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2016 U.S. Presidential Race Megathread Mark 2.

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,759 ✭✭✭jobbridge4life


    Can you seriously not distinguish between Trump, who isn't even a real Republican, and the true, ideological Republicans?

    They'll work together on areas of common interest, but there's no way Congress will allow a corporation tax of 15%, for example, and the maaassive deficit that would require.

    I certainly can but most Republicans believe awful things and we will see awful things.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,631 ✭✭✭✭Hank Scorpio


    Amerika wrote: »
    Let's see. Some effects of a Trump win...

    Barbara Streisand is moving to Canada, Cher is moving to Jupiter, and Miley Cyrus is moving to some country where clothing is optional. Amy Schumer is moving to Spain, George Lopez is going to Mexico, Jon Stewart is moving to another planet (to be determined), and Chelsea Handler and Whoopi Goldberg have already made contingency plans... destination unknown. Samuel L. Jackson is moving to South Africa, Lena Dunham and Neve Campbell to Canada, and Natasha Lyonne said she would hightail it to a mental hospital. Best of all... Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg said it’d be time to move to New Zealand -- GREAT another SCOTUS pick for Trump. Is there any way we can hold these celebrities to their words?

    All a bunch of phonie shills with no perception of reality, lady gaga went running out the door tonight when Trump started winning :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,449 ✭✭✭Call Me Jimmy


    HensVassal wrote: »
    OK......put your money where your mouth is. Open a spreadtrading account, stick 10grand in it and short sell everything you can starting this afternoon. You'll be rich this time 2 weeks.

    Or you could just be waffling, making halfbaked sour grapes comments.

    What was the actual effect of brexit? There was the same talk, I never followed how it went after that?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,107 ✭✭✭Christy42


    HensVassal wrote: »
    OK......put your money where your mouth is. Open a spreadtrading account, stick 10grand in it and short sell everything you can starting this afternoon. You'll be rich this time 2 weeks.

    Or you could just be waffling, making halfbaked sour grapes comments.

    You can't just open an account and short sell as you might not have the money to cover it if it booms so they aren't allowed unless they are already a large trader.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,569 ✭✭✭HensVassal


    seamus wrote: »
    I'm not sure if being "pro business" is good enough though really. Trump is a terrible businessman in every regard.
    I'm not sure the markets will put a lot of stock (pun intended) in his capability.

    That said though, it's the other houses who will control most of the domestic policy, so it'll be a good day to be an American oligarch and a bad day to be an average American worker.
    Foreign policy is a different matter though. Trump will be a complete disaster on that front, worse than GWB, Reagan, or Nixon, so has the potential to put the value of the dollar in the toilet.

    Being a terrible businessman isn't a problem. Bush jr. rammed every business he ever touched into the ground....Arbusto, Harken Energy, some airline food operation, that baseball team. Business-wise everything Bush touched turned to excrement. Trump isn't as dire as Bush was.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,577 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    What was the actual effect of brexit? There was the same talk, I never followed how it went after that?

    They'll be asked again.
    Then they'll loose again, and loose Scotland also.
    J.C. (Labour) will win the early general election as a result of this.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 222 ✭✭TheOven


    Amerika wrote: »
    Let's see. Some effects of a Trump win...

    Barbara Streisand is moving to Canada, Cher is moving to Jupiter, and Miley Cyrus is moving to some country where clothing is optional. Amy Schumer is moving to Spain, George Lopez is going to Mexico, Jon Stewart is moving to another planet (to be determined), and Chelsea Handler and Whoopi Goldberg have already made contingency plans... destination unknown. Samuel L. Jackson is moving to South Africa, Lena Dunham and Neve Campbell to Canada, and Natasha Lyonne said she would hightail it to a mental hospital. Best of all... Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg said it’d be time to move to New Zealand -- GREAT another SCOTUS pick for Trump. Is there any way we can hold these celebrities to their words?

    More likely to see Hannity being waterboarded.

    At least they have the means to leave if it suits them.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,759 ✭✭✭jobbridge4life


    Amerika wrote: »
    Let's see. Some effects of a Trump win...

    Barbara Streisand is moving to Canada, Cher is moving to Jupiter, and Miley Cyrus is moving to some country where clothing is optional. Amy Schumer is moving to Spain, George Lopez is going to Mexico, Jon Stewart is moving to another planet (to be determined), and Chelsea Handler and Whoopi Goldberg have already made contingency plans... destination unknown. Samuel L. Jackson is moving to South Africa, Lena Dunham and Neve Campbell to Canada, and Natasha Lyonne said she would hightail it to a mental hospital. Best of all... Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg said it’d be time to move to New Zealand -- GREAT another SCOTUS pick for Trump. Is there any way we can hold these celebrities to their words?

    And you will be left with Ted Nugent and Scott Bacio... so we can see a cultural implosion of the United States as well as, economic and diplomatic.

