Liverpool FC Team Talk/Gossip/Rumours 2019

yourdeadwright · 04-04-2019 12:30PM

gafferino wrote: »

Was thinking the same but the other side of the logic is that, given the other results, any sort of result for them puts more daylight between them and relegation. I expect them to go all out.

i feel if we get the first goal there players will think "oh well " plenty of winnable games to come ,
If they get the first goal the will think lets get this done and secure safety

First goal is HUGE or even how we start the game , Do not give them encouragement

04-04-2019 12:31PM

Charlie19 wrote: »

I've been taken to the cleaners on that sort of shyte a couple of times whilst playing roulette online:mad:

I now never touch online roulette because of that, It has to be fixed:p

It happens on a daily basis with real wheels too.

The odds of BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB coming up is exactly the same as BRBBBBRBBBBBBBBBRBBBBBBBBBRBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB coming up.

Thud · 04-04-2019 01:59PM

The pressure is getting to these guys..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1z6S1XPIX6w

MD1990 · 04-04-2019 02:09PM

yourdeadwright wrote: »

i feel if we get the first goal there players will think "oh well " plenty of winnable games to come ,
If they get the first goal the will think lets get this done and secure safety

First goal is HUGE or even how we start the game , Do not give them encouragement

I really don't think professional footballers will think in the middle of a game about the next matchno matter what the score is.

BorneTobyWilde · 04-04-2019 02:10PM

Should practice shooting, could do with more strikes on goal from outside the box.

yourdeadwright · 04-04-2019 02:18PM

MD1990 wrote: »

I really don't think professional footballers will think in the middle of a game about the next matchno matter what the score is.

There human it happens ,

Remember the West brom and Stoke games last year before each of the Roma semi final games ,we where awful total lack of effort

qm1bv4p8i92aoj · 04-04-2019 02:20PM

Lovren needs to teach Salah some shooting skills after watching that video!

robwen · 04-04-2019 10:15PM

TitianGerm · 04-04-2019 10:36PM

Statsbomb thread on VVD. Outer ring is the 95th percentile, inner is the 5th percentile.

https://twitter.com/StatsBomb/status/1113880286729777153?s=19

Charlie19 · 04-04-2019 11:15PM

Augeo wrote: »

It happens on a daily basis with real wheels too.

The odds of BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB coming up is exactly the same as BRBBBBRBBBBBBBBBRBBBBBBBBBRBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB coming up.

How could the odds be the exact same?

5starpool · 04-04-2019 11:18PM

Charlie19 wrote: »

How could the odds be the exact same?

The odds of any exact sequence of a particular length is the same as the odds of another different exact sequence of the sane length.

One might look more plausible than the other, but the odds are the same.

Charlie19 · 04-04-2019 11:20PM

Isaiah Slimy Canvas wrote: »

Lovren needs to teach Salah some shooting skills after watching that video!

Why?

You're not hitting the target when the ball strikes the bar:D

~Rebel~ · 04-04-2019 11:21PM

Charlie19 wrote: »

How could the odds be the exact same?

Because the odds on every single spin are exactly the same. So if you're predicting any sequence at all, beit BBBBB or BRBRB, the maths are the same. For every unique spin, it's utterly irrelevant to the odds whether the previous spin was an R or a B. The odds get higher based on the number of predictions you're making rather than what the sequence itself is.

Charlie19 · 04-04-2019 11:26PM

5starpool wrote: »

The odds of any exact sequence of a particular length is the same as the odds of another different exact sequence of the sane length.

One might look more plausible than the other, but the odds are the same.

Is that because the odds are based only on a single spin of the wheel?

I don't get this, obviously the chances of hitting even 5 reds in row is lower than hitting 4 reds and 1 black.

~Rebel~ · 04-04-2019 11:41PM

Charlie19 wrote: »

Is that because the odds are based only on a single spin of the wheel?

I don't get this, obviously the chances of hitting even 5 reds in row is lower than hitting 4 reds and 1 black.

Not if you're actually picking which 4 reds and 1 black.

Predicting RRRRR is exactly the same odds as predicting RRBRR.

Each selection is always 50/50 (ignoring the 'house' plate for simplicity), and the wheel has no memory. So on the 5th, or 10th, or millionth spin it's totally irrelevent what sequence came before, it's still always 50/50 for each selection.

ShamoBuc · 04-04-2019 11:43PM

Charlie19 wrote: »

I don't get this, obviously the chances of hitting even 5 reds in row is lower than hitting 4 reds and 1 black.

No, same odds.
18 red slots, 18 black slots, 1 green( 2 green in the States)
Odds of it being red are 18/37.
Odd of it being black are 18/37
It doesn't matter if it lands Red or Black, the next spin will gave the exact same odds, each and every time.

Charlie19 · 04-04-2019 11:52PM

Yes but the original point was about seeing so many balls of the same colour dropping in a row. The way I was caught was something like 9 or 10 so I then start increasing by bet each spin, thinking that the opposite colour was bound to fall and after nearly 20 spins I was cleared out.

