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DOwnload your brain - never Die

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  • 25-05-2005 6:48pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 67 ✭✭


    Just look at this,

    2050 - and immortality is within our grasp

    Britain's leading thinker on the future offers an extraordinary vision of life in the next 45 years

    David Smith, technology correspondent
    Sunday May 22, 2005
    The Observer

    Aeroplanes will be too afraid to crash, yoghurts will wish you good morning before being eaten and human consciousness will be stored on supercomputers, promising immortality for all - though it will help to be rich.

    These fantastic claims are not made by a science fiction writer or a crystal ball-gazing lunatic. They are the deadly earnest predictions of Ian Pearson, head of the futurology unit at BT.

    'If you draw the timelines, realistically by 2050 we would expect to be able to download your mind into a machine, so when you die it's not a major career problem,' Pearson told The Observer. 'If you're rich enough then by 2050 it's feasible. If you're poor you'll probably have to wait until 2075 or 2080 when it's routine. We are very serious about it. That's how fast this technology is moving: 45 years is a hell of a long time in IT.'

    Pearson, 44, has formed his mind-boggling vision of the future after graduating in applied mathematics and theoretical physics, spending four years working in missile design and the past 20 years working in optical networks, broadband network evolution and cybernetics in BT's laboratories. He admits his prophecies are both 'very exciting' and 'very scary'.

    He believes that today's youngsters may never have to die, and points to the rapid advances in computing power demonstrated last week, when Sony released the first details of its PlayStation 3. It is 35 times more powerful than previous games consoles. 'The new PlayStation is 1 per cent as powerful as a human brain,' he said. 'It is into supercomputer status compared to 10 years ago. PlayStation 5 will probably be as powerful as the human brain.'

    The world's fastest computer, IBM's BlueGene, can perform 70.72 trillion calculations per second (teraflops) and is accelerating all the time. But anyone who believes in the uniqueness of consciousness or the soul will find Pearson's next suggestion hard to swallow. 'We're already looking at how you might structure a computer that could possibly become conscious. There are quite a lot of us now who believe it's entirely feasible.

    'We don't know how to do it yet but we've begun looking in the same directions, for example at the techniques we think that consciousness is based on: information comes in from the outside world but also from other parts of your brain and each part processes it on an internal sensing basis. Consciousness is just another sense, effectively, and that's what we're trying to design in a computer. Not everyone agrees, but it's my conclusion that it is possible to make a conscious computer with superhuman levels of intelligence before 2020.'

    He continued: 'It would definitely have emotions - that's one of the primary reasons for doing it. If I'm on an aeroplane I want the computer to be more terrified of crashing than I am so it does everything to stay in the air until it's supposed to be on the ground.

    'You can also start automating an awful lots of jobs. Instead of phoning up a call centre and getting a machine that says, "Type 1 for this and 2 for that and 3 for the other," if you had machine personalities you could have any number of call staff, so you can be dealt with without ever waiting in a queue at a call centre again.'

    Pearson, from Whitehaven in Cumbria, collaborates on technology with some developers and keeps a watching brief on advances around the world. He concedes the need to debate the implications of progress. 'You need a completely global debate. Whether we should be building machines as smart as people is a really big one. Whether we should be allowed to modify bacteria to assemble electronic circuitry and make themselves smart is already being researched.

    'We can already use DNA, for example, to make electronic circuits so it's possible to think of a smart yoghurt some time after 2020 or 2025, where the yoghurt has got a whole stack of electronics in every single bacterium. You could have a conversation with your strawberry yogurt before you eat it.'

    In the shorter term, Pearson identifies the next phase of progress as 'ambient intelligence': chips with everything. He explained: 'For example, if you have a pollen count sensor in your car you take some antihistamine before you get out. Chips will come small enough that you can start impregnating them into the skin. We're talking about video tattoos as very, very thin sheets of polymer that you just literally stick on to the skin and they stay there for several days. You could even build in cellphones and connect it to the network, use it as a video phone and download videos or receive emails.'

