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2016 U.S. Presidential Race Megathread Mark 2.

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 17 Omy


    We hear a lot about early voting and fact the turnout is huge, but we also hear the media say it was all for Hillary and that a blue wall is forming. My question is do we actually know who the early voters voted for?

    The tallies have info on party age etc.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,178 ✭✭✭bajer101


    Full letter from Comey.

    Cwm1FdXWQAAH44D.jpg:large


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,543 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    Overheal wrote: »
    hes going to keep going at it. Ya mad? "Crooked FBI" "rigged election" rabble rabble etc. - facts haven't stopped him before why would they now?

    When I say lose it, that seemed to indicate i was suggesting he had it before.

    Yeah and James comey is back off the Christmas card list from trump tower.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,631 ✭✭✭✭Hank Scorpio


    Overheal wrote: »
    hes going to keep going at it. Ya mad? "Crooked FBI" "rigged election" rabble rabble etc. - facts haven't stopped him before why would they now?

    That's good news for Clinton obviously. Has the separate investigation into the Clinton Foundation been dropped too, or the congress's investigation?

    I'm not trying to be smart, there's so many different investigations and Comey's letter only refers to Clinton's email server.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    When I say lose it, that seemed to indicate i was suggesting he had it before.

    Yeah and James comey is back off the Christmas card list from trump tower.

    The Comey love in the media is such a soap opera too. When the investigation started he GOP praised him as the fairest, most thorough, honest, stalwart etc etc man ever. Then he came out with a decision they didn't like. Overnight traitor. Then the liberal media praised him. Then the letter came out. Snake! Then the GOP sang Baby Come Back...


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,258 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    Sky news are reporting that FBI director James comey has said that an examination of Hilary clintons emails has found "no evidence of criminal wrongdoing."

    Trump is going to lose it. He went hard and heavy on the email story since they got the new emails.


    Is this a remark or more.
    How on earth could they look at 650,000 emails in a few days. So this new batch of emails is given all clear.
    I think pressure has been put on Comey from the top. The timing is crazy.
    It's not realistic to say that new investigation took few days .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,405 ✭✭✭Sofa Spud


    Overheal wrote: »
    hes going to keep going at it. Ya mad? "Crooked FBI" "rigged election" rabble rabble etc. - facts haven't stopped him before why would they now?

    Drudge front page has Trump quote - "She's protected by rigged system"

    You could write it


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,360 ✭✭✭KingBrian2


    Sofa Spud wrote: »
    Drudge front page has Trump quote - "She's protected by rigged system"

    You could write it

    Was Bush not elected in a fixed election in Florida.:confused: Nixon was also crooked and was elected. So their are precedents not that I agree with Trump claiming their is rigging. The Democrats also claim their is electoral fraud in previous elections so this is hardly a new development.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,405 ✭✭✭Sofa Spud


    KingBrian2 wrote: »
    Was Bush not elected in a fixed election in Florida.:confused: Nixon was also crooked and was elected. So their are precedents not that I agree with Trump claiming their is rigging. The Democrats also claim their is electoral fraud in previous elections so this is hardly a new development.

    My point was that Trump talked about voter fraud, polls are wrong, the whole system is rigged and against him - then the polls go positive, Comey steps in with the investigation and suddenly he says ' maybe it's not as rigged as we thought' everything is rosey and then as soon as Comey says they've found nothing, he's right back to the system is rigged again. Predictable...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    KingBrian2 wrote: »
    Was Bush not elected in a fixed election in Florida.:confused: Nixon was also crooked and was elected. So their are precedents not that I agree with Trump claiming their is rigging. The Democrats also claim their is electoral fraud in previous elections so this is hardly a new development.

    Nixon didn't get in on a crooked election and Bush it came down to very questionable "hanging chads" in one county that swung the whole election. But could you have predicted that one county and a few hundred votes would have decided the election?

