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Coronavirus Part II - Its arrived - We're Doomed!!! See OP for Mod warnings

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,010 ✭✭✭GooglePlus


    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1233062442898513920

    Closing the horse after the stable has bolted

    Horsing the close after the bolt has been stabled.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,661 ✭✭✭Hoboo


    Actually the videos that came out were ahead of the story and people called them fake almost as reflexively as the chinese government at every stage of the outbreak. There are some bull**** ones and there are idiots who try to interpret and extrapolate baselessly, but most of the imagery itself has been borne out to be true and predictive.

    You're just getting loads of people really come online to this now so will be saying a lot of guff so I get that part

    True imagery but taken completely out of context, and in most cases nothing to do with covid-9 at all. One video showed a woman on the ground dead from supposedly being shot by police for breaking through a barrier. Turns out the lump on the pavement, the moped on the ground and her dead body were the result of a traffic accident.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    Based on this thread I would say yes, yes they do. Unless it's from a legit news source. Then it's treated with extreme scepticism.

    Sorry Jimbob but some of those videos are not fake. Yes there are some weirdos who fake stuff but thankfully social media has allowed us to see stuff that wouldn't have gotten out otherwise


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,739 ✭✭✭scamalert


    otnomart wrote: »
    My main worry is undetected cases.
    In Italy's first case with no known links to China, 1.5 days in hospital before testing resulted in the Lombardy epicentre with currently approx 250 cases.
    The French case was in Creil hospital for 6 days before transfer to Paris and test there.
    How many cases will those 6 days generate in the Oise epicentre ?
    Scary as Creil is in the commuter area of Paris.


    sounds like fear and paranoia, another poster had a good point, flu wipes out at least 100 people in Ireland each year easily preventable and treatable, so far about 100k infected 3k deaths and most in china, and given that recovery rate is 40%+ and well treatable, id like to know more about pre existing conditions like health age etc those had it, but media sells and papers sell on this crap so easier to push fear and paranoia, then rationale.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,337 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    gabeeg wrote: »
    Well coronavirus is far more infectious than regular flu, has a much higher death rate and a significant proportion of those affected will require hospitalisation.

    There's also a vaccine for most flus.

    It's only more infectious because nobody is vaccinated. We have no idea what the actual death rate is at this point so you can't say that its higher than regular flu. People will post numbers on twitter but there's a method that is used to determine the mortality rate and it's too early in this outbreak to do that yet. People don't necesarily require hospitalistion as most who get this won't be very ill but they do need to be quarantined to stop them infecting others and that generally happens in a hospital.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    2020-02-27.png?itok=1kuPqsTU


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,003 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1233062442898513920

    Closing the horse after the stable has bolted

    It's the will of Allah, how dare he interfere!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    2020-02-27.png?itok=1kuPqsTU

    And that's in a region with an outstanding health service.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    ERyoyZvWAAMqBkX?format=jpg&name=small


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,337 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    DrumSteve wrote: »
    I'm more than happy to stock up on food and look like a massive thick if this thing blows over; rather than be left short because "ah shure, it'll be grand".

    I've got no ego when it comes to this, I do not care how silly I look. Legitimately, the only thing we should care about as a society for the next month are the most vulnerable.

    Basically cancel all non-essential activities across the state.

    I don't understand this. What is it with irish people and panic buying food? Even in Wuhan in the epicentre of this where thousands have died the supermarkets stayed open and were stocked. If you think it's going be worse than that here you're completely mental. It was the same thing in the "snow" 2 years ago. People cleaned the shops out for no reason, deliveries were barely interupted they just didn't anticipate demand for no reason so they got cleaned out. You don't need to stock up on food and this better safe than sorry attitude is what had the shops cleared out last time.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,003 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    BanditLuke wrote: »
    And that's in a region with an outstanding health service.