    Philips, the electronics giant, is developing the world's first rollable display which is just a millimetre thick and has a 12.5cm screen which can be wrapped around the arm. It expects to start production within two years.

    The next age, he predicts, will be that of 'simplicity' in around 2013-2015. 'This is where the IT has actually become mature enough that people will be able to drive it without having to go on a training course.

    'Forget this notion that you have to have one single chip in the computer which does everything. Why not just get a stack of little self-organising chips in a box and they'll hook up and do it themselves. It won't be able to get any viruses because most of the operating system will be stored in hardware which the hackers can't write to. If your machine starts going wrong, you just push a button and it's reset to the factory setting.'

    Pearson's third age is 'virtual worlds' in around 2020. 'We will spend a lot of time in virtual space, using high quality, 3D, immersive, computer generated environments to socialise and do business in. When technology gives you a life-size 3D image and the links to your nervous system allow you to shake hands, it's like being in the other person's office. It's impossible to believe that won't be the normal way of communicating.


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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 216 ✭✭seo-ireland


    :eek: :eek: :eek:

    It'll happen though. I believe that this century is the last where people will actually 'die'. Maybe we will just miss the boat :o


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,411 ✭✭✭✭Trojan


    sf authors always talk about downloading brain contents, backing up, immortality, etc.

    I am not the contents of my brain. I am a stream of consiousness [1]. If this physical brain dies, and another has those contents installed, then the result is someone who may think they're me, but who is not.
    article wrote:
    'If you draw the timelines, realistically by 2050 we would expect to be able to download your mind into a machine, so when you die it's not a major career problem,'

    Maybe not for my employer, but I'll be pretty upset about it.

    1. Ignoring sleep and unconsiousness for sake of simplicity.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,647 ✭✭✭impr0v


    I don't know about him but I wouldn't like the clusterfuks in BT's administration department to be looking after my consciousness, it would be preferably to die in one piece.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 432 ✭✭Daelus


    I don't want my brain to be downloaded! What's the point in that? Immortality isn't all it's cracked up to be, I hear.

    And yes, it wouldn't be me, it would be a copy of my mind. What's the point? Unless it's some supergenius who can keep inventing new things after they're dead. But even that would be expoitative.

    It's kind of morbid, too. And people who cared about you wouldn't want to be near this copy of your mind. Too painful.

    Also, I don't want to talk to my strawberry yoghurt before I eat it!
    "Hello, sir, good day to you, no, no, no, aaagh! Get off me! No!" Not my ideal way of eating.

    :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 25 1 User Name


    I think there has to be a point in time where someone has to die. circle of life and what about the afterlife?? I know i'm getting a bit philisophical (sp?) but i wouldn't be too keen on the idea of immortality.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,959 ✭✭✭mp3guy


    Not 2050, maybe 2100. I still have a magazine from i think 2000 that said there'd be videos phones everywhere by 2005, sure there is.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,937 ✭✭✭fade2black


    Ah Ross had this theory in friends years ago....


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,390 ✭✭✭ando


    Hmm, good idea. Imagine you were an ugly git and you wanted a new body. you could kidnap some good looking chap, erase his mind and upload your mind to his host body. Now, where is Brad Pit these days.....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,352 ✭✭✭funky penguin


    If I did that (and if I had the money, I would), I bet you anything that someone would accidently delete me.


  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 17,990 Mod ✭✭✭✭ixoy


    I'd recommend people read David Brin's "Kil'n People" which goes into some detail about backing up your memories into other bodies and the whole concept of who the "real" you is as a result. Pretty good book.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,284 ✭✭✭pwd


    imo:
    the "real" you as a continuing entity is an illusion. You are not who you were 5 years ago, you are something that evolved form that person, and you are as transient as s/he was.

    By that rationale cloning your mind onto a computer, before dying, is the same as if you continued living, since neither the person you are in 5 years or the computer will actually be 'you': You, as you are now, will die soon either way.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 626 ✭✭✭Kazaanova


    Even if the PS3 was one percent as powerful as the human brain, which it isnt, and we build a computer by 2050 that was as powerful as the human brain, which we wont, its still not as simple as hooking up your head to a PC.