    The judgement could have gone either way, and that's all that can really be said; I don't think outside of conspiracy theories could you reasonably say GWB got in on a rigged election.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Is this a remark or more.
    How on earth could they look at 650,000 emails in a few days. So this new batch of emails is given all clear.
    I think pressure has been put on Comey from the top. The timing is crazy.
    It's not realistic to say that new investigation took few days .

    Idk. Math? Depends on how many emails you look through and what you're looking for. You could systematically eliminate duplication of emails obtained previously from other sources. You can also have agents filter appropriately for material you're looking for (e.g. Communications between specific parties)

    The bad assumption here is that of all 650k emails on her device, that all 650k had any bearing on the HRC investigation. Thousands could have been Amazon spam for instance.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,631 ✭✭✭✭Hank Scorpio


    Sofa Spud wrote: »
    Drudge front page has Trump quote - "She's protected by rigged system"

    You could write it

    In fairness there's sample evidence for suspicion.

    "In May of 2015, Assistant Attorney General Peter Kadzik emailed Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta to tell him about potential developments at an impending congressional hearing, as well as about a new development in a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit for the emails Clinton turned over to the State Department from her private account."

    "In an email from Kadzik's personal account titled "Heads up," he wrote: “There is a [House Judiciary Committee] oversight hearing today where the head of our Civil Division will testify. Likely to get questions on State Department emails. Another filing in the FOIA case went in last night or will go in this am that indicates it will be awhile (2016) before the State Department posts the emails.”

    Source: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/wikileaks-clinton-justice-department-heads-up-investigation-230643


    "Attorney General Loretta Lynch is SUED to come clean on secret airport meeting with Bill Clinton days before she was to decide on charging his wife over server scandal"

    Source : http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3898754/Attorney-General-SUED-come-clean-secret-meeting-Bill-Clinton-days-decide-charging-wife-server-scandal.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    In fairness there's sample evidence for suspicion.

    And suspicion isn't the same as guilt. I mean Godspeed to investigations against her but until they have the right goods to bring charges against her, she's innocent until proven guilty. Common sense exposed to months, years of media reporting and biased punditry on the issue leads most of us to think that yeah there's something there but that doesn't indict her. It just doesn't.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,258 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    '' i am very grateful to the professionals at the FBI for doing an extraordinary amount of high quality work in such a short period of time ''

    Sounds like he is trying too hard to convince. The truth may come out years from now.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,631 ✭✭✭✭Hank Scorpio


    Overheal wrote: »
    And suspicion isn't the same as guilt. I mean Godspeed to investigations against her but until they have the right goods to bring charges against her, she's innocent until proven guilty. Common sense exposed to months, years of media reporting and biased punditry on the issue leads most of us to think that yeah there's something there but that doesn't indict her. It just doesn't.

    I agree. I don't think this is the end of it but it is certainly good news for her.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,360 ✭✭✭KingBrian2


    Overheal wrote: »
    Nixon didn't get in on a crooked election and Bush it came down to very questionable "hanging chads" in one county that swung the whole election. But could you have predicted that one county and a few hundred votes would have decided the election?

    The judgement could have gone either way, and that's all that can really be said; I don't think outside of conspiracy theories could you reasonably say GWB got in on a rigged election.

    Fair enough but the validity of the election is put at stake when the coverage of one party is shown to overwhelmingly side with one party over the other. Media Bias is almost as bad as voter fraud/suppression or gerrymandering electoral districts. The people are getting a misinformed picture of the candidates.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    KingBrian2 wrote: »
    Fair enough but the validity of the election is put at stake when the coverage of one party is shown to overwhelmingly side with one party over the other. Media Bias is almost as bad as voter fraud/suppression or gerrymandering electoral districts. The people are getting a misinformed picture of the candidates.

    That's hardly a fair assessment. Trump took advantage of literally billions of dollars of free media coverage by going on interviews and picking up the phone. Conservatives know what stations to watch and so do liberals if they want aligned coverage.

