Severe Weather Snow / Ice Weds 28 FEB ( Onwards ) READ MOD NOTE POST#1

HelloMrSnowman · 02-03-2018 03:42AM

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

This storm is not even one quarter done yet, amazing (in some parts).

Quick analysis -- low 974 mbs west of Scilly Isles heading slowly northwest. Fronts are not making much northward progress and heavier precip on radar is probably mostly snow heading for southeast and south coast.

Any holes in the snow coverage over south should fill in or at least move off to another location, if you have not had any periods of snow heavier than 2 cm per 3 hours, you should soon be getting more like 2 cm per hour rates.

Thunder-snow becomes increasingly likely as the low moves closer and dynamics get stronger over Irish Sea. Winds are downsloping very strongly from Welsh highlands into Cardigan Bay and Irish Sea, converging with more east to northeast flow hooking around Anglesey. This is why Dublin is doing so well (for the most part).

Some sleet or rain can always mix in near outer coasts but I think the cold air is well enough entrenched to last throughout the slow passage of Emma to south. Still some potential for damaging wind gusts late Friday in southwest but guidance continues a bit scattered.

The process that will intensify the snow further west is phasing of Emma with double-centered polar vortex that moved out to southwest of Munster yesterday and is lurking there ready to hook up with Emma tomorrow.

As crazy as this sounds, some of my snowfall estimates may bust on the low side. ( ! )

Others may bust on the high side, this is a rather disorganized snow shield that may not give equal service to all in its path.

I guarantee there's a bit of a smile on your face seeing your predictions not just come through but exceeded

leahyl · 02-03-2018 03:42AM

Semena Mertvykh wrote: »

Just in from a wander with my camera, only light snow in Cork City for now.

Very disappointing, thought that anything that would happen would happen in the hours I was awake but doesn’t look like it! I’m off to sleep again!

Ich bin ein snowman · 02-03-2018 03:44AM

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

This storm is not even one quarter done yet, amazing (in some parts).

Quick analysis -- low 974 mbs west of Scilly Isles heading slowly northwest. Fronts are not making much northward progress and heavier precip on radar is probably mostly snow heading for southeast and south coast.

Any holes in the snow coverage over south should fill in or at least move off to another location, if you have not had any periods of snow heavier than 2 cm per 3 hours, you should soon be getting more like 2 cm per hour rates.

Thunder-snow becomes increasingly likely as the low moves closer and dynamics get stronger over Irish Sea. Winds are downsloping very strongly from Welsh highlands into Cardigan Bay and Irish Sea, converging with more east to northeast flow hooking around Anglesey. This is why Dublin is doing so well (for the most part).

Some sleet or rain can always mix in near outer coasts but I think the cold air is well enough entrenched to last throughout the slow passage of Emma to south. Still some potential for damaging wind gusts late Friday in southwest but guidance continues a bit scattered.

The process that will intensify the snow further west is phasing of Emma with double-centered polar vortex that moved out to southwest of Munster yesterday and is lurking there ready to hook up with Emma tomorrow.

As crazy as this sounds, some of my snowfall estimates may bust on the low side. ( ! )

Others may bust on the high side, this is a rather disorganized snow shield that may not give equal service to all in its path.

Love your posts MT. If you were to alter your snowfall estimates what would be the highlights?

Davaeo09 · 02-03-2018 03:44AM

Ich bin ein snowman wrote: »

Love your posts MT. If you were to alter your snowfall estimates what would be the highlights?

GOOD question

AugustusMinimus · 02-03-2018 03:45AM

leahyl wrote: »

Very disappointing, thought that anything that would happen would happen in the hours I was awake but doesn’t look like it! I’m off to sleep again!

Every radar I look at says it should be snowing in Cork. Maddening. No wind at all either.

pad199207 · 02-03-2018 03:46AM

windchill of -12c in Naas

Donegal Storm · 02-03-2018 03:46AM

Still just fine misty stuff here in Kildare all night, accumulating all the while but a bit disappointing in that its nowhere near what I'd imagine a blizzard to be like, essentially just some drizzle blowing about.

There should still be some huge accumulations by morning though so all's good, off to get a few hours sleep.

NMB · 02-03-2018 03:47AM

pad199207 wrote: »

windchill of -12c in Naas

Forgive me but how did you get that measurement?

IMPAT · 02-03-2018 03:48AM

gawker wrote: »

Power gone now for over an hour in Grand Canal Dublin area. Looks fierce stormy outside.

I have power back in Irishtown.

BLIZZARD7 · 02-03-2018 03:48AM

Eased off a bit in D14 now but tis still snowing.

Ich bin ein snowman · 02-03-2018 03:48AM

Donegal Storm wrote: »

Still just fine misty stuff here in Kildare all night, accumulating all the while but a bit disappointing in that its nowhere near what I'd imagine a blizzard to be like, essentially just some drizzle blowing about.

There should still be some huge accumulations by morning though so all's good, off to get a few hours sleep.