    I'm pretty sure when they say "as powerful as a human brain", they mean that it can carry out the same number of operations a second that the brain can. The brain isnt just like a really fast computer. What they're talking about here would be extremely difficult if not impossible.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,352 ✭✭✭funky penguin


    Kazaanova wrote:
    What they're talking about here would be extremely difficult if not impossible.


    They said that about flight aswell. :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,423 ✭✭✭tinkerbell


    Pretty cool! Heh, I wanna be immortal :D

    However, I doubt it'll happen :( Remember in the late 80s / early 90s, everyone thought that by the year 2000, we'd be living in a world like the Jetsons - that so didn't happen :(

    I wanna live in a world like the Jetsons!!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,248 ✭✭✭4Xcut


    Firstly, do you have any idea how horrible it would be to be immortal not to mention being trapped in a machine? Without being morbid death is great. It is a beautiful thing that make every moment we live unique. The very essence of what it is to be human is to be a finite being that has physical limitations.

    Secondly the physical limitations are immeasurable It’s not just as we say "Right so then lads, 45677 billion GHz, here Seamus stick this plug in your ear, ha your immortal didn't expect that, didja."

    The ethical implications are also of great concern, the emotions of your loved ones. A person is mind, body and soul, all three. This brings me on to my final point. Without getting in to a religious debate (mostly because I would never force my religious beliefs on someone else) but many people would believe in some form of an afterlife or something. What happens does your soul just turn to you and say “I’ll be out the back havin' a smoke, let me know when your dead."

    The sheer madness of such a heresy to the human being and the human spirit is horrifying at best. I for one would rather die now than live for ever.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,579 ✭✭✭Pet


    Unless you find some way of making the databanks indestructable, then you're not going to be "immortal". War is always going to be present, and that'll see to it that you don't live for too long as a machine either. It would be just another lifetime, in a different form.


  • Registered Users Posts: 216 ✭✭seo-ireland


    Pet wrote:
    Unless you find some way of making the databanks indestructable, then you're not going to be "immortal".

    Ever heard of 'interplanetary backup'. Come to think of it when you can backup, cloning is a breeze. S**t now that's scary. Imagine an army of Bertie Ahern killing machines!


  • Moderators, Arts Moderators Posts: 35,267 Mod ✭✭✭✭pickarooney


    Are those machines who kill Bertie Ahern or machines who kill and look like Bertie Ahern? Just so I know before I invest.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,502 ✭✭✭MrPinK


    Why accept the limitations of biology, I say. Time to shuffle off this mortal coil.
    and what about the afterlife??
    How foolish will you feel if you die and nothing happens though. You'll wish you had gone for the computer option.
    I for one would rather die now than live for ever
    Not dying of natural causes isn't exactly the same as living for ever. You could just Ctrl-Alt-Del after a few hundred years.


  • Registered Users Posts: 216 ✭✭seo-ireland


    Are those machines who kill Bertie Ahern or machines who kill and look like Bertie Ahern? Just so I know before I invest.

    Does this answer your question?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,322 ✭✭✭Repli


    The title is a bit misleading "Never die"
    What would be created is a copy of you at a particular point in time, (all your memories, etc would be copied over at that point) and then providing the technology is there, you have 2 living beings. You and the copy of you in the computer. Just like having a twin. You both live completely non-connected lives from that point on though. Only difference being, your life ends, the life contained in the computer does not.