    Just shows the level of damage to a society a few religious nut-jobs can do.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 336 ✭✭ThePopehimself


    MW-IA992_beards_MG_20200226211309.jpg

    I thought it was a whole new range of Lad Bible emojis...but no!

    "CDC issues beard and mustache guide for coronavirus epidemic"


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    cnocbui wrote: »
    It's the will of Allah, how dare he interfere!

    Indeed.

    *PBUH


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,555 ✭✭✭el Fenomeno


    MadYaker wrote: »
    I don't understand this. What is it with irish people and panic buying food? Even in Wuhan in the epicentre of this where thousands have died the supermarkets stayed open and were stocked. If you think it's going be worse than that here you're completely mental. It was the same thing in the "snow" 2 years ago. People cleaned the shops out for no reason, deliveries were barely interupted they just didn't anticipate demand for no reason so they got cleaned out. You don't need to stock up on food and this better safe than sorry attitude is what had the shops cleared out last time.

    It's the clamour for bread I don't understand. I might have bread once a week? Maybe less even...

    Is it really that big a staple in our diets that it's the first thing that sells out? Not like it has a long shelf life...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,422 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    scamalert wrote: »
    sounds like fear and paranoia, another poster had a good point, flu wipes out at least 100 people in Ireland each year easily preventable and treatable, so far about 100k infected 3k deaths and most in china, and given that recovery rate is 40%+ and well treatable, id like to know more about pre existing conditions like health age etc those had it, but media sells and papers sell on this crap so easier to push fear and paranoia, then rationale.

    Can you think of any government less concerned about the media and papers than that of China or Russia? N Korea maybe.
    Yet China sealed off Wuhan, and Russia closed its border with China.
    Do you think those governments don't know what a flu is like in terms of impact?

    China and Russia, and for that matter the US, France, Italy, Japan - none of them are treating this on the same level of concern as the flu. This is in a whole different category.

    Trying to push the narrative that this is a media frenzy just ain't gonna fly.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,739 ✭✭✭scamalert


    BanditLuke wrote: »
    And that's in a region with an outstanding health service.
    might as well be graph for death rate on m50 for the week or Dublin city.


    point is in 14million city under 3k deaths over 2 months % wise in few billion population country its in deep 0.0000% territory, while the spread is real but if they can manage it million plus square mile territory seems over hyped, as total death toll WW is not even remotely close to flu vaccinated or not.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,661 ✭✭✭Hoboo


    2020-02-27.png?itok=1kuPqsTU


    I'd consider my reading and comprehension of graphs to be pretty good, that to me makes no sense.

    The Y axis is saying almost 1800 confirmed cases to date, yet X is claiming 48 new cases in the last 8 days from almost zero confirmed cases.

    Where'd you get that so I can have a read? Cheers

    Edit: I'm guessing they had tested 1500 plus and confirmation only happened over the last 8 days


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Death toll in Italy rises to 17

    3 more deaths reported.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,287 ✭✭✭givyjoe


    MadYaker wrote: »
    I don't understand this. What is it with irish people and panic buying food? Even in Wuhan in the epicentre of this where thousands have died the supermarkets stayed open and were stocked. If you think it's going be worse than that here you're completely mental. It was the same thing in the "snow" 2 years ago. People cleaned the shops out for no reason, deliveries were barely interupted they just didn't anticipate demand for no reason so they got cleaned out. You don't need to stock up on food and this better safe than sorry attitude is what had the shops cleared out last time.

    Have you completely missed the panic buying in Italy? If you do get sick, you reckon folks should continue to pop out to the shop and put others at risk? Or should folks perhaps have enough at home to should they need to self isolate.

    You think he's mental, I'd say you're hopelessly under prepared.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 567 ✭✭✭tillyfilly


    All my dreams came true this evening , I picked up the last bottle of Dettol in the local shop, I've never won anything in my life, thrilled!


