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Werewolf - Winter Is Here - Game of Thrones II Game Thread

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    #2432
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    And nobody is even discussing which is the most likely liar among the 7!


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    #2433
    Choc Chip
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,442 ✭✭✭Choc Chip


    Necro wrote: »
    Can people just read the thread before commenting please...

    I have sped-read and cant see where guffy or mick claimed. I


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    #2434
    Guffy
    Registered Users Posts: 8,038 ✭✭✭Guffy


    Choc Chip wrote: »
    Why are guffy and mick not on that list.

    Ecto, I want to avoid crossing you. Will we say that you take the top half and I'll take the bottom of the list. I'll put my order in before 9pm to try and avoid crossing with you.

    Cause i haven't ****ing claimed a role, christ on a bike.


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    #2435
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    I mean, based on time of reveal, some are more likely than others, right?


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    #2436
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    Choc Chip wrote: »
    I have sped-read and cant see where guffy or mick claimed. I

    They haven't.


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    #2437
    tritium
    Registered Users Posts: 7,428 ✭✭✭tritium


    quickbeam wrote: »
    Am home. I think this is now updated. Need a think.

    Beakerjoe hard claimed Gendry
    Bounty Hunter hard claimed Greyworm
    Choc Chip
    Clarabel Thoros of Myr
    Dublinandy2 / Eva WW (Ted_YNWA) Varys, won prize Day 1
    Drumpot
    Ectoplasm hard claimed Daenerys Targaryan, won prize Day 1 & Day 3
    Fixxxer Arya Stark
    Green&Red
    Guffy possible claimed no house alliegence
    Hello 2D Person Below Soft claimed Caitlyn, won prize Day 3
    LadySkunk Hard claimed Beric Dondarrion
    Lord TSC Soft claimed Jorah
    Micksjaguar
    Necro hard claimed Bronn, won prize Day 2
    quickbeam Brienne of Tarth, won prize Day 2 (linked to Caitlyn)
    sKeith hard claimed Qyburn (linked to Cersei)
    Stu Redman
    Ted_YNWA Tyrion Lannister
    Tritium
    Tusk hard claimed Sansa Stark

    QB, this is where I had pegged Lord as Jorah - I copied your table that has an error. Who was the Jorah claimant


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    #2438
    Guffy
    Registered Users Posts: 8,038 ✭✭✭Guffy


    Tusk, why do you keep coming back to me with your vote?


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    #2439
    Necro
    Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 51,119 Mod ✭✭✭✭Necro


    quickbeam wrote: »
    And nobody is even discussing which is the most likely liar among the 7!

    Are you the night King and you've converted a few off that list?


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    #2440
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    tritium wrote: »
    QB, this is where I had pegged Lord as Jorah - I copied your table that has an error. Who was the Jorah claimant

    Lord did claim Jorah. Jorah is in the OP.


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    #2441
    Lord TSC
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,426 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    tritium wrote: »
    QB, this is where I had pegged Lord as Jorah - I copied your table that has an error. Who was the Jorah claimant

    I am Jorah.


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    #2442
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    Necro wrote: »
    Are you the night King and you've converted a few off that list?

    No. But the lack of discussion is abysmal!


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    #2443
    Ectoplasm
    Registered Users Posts: 4,468 ✭✭✭Ectoplasm


    quickbeam wrote: »
    So as not to waste kills.

    You go for me, I end up lynched, you've wasted your shot. You can't change it after 9pm when I'm already dead.

    As an example.

    I am with you on the dividing plan. I think though that people should lynch from the people who have claimed an OPnamed role OR those that have not claimed yet.

    I think the 3 prize kills should be aimed at the 7 players who have claimed a role not in the OP as that is almost certainly where the NK & General are.


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    #2444
    tritium
    Registered Users Posts: 7,428 ✭✭✭tritium


    quickbeam wrote: »
    So as not to waste kills.

    You go for me, I end up lynched, you've wasted your shot. You can't change it after 9pm when I'm already dead.

    As an example.

    but we know theres an anomaly in the non op claims. its sensible to try to kill the wolf that the math says is in there


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    #2445
    Choc Chip
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,442 ✭✭✭Choc Chip


    Nothing since I left on the FFAs. Results as follows:

    GNR: 7
    Mick: 6
    Trit: 6
    Lord: 5
    Necro/Guffy/Drumpot/Beaker/BH: 3
    Tusk / Stu: 2
    Fixxxer/2D/QB/SK: 1


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    #2446
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    Ectoplasm wrote: »
    I am with you on the dividing plan. I think though that people should lynch from the people who have claimed an OPnamed role OR those that have not claimed yet.

    I think the 3 prize kills should be aimed at the 7 players who have claimed a role not in the OP as that is almost certainly where the NK & General are.

    Is that the consensus? That has not been at all clear (to me anyway)? I've voted for one of the 7. Are others aware that we should not be voting for one of the 7? Are the other two with kills aware that you go for one of the other 11?


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    #2447
    tritium
    Registered Users Posts: 7,428 ✭✭✭tritium


    tritium wrote: »
    QB, this is where I had pegged Lord as Jorah - I copied your table that has an error. Who was the Jorah claimant

    soz, im actually an idiot and should re-read the op as Lord suggested


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    #2448
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    tritium wrote: »
    but we know theres an anomaly in the non op claims. its sensible to try to kill the wolf that the math says is in there

    We know there's ONE liar in the 7. Do we actually have any reason to doubt the others?

    If we throw 4 kills in to the 7 then that's overkill (literally). And leaves the other 11 (of which you are one, handily enough!) to saunter in to the next day. There's probably 3 in the other 11.