  • Moderators, Arts Moderators Posts: 35,267 Mod ✭✭✭✭pickarooney


    If we'd just spent more time studying the humble amoeba, we'd have cracked this clone-yourself-become-immortal business ages ago.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,573 ✭✭✭Infini


    Who'd want their brain downloaded into a computer. It'd be better to make a younger version of yourself and transfer your consiousness into that. I wouldn't want to live in a computer when somebody could screw with my mind..... :(


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,001 ✭✭✭✭Flukey


    We will never get to a time where we can't die. It wouldn't be much fun anyhow. Even a lot of old people now find life hard, because so much of what and who they knew in their lives have gone. Living forever wouldn't be all its cracked up to be.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,216 ✭✭✭✭monkeyfudge


    Will it be like the movie TRON? That would be so cool....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,718 ✭✭✭SkepticOne


    Of course this is just a PR stunt by BT pretending to be a visionary company. Every few years they try something like this and the press lap it up. In 1996 they pretended to have a project called 'Soul Catcher' which was a chip that recorded all your thoughts and emotions.
    But it was Dr Chris Winter from British Telecom’s Martlesham Heath Laboratories, near Ipswich who really upped the ante and sent science watchers into a spin last year, when he mentioned BT’s ideas for the ‘Soul Catcher’. A micro-memory chip, designed to be implanted into the human brain to record life as it happens.

    ‘This is the end of death... By combining this information with a record of the person’s genes, we could recreate a person physically, emotionally and spiritually,’ announced Dr Winter. ‘All we think, all our emotions and creative brain activity will be able to be copied onto silicon. This is immortality in the truest sense - future generations will not die.’
    Basically, BT is a monopoly telco and needs to be seen to be at the cutting edge of technology so they put out this sort of thing. In the 60s and 70s (in their state-owned incarnation) they used to have exhibitions demonstrating exciting technologies like videoconferencing and the paperless office. In reality, BT, like Eircom, are very conservative in the way they operate their business and only embrace new technologies (like the Internet and broadband) when existing revenues become threatened.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 25 1 User Name


    MrPinK wrote:
    How foolish will you feel if you die and nothing happens though. You'll wish you had gone for the computer option.

    I won't feel foolish because i'll be dead!! but even so how good would the computer option be?

    On a lighter side, every film that gives computers too much power (Terminator) always ends up in disaster!! do people really want computers to be more powerful than the human brain, therefore, making the human brain obselete?


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,016 ✭✭✭✭vibe666


    movies predicting computers taking over the world always end in disaster because that's what sells, not because that's what's going to happen.

    I for one welcome your ideas and would like to subscribe to your newsletter.

    where do I sign?

    the othger thing of course is that they put you into a computer and before l;ong they can recreate that computer small enough to have a working cybernetic copy of you ala terminator (only without the camp accent).

    or even create a clone from your DNA and stick you back into that until it wears out and then again and again ad infinitum.

    although I've also heard about anti-aging and rejuvanating techniques that will prevent our bodies ever wearing out in the first place.

    the only reason we get old and die in the first place is a switch in our genes telling us to do so. turn that off and we'll live a lot longer, anything up to 140 years (of active, independant life) from what I've read and by that time they should have figured out how to rejuninate us to whatever age suits us best, say 25-30.

    as for the 'not extending life unnaturally' thing, you're already doing it if you're over 30 or so, as that would have been your life expectancy a few thousand years ago. now you+'re quite likely to make it to 80 or more with current medicine and in 50 years who knows what things will be like.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,295 ✭✭✭ionapaul


    Anyone actually read the posts by Trojan and Repli? THE DOWNLOADED COPY OF YOUR MIND IS NOT YOU. It is only a copy. You will still die when you die, the copy might live on, but that is of no consequence to those wanting immortality. Cloning is equally as misleading - the clone is only an exact copy. If you were cloned on a Tuesday and were hit by a truck on a Wednesday, you are dead. The clone, a completely seperate lifeform, would live on, acting and thinking as you did (at least at first) but what does that matter to you? You're dead.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,379 ✭✭✭toiletduck


    vibe666 wrote:
    although I've also heard about anti-aging and rejuvanating techniques that will prevent our bodies ever wearing out in the first place.

    i dont think it's a good idea for everybody to be living forever, we would run outta space! People need to die to make room for the next generation. I for one wouldnt want to be immortal, can you imagine how bored you would be after a few hundered years?


This discussion has been closed.
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