living over in London I'm getting pretty f**ckin anxious now - and I'm a calm person. Pubs, Tube, Schools still open as usual. Walked past a couple of pubs last night on my way home and they were rammed with people.

I'm still being told to work in our office here in Canary Wharf even though I can easily WFH

That's the English way innit. Sing songs while the air-raid sirens are sounding.
Bugger the virus I'm still having my 1/2 a lager

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

The most heartwarming and positive news today is bonos new song in my humble opinion

**** no

FitzShane wrote: »

I guess that tracing back close contacts for a few days, and missing out on some such as public transport is better than tracing none.

Very true I guess

UK deaths have increased by 33% to 104 in the last 24 hours. ( breaking)