Quitter!! :rolleyes:

AAAAAAAAA · 02-03-2018 03:49AM

continuing low visibility and snowfall in Arklow, drifts against wall getting high. Was above 10cm straight depth when checked a few hours ago, probably around the 15cm mark if not higher at this point

Calibos · 02-03-2018 03:49AM

Hour 6, one last look out the Velux at Meath Road in Bray before sleep and..............

...[Sigh] The Ice Pellets are simply not accumulating down here. Still only about 2cm at best on the footpaths and road that were clear at 9pm.

I am expecting to wake up to same about 9am. Beyond frustrating to be house-bound for the duration of this but without a big payoff at the end.

What promised to be the most incredible sequence of weather events delivering historic snow depths in decades is nothing of the sort where I am in Bray. FFS!!

HelloMrSnowman · 02-03-2018 03:49AM

Honestly do feel for those who haven't seen much action yet, hopefully you guys in Cork get a good plastering before the night ends.

Meanwhile I'm looking at the drifts reaching over my sitting room windowsill(3.5 feet) , hopefully this sort of snowfall becomes more widespread!

Newbridge, Co. Kildare

George Sunsnow · 02-03-2018 03:51AM

nacho libre wrote: »

You can retire after this:

I doubt we will see such a setup every again. Beautiful to look at.
A historic weather event for Ireland. As you said this is 1947 with the internet.
I have had a few:o.

My car when I looked there a few minutes ago is practically buried now in a drift here near Arklow
Copious! And wild
And there’s how long more to go? :eek:

:eek:

dermiek · 02-03-2018 03:52AM

gabeeg wrote: »

...and as the snow fell and the bears ate us, I looked around in a drunken stupor and saw that for the first time we were a real family.

Fixed your post gabeeg

:D

nacho libre · 02-03-2018 03:53AM

Calibos wrote: »

.

What promised to be the most incredible sequence of weather events delivering historic snow depths in decades is nothing of the sort where I am in Bray. FFS!!

not that it's much consolation to you, but i am missing out on this too. still it's great to see some long time posters getting to witness a historic snowfall

whattodo1 · 02-03-2018 03:54AM

We've atleast over 30cms of snow in Tinahely co wicklow and its still snowing its gone from thick flakes to almost powdery snow and this is not finished yet ðŸ˜®

humberklog · 02-03-2018 03:55AM

Going by the Netweather site it looks like Dublin is about a half hour out from getting a good blast of snow.

pad199207 · 02-03-2018 03:56AM

Serious gusts now in Naas. Fence is about to give in I think. A couple of leylandi trees struggling in the wind too. What a sight out the sitting room window.

Pentecost · 02-03-2018 03:57AM

humberklog wrote: »

Going by the Netweather site it looks like Dublin is about a half hour out from getting a good blast of snow.

Staying up another while so :pac:

netbeatz · 02-03-2018 03:57AM

Fine snow still blowing in Waterford City. Accumulating to levels I have never seen down here before. To be honest if not another flake fell I would not be disappointed

. I've seen personal levels I have never experienced.

G'Wan Emma ya beauty

spookwoman · 02-03-2018 03:58AM

netbeatz wrote: »

Fine snow still blowing in Waterford City. Accumulating to levels I have never seen down here before. To be honest if not another flake fell I would not be disappointed . I've seen personal levels I have never experienced.

G'Wan Emma ya beauty

picking up again and blowing horizontal at times

Timistry · 02-03-2018 04:00AM

Would be nice to get a bit of snow in Tipp

HelloMrSnowman · 02-03-2018 04:00AM

Also anyone have any links for a good radar? Don't trust netweather anymore as they were wrong all day, and ME radar doesn't seem to be great either, what are yous all using?

J6P · 02-03-2018 04:01AM

Calibos wrote: »

Hour 6, one last look out the Velux at Meath Road in Bray before sleep and..............

...[Sigh] The Ice Pellets are simply not accumulating down here. Still only about 2cm at best on the footpaths and road that were clear at 9pm.

I am expecting to wake up to same about 9am. Beyond frustrating to be house-bound for the duration of this but without a big payoff at the end.

What promised to be the most incredible sequence of weather events delivering historic snow depths in decades is nothing of the sort where I am in Bray. FFS!!

I understand your frustration.. Strong wind does not help close to the coast. 3 miles inland and i,m sure its a fkn whiteout.

soap1978 · 02-03-2018 04:03AM

Anyone know when storm Emma is due to hit Cavan please

Tobinjl91 · 02-03-2018 04:03AM

worst thing about the blackout in D6 is I have no idea if its snowing or not now that the streetlamps are out :pac:

KingBobby · 02-03-2018 04:03AM

Holy sh#t if we're due a heap more snow we'll literally be snowed in. Big snow drifts here in dublin 16 at 260m

Minister · 02-03-2018 04:04AM

spookwoman wrote: »

picking up again and blowing horizontal at times

I'm in Ferrybank side and no wind and only a gentle misty snow with not a massive accumulation.

Severe Weather Snow / Ice Weds 28 FEB ( Onwards ) ** READ MOD NOTE POST#1**

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Severe Weather Snow / Ice Weds 28 FEB ( Onwards ) READ MOD NOTE POST#1