    The simple truth is the reason most coverage of Trump is negative is because so much of what he is is negative. Just look at politicians he's called liars or that have disavowed him that are now stumping for him for political gain. Quite a farce. His coverage has been more than fair tbh and most days of the week you can usually catch a livestream or two of one of the rallies he puts on. If Bernie had that kind of exposure this would have been a very different race.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,485 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    This whole thing along with Benghazi have been a complete farce and would never have been investigated had Clinton not been running for president.
    That's good news for Clinton obviously. Has the separate investigation into the Clinton Foundation been dropped too, or the congress's investigation?
    .

    What investigation into the Clinton foundation? There is currently an investigation into trump charity though


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,405 ✭✭✭Sofa Spud


    Overheal wrote: »
    That's hardly a fair assessment. Trump took advantage of literally billions of dollars of free media coverage by going on interviews and picking up the phone. Conservatives know what stations to watch and so do liberals if they want aligned coverage.

    The simple truth is the reason most coverage of Trump is negative is because so much of what he is is negative. Just look at politicians he's called liars or that have disavowed him that are now stumping for him for political gain. Quite a farce. His coverage has been more than fair tbh and most days of the week you can usually catch a livestream or two of one of the rallies he puts on. If Bernie had that kind of exposure this would have been a very different race.

    Yeah, no doubt there will be many books and thesis' written about the role the media played in this election that will focus on how they built him up - he was box office and the media milked it. He said outrageous stuff and the media lapped it up. Anytime a mic was put in front of him, he was guaranteed to come out with something mad that they could run with as a headline story.

    Ultimately, the reason why he can point to the media negatively reporting on him is that the regular mind-farts, the racist rhetoric and insulting anyone who disagreed with him made it too easy - he brought it on himself and there's no point in moaning about the media when he actively played them....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,828 ✭✭✭gosplan


    I believe lying to victims families then going on television and calling them liars is more than just "porkies".

    I don't get the Benghazi thing. Can you please explain what she said?

    I read your last piece and it referred to her as a liar many times and said the proof is out there. But it was very light on details.

    What did she actually say/lie about?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Obama sat down with Maher this weekend finally and they talked among other topics about the role of the media. I think it's worth a look, one crux of the discussion was largely that a profit driven economy is great for production, but has had some very unintended consequences in certain realms: like healthcare, prisons and law enforcement, and the media. Have to say i fully agree, capitalism is great until the profit motive becomes more important than these essential motives of truth and information, of justice and safety, and health and welfare. Not before another generation passes do I think we'll see a well mixed society in this regard but we have to start thinking about it.



    On another subject entirely I haven't had time to really form my own viewpoint on Haiti as I haven't had time to digest information and process spin either way on it. I'm starting with this write up from slate as I've found them to be a reasonable sources so far but if anyone wants to chime in I'll be chewing it over

    http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/09/the_truth_about_the_clintons_and_haiti.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    gosplan wrote: »
    I don't get the Benghazi thing. Can you please explain what she said?

    I read your last piece and it referred to her as a liar many times and said the proof is out there. But it was very light on details.

    What did she actually say/lie about?

    She met with families as the caskets were coming in at an Air Force base and told one of the mothers they would catch whoever was responsible for making the Movie that the administration pinned as the reason for the attack in the initial days after the event. Communications wth Chelsea Clinton suggest that Hillary knew it wasn't the case and the administration was investigating it as a planned attack.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,631 ✭✭✭✭Hank Scorpio


    rossie1977 wrote: »
    What investigation into the Clinton foundation? There is currently an investigation into trump charity though



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,828 ✭✭✭gosplan


    Overheal wrote: »
    She met with families as the caskets were coming in at an Air Force base and told one of the mothers they would catch whoever was responsible for making the Movie that the administration pinned as the reason for the attack in the initial days after the event. Communications wth Chelsea Clinton suggest that Hillary knew it wasn't the case and the administration was investigating it as a planned attack.

    So they denied it being an organised terrorist incident, instead claiming it was a kind of 'mass hysteria' thing inspired by the release of some film?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    gosplan wrote: »
    So they denied it being an organised terrorist incident, instead claiming it was a kind of 'mass hysteria' thing inspired by the release of some film?