Think I'll just stay well clear of any roulette tables.

~Rebel~ · 05-04-2019 12:06AM

Charlie19 wrote: »

Yes but the original point was about seeing so many balls of the same colour dropping in a row. The way I was caught was something like 9 or 10 so I then start increasing by bet each spin, thinking that the opposite colour was bound to fall and after nearly 20 spins I was cleared out.

Think I'll just stay well clear of any roulette tables.

ha, yeah, that's the logical fallacy of it all. It just feels like it should be more likely for the next one to be a different colour after a run of results - but in actuality, it's still always equal odds every spin for it to be either colour, regardless of sequence.

~Rebel~ · 05-04-2019 01:16AM

Back to the football, and i'm honestly worried about tomorrow. Still not terribly confident in our away form, and Southampton have taken points off Chelsea, Arsenal, Man Utd, Spurs already this season, mostly of those while at home.

We should win of course, but between their home form, and our away form, it's not a given. I'll feel a lot better about things if we can get this one in the bag.

Agent Coulson · 05-04-2019 01:32AM

What happened Ings after his great start to the season?

Did he get another bad injury?

~Rebel~ · 05-04-2019 01:44AM

Agent Coulson wrote: »

What happened Ings after his great start to the season?

Did he get another bad injury?

Not quite bad I think, but he missed games a bit on and off earlier in the season, and then missed the bones of 2 months recently. Came back in their last game I think though. I presume he can't play against us though, since it's technically a one-year loan before they're obligated to buy at season's end, right?

Agent Coulson · 05-04-2019 01:56AM

~Rebel~ wrote: »

Not quite bad I think, but he missed games a bit on and off earlier in the season, and then missed the bones of 2 months recently. Came back in their last game I think though. I presume he can't play against us though, since it's technically a one-year loan before they're obligated to buy at season's end, right?

Ye pretty sure he can't play against us because of the loan deal.

The lad really can't catch a break with injures.

Agent Coulson · 05-04-2019 02:06AM

Gomez is fit to return to the game tonight.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2019/04/04/jurgen-klopp-delights-diverse-personalities-liverpools-record/

ballyargus · 05-04-2019 06:42AM

ShamoBuc wrote: »

No, same odds.
18 red slots, 18 black slots, 1 green( 2 green in the States)
Odds of it being red are 18/37.
Odd of it being black are 18/37
It doesn't matter if it lands Red or Black, the next spin will gave the exact same odds, each and every time.

you're betting on five distinct instances. For all five to occur correctly is the same as an accumulator. Any individual instance is 18/37

radiata · 05-04-2019 07:34AM

ballyargus wrote: »

you're betting on five distinct instances. For all five to occur correctly is the same as an accumulator. Any individual instance is 18/37

Who gives a fcuk, back to soccer

Muahahaha · 05-04-2019 09:43AM

Didn't know that Ralph Hassenhuttel and Klopp did their UEFA coaching badges together, they go back years. Very similar footballing philosophies too so I'm expecting an open game tonight.

yourdeadwright · 05-04-2019 10:06AM

Muahahaha wrote: »

Didn't know that Ralph Hassenhuttel and Klopp did their UEFA coaching badges together, they go back years. Very similar footballing philosophies too so I'm expecting an open game tonight.

I gotta say I really like Ralph ,
I think with a half decent summer the Saints will push top 10 with him ,

05-04-2019 10:10AM

Charlie19 wrote: »

Yes but the original point was about seeing so many balls of the same colour dropping in a row. The way I was caught was something like 9 or 10 so I then start increasing by bet each spin, thinking that the opposite colour was bound to fall and after nearly 20 spins I was cleared out.

..........

If the bolded piece was actual fact then there wouldn't be a casino in the world as they'd go bust after a few hours

TitianGerm · 05-04-2019 10:22AM

So anyone guess the team tonight?

I'm thinking it'll be the usual back 5. Then Fabby and Lalana in the middle (not sure who the third will be but most likely Henderson). And then the usual three up front.

What I'd like to see is maybe Fabby and Gini deep with Mane, Bobby, original in front and the Mo up top.

BullBlackNova · 05-04-2019 10:26AM

TitianGerm wrote: »

So anyone guess the team tonight?

I'm thinking it'll be the usual back 5. Then Fabby and Lalana in the middle (not sure who the third will be but most likely Henderson). And then the usual three up front.

What I'd like to see is maybe Fabby and Gini deep with Mane, Bobby, original in front and the Mo up top.

I'd go with that - Fab, Hendo and Lallana in the middle and the rest as usual.

Would love Gomez and Ox on the bench but I won't be too greedy.

I have half a nagging feeling that Origi will start. Based on absolutely nothing.

Liverpool FC Team Talk/Gossip/Rumours 2019

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