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GE Exit Poll 10 pm

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,261 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    Yurt! wrote: »
    This FG denialism about their poor performance in government on key issues and issuing dire warnings about a party that isn't even government yet is quite something.

    It's like someone getting fired from an office for a litany of screwups, and they're shouting at the new-hire accusing them of being a sex offender as they're being escorted out the door.

    Are FG in denial ? I've seen several FG TDs acknowledge that the campaign didn't go at all well. Denial would be pretending it all went well which I've not seen on TV or radio from FG. They've said they won't go into coalition with SF which leaves FF having to square a circle about SF and coalition. I think we need to see 160/160 on the RTE election results page and then we will see the lay of the land. I think for anyone to assume or presume how this will play out is very premature.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 16,012 ✭✭✭✭James Brown


    Feisar wrote: »
    No brain spasms however the forever home brigade are frustrating.

    Rent arrears are easily solved. Take it from source, be it salary or welfare.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 16,012 ✭✭✭✭James Brown


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    Are FG in denial ? I've seen several FG TDs acknowledge that the campaign didn't go at all well. Denial would be pretending it all went well which I've not seen on TV or radio from FG. They've said they won't go into coalition with SF which leaves FF having to square a circle about SF and coalition. I think we need to see 160/160 on the RTE election results page and then we will see the lay of the land. I think for anyone to assume or presume how this will play out is very premature.

    The denial is in thinking their record in office was no reason for the outcome.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,040 ✭✭✭threeball


    I thought the left pandering to unions and the civil service was the problem. Now you're hoping things like the civil service are untouched? More printers is it?

    If you think SF are going to tackle the unions you're going to be disappointed. Its why nothing will happen in health bar pi$$ing money away and why they'll get no further down the road than what went before. I've dealt with senior civil servants, they won't take a dump unless they can get someone else to sign off on it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Injuryprone


    If Sinn Fein were to say to PBP/SOL, I4C and other like minded TDs that benefitted hugely from the Sinn Fein surpluses, "we won't run a second candidate against ye in the next election if ye row in behind us now", then effectively Sinn Fein have mid 40s or more TDs now. I can't see how those other TDs could go against them now given the results of this election.

    In such a situation, they could then set the agenda for a coalition with say FF as the junior partner. Then if such negotiations didn't work out, FF would probably get the blame for causing another election.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,229 ✭✭✭LeinsterDub


    Rent arrears are easily solved. Take it from source, be it salary or welfare.

    Could something similar work for businesses?

    www.independent.ie/irish-news/councils-owed-over-400m-in-unpaid-rents-loans-and-rates-36765225.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 882 ✭✭✭ygolometsipe


    Yurt! wrote: »
    This FG denialism about their poor performance in government on key issues and issuing dire warnings about a party that isn't even government yet is quite something.

    It's like someone getting fired from an office for a litany of screwups, and they're shouting at the new-hire accusing them of being a sex offender as they're being escorted out the door.


    FG and FF are completely blind to reality. I think FG has some kind of echo chamber with the 65+ generation. In their mind FG are heavenly saints that can do no wrong. Its just a pity the ignored the rest of the population.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,972 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    namloc1980 wrote: »
    FF and FG don't have the numbers on their own to form a majority. They'll need coalition or cooperation from another party or a cabal of independents to make up the numbers.

    SAme applies to FF+SF. Core decision remains the same


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,455 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    threeball wrote: »
    If you think SF are going to tackle the unions you're going to be disappointed. Its why nothing will happen in health bar pi$$ing money away and why they'll get no further down the road than what went before. I've dealt with senior civil servants, they won't take a dump unless they can get someone else to sign off on it.

    Correct, do you expect Louise O Reilly to sort out health?

    Not unless she has billions to pump in to it.

    And who do you think will have to pay.........:D


    You and me..........


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 325 ✭✭thequarefellow


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    Are FG in denial ? I've seen several FG TDs acknowledge that the campaign didn't go at all well. Denial would be pretending it all went well which I've not seen on TV or radio from FG. They've said they won't go into coalition with SF which leaves FF having to square a circle about SF and coalition. I think we need to see 160/160 on the RTE election results page and then we will see the lay of the land. I think for anyone to assume or presume how this will play out is very premature.

    Yes.
    I haven't heard any of them yet refer to the mistakes they made that sees people withdraw their support from them.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,770 ✭✭✭✭Muahahaha


    Please stop. You are just proving that you don't understand tax law. The amounts reckonable for each E.U. Country where tax should have rightly been paid are not assessible at this stage.

    I understand how the courts work and there has been no final decision. Just because the Fine Gael spin unit put fake news out there that Ireland will share the kitty does not make it true until such time as the European Court of Justice rules it that way. Yet we are told this ad nauseum. Some posters on here have swallowed the spin hook,line and sinker and repeat it verbatim without engaging their critical faculties. Until the ECJ rule on whether or not ASI is an Irish company nobody knows that with any certainty. Verstager said other countries "could" put a claim in, she never said they would win it. These are the undisputed facts separated from the FG spin.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,261 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    The denial is in thinking their record in office was no reason for the outcome.

    But isn't that how every outgoing government is judged on ? I mean that's what they run on. And in five years time(or earlier) however is in government of the 33rd dail hopefully will be judged on their record in government good or bad.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,196 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Correct, do you expect Louise O Reilly to sort out health?

    Not unless she has billions to pump in to it.

    And who do you think will have to pay.........:D


    You and me..........

    Who is paying for it now Brendan?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    Correct, do you expect Louise O Reilly to sort out health?

    Not unless she has billions to pump in to it.

