Werewolf I - The Beginning | Completed - Villagers Win

andy125 · 24-08-2016 05:48PM

suffering golfer wrote: »

Hate to say this, but you are coming off a little dodgy also. You also voted for two known villagers and you want to go for wolves based on post counts? There are a number of reasons for low post counts, RL issues, lack of interest in game, lazy posting style, and sleeping wolves yes. Post counts is a little unreliable unless we know the reason why.

Surprised you didn't want to go off voting patterns and known info tbh unless you know the wolves are not in the low post counts?

If i wade through your posts im sure you have accused these same villagers or the priest but that doesn't mean you are a wolf you could be guessing like everyone else is,

I made an attempt to go for the low poster in the first round and now again in this round as from experience in playing this game before there is always sleeper wolves,

What good does having the low poster around, he/she is contributing nothing to the game at all and why would you defend someone that has barely posted as you are so quick to suspect anyone that does post

Tigger · 24-08-2016 05:49PM

andy125 wrote: »

If i wade through your posts im sure you have accused these same villagers or the priest but that doesn't mean you are a wolf you could be guessing like everyone else is,

I made an attempt to go for the low poster in the first round and now again in this round as from experience in playing this game before there is always sleeper wolves,

What good does having the low poster around, he/she is contributing nothing to the game at all and why would you defend someone that has barely posted as you are so quick to suspect anyone that does post

andy do you suspect one of either pphone or daz

suffering golfer · 24-08-2016 05:54PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Explain why mrs Flushdraw is being ignored? Kylo Ren? El Hombre?

Ren and hombre are both in the list and need to be looked at. MrsFD voted for poochie whom is still alive.

I am looking at the ones that jump out to me as being sus. And you are being very suspicious at the mo.

suffering golfer · 24-08-2016 05:58PM

Ficheall wrote: »

Well had I known in advance that 7 votes were going to be cast for Uriel then yes, I could have kept my vote on Persepoly. But I didn't. It was a pretty close run thing. In the end sullivlo was almost lynched despite having outed herself as the priest.

As to this nonsense about picking villagers two nights in a row - if you selected two people completely at random there's about a 62% chance of getting two villagers, about a 36% chance of getting a villager and a wolf, and about a 1% chance of getting two wolves.

How is it nonsense? I am working off the assumption that wolves don't vote for fellow wolves. So I am looking at those who voted for known villagers two nights a row to see if wolves slipped up and revealed themselves.

andy125 · 24-08-2016 06:00PM

Tigger wrote: »

andy do you suspect one of either pphone or daz

I dont think either are wolves but if i had to pick one it would be pphone

24-08-2016 06:01PM

suffering golfer wrote: »

Ren and hombre are both in the list and need to be looked at. MrsFD voted for poochie whom is still alive.

I am looking at the ones that jump out to me as being sus. And you are being very suspicious at the mo.

Us villagers can never be certain who to vote for. I don't believe it's a very reliable indicator of who is really who.
The wolves of course have a far better chance than we do. They have their own thread and can plot and plan to their hearts content. Then appear here amongst us pointing fingers, pretending or they keep away.

We have a seer which we haven't yet used.

24-08-2016 06:01PM

andy125 wrote: »

I dont think either are wolves but if i had to pick one it would be pphone

If I had to pick one it wouldn't be you.

suffering golfer · 24-08-2016 06:02PM

andy125 wrote: »

If i wade through your posts im sure you have accused these same villagers or the priest but that doesn't mean you are a wolf you could be guessing like everyone else is,

I made an attempt to go for the low poster in the first round and now again in this round as from experience in playing this game before there is always sleeper wolves,

What good does having the low poster around, he/she is contributing nothing to the game at all and why would you defend someone that has barely posted as you are so quick to suspect anyone that does post

Not defending, just asking what the hell are you doing? You are an experienced player as you said, and you haven't tried to put together the info we have so far.

Why do you think Mick was killed?

tritium · 24-08-2016 06:02PM

andy125 wrote: »

How does it make no sense?

Acquiescing people left right and center because of flawed logic makes no sense which has cost us two villagers in lynching already and going by your logic would have cost us mick today if he wasn't slaughtered - that makes no sense

there is two obvious deep sleepers and i guaranteeyou one of them is a wolf, there is always one every time, dont give them time to start slowly upping their post count with excuses of why after 3 days the 2 sleepers have just 19 posts between them!

i think you are a villager because a lot of your posts especially regarding the priest was not wolf like at all, but you have to reel it in a little bit

I think your analysis is right andy, id probably tag el hombre as a guess right now. Im just not sure what we get yet by tagging a player with no links we can make- theres nothing to put them in or out. Based on palying previously whats the benefit to tagging a sleeper wolf rather than one of the active ones? Who would you suggest might be the best targets?

andy125 · 24-08-2016 06:04PM

suffering golfer wrote: »

Not defending, just asking what the hell are you doing? You are an experienced player as you said, and you haven't tried to put together the info we have so far.

Why do you think Mick was killed?

how did that work out for us when we lynched shatter and uriel?

andy125 · 24-08-2016 06:06PM

tritium wrote: »

I think your analysis is right andy, id probably tag el hombre as a guess right now. Im just not sure what we get yet by tagging a player with no links we can make- theres nothing to put them in or out. Based on palying previously whats the benefit to tagging a sleeper wolf rather than one of the active ones? Who would you suggest might be the best targets?

