Winter 2025-'26 predictions and thoughts

nacho libre

It maybe too soon for some for this thread, but not for me:)

What are your ideas for this winter? Based on absolutely nothing- the soundest methodology, i find- i am going for a notable and lengthy cold spell in December, but it will be a mostly snowless one. I feel this winter could be a stormy one at times, in mid to late January. February will be a mainly mild month. I see last week some of the seasonals were going for a promising start to winter anyway. Although that might have changed since.

pad199207

The usual milder winter on the way I’d say.

sryanbruen

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058423866/winter-2025-26-predictions-and-thoughts

I already made this thread Nacho.

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058422842/winter-2025-26-prospects-and-chat

Elmer Blooker

the jet stream is unusually far south for the time of year at the moment but no worries, our Iberia high will push it to the north of us when winter comes. Don’t see why this winter will be any different to recent ones. Of course the high could be situated near the Azores (1038hpa) or over Europe but not that it matters as the result is the same.

daheff

i reckon we are in for a cold winter. wet & windy in November turning cold by the end of the month. Dec to early Feb to be hard cold, but dry. Late feb becomes wet & windy and a little warmer (but still not great). Then usual windy wet March turning into dry and bright April.

All based on nothing other than gut feeling. So expect dry unseasonably warm winter then 🤣

ClimateObserver

The CFS - basically a toy, can be viewed here. https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=1&model=cfs&var=2&time=0&run=0&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=24

It shows a potential nice Christmas prezzie here:

nacho libre

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123794465#Comment_123794465

Sorry Sryan. The powers that be can close this thread then.

pad199207

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123798357#Comment_123798357

Yup. No reason why are usual winters won’t continue. Mild. Drier than normal though would be nice.

Don’t want to see any cold weather unless it brings impressive snowfall and cold, but that all seems a thing of the past now.

ClimateObserver

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123798575#Comment_123798575

There was a notable snow drought in these parts from 1996 to 2009, with the exception of the short but heavy snowfall in late Dec 2000 and even more brief White Christmas 2004. I think 2009, 2010, 2017-2018 and Jan 2025 have raised expectations! My anecdotal musings are that snowfall is getting heavier and a little more frequent now than before.

Of course that relates to my area and not representative of the country as a whole and thanks to the internet, now-a-days it's much easier to hear from folks who are getting a snow event and who is not. Perhaps, when this area was getting a substantial snow drought from '96 to '09, other areas were getting more events and this is just compounding my musings as this area missed out?

Snow in this country is rarely a whole-of-the island event by any stretch anyways. Here's hoping for a decent winter ahead like 2017-2018 which is one of the best winters for frequency of snowfall and it sure went out with a bang in March with two very heavy snowfalls.

Elmer Blooker

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123798575#Comment_123798575

Yes, if we can’t get cold my second preference would be something like the unusually warm and dry Feb 1998. A lenticular chart.

I like opening the windows in winter with a warm breeze wafting through the house and the heating OFF.

Ros4Sam24

An early winter chart? I hope so!

Cooling down the North Sea early is important if we have any chance at a cold easterly. Anyways who doesn’t love frosty mornings in Autumn, there are rarity nowadays.

Edit: sorry didn’t put this in the right winter thread (can mods move this post to Winter predictions and thoughts)