FPL price changes 2017/18.

Cookie_Dough · 25-08-2017 11:03AM

danganabu wrote: »

The Salah drop is incredibly knee-jerky, scored again mid week and looked very sharp.

At least he only dropped from 9.1m to 9 so you wouldn't lose anything.

wonski wrote: »

Could be dropped again.

I think if he is dropped I may considering selling him before his price drops again in order to get a guaranteed starter. 9mill is a lot to have tied up in a player who may be rotated/rested from week to week.

I would have though Klopp should be playing his strongest side every game at this stage as there is no fixture congestion and the football season has only started so surely tiredness isn't an issue until it's a fitness issue.

Benimar · 25-08-2017 11:14AM

wonski wrote: »

Could be dropped again.

Salah will play Sunday. He got his 'rest' last week.

Liverpool will be at full strength v Arsenal.

Benimar · 25-08-2017 11:17AM

Cookie_Dough wrote: »

At least he only dropped from 9.1m to 9 so you wouldn't lose anything.

I think if he is dropped I may considering selling him before his price drops again in order to get a guaranteed starter. 9mill is a lot to have tied up in a player who may be rotated/rested from week to week.

I would have though Klopp should be playing his strongest side every game at this stage as there is no fixture congestion and the football season has only started so surely tiredness isn't an issue until it's a fitness issue.

Liverpool play 5 games in 15 days, including 2 CL Qualifiers. Thats as congested as fixtures tend to get at any stage of the season.

Palace was really the only opportunity to give players a break, hence the rotation last week.

Markx · 25-08-2017 12:34PM

Kara Muscular Receipt wrote: »

This post has been deleted.

FPLStats shows he is getting transferred out more than in

PVA · 25-08-2017 01:41PM

Been at 70% to a drop all day.

I'd love to hold off until tomorrow and get him for £12.4m but can't see it happening.

FHFC · 25-08-2017 01:53PM

Kane aint gonna drop lads. Looks highly unlikely De Druyne will either.

Price changes have changed. I've just done some analysis and there is a big decline in the number of rises and falls so far this season compared to the same period of the last 3 seasons.

I hope to have an article published on it shortly.

As a preview....

Rises till now....i.e. the last day of the pre GW3 period with one night of price changes left this GW.

RISES
2014/15 - 31
2015/16 - 29
2016/17 - 28
2017/18 - 21

25-32% decline.

FALLS
2014/15 - 185
2015/16 - 170
2016/17 - 170
2017/18 - 117

31-36% decline.

MULTIPLE RISES
Only Pogba has risen twice in the same GW. Four players (Pogba, Mhkitaryan, Lukaku and Hegazi) have risen twice.

By the end of GW3 in the last two seasons the number of players who had risen more than once across the two weeks was:
2015/16 - 1 x 0.3 rise (Mahrez) and 5 x 0.2 rises
2016/17 - 1 x 0.3 rise (Negerdo) and 3 x 0.2 rises
2017/18 - TBC after toniight but at best it will be 1 x 0.3 rise (Hegazi) and 3 x 0.2 rises.

Actually likely to end up the same as last season there.

danganabu · 25-08-2017 01:57PM

FHFC wrote: »

.
Only three players (Pogba, Mhkitaryan and Hegazi) have risen twice

Lukaku has risen twice no??

FHFC · 25-08-2017 02:02PM

danganabu wrote: »

Lukaku has risen twice no??

****.

He has. I went from records for the last few seasons and memory for this season.

Doh!

Edited. And managed to catch it in the article too, so thanks danganabu.

PVA · 25-08-2017 02:04PM

What do you think the reasoning behind this is?

I think all changes are made to keep the 'casuals' involved for longer, so reducing the weighting of price rises and falls would fit with this

FHFC · 25-08-2017 02:34PM

PVA wrote: »

What do you think the reasoning behind this is?

I think all changes are made to keep the 'casuals' involved for longer, so reducing the weighting of price rises and falls would fit with this

I think its more that the number of teams is so high that the rate of change of prices was starting to possibly get out of hand again. There seemed to be some frustration with it around the place, twitter, FFS etc last season and Mark Sutherns from FFS now has an association and influence within the official game.