By targeting the sleeper wolves you can get plenty of info, the sleepers if clever wont defend themselves as they will look guilty but the ones that will defend them will tell us so much more and attack the one trying to out the sleepers

As you can see already

The_Valeyard · 24-08-2016 06:07PM

You know, we havent heard from boneyarsebogman in TWO days and he didnt vote last night???? Now thats a very low profile.

suffering golfer · 24-08-2016 06:11PM

The_Valeyard wrote: »

You know, we havent heard from boneyarsebogman in TWO days and he didnt vote last night???? Now thats a very low profile.

True. Why don't we race both persepoly and boneyarse so, that will make both Andy and I happy as we are following both theories then!

The_Valeyard · 24-08-2016 06:13PM

If I do not hear from Boneyarsebogman by tonight, I think I may cast my vote that way, it would be a great strategy by him.

1. He does not appear on the vote sheets that we are arguing over.

2. I completely forgot about him, until I saw the original page.

3. Its a great way to play as a wolf, almost complete stealth.

tritium · 24-08-2016 06:13PM

andy125 wrote: »

By targeting the sleeper wolves you can get plenty of info, the sleepers if clever wont defend themselves as they will look guilty but the ones that will defend them will tell us so much more and attack the one trying to out the sleepers

As you can see already

Fair enough, given that we have some low posters, some whove gone quiet, and some very active posters. Who should be the run tonight?

The_Valeyard · 24-08-2016 06:14PM

But I think I will go by Tiggers strategy and not cast the vote until near times end as so not to let the wolves get the move on us.

andy125 · 24-08-2016 06:15PM

suffering golfer wrote: »

True. Why don't we race both persepoly and boneyarse so, that will make both Andy and I happy as we are following both theories then!

Im happy to go for that

24-08-2016 06:16PM

andy125 wrote: »

Im happy to go for that

I'm not.

The_Valeyard · 24-08-2016 06:17PM

suffering golfer wrote: »

True. Why don't we race both persepoly and boneyarse so, that will make both Andy and I happy as we are following both theories then!

That might work, but if either of those is innocent and we mess this up, those odds are not good for the next day and we may loose a priest.

We need to be really sure what we do tonight.

suffering golfer · 24-08-2016 06:17PM

andy125 wrote: »

how did that work out for us when we lynched shatter and uriel?

I see your point. By the way your strategy is sound, I just not convinced the timing for it is right. Why not do that in a day or two from now?

I just wanted to see what we can shake loose from the list.

andy125 · 24-08-2016 06:19PM

The_Valeyard wrote: »

That might work, but if either of those is innocent and we mess this up, those odds are not good for the next day and we may loose a priest.

We need to be really sure what we do tonight.

Same can be said for any two poster we put in the running really

suffering golfer · 24-08-2016 06:30PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

I'm not.

Ok then, who are your top three suspects and why should we look at them?

What do you think we should do?

tritium · 24-08-2016 06:31PM

andy125 wrote: »

Same can be said for any two poster we put in the running really

Ok so im a bit surprised i confess. I put two names out thinking wed get a lot of alternatives, some defensiveness, posters trying to push angles. Not so much.

Persepoly in particular has been on the cusp of a lynching for a bit now but no rally to support.

Im confused, im thinking a long read back might be needed

Tigger · 24-08-2016 06:36PM

we stick to daz and persephone
or me daz and persephone
if we get a wolf at least we'll know

Tigger · 24-08-2016 06:37PM

The_Valeyard wrote: »

That might work, but if either of those is innocent and we mess this up, those odds are not good for the next day and we may loose a priest.

We need to be really sure what we do tonight.

we won't lose a priest co i picked from the sulli list of suspects

24-08-2016 06:44PM

suffering golfer wrote: »

Ok then, who are your top three suspects and why should we look at them?

What do you think we should do?

I think we should look back at who was interacting with the last two posters to have been taken by the wolves. Also look for any clues in the lead up to the 10pm vote. Then I suggest we go back to the beginning of the thread.

The three quiet ones I'm curious about because I think one of them is a wolf. The rest are among us.

Also why aren't we using the seer?

Tigger · 24-08-2016 06:57PM

Deleted User wrote: »

Also why aren't we using the seer?

seer is afraid to be eaten or is one of the crew that have lost interest

24-08-2016 06:58PM

I think it should be Persepoly and Digital Solitude.

Tigger · 24-08-2016 07:01PM

Deleted User wrote: »

I think it should be Persepoly and Digital Solitude.

No Persephone and you is better

andy125 · 24-08-2016 07:02PM

Deleted User wrote: »

I think we should look back at who was interacting with the last two posters to have been taken by the wolves. Also look for any clues in the lead up to the 10pm vote. Then I suggest we go back to the beginning of the thread.

The three quiet ones I'm curious about because I think one of them is a wolf. The rest are among us.

Also why aren't we using the seer?

Yea i have been thinking about this a good bit

If the seer has one wolf now he should come out now as it would get us off the mark perfectly and it would be between the seer or priest for slaughter which would guarantee us one of them in the next round

If the seer has no one atm he should wait..
then in this scenario when the priest is slaughtered, before he dies he should name his trainee so we still have a priest in game for another round and it stop a wolf faking as the trainee priest which would destroy us, then the seer should come out with any info he has before he dies especially if we lynch a villager today

Well thats my thinking anyway

Werewolf I - The Beginning | Completed - Villagers Win

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