    Pretty much. The attack came during the 2012 election season, 2 months before the vote, and a big part of Obamas platform was keeping Americans safe.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,405 ✭✭✭Sofa Spud


    Overheal wrote: »
    Obama sat down with Maher this weekend finally and they talked among other topics about the role of the media. I think it's worth a look, one crux of the discussion was largely that a profit driven economy is great for production, but has had some very unintended consequences in certain realms: like healthcare, prisons and law enforcement, and the media. Have to say i fully agree, capitalism is great until the profit motive becomes more important than these essential motives of truth and information, of justice and safety, and health and welfare. Not before another generation passes do I think we'll see a well mixed society in this regard but we have to start thinking about it.



    On another subject entirely I haven't had time to really form my own viewpoint on Haiti as I haven't had time to digest information and process spin either way on it. I'm starting with this write up from slate as I've found them to be a reasonable sources so far but if anyone wants to chime in I'll be chewing it over

    http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/09/the_truth_about_the_clintons_and_haiti.html

    As I watched that yesterday I had a chuckle to myself thinking about how Trump would be completely incapable of having such a conversation where thoughts were articulately made, where perceptive points were made that demonstrated a dept of knowledge whilst showing a level of openness and doubt that he didn't always have the answer.

    Then I thought about how Trump could win and sweated a little...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 222 ✭✭TheOven


    Sofa Spud wrote: »
    As I watched that yesterday I had a chuckle to myself thinking about how Trump would be completely incapable of having such a conversation where thoughts were articulately made, where perceptive points were made that demonstrated a dept of knowledge whilst showing a level of openness and doubt that he didn't always have the answer.

    Then I thought about how Trump could win and sweated a little...

    Trump has to be kept away from twitter by his campaign. Yet everyone else is meant to trust him to be in charge of a country.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,178 ✭✭✭bajer101


    I think you really are pissing against the wind trying to talk to talk to Trump supporters. A politically agnostic Facebook friend of mine posted a clip of Trump lying about how Obama dealt with the Trump supporter at his rally. This FB friend of mine wouldn't have had much interest in the election but was shocked at how Trump had obviously lied, so posted the evidence. A Trump supporter friend of their's posted a rebuttal that was just incredible. They claimed that Obama was belittling the Trump supporter and that Trump was correct in his assessment of Obama's response.

    When I read that, I just despaired. I realised that you may as well be talking to the cat as trying to have a rational discussion with some people. And then I watched the BBC documentary tonight on the Obama presidency and I despaired further. Watching someone like Obama who is a true Statesman and all round decent person, and comparing that to the likes of that clown Trump is just heart breaking.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,405 ✭✭✭Sofa Spud


    TheOven wrote: »
    Trump has to be kept away from twitter by his campaign. Yet everyone else is meant to trust him to be in charge of a country.

    There's an unintentionally funny interview with Kellyanne Conway during the week where the way she talked about trying to manage Trump and his phone was like a mother trying to manage her kids (she has a lot) without kicking off a tantrum. Something about suggesting "here's some interesting things to tweet about today" instead of telling him not to tweet as he'd end up throwing a strop. Not sure I've explained it well but if you look around on the net you'll find it...


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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,559 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    bajer101 wrote: »
    When I read that, I just despaired. I realised that you may as well be talking to the cat as trying to have a rational discussion with some people. And then I watched the BBC documentary tonight on the Obama presidency and I despaired further. Watching someone like Obama who is a true Statesman and all round decent person, and comparing that to the likes of that clown Trump is just heart breaking.
    For moments like that I recommend my personal saying which can be applied in every situation and can be yours on a printed tie from China or a shirt from Bangladesh (exactly like Trump's quality wears) at a competitive price:
    I stood amidst chaos and a voice spoke down from the sky to me and said "Smile; because things could be worse" and I smiled and things got worse.


This discussion has been closed.
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