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CC3 -- Why I believe that a third option is needed for climate change

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  • Registered Users Posts: 462 ✭✭oriel36


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Which or whatever, unlike medical science and engineering etc, 'climate science' as a science holds no intrinsic value for the good or functioning of society.

    There is a subtle distinction here that the experimental theorists can't discern. Competence in all professions where a danger to life is present require a statutory body to oversee the practitioners and that they have enacted actions based on regular and accepted practices. It happens for astronauts as well as surgeons, bus drivers or the lollipop man guiding children across the road.

    In astronomy and Earth sciences it is a free-for-all among experimental theorists but there are areas where people do productive work on a different road which shows up in nature documentaries to marvel at. What went wrong with climate research is the same as what happened to biological evolution in the mid 19th century as experimental theorists tried to justify empire building using analogies of civilised and savage races and then scaling it up to all biology as 'survival of the fittest' which in turn led to Auschwitz .


    It is the inability to discuss the foundations for conclusions that hovers over this thread as the academics have conveniently set up a self-promoting and self-protecting system which does not belong in astronomy and Earth sciences even when statutory bodies are required for so many professions where accountability and responsibility for life are present. A balanced approach is needed .


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,316 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Who is rejecting what? I asked you recently about climate scientists 'warnings' given out over the last 50 years or so, in how many have come to fruition vs the number that may not have. You follow 'climate science' very closely it seems, so I naturally expected you to have the answer, or an idea at least. Yet, you did not provide either.

    Why?
    I’m pretty sure I replied to this with attribution studies already but you don’t even need to read them. Australia is right now, on fire with an wildfire season that Is unprecedented with 24 million acres already burnt


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    It's great to wake up every morning to a machine-gun ra-ta-ra-ta of posidonia's personal insults.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Akrasia wrote: »
    I’m pretty sure I replied to this with attribution studies already but you don’t even need to read them. Australia is right now, on fire with an wildfire season that Is unprecedented with 24 million acres already burnt

    Which "entire nations have been wiped out by hurricanes"? Your words.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    Akrasia wrote: »
    Really?
    I suppose this will be on par with the other skeptics predictions like global cooling and global warming having stopped in 1998 and the ‘nothing to see here’ attitudes while entire nations are getting wiped out by hurricanes and species driven to extinction by warming oceans, warming forests, and droughts and heatwave fueled wildfires

    Nonsense of the highest order.

    This is pure tabloid alarmist rhetoric.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    I’m pretty sure I replied to this with attribution studies already but you don’t even need to read them. Australia is right now, on fire with an wildfire season that Is unprecedented with 24 million acres already burnt

    But it’s not unprecedented in Australia.
    It’s not the largest and we are already seeing the plant and fauna boom in the wake of the fire.

    It’s almost like these animals adapted to fire, like over the course of 1000s and millions of years their gene pool naturally selected those best suited to survival. Hold onto your seat, this is going to knock you back, but I reckon fires in Australia are natural and that the current fires are also natural.

    Plus the people who ignited the fires are somehow more accountable than my family car sitting in my driveway.

    Just my non expert opinion!!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    posidonia wrote: »
    You're saying you were born with more knowledge of the atmosphere than a climate scientist - how arrogant of you.

    Dunning Kruger was right.

    tenor.gif?itemid=14328548

    New Moon



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 50,979 CMod ✭✭✭✭Retr0gamer


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Who is rejecting what? I asked you recently about climate scientists 'warnings' given out over the last 50 years or so, in how many have come to fruition vs the number that may not have. You follow 'climate science' very closely it seems, so I naturally expected you to have the answer, or an idea at least. Yet, you did not provide either.

    Why?

    Well there's a few:

    The increase in extreme weather conditions over the past 20 years. (irrefutable fact. Also extreme weather includes hot and cold weather)
    The fact that the last 5 years have been the hottest on record. The odds of all five being together is akin to winning on the lottery.
    Also Nasa basically predicting the huge environmental impact CFC's would have on the environment. In that case action was taken in time and you are currently not being bombarded with radiation when you step outside your door.

    So there's plenty environmental science has predicted and gotten right.
    oriel36 wrote: »
    There is a subtle distinction here that the experimental theorists can't discern. Competence in all professions where a danger to life is present require a statutory body to oversee the practitioners and that they have enacted actions based on regular and accepted practices. It happens for astronauts as well as surgeons, bus drivers or the lollipop man guiding children across the road.