    And who do you think will have to pay.........:D


    John Q. Taxpayer.........

    FYP 😉


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,040 ✭✭✭threeball


    Who is paying for it now Brendan?

    You'll soon be paying a lot more to still sit in the waiting room at A&E


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,345 ✭✭✭limnam


    Correct, do you expect Louise O Reilly to sort out health?

    Not unless she has billions to pump in to it.

    And who do you think will have to pay.........:D


    You and me..........


    I guess culling part/some of the waste is out of the question.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Muahahaha wrote: »
    I understand how the courts work and there has been no final decision. Just because the Fine Gael spin unit put fake news out there that Ireland will share the kitty does not make it true until such time as the European Court of Justice rules it that way. Yet we are told this ad nauseum. Some posters on here have swallowed the spin hook,line and sinker and repeat it verbatim without engaging their critical faculties. Until the ECJ rule on whether or not ASI is an Irish company nobody knows that with any certainty. Verstager said other countries "could" put a claim in, she never said they would win it. These are the undisputed facts separated from the FG spin.
    Pretty sure the FG, FF and Revenue position is they want to give it all back to Apple. Do you have a link for this sharing the kitty claim? It's going to take years before it's resolved and my bet is still firmly on the IRS taking it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    limnam wrote: »
    I guess culling part/some of the waste is out of the question.
    Not unless you want widespread strikes.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,196 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    threeball wrote: »
    You'll soon be paying a lot more to still sit in the waiting room at A&E

    If that's the case, then we vote out those who have failed.
    If SF get into government, it doesn't stay that way for all time...you do realise this?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,229 ✭✭✭LeinsterDub


    Correct, do you expect Louise O Reilly to sort out health?

    Not unless she has billions to pump in to it.

    And who do you think will have to pay.........:D


    You and me..........

    I guess we should just give FF and FG an other century to try so? Health doesn't need billions it needs reform. It needs to stop riding two horses. It needs to stop having private consultants taking advantage of it.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,345 ✭✭✭limnam


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Not unless you want widespread strikes.


    Don't see why cutting down waste would lead to strikes.


    I'm not necessarily discussing losing jobs.


  • Posts: 2,892 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Muahahaha wrote: »
    Just because the Fine Gael spin unit...
    Thank you for allowing me to segway to this point: No previous Irish election has ever been the subject of so much social media campaigning as this one especially since the last main old media influencer has been directionless of late and is now owned by a company who couldn't care less about domestic politics.

    It is also obvious that Irish mainstream politicians have no talent for social media which explains their unsuccessful rearguard actions in social media.
    We now have a party of questionable integrity influencing power where most of their elected representatives are unknown quantities with respect to character or calibre.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,770 ✭✭✭✭Muahahaha


    Fr_Dougal wrote: »
    Ha! Didn’t think so!

    :D Forgive me Father for I have sinned
    Yurt! wrote: »
    This FG denialism about their poor performance in government on key issues and issuing dire warnings about a party that isn't even government yet is quite something.

    It's like someone getting fired from an office for a litany of screwups, and they're shouting at the new-hire accusing them of being a sex offender as they're being escorted out the door.

    Always love your metaphors Yurt! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    limnam wrote: »
    Don't see why cutting down waste would lead to strikes.


    I'm not necessarily discussing losing jobs.
    It all sounds very unilateral. OK then, list some examples of waste that can be cut down.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,770 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    Suckit wrote: »
    I don't get why FFFG woudn't form a coalition if they are so against SF getting into power.
    The two of them, Greens and Labour would surely be enough.
    See how long that lasts. Out of all the immediate options, it's likely to be last the longest.

    80% of the electorate said no to FG, what is hard to understand about that? They have absolutely no mandate for government. They need to go to the opposition benches and recover under Coveney.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,801 ✭✭✭✭suicide_circus


    how are the women doing in this election?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,164 ✭✭✭efanton


    You do realise that FG were in a confidence and supply deal with FF and FF only wanted social welfare sweeties for the public. FF didn't want to have to deal with the negative reports from the harder left parties on this topic. increasing thresholds would have been good but FG have had their hands tied for the duration of their last term. FF deserve more abuse that they have got.
    It was never in FGs DNA to give €5 increases in social welfare year after year while giving the working poor maybe 50 cent or 1 euro in tax reductions in the same budgets.
    Those FG budgets were uncharacteristically un-FG type budgets.

    Try reading my post again. Actually it would be to your beneficent to actually consider what other people say, and try to understand their point, before going on the attack with pure waffle and hyperbole

    It wasn't the case that they would be giving something away, and certainly not giving away to those on social welfare that you seem to want to blame for everything. Those individuals are according to you are living in free housing provided by the state and so would never inherit property.

    The point I was making is that FF and FG dramatically slashed the thresholds for inheritance, significantly below the typical cost of a home in the Dublin area. They hit hard the very people they claim to represent.

    They could have raised the threshold but to balance that remove that threshold from subsequent properties when more than one property was bequeathed. The result would be the very people FG claim to represent would have significantly benefited without the government spending a single cent.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 578 ✭✭✭R.F.


    FG on 28 now and FF 27

    What is the predicted outlook for the remaining seats?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,527 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    FF missed out on the last seat in Louth. They got no seat in a 5 seater after getting 14% of the vote, the quota was 16.7%! They are transfer toxic in this election. That means they are heading for 38 seats, SF have 37.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭easypazz


    rob316 wrote: »
    80% of the electorate said no to FG, what is hard to understand about that? They have absolutely no mandate for government. They need to go to the opposition benches and recover under Coveney.

    76% said no to SF, 78% said no to FF.


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