    1/7 = 14%
    3/11 = 27%

    However, if we lynch in the 7, and leave the 11 to the three with kills (assuming none are bad, and will actually use them for the good of the village!!) then I am VERY good with that idea. I just don't know that that's what everybody understands.


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    #2449
    Lord TSC
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,426 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    tritium wrote: »
    soz, im actually an idiot and should re-read the op as Lord suggested

    Full disclosure, it doesn't thrill me that I questioned your engagement in my FFA, and then you spend the evening acting the way you have. :pac:


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    #2450
    Drumpot
    Registered Users Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    Ectoplasm wrote: »
    Yes I did say that. Based on my sums house claimants and non claimants are now accounted for the named in OP roles...ie those that haven't claimed must be members of houses named in OP. I think it is highly likely there are converts in there BUT I think the NK & General have to be in the not-named group. NK himself is a priority to prevent village loss so taking 3 shots into the group he is in is FAR better than taking 1 shot via lynch imo.

    12+ 7 + 2

    There is a chance that only one of Nk or his general are in our 7, we need 9 non affiliated reveals to be absolutely sure


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    #2451
    Ectoplasm
    Registered Users Posts: 4,468 ✭✭✭Ectoplasm


    Based on my maths, best bet is vote in unclaimed and shoot into claimed but unnamed in OP. As I have a prize, I'm aiming at the group of 7.


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    #2452
    sKeith
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,404 ✭✭✭✭sKeith


    #ffa2
    tusk guffy gnr trit lord
    sKeith trit lord micks drum
    beaker micks guffy gnr trit
    choc chip micks beaker necro drumpot
    gnr beaker bh lord
    necro mick tusk qb lord
    bh guffy gnr beaker 2d
    fixxxer micks stu bh skeith
    drumpot lord necro
    ecto gnr fixxxer stu trit
    lord gnr trit necro
    micks skeith necro guffy

    gnr 5
    lord 5
    mick 5
    trit 5
    guffy 4
    necro 4
    beaker 3
    bh 2
    skeith 2
    stu 2
    2d 1
    drum 1
    fixxxer 1
    qb 1
    tusk 1


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    #2453
    tusk
    Registered Users Posts: 5,882 ✭✭✭tusk


    Right. What's the plan.

    Ecto you seem to be making the most sense. What's your play?


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    #2454
    Guffy
    Registered Users Posts: 8,038 ✭✭✭Guffy


    If we hit 4 non rolled villagers what does that mean for the nk?


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    #2455
    sKeith
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,404 ✭✭✭✭sKeith


    Choc Chip wrote: »
    Nothing since I left on the FFAs. Results as follows:

    GNR: 7
    Mick: 6
    Trit: 6
    Lord: 5
    Necro/Guffy/Drumpot/Beaker/BH: 3
    Tusk / Stu: 2
    Fixxxer/2D/QB/SK: 1
    sKeith wrote: »
    #ffa2
    tusk guffy gnr trit lord
    sKeith trit lord micks drum
    beaker micks guffy gnr trit
    choc chip micks beaker necro drumpot
    gnr beaker bh lord
    necro mick tusk qb lord
    bh guffy gnr beaker 2d
    fixxxer micks stu bh skeith
    drumpot lord necro
    ecto gnr fixxxer stu trit
    lord gnr trit necro
    micks skeith necro guffy
    gnr 5
    lord 5
    mick 5
    trit 5
    guffy 4
    necro 4
    beaker 3
    bh 2
    skeith 2
    stu 2
    2d 1
    drum 1
    fixxxer 1
    qb 1
    tusk 1
    why does your differ from mine?


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    #2456
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    Ectoplasm wrote: »
    Based on my maths, best bet is vote in unclaimed and shoot into claimed but unnamed in OP. As I have a prize, I'm aiming at the group of 7.

    Can you show us the maths?

    Because my maths (above) says different.


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    #2457
    Guffy
    Registered Users Posts: 8,038 ✭✭✭Guffy


    #ffa2 revised

    Trit
    Gnr
    Choc


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    #2458
    quickbeam
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 16,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭quickbeam


    tusk wrote: »
    Ecto you seem to be making the most sense. What's your play?

    Can I have what you're having?


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    #2459
    Ectoplasm
    Registered Users Posts: 4,468 ✭✭✭Ectoplasm


    tusk wrote: »
    Right. What's the plan.

    Ecto you seem to be making the most sense. What's your play?

    As above. I'll be voting among those who haven't claimed a character at all and I'll be submitting one of the 7 who have claimed a nonOP named character for my prize.

    It makes the most sense to me. I think Choc is also going for one of those 7. No clue what 2D is doing.


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    #2460
    tritium
    Registered Users Posts: 7,428 ✭✭✭tritium


    ok, im going to add something to the mix - bear with me


    I'm aligned to a house -not saying which one right now for the following reasons

    I won a prize at the first joust. Its character specific but it may be of use to us. However its one of those things that are better if the NK and their team don't know too much about yet.

    i'll happily answer questions (but won't give the missing details)


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    #2461
    tusk
    Registered Users Posts: 5,882 ✭✭✭tusk


    tritium wrote: »
    ok, im going to add something to the mix - bear with me


    I'm aligned to a house -not saying which one right now for the following reasons

    I won a prize at the first joust. Its character specific but it may be of use to us. However its one of those things that are better if the NK and their team don't know too much about yet.

    i'll happily answer questions (but won't give the missing details)

    But bloody late and convenient to be bringing this up right now ffs

    Somebody shoot trit


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