Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
If we do not hit our goal we will be forced to close the site.

Current status: https://keepboardsalive.com/

Annual subs are best for most impact. If you are still undecided on going Ad Free - you can also donate using the Paypal Donate option. All contribution helps. Thank you.

2016 U.S. Presidential Race Megathread Mark 2.

1249250252254255314

Comments

  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,558 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    cnocbui wrote: »
    Markets will be down 30-50% within a week.
    That level of fall would take at least a month or two to happen and normally would take at least 6 months to happen. I expect the recession to come end of 2017 along with a stock market crash (we're overdue one anyway) because the economy has to start tanking.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,152 ✭✭✭26000 Elephants


    Congrats to Trump. Good game, I have a grudging respect for him now.

    As for his acolytes - I still think they are gullible fools who have been swept up on a false tide. Normal service in support of the weatlthy establishment will be resumed following his inauguration - what? You were expecting something else to happen? :D

    On a positive note, after letting trump flounder in the opinion polls a few months into his reign, it will be time to start this


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,158 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    While not born into poverty, she didn't inherit from daddy in quite the same way.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,173 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    BoatMad wrote: »
    naw, dont agree actually . there will be a wobble , but thats all , with Clinton and Trump are pro business so I wouldn't expect too much to change
    I'm not sure if being "pro business" is good enough though really. Trump is a terrible businessman in every regard.
    I'm not sure the markets will put a lot of stock (pun intended) in his capability.

    That said though, it's the other houses who will control most of the domestic policy, so it'll be a good day to be an American oligarch and a bad day to be an average American worker.
    Foreign policy is a different matter though. Trump will be a complete disaster on that front, worse than GWB, Reagan, or Nixon, so has the potential to put the value of the dollar in the toilet.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,748 ✭✭✭✭Lovely Bloke


    seamus wrote: »

    Groupthink is incredibly powerful (hey, Trump just got elected; case in point),

    If Clinton had won, in such a tight contest, would you be calling it "groupthink"?

    This is exactly the reason people lie about voting for candidates like Trump, they just don't want to have to put up with the snide comments, the sly remarks from the "right-on" people


  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 24,798 ✭✭✭✭ Devon Breezy Restaurant


    cnocbui wrote: »
    Markets will be down 30-50% within a week.

    Cmon


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,558 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.
    You mean beyond the fact she did not inherit her wealth but came from a working family and worked her way up to the current position doing the American dream in practice compared to being handed a fortune from birth? Nope; can't see any difference there...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,296 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    Well I'm guessing as an attorney involved in numerous pro bono and issue cases over the years she'd have seen a lot more of real life and the problems it presents than "the Donald."


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,506 ✭✭✭✭BoatMad


    seamus wrote: »
    I'm not sure if being "pro business" is good enough though really. Trump is a terrible businessman in every regard.
    I'm not sure the markets will put a lot of stock (pun intended) in his capability.

    That said though, it's the other houses who will control most of the domestic policy, so it'll be a good day to be an American oligarch and a bad day to be an average American worker.
    Foreign policy is a different matter though. Trump will be a complete disaster on that front, worse than GWB, Reagan, or Nixon, so has the potential to put the value of the dollar in the toilet.

    actually as a right winger and not a trump supporter, I think we could actually make a decent president, but I think he will now be consumed by the right wing Republican party and he will fail to deliver his " make america great "

    firstly he will not get the money , and secondly he will be controlled


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,403 ✭✭✭Jan_de_Bakker


    Lord TSC wrote: »
    Man literally lived in a solid gold penthouse before he won.

    "Man of the normal people" :rolleyes:

    Obama, the first Black president, will have to shake hands with a man who was endorsed by the KKK. 2016 is ****ed. Up.

    Thats not Trumps fault, I'm sure Obama was endorsed by the black panthers - not his fault either.

    This is a reaction, the people are tired of MSM lies and politicians not being honest about serious matters.

    Hillary could have won, if the MSM was fairer and she herself was more honest (if she gave the speech Sam Harris wrote for her for starters )

    They can't be surprised.


  • Advertisement
  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,296 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    BoatMad wrote: »
    actually as a right winger and not a trump supporter, I think we could actually make a decent president, but I think he will now be consumed by the right wing Republican party and he will fail to deliver his " make america great "

    firstly he will not get the money , and secondly he will be controlled

    What in his experience and achievements would make you think that?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,435 ✭✭✭pumpkin4life


    Does Billy86 still post on this thread?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,296 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Thats not Trumps fault, I'm sure Obama was endorsed by the black panthers - not his fault either.

    This is a reaction, the people are tired of MSM lies and politicians not being honest about serious matters.

    Hillary could have won, if the MSM was fairer and she herself was more honest (if she gave the speech Sam Harris wrote for her for starters )

    They can't be surprised.

    Maybe you'd post the link where Trump distances himself from the KKK?