    In astronomy and Earth sciences it is a free-for-all among experimental theorists but there are areas where people do productive work on a different road which shows up in nature documentaries to marvel at. What went wrong with climate research is the same as what happened to biological evolution in the mid 19th century as experimental theorists tried to justify empire building using analogies of civilised and savage races and then scaling it up to all biology as 'survival of the fittest' which in turn led to Auschwitz .


    It is the inability to discuss the foundations for conclusions that hovers over this thread as the academics have conveniently set up a self-promoting and self-protecting system which does not belong in astronomy and Earth sciences even when statutory bodies are required for so many professions where accountability and responsibility for life are present. A balanced approach is needed .

    Are you trying to equate astrology and environmental science to a more sociological science? Because if you are you are wrong. Environmental science is a measurable science and there's no ambiguity to results, especially with such massive data sets as historical worldwide temperatures.

    Also why bring the Nazi's up? Evolution by survival of the fittest is a true and verified theory. What happened with the final solution was the self-promoting and self-protecting system failed, in this case the government. In the case of climate change it's the same thing. The so called self-promoting and self-protecting group, again the government, has failed. All the information and proof for climate change is set out in front of them and yet they choose to ignore and not act on it out of self interest.
    Nabber wrote: »
    But it’s not unprecedented in Australia.
    It’s not the largest and we are already seeing the plant and fauna boom in the wake of the fire.

    It’s almost like these animals adapted to fire, like over the course of 1000s and millions of years their gene pool naturally selected those best suited to survival. Hold onto your seat, this is going to knock you back, but I reckon fires in Australia are natural and that the current fires are also natural.

    Plus the people who ignited the fires are somehow more accountable than my family car sitting in my driveway.

    Just my non expert opinion!!!

    Well it's pretty obviously not an expert opinion. It's true some of australias flora and fauna has evolved around intermittent bush fires. However the extent of the fires is unprecedented in recorded history and exponentially exceeds the expected levels of fire.

    As for people starting fires, there are a handful of incidents, just like there always are at this time of year but their contribution is minimal to the overall levels of fire that occurred without human intervention. However the right wing climate change denying government is pushing this story to deflect away from the obvious cause of climate change so as to protect their vested interests. Australia is one of the biggest carbon emitting polluters, second only to the US and it's economy is built of coal extraction and mining which would be heavily impacted if the government actually acted to combat it's carbon emissions.

    People are dying from climate change, 3 firefighters in a plane today yet people are still burying their head in the sand for economic purposes.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Retr0gamer wrote: »
    People are dying from climate change, 3 firefighters in a plane today yet people are still burying their head in the sand for economic purposes.

    Absolute lies.

    https://ourworldindata.org/natural-disasters


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Interesting doco:



    Talk of 'climate catastrophe', mass hunger, desertification. death.

    New Moon



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 50,979 CMod ✭✭✭✭Retr0gamer


    Danno wrote: »

    That's just false causality and confirmation bias.

    Deaths due to natural disasters are down. This is due to better technology and safety procedures.

    There is nothing on that page to say if the number of natural disasters is increasing. Also many natural disasters are not climate related.

    What is true is that three fire fighters have died in the last few hours due to fires on an unprecedented scale that were caused by man made climate change.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Retr0gamer wrote: »
    What is true is that three fire fighters have died in the last few hours due to fires on an unprecedented scale that were caused by man made climate change.

    You are only half-right. Much of the fires are man made.

    bushfire-ignition-source-ratio-data.jpg
    Image: Australian Institute of Criminology


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Retr0gamer wrote: »
    As for people starting fires, there are a handful of incidents, just like there always are at this time of year but their contribution is minimal to the overall levels of fire that occurred without human intervention.

    However the right wing climate change denying government is pushing this story to deflect away from the obvious cause of climate change so as to protect their vested interests.

    Australia is one of the biggest carbon emitting polluters, second only to the US and it's economy is built of coal extraction and mining which would be heavily impacted if the government actually acted to combat it's carbon emissions.

    People are dying from climate change, 3 firefighters in a plane today yet people are still burying their head in the sand for economic purposes.

