The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread IV

unplayable wrote: »

Bournemouth everton over 2.5g @1.97
Liverpool win both halfs @2.25
Spurs win @2.08

2/3 is ok PP treble came in also.

Shocked Everton didn't score tbh

Do like a draw in game today

Inter v Bologna Icardi Anytime 5/6

modo85 wrote: »

I don't get this betting system at all, very bad odds and you must win at least 5 to break even depending on the prices. You've a double at odds of 1.71 personally id rather a double of barca and city yesterday at them odds.
Best of luck with it anyhow but it's not my cup of tea

Very bad odds? I get why 1.40-1.50 might not be everyone's cup of tea, but 1.70-2.30 are GREAT odds if you ask me. Anything higher than that and you're betting against the bookies which, in the long run, in a recipe for disaster imo (been there done that). Bear in mind that I've been tinkering with this method for a while now and I've realized that these bets win more often than not, so in the long run I'm making money from it. Barca-City would've been a nice double indeed but that's not my strategy any more.

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St Etienne's line up: http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2016/09/25/france/ligue-1/association-sportive-de-saint-etienne-loire/lille-olympique-sporting-club-metropole/2236807/?ICID=HP_MS_03_01
Completely makeshift defense with a youngster at RB, a defensive midfielder/right back at CB and a defensive midfielder at left back.

eh i dunno wrote: »

Icardi fgs 3/1

Did him anytime and first..Poor goal for Inter to concede

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

St Etienne have a TON of missings for tomorrow's game: Perrin, Pogba, Malcuit, Théophile Catherine, Mbengué, Polomat -- all defenders! plus Lemoine and Saivet (two midfielders)

These are the defenders called up for tomorrow's game: Lacroix, Cabaton, Pierre-Gabriel, Karamocko, Nyemeck
Lacroix is a CB and one of their new signings, the rest are all youngsters. Pierre-Gabriel is an 18 yo full back who's played a few games in Ligue 1 already, the rest are all youngsters who've never played with the first team (if I'm not mistaken)

St Etienne have a home game in the EL in midweek and Lille have lost their last 3 games in a row and are desperate to stop their losing streak.

Lille DC @ 1.53
Lille DNB @ evens

it looks bankerish but the St Etienne youngsters held PSG to a 0-0 draw for 85 min before eventually losing 1-0 so you never know...

Lille had several chances in the first half then got down to 10 men and it was game over after that sorry if anyone followed

magherakid wrote: »

Hamilton v St Johnstone BTTS 10/11

Atletico Madrid v Deportivo Griezmann Anytime 1/1

Great call was on this cheers ...poor day but this makes it a bit better

Lads anything for Galaxy v Sounders 9pm ko?

cant remember seeing three sunday eve matches and just finding it near impossible to pick a bet in any of them

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Very bad odds? I get why 1.40-1.50 might not be everyone's cup of tea, but 1.70-2.30 are GREAT odds if you ask me. Anything higher than that and you're betting against the bookies which, in the long run, in a recipe for disaster imo (been there done that). Bear in mind that I've been tinkering with this method for a while now and I've realized that these bets win more often than not, so in the long run I'm making money from it. Barca-City would've been a nice double indeed but that's not my strategy any more.

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St Etienne's line up: http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2016/09/25/france/ligue-1/association-sportive-de-saint-etienne-loire/lille-olympique-sporting-club-metropole/2236807/?ICID=HP_MS_03_01
Completely makeshift defense with a youngster at RB, a defensive midfielder/right back at CB and a defensive midfielder at left back.

In my opinion your system of backing certain teams on a losing run is flawed. It's a bit like someone sitting in a casino waiting for a big run of say 8 reds in a row then backing black because the law of averages says so. You say long term it yields profit so I had a look over all your bets on this page and from 56 bets you won 26 and lost 30. Putting 100 Euro on all these bets you would be down 927 Euro. ( I used 100 as a guide because your hardly putting 10 Euro on 1.44 shots ). You had a bet in there of balotelli anytime scorer which netted you your biggest win of 225 Euro which goes against your system.

You obviously have plenty of knowledge of gambling and soccer so id say you are very profitable when it comes to betting but I just don't think this system is working for you. This is not a dig at you it's just my opinion and nothing more.

modo85 wrote: »

In my opinion your system of backing certain teams on a losing run is flawed. It's a bit like someone sitting in a casino waiting for a big run of say 8 reds in a row then backing black because the law of averages says so. You say long term it yields profit so I had a look over all your bets on this page and from 56 bets you won 26 and lost 30. Putting 100 Euro on all these bets you would be down 927 Euro. ( I used 100 as a guide because your hardly putting 10 Euro on 1.44 shots ). You had a bet in there of balotelli anytime scorer which netted you your biggest win of 225 Euro which goes against your system.

You obviously have plenty of knowledge of gambling and soccer so id say you are very profitable when it comes to betting but I just don't think this system is working for you. This is not a dig at you it's just my opinion and nothing more.

Professional teams hardly ever lose more than 4 or 5 games in a row, sometimes they go as far as 6-7 but those are pretty rare. That's a fact not my opinion.

This season in ALL the European leagues, only 9 teams have broken that 4-5 game rule: Wisla lost 7 in a row then won; Odense have currently lost their last 6; Helsingborg lost 6 then won; Shonan Bellmare lost 10 in a row then drew (this is extremely extremely rare); Belshina lost 7 then drew; Pribram lost 7 then won; Westerlo lost 7 in a row then won away to Anderlecht; Akzhayik lost 7 then won 5 in a row; Irtysh lost 6 then won

As you can see, all those teams (bar Shonan Bellmare) lost more than 4-5 games but never went further than 6-7 losses in a row.

edit: forgot Falkenberg who lost 6 in a row but they're doomed to relegation anyway

I've been observing this "phenomenon" for over a year now and it is definitely the safest way to make money in the long run. I've tried many different methods and this is definitely the one that brings me the most money at the end of the month. Please bear in mind that many of the bets you saw in this thread were on amateur/semi pro teams (and I've realized recently that this theory doesn't work for semi-pro or amateur teams) or on the French Ligue 1 or 2 but without using this theory.

I challenge you to find a professional team that has lost more than 4 or 5 games in a row this season and which I've failed to mention in the list above.

45 goals in the last ten games at Turf Moor between Burnley and Watford.
over 2.5 goals 43/40 on bet365.

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

The way I see it is, the interest rate for savings accounts here is at 0.75% (or 2.2% but you can't touch your money for 4 years), so with 1.40-1.50 odds I get my original stake *1.50 in a day which is fine with me

Ok but if you lose your stake on game 5 and back them again on game 6 for the win (taking 1.5 for simplicity) your down .5 of your original stake, no?

gufc21 wrote: »

Ok but if you lose your stake on game 5 and back them again on game 6 for the win (taking 1.5 for simplicity) your down .5 of your original stake, no?

Yes, but in the long run, there'll be more winning bets than losing bets so that's what matters (my current situation is a bad example because I had many losing bets on Ligue 1 and 2 games not using this system and also had many bets on semi-pro/amateur teams)