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,915 ✭✭✭Cupatae


    Did you see lieo varadgar on the news the last evening and a brand new hi vis jacket and spotless wellingtons on him like a pair of clowns shoes.
    Roughly 150 euro worth of new safety gear on him to look at a flood and he like a donkey looking over a hedge.fcukin scandalous.
    No wonder the country is in a fcukin heap.

    like a donkey lookin into a well haha


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,661 ✭✭✭Hoboo


    tillyfilly wrote: »
    All my dreams came true this evening , I picked up the last bottle of Dettol in the local shop, I've never won anything in my life, thrilled!

    Yeah drink that, you'll have zero chance of catching Corona.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,915 ✭✭✭Cupatae




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,337 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    My mother still buys extra bread and the like around Christmas. The shops are only closed for one day.

    The biggest problem we're going to face in Ireland with this virus is shops running out of stock and emergency departments being clogged up thanks to people completely and utterly losing the run of themselves.

    I suspect it's because we don't have regular extreme weather events here like they do in lots of other parts of the world where people have to stock up and stay indoors for a few days so were just not used to dealing with this sort of thing. It's an interesting social experiment though. I think I've learned that dumb people are more prone to panicking and social media is a disaster for the human race.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 888 ✭✭✭bb12


    NIMAN wrote: »
    Well to be fair, I heard a report couple of weeks back that the seasonal flu bug has killed 84 people in Ireland this winter alone.

    So the question is, why aren't we in a state of panic over the ordinary flu? It kills plenty of people every year, but its not as sexy or news worthy as some mad virus from China, is it?

    well the accepted flu death rate is 0.01%. The current accepted death rate of the coronavirus is 2%.

    If this 84 people have died of the flu @ 0.01% then the associated death rate of people dying from coronavirus @ 2% would be 16,800 deaths.

    Some people say the flu death rate is only 0.1%. So if you go on this figure instead that would mean that 84 people dying @ 0.1% equates to 1680 deaths of the coronvirus at @ 2%.

    Whichever flu death percentage you wish to take, it's a lot of potential deaths for ireland if the infection rates of coronavirus end up the same as flu infection rates.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


    MadYaker wrote: »
    It's only more infectious because nobody is vaccinated. We have no idea what the actual death rate is at this point so you can't say that its higher than regular flu. People will post numbers on twitter but there's a method that is used to determine the mortality rate and it's too early in this outbreak to do that yet. People don't necesarily require hospitalistion as most who get this won't be very ill but they do need to be quarantined to stop them infecting others and that generally happens in a hospital.

    It's only more infectious because people aren't vaccinated?
    Well that doesn't really change anything, does it? Still highly infectious.

    It is too early to give an exact death rate, but the experts are estimating it at 1-2%.
    The hospitalisation rate is about 18%. They generally require help breathing.

    People keep talking about 100 flu deaths a year as if there's no chance we'll hit that number.
    If this becomes an out of control pandemic then 50% of the Irish population could get the virus. That's 2.4 million people.
    If we take the low end of the death rate 1%, then that would equate to 24,000 deaths and absolute havoc in our hospitals.

    This is a much bigger deal than the typical flu. Read some articles from relaible sources and come back to me.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 567 ✭✭✭tillyfilly


    Hoboo wrote: »
    Yeah drink that, you'll have zero chance of catching Corona.

    I'm going to ration it into smaller diluted bottles to last


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,661 ✭✭✭Hoboo


    It's the clamour for bread I don't understand. I might have bread once a week? Maybe less even...

    Is it really that big a staple in our diets that it's the first thing that sells out? Not like it has a long shelf life...

    It's the choice of idiots who live on "chipper". They'll be the first to starve, no harm.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,809 ✭✭✭Hector Savage


    Question about Italy, these explosions of cases, is this because they are testing everyone - even those without symptoms in the quarantined areas ? (~100K people)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,003 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    tillyfilly wrote: »
    I've noticed the birds are getting very antsy around my place , do they know something we don't?

    Yeah, they have worked out it's Spring in bird time.


This discussion has been closed.
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