    What a vision you have for America.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,023 ✭✭✭spacecoyote


    So, how long before this actually becomes a reality

    terry-crews-idiocracy.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,152 ✭✭✭26000 Elephants


    Thomas_... wrote: »
    Celtic Tiger, messed up by Bertie.

    Ah, so you are saying the '77 Manifesto led to the Celtic Tiger?

    OK.


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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,558 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    What was the actual effect of brexit? There was the same talk, I never followed how it went after that?
    About 5 to 10% below starting point if memory serves; started with a steep drop and then slowly climbed back up but never hit the same peak as before; this chart is one example but you'd also need to add in the GBP loss in value to it which is not included.

    805-COTW-1200.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,340 ✭✭✭dinorebel


    They'll be asked again.
    Then they'll loose again, and loose Scotland also.
    J.C. (Labour) will win the early general election as a result of this.

    Trump will become Pope before Corbyn wins an election.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,814 ✭✭✭joe40


    I have heard it said that every country gets the government they deserve. Surely the Americans don't deserve this though. I know his more extreme promises won't happen because the president is not all powerful, but even in a figure head role his whole attitude throughout the campaign was awful. Even the toxic Nigel Farrage did not come across as badly as trump. How he was elected is beyond me.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,577 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    dinorebel wrote: »
    Trump will become Pope before Corbyn wins an election.

    Trump is happy enough with becoming President for the time being.


    The FTSE (100,250,350,Allshare) are all positive this morning so far, the FTSE Techmark is even up 2% positive, interesting....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,045 ✭✭✭vetinari


    The biotechs are delighted because they'll make a fortune under President Trump. Hillary had been talking about curbing excessive profiteering.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 744 ✭✭✭Thomas_...


    What was the actual effect of brexit? There was the same talk, I never followed how it went after that?

    They'll be asked again.
    Then they'll loose again, and loose Scotland also.
    J.C. (Labour) will win the early general election as a result of this.

    LOL! As Mrs May said regarding the resettlement of migrants from other EU member states to the UK "not in a thousand years".


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,759 ✭✭✭jobbridge4life


    Trump is happy enough with becoming President for the time being.


    The FTSE (100,250,350,Allshare) are all positive this morning so far, the FTSE Techmark is even up 2% positive, interesting....

    Its because they are hoping that this is enough to assuage his ego and that he reneges on all of his more extreme/bizarre positions and becomes a middle of the road typical republican president. Which is and always was a possibility even amidst all his ranting and hate.

    The interesting part is what becomes of the anger and the will to discriminate that he engendered in order to capture the White House? Plenty of politicians have danced with that fire before and found themselves incinerated by it in the end.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    HensVassal wrote: »
    Maybe sell one aircraft carrier? That should settle the infrastructure bill.

    You mean sell out the military?? Never go for it.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 39,019 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 20,746 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Don't be daft. Anti-gay marriage is not a movement in its own right outside a referendum campaign.

    Lets be honest here. The people who voted No are probably mainly rural pensioners who are easily fobbed off with free fivers in the annual Budget.

    They don't have the energy or the will to get behind any sort of crackpot Trump wannabe that might spawn on these shores.

    Irish society has plenty of problems to deal with. All advanced economies do. But we are a lot more cohesive than most of our neighbours. There is a tradition in Ireland of pragmatic, non-ideological, consensus-building politics.

    This has sometimes been a weakness, but it does filter out the crazies.

    This is the exact mistake the political elite made in the US and the UK. They presumed that these people do not count that nobody will chase that section of the vote. It is wide open for some one to grab. We see mini versions of it where independents are elected who the Dublin liberal media deginerate and laugh at.

    Blatter wrote: »
    Yes all politicians have to essentially lie to get elected because if you speak with 100% honesty and integrity, much of what you say will be misinterpreted by the opposition (deliberately), media(deliberately and lack of understanding context) and a huge chunk of the electorate (lack of understanding of context). And you will not get elected. This means as a politician you have to account for this and rephrase your messages and compromising on certain policies in order to have a chance of getting elected.


    To my mind, there is a BIG difference between the above, and what Donald Trump has done. Trump has out-rightly lied and blatantly manipulated much of the electorate.

    To good politicians, lying is a necessary evil. To Trump, it WAS his strategy.

    Did you read you post before you posted it
    Thomas_... wrote: »
    I think that to put it in general terms, the line to draw between a ultra conservative and a far-right party is a very tiny one and this also because you used the term "ultra" which also points out to the extreme of the political varieties.

    Maybe I should not have used the word ultra. However the Irish political system has a nutty left, a mild left and two large centerists parties. No part has tried to occupy the conservative right, the PD did it from a business point but but were not socially conservative. As people get older they tend to get more conservative in there attitudes. Those that deginrate Trump call it pandering but is that what Richard Boyad Barret, Paul Murphy Ruth Copinger do on the left.
    Of course it is. But I'm not trying to sell a candidate or a referendum here.

