Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/

Charts ( Up to T120 ) Summer 2025 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST*

  • 01-06-2025 11:55AM
    #1
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,696 Mod ✭✭✭✭


    Mod Note:

    This thread is for posting/discussing/analyzing CHARTS in the shorter range timeframe up to T120 hours (next 5 days) for Summer 2025.

    If your post does not specifically relate to a chart then it doesn't belong here - Off topic posts will be moved

    Thank you.

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    After a mostly dry and sunny Spring, the final week of Spring brought a major pattern change into a much more unsettled Atlantic driven setup. This looks like continuing into the start of summer. The coming week will be quiet cool at times with rain or showers around every day.

    image.png

    We continue the week with a flat zonal westerly driving in rain or showers most days.

    image.png

    Anywhere up to 40mm of rainfall can be expecting over the coming 5/6 days in western areas and up to 20mm of rainfall elsewhere.

    image.png

    Temperatures will be a few degrees below normal at times ranging 10 to 14C for much of this week.



«1

Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,871 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Still relatively cool tomorrow and temperatures only slowly improving first in the S and SE on Tuesday. Weds getting up to the high teens and over 20c perhaps in a few inland places and humid and temperatures could get knocked back significantly if under some heavy rain or thunderstorms with hail a possibility. Thurs looking like high teens into low 20's for many and again will see how much shower activity is showing on the more hi res models ( currently looks like widespread showers, some heavy ) and watching for the risk of some thunderstorm activity. Fri just slightly outside the 120hrs but as a group under the same weather pattern again would be expecting shower activity fairly widespread and some heavy or maybe more prolonged rainfall, heavy in places and the chance of thunderstorms.

    Can see in Weds chart the more active trough and fronts approaching from the South and on the pressure charts the area of dominant LP to the W and SW steering in the unstable LP features on the warm moisture rich airflow being dragged up from Spain. Wouldn't be surprised to see a bit higher temperatures than what is depicted on the charts below.

    modezrpd_20250608_1400_animation.gif modezrpd_20250608_1800_animation.gif

    FSXX00T_72.gif

    FSXX00T_84 (1).gif

    Untitled Image

    Untitled Image

    Untitled Image

    Untitled Image

    Untitled Image


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,613 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    graphe_ens3scn4.php.gif

    A generally unsettled spell of weather will carry on through the end of the working week, with a risk of thunderstorms, particularly on Thursday.

    Monday will see outbreaks of rain becoming widespread across the northern half of the country, while southern counties are likely to stay mostly dry. Rain will move into western parts of Connacht and Ulster by late morning, reaching the east Ulster coast by mid-afternoon.

    Scattered showers are expected on Tuesday and Wednesday, continuing into the first half of Thursday. Heavier, possibly thundery downpours will then spread northeast across the country, with the northwest most at risk of thunderstorm activity.

    The showery theme will continue into Friday and Saturday, but conditions are set to improve from Sunday onwards, with drier and brighter weather and some sunny spells likely into the following week.

    Temperatures will be around average for the time of year, with highs in the mid to high teens widely. Temperatures may exceed 20c in parts of north Leinster and Ulster later in the week.

    After a particularly wet week—where some areas saw over double the usual rainfall—this week’s totals will be slightly below average overall. The highest rainfall amounts are expected in Ulster (40–50mm), while south and east Munster will see the least (around 10mm).

    Winds will be moderate to fresh from the southwest until Tuesday night, easing and turning southerly by Wednesday.

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,043 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Latest Aperge increases rainfall totals

    Previous

    image.png

    Current

    image.png image.png


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,871 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Models look to be upping the rainfall totals I think. A lot of rain up along the E, NE, N and NW it would seem with thunderstorms possibly in the mix at times so some areas getting even higher totals perhaps.

    Breezy to blustery at times too. Poor spell of weather over the coming days.

    Untitled Image

    Untitled Image Untitled Image

    Untitled Image

    Untitled Image


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,613 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Heavy showers will affect Munster and Connacht this evening. Some of these showers may produce thundery downpours. The focus of the showers will be in the eastern half of Ireland during Saturday. It will turn much drier everywhere from Sunday through next week.

    animugo4.gif

    www.weatheire.com



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,871 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Looking warm to very warm and some hot chart showing up towards the end of the week through the weekend. Low rainfall totals , some places maybe not getting any, starting to see quite warm nights as well as the week goes on. Looks like a real taste of summer and could be seeing temperatures in the high 20's over the weekend perhaps.

    modez_20250615_1600_animation (1).gif modez_20250615_2100_animation.gif modez_20250615_2100_animation (1).gif xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2025061500_135_949_157.png

    Untitled Image

    Untitled Image

    Untitled Image

    Untitled Image

    Untitled Image


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,422 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Yes indeed, Met Eireann keeping a lid on it for now but basically getting warmer and warmer every day. I see no reason why we can't reach a whopping 30C by Sunday!! Coinciding with the longest day of the year an exceptional spell of weather is knocking on the door

    17500102853516311352749370618983.png


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,613 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    It will certainly heat up beyond mid-week with temperatures reaching the mid-20s in many spots. Meteociel.fr may be over-egging the red temperature hues a tad however.