    More horse manure. Australia is nowhere near the USA:

    union-concerned-scientists-emissions-pie-chart_0.png?itok=91NOTos9

    With your reference about "economic purposes" it's quite clear that you are using your climate change false alarms to usher in a communist/socialist system.

    It's important for people to use their vote on February 8th wisely to keep candidates with closely aligned views to "Retr0gamer" well away from the levers of power in this country. ;)


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 50,979 CMod ✭✭✭✭Retr0gamer


    There's conflicting reports, most reputable sources claim about half have a verifiable natural cause, with many of the rest being 'suspicious'.

    The government has also fudged the stats on how many arsonists have been arrested.

    https://www.factcheck.org/2020/01/setting-the-record-straight-on-climate-change-and-arson-in-australias-bushfires/

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jan/13/explainer-what-are-the-underlying-causes-of-australias-shocking-bushfire-season

    However what isn't irrefutable is that climate change has created conditions to allow these fires to start and spread to far more devastating effect than naturally occurs.


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 50,979 CMod ✭✭✭✭Retr0gamer


    Danno wrote: »
    More horse manure. Australia is nowhere near the USA:

    Correction: per capita.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    That is a very interesting chart you posted there Danno.

    I see China is one of the largest 'emitters', but that being said, every cloud has a sliver lining:

    https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/CHN/china/poverty-rate

    New Moon



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 50,979 CMod ✭✭✭✭Retr0gamer


    https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jan/22/uk-climate-scientist-corrects-australian-mp-craig-kellys-blatant-misrepresentation

    Who to trust? The politician looking after his own bottom end or the expert in the field?


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,204 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    If the climate science predicting further heating was false or from falsified data, the fossil fuel industry would be onto it like a ton of bricks. They already use some of the same antagonists who argued for the tobacco industry that smoking could not be irrefutably linked to lung cancer. If any climate scientist wanted to sell out for money, he would be handsomely rewarded.
    Here is what they have effectively lobbied with Trump;

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/jan/23/trump-weakened-environmental-laws-after-bp-lobbying


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 50,979 CMod ✭✭✭✭Retr0gamer


    Water John wrote: »
    If the climate science predicting further heating was false or from falsified data, the fossil fuel industry would be onto it like a ton of bricks. They already use some of the same antagonists who argued for the tobacco industry that smoking could not be irrefutably linked to lung cancer. If any climate scientist wanted to sell out for money, he would be handsomely rewarded.
    Here is what they have effectively lobbied with Trump;

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/jan/23/trump-weakened-environmental-laws-after-bp-lobbying

    It's very obvious why the fossil fuel industry would want to bury the results of the research and muddy the waters with their own propaganda but it amazes me that there's normal joe soaps that falling for it and don't recognize climate change denial for what it is, propaganda from large corporations.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Retro, your attribution to the deaths of fire crew to climate change is pretty shaky. Firefighting is an annual fact of life there. Regardless of whether this year was drier or not, there would still have been fires in the country. This year they were worse, but was that fire due to climate change or one of the many that occur anyway?

    Also, Akrasia has not bothered to clarify which entire nations have been wiped out by hurricanes. Do you know which ones he was talking about?


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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 50,979 CMod ✭✭✭✭Retr0gamer


    I just linked articles from experts attributing the severity of the current fires to climate change.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Retr0gamer wrote: »
    I just linked articles from experts attributing the severity of the current fires to climate change.

    Crews have always died from fighting fires down through the years. This year is no different. Unfortunately it's an occupational hazard, so RIP to those involved.

    Now, on a similarly sombre note, any news on who these wiped out nations are? I didn't see that in The Guardian so it must be true.


  • Registered Users Posts: 462 ✭✭oriel36


    The notion of 'climate change' comes from a subculture which attached itself to astronomy and Earth sciences in late 17th century England where Newton attempted to make astronomical predictions look like experimental predictions. hence experimental analogies could be swapped with planetary orbital dynamics in a parasitic relationship.