    If this were a campaign I'd change my tone. I've always maintained that Brexit was lost because of arrogance and bluntness, even if it was often honest bluntness.

    Trump voters were talked down to, and that just made them antagonistic. I think that was a massive mistake. But it doesn't obviate my belief that most of the uneducated, myopic white men who voted for Trump are complete idiots.

    Not a natural-born US citizen, thank Christ!

    In other words you would lie lie some are accusing Trump of doing
    Jawgap wrote: »
    The contractors are already lined up......

    15042275_10155403659173835_6078388887070905095_o.jpg

    It funny but it also show a complete lack of respect for three people who were democratly elected.

    Slava Ukrainii



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  • Posts: 18,046 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    joe40 wrote: »
    I have heard it said that every country gets the government they deserve. Surely the Americans don't deserve this though. I know his more extreme promises won't happen because the president is not all powerful, but even in a figure head role his whole attitude throughout the campaign was awful. Even the toxic Nigel Farrage did not come across as badly as trump. How he was elected is beyond me.

    Deserve what exactly? I'm interested... Brexit is a very defineable thing whereas the US Presidency isn't.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,759 ✭✭✭jobbridge4life



    It funny but it also show a complete lack of respect for three people who were democratly elected.

    No one deserves respect for being elected. They deserve respect for what they do with that power.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    No one deserves respect for being elected. They deserve respect for what they do with that power.

    So far Trump comes elected as one of the least disliked presidents in history right off the bat and still incurring numerous lawsuits


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,152 ✭✭✭26000 Elephants


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    That is indeed the fraud that is the centre of the Trump presidency. The blue collar core who voted for him will realise this fairly soon, and I imagine the backlash will be swift and severe.

    Interesting mid-terms coming up I'm sure.

    Trump has no plan - the political establishment are going to throw him around like a rag doll.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,045 ✭✭✭vetinari


    Can we stop saying we have to worry about respecting Trump's supporters.


  • Posts: 14,242 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.
    It's going to be interesting to read the post-election analysis regarding reasons for voting Trump.

    I'm not convinced that the emails 'controversy' was a particularly important factor either way. I don't believe it was a game changer. Why would it be so offensive to Americans for the Secretary of State to use a personal email address in 2009, but not when a Republican Secretary of State did it in 2001? Why was it not seen by republicans as rendering George W Bush no longer fit for office for the same reason?

    There are other more important factors at play here, whether that's gender, racial tensions, distribution of income, healthcare, unemployment, nostalgia, nationalism, demagoguery, or all of the above.

    I really find it hard to believe that this election was lost because of an email address.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,759 ✭✭✭jobbridge4life


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    And that all sounds wonderful except it is not reflected by the reality. Trump voters had higher income profile than Clinton's.

    It also bears repeating that it looks like Clinton is on course to win the popular vote. So if anything it was the electoral college that was the factor... and funnily the last time a Republican won his first time he also lost the popular vote.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,569 ✭✭✭HensVassal


    Thomas_... wrote: »
    I fear that those "over the top democrats" were not exaggerating it. We'll see how it will work when he gets chumming with Putin, his "friend" and if one likes to believe it, they both say that this "friendship" is "mutual". Well, I have no doubts that both of them have each one for themselves a very big ego.

    Somehow, despite what Hollywood might have you believe, I doubt there is any little red nuclear button in the Oval Office that the damn cleaning lady could drop her bottle of Windex on and launch 1000 minuteman missiles. There ought to be a few more safeguards and precautions that just one button to press like you're summoning the butler.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭wes


    It also bears repeating that it looks like Clinton is on course to win the popular vote. So if anything it was the electoral college that was the factor... and funnily the last time a Republican won his first time he also lost the popular vote.

    The loss of the popular vote (if it turns out that way), will imho impact things in 4 years time. Especially if Trump doesn't perform.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,631 ✭✭✭✭Hank Scorpio


    It's going to be interesting to read the post-election analysis regarding reasons for voting Trump.

    I'm not convinced that the emails 'controversy' was a particularly important factor either way. I don't believe it was a game changer. Why would it be so offensive to Americans for the Secretary of State to use a personal email address in 2009, but not when a Republican Secretary of State did it in 2001? Why was it not seen by republicans as rendering George W Bush no longer fit for office for the same reason?

    There are other more important factors at play here, whether that's gender, racial tensions, distribution of income, healthcare, unemployment, nostalgia, nationalism, demagoguery, or all of the above.

    I really find it hard to believe that this election was lost because of an email address.

    It wasn't just an address, it was a server which was split off from the official network. Fairly obvious why they did it when you look into the Clinton Foundations corruption.. to hide things. Not only that, it was insecure meaning any foreign enemy could have hacked into it and stolen secret classified information.

    It's a huge deal, both in incompetence and greed.


This discussion has been closed.
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