    And the Obama/Black Panthers thing was a discredited conspiracy thing - his membership card is with his Kenyan birth cert :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,173 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    If Clinton had won, in such a tight contest, would you be calling it "groupthink"?
    Yes? Groupthink isn't a bad thing, it's an emergent property of human consciousness. It happens. And it can be heavily exploited by things like polls and making false claims because "everyone says so".
    Trump is objectively an awful candidate with no redeeming qualities, but he still won. That's the power of groupthink.

    Likewise if Hillary won, it would have been groupthink about her suitability or least-worstness.
    This is exactly the reason people lie about voting for candidates like Trump, they just don't want to have to put up with the snide comments, the sly remarks from the "right-on" people
    In other words, they're ashamed of their opinion because they're incapable of justifying it.

    Gotcha.


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,558 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Jawgap wrote: »
    What in his experience and achievements would make you think that?
    I'd guess Bush junior approach; weak president but smart advisors to run the actual policy.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 39,019 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,506 ✭✭✭✭BoatMad


    In other words, they're ashamed of their opinion because they're incapable of justifying it.

    I think this is the key , take out , for pollsters, people are lying to the polls


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,158 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Nody wrote: »
    That level of fall would take at least a month or two to happen and normally would take at least 6 months to happen. I expect the recession to come end of 2017 along with a stock market crash (we're overdue one anyway) because the economy has to start tanking.

    This election result didn't surprise me. You are probably right, just my pessimism getting the better of me, however, it wouldn't surprise me.

    Wish I had bought even more gold last year, now. :rolleyes:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,296 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Nody wrote: »
    I'd guess Bush junior approach; weak president but smart advisors to run the actual policy.

    Nice deflection but Bush accumulated advisers as he progressed through the GOP and was supported by the RNC - you think Trump is going to accept that kind of help?

    Equally, do you think anyone with ambition in the GOP is going to allow themselves to be associated with Trump if the party leadership are not wholly supportive of him? Especially if he costs them control of Congress in 2018 and the re-districting that's due to be done.

    EDIT: Apologies @nody, my original question wasn't directed at you so can't really suggest you were deflecting :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    Jawgap wrote: »

    Maybe you'd post the link where Trump distances himself from the KKK?
    http://edition.cnn.com/2016/03/03/politics/donald-trump-disavows-david-duke-kkk/

    In fairness he was quick too to disavowal the KKK


  • Advertisement
  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,520 ✭✭✭learn_more


    Haha, the experts say that people in Florida went out and voted when they never did before.

    Which just backs up my claim that 'they voted for that guy on the telly'.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    BoatMad wrote: »

    I think this is the key , take out , for pollsters, people are lying to the polls

    Lie the polls. There is no need for them.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,296 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Nabber wrote: »

    Noted and accepted


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,506 ✭✭✭✭BoatMad


    Jawgap wrote: »
    Nice deflection but Bush accumulated advisers as he progressed through the GOP and was supported by the RNC - you think Trump is going to accept that kind of help?

    Equally, do you think anyone with ambition in the GOP is going to allow themselves to be associated with Trump if the party leadership are not wholly supportive of him? Especially if he costs them control of Congress in 2018 and the re-districting that's due to be done.

    EDIT: Apologies @nody, my original question wasn't directed at you so can't really suggest you were deflecting :D

    oh the RNC will take Trump, to its breast, dont believe anything else will be the case. everyone wants to be on the winning side


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,277 Mod ✭✭✭✭Chips Lovell


    This is going to be hilarious.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,158 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Nody wrote: »
    I'd guess Bush junior approach; weak president but smart advisors to run the actual policy.

    That went well. Terrorism spreading throughout Europe and a new batch storming the walls. Still, Trump is an isolationist so perhaps the damage will be more confined this time. Fingers crossed.


  • Posts: 24,798 ✭✭✭✭ Devon Breezy Restaurant


    BoatMad wrote: »
    I think this is the key , take out , for pollsters, people are lying to the polls
    learn_more wrote: »
    Haha, the experts say that people in Florida went out and voted when they never did before.

    Which just backs up my claim that 'they voted for that guy on the telly'.

    This bit is important. The polling models require estimates of turnout of specific categories of voters. If the models are backward looking (they mostly are and have to be) they cannot capture changes in the turnout which can change the poll enormously!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    I think it's dangerous to write off BRexiters and Trump supporters as idiots. What we are seeing is people who want change.

    The Governments of the West have stopped listening to the people but try to play a political correctness, where by the state is genderless, religion free, asexual, with an acceptance to persecute the majority.

    Our societies are not bland. Allowing the SJW or BLM antics is no longer acceptable to the majority.

    France will follow suit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,655 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    cnocbui wrote: »
    I'm an Australian.


    Well I'm sure your country has it's own examples too.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,351 ✭✭✭✭Harry Angstrom


    3 things you thought you'd never see happen:

    President Donald Trump
    UK leave EU
    Ireland beat All Blacks


This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement