March 2024 Boards weather forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

1. Predict the "IMT" or Irish Mean Temperature which is the average for night and day at these five locations: Casement, Mullingar, Claremorris, Oak Park, and Shannon. (In March the normal IMT is 6.8 C). That is worth a maximum of 25 points. You lose one point per 0.1 deg error.
2. Predict the MAX which is the highest reading at any of the 25 regular reporting stations on the met.ie website. Worth 20 points, same error.
3. Predict the MIN, lowest reading, otherwise same idea. Worth 20 points, same error as the first two.
4. Predict the PRC which is the rainfall plus liquid equivalent of any other types of precipitation, as a percentage of normal for the average at eleven locations in Ireland. Those are the five listed in 1 above, plus Malin Head, Belmullet, Ballyhaise, Johnstown Castle (in Wexford), Cork, and Valentia. (worth 15 points, you lose one point for each 3% error).
5. Predict the SUN, hours of sunshine also as a percentage of normal, from stats gathered at six locations around Ireland (Casement, Dublin, Cork, Valentia, Shannon, Belmullet). The average duration of sunshine in March is about 3.5 hours a day. Worth 10 points and the score is reduced for each multiple of 5% error.
6. BONUS for March __ Predict the maximum temperature on 17th March at Dublin A (10 points, scores are always by rank order regardless of whether the errors are big or small ... superbonus will apply, any forecast right on to nearest decimal gets 2, and an error of 0.1 is worth one extra point.)

Deadline as always 0300h of 1st March, late penalties 1 point per 4 hours to 1500h 2nd and 1 point per hour afterwards. (it's a leap year so you have to early Friday morning to post)

Will post forecasts for myself and NormaL in next two days; Dublin's average max would be around 11.5 C by 17th. If anyone has a more precise value they could offer for that, I will use it instead, my estimate is just going with the known mean for March, adjusted to 17th, and average daily range of about 8 to 9 deg).

Bsal

Bsal_____________7.0 _ 18.0 _ -3.0 _ 125 _ 99 ____ 12.0

Tazio

Tazio_____________6.5 _ 15.0 _ -1.5 _ 90 _ 115 ____ 7.5

Gonzo

Gonzo_____________7.6 _ 18.2 _ -3.4 _ 112 _ 090 ____ 12.3

John mac

john mac ____________ 7.1 _ 18.7 _ -3.7 _ 108 _ 095 ___ 13.7

sryanbruen

sryanbruen ____________ 6.8 _ 17.9 _ -4.6 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 8.1

dasa29

Dasa29 ____________ 7.4 _ 17.0 _ -2.0 _ 120 _ 100 ___ 12.0

kindredspirit

Kindred Spirit ___ 7.5 ___ 17.2 ___ -2.0 ___ 85 ___ 105 ___ 9.1

esposito

esposito___ 7.1___ 19.2 ___ -5.3___ 85 ___ 105 ___ 13.0

DOCARCH

DOCARCH _____________6.8 _ 17.8 _ -4.2 _ 90 _ 110 ____ 7.8

waterways

waterways ____________ 7.0 _ 20.9 _ -4.3 _ 112 _ 105 ___ 13.1

Artane2002

Artane2002_____________7.6 _ 17.7 _ -3.7 _ 125 _ 90 ____ 13.3

Cornerstonelad

Cornerstonelad_____8.9___17.5____-3.9___85___130____14.5

Joe Public

Joe Public_____________7.3 _ 17.7 _ -4.4 _ 93 _ 98 ____ 7.1

rameire

Rameire_____________7.2 _ 18.4 _ -3.5 _ 117 _ 94 ____ 7.9 miserable wet damp

WolfeEire

WolfeEire_____________6.7 _ 18 _ -5 _ 95 _ 120 ____ 10

sunflower3

Sunflower3____________6.9__ 19.1 _ -4.0 _ 105 _ 90 ____12.1

adam240610

I'm feeling a very average and forgettable month, (before a glorious April??) and am quite tired sooo

Can you put me down for Normal? I would copy it but you don't have the vals in here yet, bonus 11.8

adam240610___Normal___11.8

appledrop

Appledrop 7.3__17.2__-4.0__115__90__11.2

200motels

200motels 6.9 _ 16.9 _ -4.2 _ 95 _ 106 ___ 7.1

mr.stonewall

Mr stonewall 6.4___15.7___-4.6___72___120___8.1

Tae laidir

Tae laidir__________7.5 _ 17.8 _ -2.3 _ 117 _ 103 ____ 12.3

pauldry

Pauldry 7.8__18.2__-3.8__125__92__12.1

M.T. Cranium

MTC ________ 7.2 _ 17.7 _ -3.5 _ 105 _ 110 __ 13.5

NORMAL _____6.8 _ 18.0 _ -4.5 _ 100 _ 100 __ 11.8

dacogawa

Dacogawa_____________7.8 _ 18.0 _ -3.8 _ 140 _ 90 ___ 14.1

Jpmarn

Jpmarn _____7.8 _ 18.2 _ -3.5 _ 100 _ 110 __ 12.8

mrskinner

Skinner____7.3__17.3__-3.3__123__103__13.3

M.T. Cranium

Table of forecasts for March 2024 

FORECASTER ____________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ max 17th (Dub A)

Cornerstonelad____________ 8.9 _ 17.5 _ -3.9 _ 085 _ 130 ____14.5

Jpmarn __________________7.8 _ 18.2 _ -3.5 _ 100 _ 110 ______12.8

Pauldry ________________7.8 _ 18.2 _ -3.8 _ 125 _ 092 ______ 12.1

Dacogawa _______________ 7.8 _ 18.0 _ -3.8 _ 140 _ 090 ____ 14.1

Gonzo ___________________7.6 _ 18.2 _ -3.4 _ 112 _ 090 ______ 12.3

Artane2002_______________7.6 _ 17.7 _ -3.7 _ 125 _ 090 _____ 13.3

Tae laidir_________________7.5 _ 17.8 _ -2.3 _ 117 _ 103 ______ 12.3

Kindred Spirit ____________ 7.5 _ 17.2 _ -2.0 _ 085 _ 105 _________ 9.1

Dasa29 _________________ 7.4 _ 17.0 _ -2.0 _ 120 _ 100 ______ 12.0

Joe Public________________7.3 _ 17.7 _ -4.4 _ 093 _ 098 ___________ 7.1

Mr Skinner _______________7.3 _ 17.3 _ -3.3 _ 123 _ 103 _____ 13.3

Appledrop _______________ 7.3 _ 17.2 _ -4.0 _ 115 _ 090 _______ 11.2

Rameire_________________ 7.2 _ 18.4 _ -3.5 _ 117 _ 094 __________7.9

___ Con Sensus ___________7.2 _ 17.9 _ -3.8 _ 105 _ 102 ______ 12.1

M.T. Cranium _____________ 7.2 _ 17.7 _ -3.5 _ 105 _ 110 _____13.5

esposito _________________ 7.1 _ 19.2 _ -5.3 _ 085 _ 105 _____ 13.0

john mac ________________ 7.1 _ 18.7 _ -3.7 _ 108 _ 095 _____13.7

waterways _______________ 7.0 _ 20.9 _ -4.3 _ 112 _ 105 _____ 13.1

Bsal ____________________ 7.0 _ 18.0 _ -3.0 _ 125 _ 099 ______ 12.0

Sunflower3_______________ 6.9 _ 19.1 _ -4.0 _ 105 _ 090 ______ 12.1

200motels _______________ 6.9 _ 16.9 _ -4.2 _ 095 _ 106 ___________ 7.1

Adam240610 _____________ 6.8 _ 18.0 _ -4.5 _ 100 _ 100 _______11.8

___ NormaL ______________6.8 _ 18.0 _ -4.5 _ 100 _ 100 _______11.8

sryanbruen _______________6.8 _ 17.9 _ -4.6 _ 100 _ 100 _________ 8.1

DOCARCH _______________ 6.8 _ 17.8 _ -4.2 _ 090 _ 110 __________ 7.8

WolfeEire_________________6.7 _ 18.0 _ -5.0 _ 095 _ 120 ________ 10.0

Tazio ____________________6.5 _ 15.0 _ -1.5 _ 090 _ 115 __________7.5

Mr stonewall ______________6.4 _ 15.7 _ -4.6 _ 072 _ 120 _________ 8.1

________________________

26 forecasts, consensus is average of 13th and 14th ranked.

Looks like two forecast groups with some looking for an extension of the Feb trends, others expecting cool and dry to win out.

Tae laidir

Knock Airport -0.7 for openers.

Tae laidir

Mt. Dillon -1.2 yesterday.

M.T. Cranium

After first week ...

IMT _ 6.0, 0.3 below normal.

MAX _ 13.1

MIN _ -1.2

PRC _ 142% of normal

SUN _ 116% of normal

17th looks like 10 to 12 C on current guidance, cloudy s.w. flow indicated

pauldry

Current guidance has a mild paddys day

17c on 17th?

Tae laidir

Oak Park 15.6 yesterday.

M.T. Cranium

Forecasts for 17 Mar ...

FORECASTER ____________ max 17th (Dub A)

Cornerstonelad____________14.5

Dacogawa _______________ 14.1

john mac ________________13.7

M.T. Cranium _____________13.5

Artane2002_______________13.3

Mr Skinner ______________ 13.3

waterways _______________13.1

esposito _________________13.0

Jpmarn__________________12.8

Tae laidir_________________12.3

Gonzo ___________________12.3

Pauldry ________________12.1

Sunflower3_______________12.1

___ Con Sensus __________ 12.1

Dasa29 _________________ 12.0

Bsal ____________________12.0

Adam240610 _____________11.8

___ NormaL ______________11.8

Appledrop _______________ 11.2

WolfeEire______________ 10.0

Kindred Spirit _____________ 9.1

Mr stonewall ______________8.1

sryanbruen _______________8.1

Rameire__________________7.9

DOCARCH ________________7.8

Tazio ____________________7.5

200motels _______________ 7.1

Joe Public_______________7.1

________________________

A reminder, 2 pts superbonus if your forecast is on to nearest 0.1, and 1 pt if you're only 0.1 out.

Scores will run 1 to 10 otherwise, even if it does exceed 16 C, and grouped for a fair result.

Second week update on Friday.

pauldry

Think you could nearly score that table now MT top to bottom. 14c or 15c highly likely for Dublin on Paddys Day.

M.T. Cranium

After second week ...

IMT _ 7.2, 0.8 below normal, second week average 8.4 (+1.8).

MAX _ 15.6

MIN _ -1.2

PRC _ 178% of normal, second week 216% (despite 80% at Malin)

SUN _ 73% of normal, second week 29% (despite 84% at Bel, very cloudy in general)

17th now looks like 12.5 to 14 C on current guidance, still a cloudy s.w. flow indicated, will wait and see before scoring it.

M.T. Cranium

New MIN of -1.9 was set on Saturday (around 0300) at Markree (Mountdillon was -1.8).

M.T. Cranium

max reported as 14.9 for Dub(A) ... if so, scoring as follows:

FORECASTER ____________ max 17th (Dub A)

Cornerstonelad____________14.5 _ 10

Dacogawa _______________ 14.1 _ 10

john mac ________________13.7 _ 9

M.T. Cranium _____________13.5 _ 9

Artane2002_______________13.3 _ 8

Mr Skinner ______________ 13.3 _ 8

waterways _______________13.1 _ 7

esposito _________________13.0 _ 7

Jpmarn__________________12.8 _ 7

Tae laidir_________________12.3 _ 6

Gonzo ___________________12.3 _ 6

Pauldry ________________12.1 _ 5

Sunflower3_______________12.1 _ 5

___ Con Sensus __________ 12.1 _ 5

Dasa29 _________________ 12.0 _ 5

Bsal ____________________12.0 _ 5

Adam240610 _____________11.8 _ 4

___ NormaL ______________11.8 _ 4

Appledrop _______________ 11.2 _ 4

WolfeEire_______________10.0 _ 3

Kindred Spirit _____________ 9.1 _ 3

Mr stonewall ______________8.1 _ 2

sryanbruen _______________8.1 _ 2

Rameire__________________7.9 _ 2

DOCARCH ________________7.8 _ 2

Tazio ____________________7.5 _ 1

200motels _______________ 7.1 _ 1

Joe Public_______________7.1 _ 1

________________________

Will check it out and revise if a different value is posted by met.ie tomorrow.

appledrop

Thanks M.T, one of the best St.Patricks Day weather wise in Dublin it was brilliant, kids had a ball at the local parade.

pauldry

Our parade in Sligo ended with that squall that was on the radar. Got absolutely soaked. Brightened up after around 3pm.

M.T. Cranium

After three weeks (and I almost forgot) ...

IMT _ 7.8, 1.2 above normal, third week average 8.9 (+1.8).

MAX _ 15.6

MIN _ -1.9

PRC _ 151% of normal, third week 101%

SUN _ 76% of normal, second week 83%

BONUS is scored above (14.9 C)

Looks like end of play will look like this:

7.5 _ 15.6 _ -1.9 _ 150 _ 070 __ 14.9

Guidance is just a bit cooler now to end, not a lot though, and quite cloudy and wet apparently.

The rainfall already recorded (including 22nd) guarantees an outcome of 100% so frequent rainfalls in coming week to ten days will all be adding to an above normal outcome.

M.T. Cranium

After four weeks ...

IMT _ 7.6, 0.8 above normal, fourth week average 6.8 (-0.6 relative to normal).

MAX _ 15.6

MIN _ (-2.7 early Friday 29th at Mtdillon) MIN was -1.9 before

PRC _ 163% of normal, fourth week 194%

SUN _ 83% of normal, fourth week 105%

BONUS is scored already (14.9 C)

Now would say end of play will look like this:

7.5 _ 15.6 _ -2.? _ 165 _ 085 __ 14.9

An early scoring estimate is posted now, after seeing what min value we have.

April forecast contest is open. … short-range bonus question for a change.

M.T. Cranium

Minimum progression will probably be needed for MAX and certainly for PRC … MIN no longer needs it (now at -2.7).

MAX will likely be a hammer situation (reduced boosts) with MrStonewall at raw score of 19. Probably a chance of a higher value so these MAX scores could need revising.

PRC high forecast is Dacogawa (140%) not in hammer zone (would be 158 to 172 for outcome of 165%).

… based on estimates to end of month, scores currently looking like this …

FORECASTER ____________ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_ BONUS __ TOTAL

Cornerstonelad____________ 11 _ 08 _ 08 _ 03 _ 01 ____ 11 ____ 42

Jpmarn __________________22 _ 03 _ 12 _ 07 _ 05 ____ 07 ____ 56

Pauldry ________________22 _ 03 _ 09 _ 13 _ 09 ____ 05 ____ 61

Dacogawa _______________ 22 _ 04 _ 09 _ 15 _ 09 ____ 10 ____ 69

Gonzo ___________________24 _ 03 _ 13 _ 09 _ 09 ____ 06 ____ 64

Artane2002_______________24 _ 07 _ 10 _ 13 _ 09 ____ 08 ____ 71

Tae laidir_________________25 _ 06 _ 16 _ 10 _ 06 ____ 06 ____ 69

Kindred Spirit ____________ 25 _ 10 _ 13 _ 03 _ 06 ____ 03 ____ 60

Dasa29 _________________ 24 _ 12 _ 13 _ 11 _ 07 ____ 05 ____ 72

Joe Public________________23 _ 07 _ 03 _ 06 _ 07 ____ 01 ____ 47

Mr Skinner _______________23 _ 09 _ 14 _ 12 _ 06 ____ 08 ____ 72

Appledrop _______________ 23 _ 10 _ 07 _ 09 _ 09 ____ 04 ____ 62

Rameire_________________ 22 _ 02 _ 12 _ 10 _ 08 ____ 02 ____ 56

___ Con Sensus ___________22 _ 05 _ 09 _ 08 _ 07 ____ 05 ____ 56

M.T. Cranium _____________ 22 _ 07 _ 12 _ 08 _ 05 ____ 09 ____ 63

esposito _________________ 21 _ 01 _ 00 _ 03 _ 06 ____ 07 ____ 38

john mac ________________ 21 _ 02 _ 10 _ 08 _ 08 ____ 09 ____ 58

waterways _______________ 20 _ 00 _ 04 _ 09 _ 06 ____ 07 ____ 46

Bsal ____________________ 20 _ 04 _ 17 _ 13 _ 07 ____ 05 ____ 66

Sunflower3_______________ 19 _ 01 _ 07 _ 08 _ 09 ____ 05 ____ 49

200motels _______________ 19 _ 13 _ 05 _ 06 _ 08 ____ 01 ____ 52

Adam240610 _____________ 18 _ 04 _ 02 _ 07 _ 07 ____ 04 ____ 42

___ NormaL ______________ 18 _ 04 _ 02 _ 07 _ 07 ____ 04 ____ 42

sryanbruen _______________18 _ 05 _ 01 _ 07 _ 07 ____ 02 ____ 40

DOCARCH ________________18 _ 06 _ 05 _ 04 _ 05 ____ 02 ____ 40

WolfeEire_________________17 _ 04 _ 00 _ 06 _ 03 ____ 03 ____ 33

Tazio ____________________15 _ 17 _ 08 _ 04 _ 04 ____ 01 ____ 49

Mr stonewall ______________14 _ 20 _ 01 _ 01 _ 03 ____ 02 ____ 41

________________________

Scores to be adjusted and placed in rank order on 1st and/or 2nd.

Annual updates will follow afterwards.

M.T. Cranium

Updated preliminary scoring for April 2024

A new MAX of 16.3 C was set yesterday. Minimum progression not required for creating sufficient raw scores, but oddly no raw score exceeded 14 despite guesses on either side, so raw scores are all adjusted up by four (max scores now 18) and zero raw scores are scaled from 1 to 4.

Also, IMT confirmed at 7.6, and PRC is 155-160 (will confirm).

FORECASTER ____________ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_ BONUS __ TOTAL

Cornerstonelad____________ 12 _ 12 _ 08 _ 03 _ 01 ____ 11 ____ 47

Jpmarn __________________23 _ 05 _ 12 _ 07 _ 05 ____ 07 ____ 59

Pauldry ________________23 _ 05 _ 09 _ 13 _ 09 ____ 05 ____ 64

Dacogawa _______________ 23 _ 07 _ 09 _ 15 _ 09 ____ 10 ____ 73

Gonzo ___________________25 _ 05 _ 13 _ 09 _ 09 ____ 06 ____ 67

Artane2002_______________25 _ 10 _ 10 _ 13 _ 09 ____ 08 ____ 75

Tae laidir_________________24 _ 09 _ 16 _ 10 _ 06 ____ 06 ____ 71

Kindred Spirit ____________ 24 _ 15 _ 13 _ 03 _ 06 ____ 03 ____ 64

Dasa29 _________________ 23 _ 17 _ 13 _ 11 _ 07 ____ 05 ____ 76

Joe Public________________22 _ 10 _ 03 _ 06 _ 07 ____ 01 ____ 49

Mr Skinner _______________22 _ 14 _ 14 _ 12 _ 06 ____ 08 ____ 76

Appledrop _______________ 22 _ 15 _ 07 _ 09 _ 09 ____ 04 ____ 66

Rameire_________________ 21 _ 03 _ 12 _ 10 _ 08 ____ 02 ____ 56

___ Con Sensus ___________21 _ 08 _ 09 _ 08 _ 07 ____ 05 ____ 58

M.T. Cranium _____________ 21 _ 10 _ 12 _ 08 _ 05 ____ 09 ____ 65

esposito _________________ 20 _ 01 _ 00 _ 03 _ 06 ____ 07 ____ 37

john mac ________________ 20 _ 02 _ 10 _ 08 _ 08 ____ 09 ____ 57

waterways _______________ 19 _ 00 _ 04 _ 09 _ 06 ____ 07 ____ 45

Bsal ____________________ 19 _ 07 _ 17 _ 13 _ 07 ____ 05 ____ 68

Sunflower3_______________ 18 _ 01 _ 07 _ 08 _ 09 ____ 05 ____ 48

200motels _______________ 18 _ 18 _ 05 _ 06 _ 08 ____ 01 ____ 56

Adam240610 _____________ 17 _ 07 _ 02 _ 07 _ 07 ____ 04 ____ 44

___ NormaL ______________ 17 _ 07 _ 02 _ 07 _ 07 ____ 04 ____ 44

sryanbruen _______________17 _ 08 _ 01 _ 07 _ 07 ____ 02 ____ 42

DOCARCH ________________17 _ 09 _ 05 _ 04 _ 05 ____ 02 ____ 42

WolfeEire_________________16 _ 07 _ 00 _ 06 _ 03 ____ 03 ____ 35

Tazio ____________________14 _ 11 _ 08 _ 04 _ 04 ____ 01 ____ 42

Mr stonewall ______________13 _ 18 _ 01 _ 01 _ 03 ____ 02 ____ 38

________________________

=========================

(actual forecasts)

FORECASTER ____________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ max 17th (Dub A)

Cornerstonelad____________ 8.9 _ 17.5 _ -3.9 _ 085 _ 130 ____14.5

Jpmarn __________________7.8 _ 18.2 _ -3.5 _ 100 _ 110 ______12.8

Pauldry ________________7.8 _ 18.2 _ -3.8 _ 125 _ 092 ______ 12.1

Dacogawa _______________ 7.8 _ 18.0 _ -3.8 _ 140 _ 090 ____ 14.1

Gonzo ___________________7.6 _ 18.2 _ -3.4 _ 112 _ 090 ______ 12.3

Artane2002_______________7.6 _ 17.7 _ -3.7 _ 125 _ 090 _____ 13.3

Tae laidir_________________7.5 _ 17.8 _ -2.3 _ 117 _ 103 ______ 12.3

Kindred Spirit ____________ 7.5 _ 17.2 _ -2.0 _ 085 _ 105 _________ 9.1

Dasa29 _________________ 7.4 _ 17.0 _ -2.0 _ 120 _ 100 ______ 12.0

Joe Public________________7.3 _ 17.7 _ -4.4 _ 093 _ 098 ___________ 7.1

Mr Skinner _______________7.3 _ 17.3 _ -3.3 _ 123 _ 103 _____ 13.3

Appledrop _______________ 7.3 _ 17.2 _ -4.0 _ 115 _ 090 _______ 11.2

Rameire_________________ 7.2 _ 18.4 _ -3.5 _ 117 _ 094 __________7.9

___ Con Sensus ___________7.2 _ 17.9 _ -3.8 _ 105 _ 102 ______ 12.1

M.T. Cranium _____________ 7.2 _ 17.7 _ -3.5 _ 105 _ 110 _____13.5

esposito _________________ 7.1 _ 19.2 _ -5.3 _ 085 _ 105 _____ 13.0

john mac ________________ 7.1 _ 18.7 _ -3.7 _ 108 _ 095 _____13.7

waterways _______________ 7.0 _ 20.9 _ -4.3 _ 112 _ 105 _____ 13.1

Bsal ____________________ 7.0 _ 18.0 _ -3.0 _ 125 _ 099 ______ 12.0

Sunflower3_______________ 6.9 _ 19.1 _ -4.0 _ 105 _ 090 ______ 12.1

200motels _______________ 6.9 _ 16.9 _ -4.2 _ 095 _ 106 ___________ 7.1

Adam240610 _____________ 6.8 _ 18.0 _ -4.5 _ 100 _ 100 _______11.8

___ NormaL ______________6.8 _ 18.0 _ -4.5 _ 100 _ 100 _______11.8

sryanbruen _______________6.8 _ 17.9 _ -4.6 _ 100 _ 100 _________ 8.1

DOCARCH _______________ 6.8 _ 17.8 _ -4.2 _ 090 _ 110 __________ 7.8

WolfeEire_________________6.7 _ 18.0 _ -5.0 _ 095 _ 120 ________ 10.0

Tazio ____________________6.5 _ 15.0 _ -1.5 _ 090 _ 115 __________7.5

Mr stonewall ______________6.4 _ 15.7 _ -4.6 _ 072 _ 120 _________ 8.1

===================

Table to be confirmed or adjusted around 3rd (as summary is available)

… annual updates will be posted, etc …

________________________

M.T. Cranium

Following is now valid after summary appeared … SUN was 95%, PRC 155% … adjusted SUN scoring, rest of scoring as discussed earlier … IMT 7.6, MAX 16.3, MIN -2.7

Confirmed scoring for March 2024

FORECASTER ____________ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_ BONUS __ TOTAL

Dasa29 _________________ 23 _ 17 _ 13 _ 11 _ 09 ____ 05 ____ 78

Mr Skinner _______________22 _ 14 _ 14 _ 12 _ 08 ____ 08 ____ 78

Artane2002_______________25 _ 10 _ 10 _ 13 _ 09 ____ 08 ____ 75

Dacogawa _______________ 23 _ 07 _ 09 _ 15 _ 09 ____ 10 ____ 73

Tae laidir_________________24 _ 09 _ 16 _ 10 _ 08 ____ 06 ____ 73

Bsal ____________________ 19 _ 07 _ 17 _ 13 _ 09 ____ 05 ____ 70

Gonzo ___________________25 _ 05 _ 13 _ 09 _ 09 ____ 06 ____ 67

M.T. Cranium _____________ 21 _ 10 _ 12 _ 08 _ 07 ____ 09 ____ 67

Appledrop ________________22 _ 15 _ 07 _ 09 _ 09 ____ 04 ____ 66

Kindred Spirit ____________ 24 _ 15 _ 13 _ 03 _ 08 ____ 03 ____ 66

Pauldry __________________23 _ 05 _ 09 _ 13 _ 09 ____ 05 ____ 64

Jpmarn __________________23 _ 05 _ 12 _ 07 _ 07 ____ 07 ____ 61

___ Con Sensus ___________21 _ 08 _ 09 _ 08 _ 09 ____ 05 ____ 60

john mac ________________ 20 _ 02 _ 10 _ 08 _ 10 ____ 09 ____ 59

Rameire_________________ 21 _ 03 _ 12 _ 10 _ 10 ____ 02 ____ 58

200motels _______________ 18 _ 18 _ 05 _ 06 _ 10 ____ 01 ____ 58

Joe Public________________ 22 _ 10 _ 03 _ 06 _ 09 ____ 01 ____ 51

Cornerstonelad____________ 12 _ 12 _ 08 _ 03 _ 03 ____ 11 ____ 49

Sunflower3_______________ 18 _ 01 _ 07 _ 08 _ 09 ____ 05 ____ 48

waterways _______________ 19 _ 00 _ 04 _ 09 _ 08 ____ 07 ____ 47

Adam240610 _____________ 17 _ 07 _ 02 _ 07 _ 09 ____ 04 ____ 46

___ NormaL ______________ 17 _ 07 _ 02 _ 07 _ 09 ____ 04 ____ 46

sryanbruen _______________17 _ 08 _ 01 _ 07 _ 09 ____ 02 ____ 44

Tazio ____________________14 _ 11 _ 08 _ 04 _ 06 ____ 01 ____ 44

DOCARCH ________________17 _ 09 _ 05 _ 04 _ 07 ____ 02 ____ 44

Mr stonewall ______________13 _ 18 _ 01 _ 01 _ 05 ____ 02 ____ 40

esposito _________________ 20 _ 01 _ 00 _ 03 _ 08 ____ 07 ____ 39

WolfeEire_________________16 _ 07 _ 00 _ 06 _ 05 ____ 03 ____ 37

________________________

=========================

Updated Annual and Category scoring

Rank _FORECASTER _______ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_BONUS _ TOTALS (J, F, M) __ Annual TOTAL

now(prev) __ __ __ __ __ ___ ___ ___ ____ ____ ____ ___ ___ __ JAN _ FEB _ MAR ____ 2024 

........... max possible scores .. 75 _ 60 _ 60 _ 45 _ 30 ___ 30 _____ 100__ 100__ 100 ____ 300

01_(02)__MrSkinner ________61 _ 30 _ 46 _ 36 _ 21 ___ 24 _____ 64 ___ 76 ___ 78 ____ 218

02_(01)__Gonzo ___________69 _ 25 _ 45 _ 30 _ 21 ___ 24 _____ 76 ___ 71 ___ 67 ____ 214

03_(t03)__Dacogawa _______ 61 _ 38 _ 23 _ 34 _ 24 ___26 _____ 69 ___ 64 ___ 73 ____ 206

04_(09)__Artane2002 _______59 _ 36 _ 39 _ 28 _ 23 ___ 15 _____ 77 ___ 48 ___ 75 ____ 200

05_(05)__M.T. Cranium ______67 _ 24 _ 29 _ 25 _ 23 ___ 28 _____ 55 ___ 74 ___ 67 ____ 196

06_(06)__Appledrop ________ 59 _ 36 _ 30 _ 25 _ 24 ___ 20 _____ 72 ___ 56 ___ 66 ____ 194

07_(t07)__Pauldry __________62 _ 22 _ 31 _ 32 _ 23 ___ 21 _____ 75 ___ 52 ___ 64 ____ 191

08_(16)__Tae laidir _________ 57 _ 29 _ 37 _ 29 _ 19 ___ 18 _____ 65 ___ 51 ___ 73 ____ 189

09_(t13)__Kindred Spirit _____56 _ 20 _ 50 _ 20 _ 18 ___ 20 _____ 65 ___ 53 ___ 66 ____ 184

9.8_(10.8)__ Con Sensus _____55 _ 22 _ 35 _ 27 _ 21 ___ 20 _____ 72 ___ 48 ___ 60 ____ 180

t10_(t03)__Adam240610 ____ 63 _ 17 _ 27 _ 25 _ 27 ___ 20 _____ 75 ___ 58 ___ 46 ____ 179

t10_(t13)__Jpmarn _________ 40 _ 38 _ 39 _ 25 _ 17 ___ 20 _____ 78 ___ 40 ___ 61 ____ 179

12_(t13)__john mac ________ 50 _ 18 _ 42 _ 24 _ 22 ___ 21 _____ 67 ___ 51 ___ 59 ____ 177

12.8_(8.5)_____NormaL _____44 _ 39 _ 23 _ 27 _ 21 ___ 18 _____ 74 ___ 52 ___ 46 ____ 172

13_(t07)__sryanbruen _______49 _ 33 _ 27 _ 28 _ 24 ___ 10 _____ 89 ___ 38 ___ 44 ____ 171

14_(23)__Dasa29 ___________48 _ 18 _ 29 _ 31 _ 20 ___ 23 _____ 41 ___ 50 ___ 78 ____ 169

15_(20)__Bsal _____________ 53 _ 10 _ 42 _ 22 _ 22 ___ 18 _____ 59 ___ 38 ___ 70 ____ 167

16_(t11)__waterways _______ 52 _ 16 _ 22 _ 35 _ 20 ___ 21 _____ 64 ___ 55 ___ 47 ____ 166

t17_(10)__Mr stonewall _____ 49 _ 41 _ 21 _ 17 _ 17 ___ 18 _____ 66 ___ 57 ___ 40 ____ 163

t17_(t11)__Tazio ___________46 _ 36 _ 29 _ 21 _ 17 ___ 14 _____ 57 ___ 62 ___ 44 ____ 163

19_(22)__Rameire _________ 50 _ 11 _ 19 _ 30 _ 26 ___ 15 _____ 50 ___ 43 ___ 58 ____ 151

t20_(21)__Sunflower3 ______ 48 _ 13 _ 13 _ 28 _ 21 ___ 21 _____ 52 ___ 44 ___ 48 ____ 144

t20_(17)__WolfeEire ________54 _ 16 _ 25 _ 19 _ 17 ___ 13 _____ 68 ___ 39 ___ 37 ____ 144

t20_(18)__Esposito _________48 _ 14 _ 21 _ 21 _ 23 ___ 17 _____ 71 ___ 34 ___ 39 ____ 144

t20_(19)__DOCARCH _______ 47 _ 14 _ 23 _ 25 _ 18 ___ 17 _____ 49 ___ 51 ___ 44 ____ 144

24_(24)__Joe Public _________50 _ 24 _ 13 _ 21 _ 26 ___ 07 _____ 56 ___ 34 ___ 51 ____ 141

25_(25)__Cornerstonelad ____ 37 _ 24 _ 32 _ 16 _ 09 ___ 19 _____ 59 ___ 29 ___ 49 ____ 135

26_(26)__200motels ________ 41 _ 24 _ 16 _ 20 _ 16 ___ 07 _____ 66 ___ --- ___ 58 ____ 124

27_(27)__SleetandSnow _____ 21 _ 08 _ 02 _ 13 _ 06 ___ 06 _____ 56 ___ --- ___ --- ____ 056

28_(28)__Bazlers ___________09 _ 00 _ 00 _ 13 _ 07 ___ 04 _____ 33 ___ --- ___ --- ____ 033

29_(29)__BLIZZARD7 _______ 03 _ 00 _ 00 _ 11 _ 09 ___ 05 _____ 28 ___ --- ___ --- __ 028-2 026

________________

Note: the only late penalty so far is in the last scoring row above.

In category scoring, high score is bold, second is bold italic, and third is plain italic font.

IMT __ one forecaster score in each position (1,2,3).

MAX __ one forecaster score in first, two tied for second, but NormaL would be second also.

MIN __ one forecaster score in each position (1,2,3).

PRC __ one forecaster score in each position (1,2,3).

SUN __ one forecaster in first, and two are tied for second.

bonus _one forecaster score in first, one in second, and two tied for third.

======================================

Note: total of best category scores is 249/300.

M.T. Cranium

Well done dasa29, Mr Skinner, Artane2002, Dacogawa and Tae laidir for securing top scores last month. Mr Skinner and Gonzo continue to lead the annual contest and Dacogawa is third.