    Copy of weather.jpg

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,324 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    w t a

    Post edited by squarecircles on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,422 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Certainly quite the downgrade from this time last night! Unthinkable but even by Friday night things are getting more unsettled. The thundery breakdown has even vanished!!



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,696 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Models over the past few days have been all over the place, flip flopping from cold northerlies, to Heat and high pressure lasting anywhere from 2 to 7 days, and also the Atlantic just flattening things off after 3 days, nothing was set in stone put this week much dryer and milder than recent weeks and 2 days of decent warmth is certain but everything from Saturday onwards is filled with scatter and model chaos. This could all change again tomorrow. We have up to Friday night guaranteed to be relatively dry and warm. Tomorrows model watching will be critical to how this coming weekend plays out.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,613 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Temperatures will peak in the high 20s, particularly on Friday. The top temperature so far today is 22c at Shannon Airport.


    THURSDAY.png FRIDAY.png



    and 25c at 8am on Saturday before cooler air moves in from the west

    SAT.png

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,324 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    6 days since the last post, says it all really, the rot has well and truly set in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,636 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Should start to see posts in this from tonight onwards as we are within the 5 day range of the warm to hot weather 😎



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,094 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    A summary of the max temp projections over Ireland based on the 12Z runs.

    image.png

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 334 ✭✭Ros4Sam24


    As has been mentioned earlier, high nighttime temperatures are very much a possibility in this upcoming warm spell with UKV showing 22c at 3am in the capital in the early hours of Sunday!

    IMG_0712.jpeg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,094 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Beware that's a max temperature chart for the past 6 hours, not a live temperature for 3am. Even so the min equivalent still shows it. I don't know, seems dubious to me. ICON shows 18C at that time.

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,324 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    00z GFS breaks down the heat as soon as Sunday in the west, with showers and a lot of cloud, it’s also being nibbling away at the warmth on Thursday and Friday on various runs the last couple of days in the west, back to cool showery conditions next week with some heavy deluges, and a southwest pig flow, it was too much to ask for wasn’t it, one f ‘ing warm sunny day. A classic sign of a pigs mess of a summer.A cloudy overcast warm mess.

    In a word,A pile of garbage.

    The next warm spell is already being downgraded by MT cranium this morning,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    @squarecircles - nearly every contribution you make to the weather threads are bemoaning future possible downgrades



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,449 ✭✭✭Cork2021


    if anything I think MT has a great forecast going forward! Thunderstorms heat and sun!



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,364 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Does the mute function still work?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,918 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Its called the ignore button, and yes, it does.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,364 ✭✭✭pad199207




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,324 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    it’s the reality of the situation, it was suppose to be a sunny hot spell, instead it’s going to be a cloudy humid warm pigs mess before we return to a cloudy cool showery set up next week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 334 ✭✭Ros4Sam24


    I think some cloud for most places was signposted for a while now tbh. I don’t see any downgrades at all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,584 ✭✭✭esposito


    Maybe not so good for you in the northwest? but most of Ireland will be enjoying good spells of very warm sunshine. Next week is not set in stone, a bit cooler maybe. Warm weather could return soon after.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,324 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    met Éireann giving more detail about the weekend, cloudy in the west Saturday, clouding over in muster and Connaught with showery rain on Sunday. No mention of thunderstorms. Back to cooler weather ,showers and longer spells of rain next week. A pile of cack for anyone in the west. YAY LONGER SPELLS OF RAIN, JUST WHAT WE NEED YAY!!!!!

    IMG_9730.jpeg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    But it's a forecast so getting excited and then disappointed is pointless (though part of the fun looking at weather charts). The weather is the weather and there's sweet FA we can do about it only deal with whats happening in front of us. Constant whinging about downgrades though is tiresome to read on thread.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,767 ✭✭✭rovers_runner


    Friday & Sat seem to be the peak for the NW, I'd expect something like the 28 we got the last time a few weeks back.
    It usually doesn't last long up here but when it kicks in it warms up fair quick once the west/SW airflow hits.

    Still looks like it'll be better inland west than on the east coast for weekend.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,912 ✭✭✭sparrowcar


    East Coast looks perfect 👌

    25c is the sweet spot temp wise in Ireland and a seas breeze if you need it at the coast. 30c in the midland with bo breeze is torture.



Advertisement