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Is SnG rigged?

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    #62
    DapperGent
    Registered Users Posts: 4,838 ✭✭✭DapperGent


    [May 27 16:35:24] : Hand Start.
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Seat 1 : Shikar has $2,260
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Seat 2 : drewskiii has $2,740
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Seat 3 : caravaggio has $2,400
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Seat 4 : DapperG has $2,900
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Seat 5 : michael mj has $2,000
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Seat 6 : welderman has $2,100
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Seat 7 : leo1mc has $1,680
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Seat 8 : billyray996 has $1,920
    [May 27 16:35:24] : leo1mc is the dealer.
    [May 27 16:35:24] : billyray996 posted small blind.
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Shikar posted big blind.
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Game [7] started with 8 players.
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Dealing Hole Cards.
    [May 27 16:35:24] : Seat 4 : DapperG has As Ah
    [May 27 16:35:31] : drewskiii folded.
    [May 27 16:35:33] : caravaggio folded.
    [May 27 16:35:38] : DapperG called 40 and raised 80
    [May 27 16:35:38] : michael mj folded.
    [May 27 16:35:41] : Stakes: 20/40 Current level: 1 Level up in: 2 min. Break in: 50 min. Players : 101
    [May 27 16:35:45] : welderman called 120
    [May 27 16:35:48] : leo1mc folded.
    [May 27 16:35:57] : billyray996 called 100 and raised 500
    [May 27 16:35:57] : Shikar did not respond and is folded
    [May 27 16:36:01] : DapperG called 500
    [May 27 16:36:01] : Stakes: 20/40 Current level: 1 Level up in: 2 min. Break in: 50 min. Players : 101
    [May 27 16:36:08] : welderman called 500
    [May 27 16:36:08] : Dealing flop.
    [May 27 16:36:08] : Board cards [Ac 8d Jh]
    [May 27 16:36:18] : billyray996 bet 400
    [May 27 16:36:21] : Stakes: 20/40 Current level: 1 Level up in: 2 min. Break in: 50 min. Players : 100
    [May 27 16:36:21] : DapperG called 400
    [May 27 16:36:25] : welderman folded.
    [May 27 16:36:25] : Dealing turn.
    [May 27 16:36:25] : Board cards [Ac 8d Jh Qs]
    [May 27 16:36:41] : billyray996 has 10 seconds to respond.
    [May 27 16:36:41] : Stakes: 20/40 Current level: 1 Level up in: 1 min. Break in: 49 min. Players : 100
    [May 27 16:36:43] : billyray996 bet 900 and is All-in
    [May 27 16:36:44] : DapperG called 900
    [May 27 16:36:45] : Showdown!
    [May 27 16:36:45] : Seat 4 : DapperG has As Ah
    [May 27 16:36:47] : Seat 4 : DapperG has As Ah
    [May 27 16:36:47] : Seat 8 : billyray996 has Jd Js
    [May 27 16:36:52] : Board cards [Ac 8d Jh Qs Jc]
    [May 27 16:36:52] : Seat 8 : billyray996 has Jd Js
    [May 27 16:36:52] : billyray996 has Four of a kind: Jacks
    [May 27 16:36:52] : Seat 4 : DapperG has As Ah
    [May 27 16:36:52] : DapperG has Full House : Aces full of Jacks
    [May 27 16:36:52] : billyray996 wins 4,500 with Four of a kind: Jacks
    [May 27 16:37:01] : Stakes: 20/40 Current level: 1 Level up in: 1 min. Break in: 49 min. Players : 100
    [May 27 16:37:02] : Hand is over.


    Rigged!!! :)


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    #63
    PPP-Pit Boss
    Closed Accounts Posts: 914 ✭✭✭PPP-Pit Boss


    Yuk! ;(


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    #64
    BrendanB
    Closed Accounts Posts: 158 ✭✭BrendanB


    The maths on the AA vs AA is a bit off, they're not independent events. Given that one player has aces the odds on a specific other player also having aces is (2/50)*(1/49). If the question is the odds of aces vs aces at the same table the numbers are a lot lower (in that it's more likely) than that. Odds of a pair of aces at a 9 man table aren't that long.

    Unfortunately the odds of two players having aces and one having kings were recently demonstrated to me.


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