    Given the day that it is in it with the commemoration of Auschwitz and the attempted extermination of an entire European culture, how a nation convinced itself of the need for extermination owed itself to an empirical doctrine based on the same notion that some humans were closer to gorillas therefore could be considered subhuman -

    "At some future period, not very distant as measured by centuries, the civilised races of man will almost certainly exterminate
    and replace throughout the world the savage races. The break will then be rendered wider, for it will intervene between man in
    a more civilised state, as we may hope, than the Caucasian, and some ape as low as a baboon, instead of as at present between
    the negro or Australian and the gorilla."
    Darwin

    Six million people, yes, six million people walked into the crematoria because the people who built those death factories had convinced themselves that their empire building justifications had a formal academic stamp of approval and that aggression and exploitation is at the centre of biology along with a human/subhuman element -

    ” A lopsided education has helped to encourage that illusion. Man must realize that a fundamental law of necessity reigns throughout the whole realm of Nature and that his existence is subject to the law of eternal struggle and strife. He will then feel that there cannot be a separate law for mankind in a world in which planets and suns follow their orbits, where moons and planets trace their destined paths, where the strong are always the masters of the weak and where those subject to such laws must obey them or be destroyed.” Hitler

    For those who still manage to demand that the Darwin/Wallace notion remains the pinnacle of human reasoning never have taken the other road of biological and geological evolution where Steno's superposition was passed on to William Smith with faunal succession and from there into plate tectonics of Wegener of the early 20th century -

    https://www.geolsoc.org.uk/~/media/shared/images/education%20careers/KS4/Chapter%201/chapter%201%20slide%2018.jpg?la=en


    The theorists who used an empire building analogy based on superficial notions of civilised/savage by using native Australians and negroes as evolutionary props back to gorillas simply whitewashed the subhuman ideology out and replaced them with neanderthals while retaining the aggressive instincts of population control as a 'law of nature'. Unlike biological and evolutionary geology which led to plate tectonics, there is an open road for further advancement but the Darwin/Wallace notion ended with white tone skin people with nowhere left to go.

    This is our turn, 'climate change' is our era's national socialist doctrine based on an academic-political alliance where a large scale Earth science turns from a fountain of exploration into a cistern of human behaviour based on a nuisance belief of human control over planetary temperatures. Nobody can bring those people back who died in the Irish famine or the holocaust based on Malthus via Darwin/Wallace, however, their deaths have an insidious academic component attached with the coldness and detachment of the same academics today who would suck the people of the planet into their dire and dull cistern. After WWII, what existed as a social and political phenomena shrunk back into the academic world where it re-invented itself for the same self-promoting and self-protecting agendas of peer review science that now have hijacked climate research.

    There is another road to climate research where it joins other large scale sciences with the same freedom of consideration they have. Time to snap out of the subculture.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    ^^^^^^

    Mein Gott!


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,204 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    It's interesting that the thinking on farm animal GHG emissions is evolving. The methane has a relatively short life cycle. As some one said the other day, yes, it does change to CO2, but then the plants the animals eat, reabsorb that and thus you have a largely contained cycle, esp if you keep herd numbers static.
    Now if you feed in fossil fuel in the shape of artificial nitrogen or increase animal numbers you do alter that.
    A journalist on BBC the other day was looking at her carbon footprint and what she might do to reduce it. Travel was the biggest contributor with food coming 4th out of five. Yet her first approach to lowering her print was firstly to eliminate meat and dairy from her diet. That is how an agenda gets skewed by a vested interest.


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 50,979 CMod ✭✭✭✭Retr0gamer


    oriel36 wrote: »
    The notion of 'climate change' comes from a subculture which attached itself to astronomy and Earth sciences in late 17th century England where Newton attempted to make astronomical predictions look like experimental predictions. hence experimental analogies could be swapped with planetary orbital dynamics in a parasitic relationship.

    Given the day that it is in it with the commemoration of Auschwitz and the attempted extermination of an entire European culture, how a nation convinced itself of the need for extermination owed itself to an empirical doctrine based on the same notion that some humans were closer to gorillas therefore could be considered subhuman -

    "At some future period, not very distant as measured by centuries, the civilised races of man will almost certainly exterminate
    and replace throughout the world the savage races. The break will then be rendered wider, for it will intervene between man in
    a more civilised state, as we may hope, than the Caucasian, and some ape as low as a baboon, instead of as at present between
    the negro or Australian and the gorilla."
    Darwin

    Six million people, yes, six million people walked into the crematoria because the people who built those death factories had convinced themselves that their empire building justifications had a formal academic stamp of approval and that aggression and exploitation is at the centre of biology along with a human/subhuman element -