FHFC · 25-08-2017 04:41PM

http://fantasyfootballpundits.com/201718-early-season-price-changes-some-very-early-observations/

Iused2likebusts · 25-08-2017 05:04PM

If there are much less price changes. I'll probably just hold off on all transfers till Fridays unless I'm going to be priced out of a move.

iroced · 25-08-2017 05:08PM

Maybe there is a % of ownership factor somewhere to define the target NTI. If we know how the target NTO is defined (~10% of actual ownership), the target NTI was always some kinda random number predictions sites were defining by carefully looking at and gathering the amount of NTI for each player to rise (which to me never made any sense in terms of game fairness).

manual_man · 25-08-2017 11:52PM

i predict a helluva lot of movement tonight

sword1 · 26-08-2017 12:49AM

10 up, 35 down is the Fffix predictions approximately.

shineon23 · 26-08-2017 12:57AM

sword1 wrote: »

10 up, 35 down is the Fffix predictions approximately.

5 up, 26 down according to FPL Statistics but can't see that many changes happening.
I say while hiding behind my couch

shineon23 · 26-08-2017 02:25AM

<Snip>
@Scorpion Sting has better photos, I know when I'm beat

Scorpion Sting · 26-08-2017 02:25AM

Up:

Maguire, Rooney, Hegazi

Down:

Murray, Arnautovic, T. Davies, Lindelöf, Gayle, Depoitre, C. Taylor, Arfield, Eduardo, Ings, Gosling, Gündogan, Brown, Winks, Musonda

shineon23 · 26-08-2017 02:33AM

Perfect pre-wildcard night changes for me

No-one I'm watching has rose and none of my current rejects have fallen.

Long fortnight ahead of second guessing myself :pac:

FHFC · 26-08-2017 07:31AM

Updated figures after 2 full GWs.

RISES
2014/15 - 33
2015/16 - 33
2016/17 - 33
2017/18 - 24

FALLS
2014/15 - 207
2015/16 - 201
2016/17 - 186
2017/18 - 132

machiavellianme · 26-08-2017 09:21AM

FHFC wrote: »

Updated figures after 2 full GWs.

RISES
2014/15 - 33
2015/16 - 33
2016/17 - 33
2017/18 - 24

FALLS
2014/15 - 207
2015/16 - 201
2016/17 - 186
2017/18 - 132

Interesting stats there FHFC. Where'd you pull them from?

Iused2likebusts · 26-08-2017 09:26AM

machiavellianme wrote: »

Interesting stats there FHFC. Where'd you pull them from?

He recorded them himself. Its a bit of a game changer.

dahat · 26-08-2017 09:53AM

FHFC wrote: »

Updated figures after 2 full GWs.

RISES
2014/15 - 33
2015/16 - 33
2016/17 - 33
2017/18 - 24

FALLS
2014/15 - 207
2015/16 - 201
2016/17 - 186
2017/18 - 132

Have they increased thresholds inline with increased numbers playing the game possibly?

MuddyDog · 26-08-2017 11:31AM

Aguero out.

ScummyMan · 26-08-2017 11:58AM

Richarlison was at 107.2 at 1.30am last night. Must be loads of wildcard.

iroced · 26-08-2017 12:00PM

dahat wrote: »

Have they increased thresholds inline with increased numbers playing the game possibly?

We don't know. They certainly have adjusted them or implemented a % of ownership parameter for the target NTI as they do for the target NTO.
I don't think they put back the weighting factors since the second and third rise are not THAT lower than in previous years.

ScummyMan · 26-08-2017 10:22PM

KDB gonna go tonight I'd say

Think I'll swallow this drop, haven't decided who to bring in for him yet.

Porthallian · 26-08-2017 11:38PM

ScummyMan wrote: »

KDB gonna go tonight I'd say

Think I'll swallow this drop, haven't decided who to bring in for him yet.

I'm gonna roll the dice on Sanchez. KdB dropping. Alexis possibly playing tomorrow.
What could possibly go wrong?

Who_8_Paul? · 26-08-2017 11:41PM

Arsenal's next game after the international break is home to Bournemouth... If Sanchez gets a good run out tomorrow...

sword1 · 26-08-2017 11:43PM

Porthallian wrote: »

I'm gonna roll the dice on Sanchez. KdB dropping. Alexis possibly playing tomorrow.
What could possibly go wrong?

The next game is 9th September, even if sanchez is fit or not sold you might need the transfer elsewhere

FPL price changes 2017/18.

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