    ” A lopsided education has helped to encourage that illusion. Man must realize that a fundamental law of necessity reigns throughout the whole realm of Nature and that his existence is subject to the law of eternal struggle and strife. He will then feel that there cannot be a separate law for mankind in a world in which planets and suns follow their orbits, where moons and planets trace their destined paths, where the strong are always the masters of the weak and where those subject to such laws must obey them or be destroyed.” Hitler

    For those who still manage to demand that the Darwin/Wallace notion remains the pinnacle of human reasoning never have taken the other road of biological and geological evolution where Steno's superposition was passed on to William Smith and from there into plate tectonics of Wegener of the early 20th century -

    https://www.geolsoc.org.uk/~/media/shared/images/education%20careers/KS4/Chapter%201/chapter%201%20slide%2018.jpg?la=en


    The theorists who used an empire building analogy based on superficial notions of civilised/savage by using native Australians and negroes as evolutionary props back to gorillas simply whitewashed the subhuman ideology out and replaced them with neanderthals while retaining the aggressive instincts of population control as a 'law of nature'.

    This is our turn, 'climate change' is our era's national socialist doctrine based on an academic-political alliance where a large scale Earth science turns from a fountain of exploration into a cistern of human behaviour based on a nuisance belief of human control over planetary temperatures. Nobody can bring those people back who died in the Irish famine or the holocaust based on Malthus via Darwin/Wallace, however, their deaths have an insidious academic component attached with the coldness and detachment of the same academics today who would suck the people of the planet into their dire and dull cistern. After WWII, what existed as a social and political phenomena shrunk back into the academic world where it re-invented itself for the same self-promoting and self-protecting agendas of peer review science that now have hijacked climate research.

    There is another road to climate research where it joins other large scale sciences with the same freedom of consideration they have. Time to snap out of the subculture.

    What the actual ****? Nonsense.

    Also saying the final solution has anything to do with science is nonsense. It has nothing to do with Darwinism or evolution. It is pure and simple the product of ignorant people using confirmation bias to support their own sick and corrupt agenda and beliefs. There is no scientific rational behind it. Same with racists trying to argue that evolution supports their sick views. It's doesn't bit they'll make it fit anyway. Both are extreme examples of the very non scientific method of coming up with a theory and fitting evidence around it. In fact it's closer to climate change denial were confirmation bias is used to support an agenda with no scientific support or justification.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Retr0gamer wrote: »
    https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jan/22/uk-climate-scientist-corrects-australian-mp-craig-kellys-blatant-misrepresentation

    Who to trust? The politician looking after his own bottom end or the expert in the field?

    Very brave and very noble of that 'working scientist' to take on that 'serial climate denier' (what does that even mean?)

    Did this same 'working scientist' generously spare some of her precious time in calling out AOC, who has continual spread false and misleading prophecies (because apparently, scientists say so) regarding the ending of the world within the next decade, thus leading, understandably, to utterly deranged reactions such as this?




    No? thought not.

    'Even if we bomb Russia, we still have too many people'.

    New Moon



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 50,979 CMod ✭✭✭✭Retr0gamer


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Very brave and very noble of that 'working scientist' to take on that 'serial climate denier' (what does that even mean?)

    Did this same 'working scientist' generously spare some of her precious time in calling out AOC, who has continual spread false and misleading prophecies (because apparently, scientists say so) regarding the ending of the world within the next decade, thus leading, understandably, to utterly deranged reactions such as this?



    No? thought not.

    Why would they? AOC is doing what a politician should do, acting on the information provided to her by sciensts and experts in those areas and not her corporate masters who dictate actions and decisions with bags of money.

    Anyway we are talking about science not politics. Science deals with observations and truth while politics is not concerned about the truth at all as ably demonstrated by right wingers like Trump, Boris and all the climate deniers in office.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,383 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    ^^^^^^

    Mein Gott!

    At least they didn't fall for that sidereal day hoax.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Retr0gamer wrote: »
    Why would they? AOC is doing what a politician should do, acting on the information provided to her by sciensts and experts in those areas and not her corporate masters who dictate actions and decisions with bags of money.

    What scientists are saying that the world is to end in 10 years? Regardless, it is a politician's job to be an advocate for the people, not for scientists and experts. They tried that over in the UK just recently, but my God, how that backfired.

    Do you think would we start eating the dead and babies Retrogamer? Would you if 'working scientists' said it was okay?

    New Moon



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