August 2023 Boards weather forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

1. Predict the IMT (average mean temp for five locations, Claremorris, Mullingar, Casement, Oak Park and Shannon) for August 2023. The 1981-2010 average is 15.1.
2. Predict the MAX temp at any of the 25 official locations listed daily on the met-ie website.
3. Predict the MIN (details same as above)
4. Predict the PRC (percentage of normal rainfall at eleven locations including the five in part one above and also Malin, Belmullet, Ballyhaise, Johnstown, Cork and Valentia.)
5. Predict the SUN (percentage of normal at six locations around Ireland).
6. BONUS _ Predict the lowest daily maximum at any of the regular reporting sites on the met-ie website.

M.T. Cranium _________15.3 _ 27.7 _ 2.5 _ 135 _ 085 __ 13.7

NormaL _____________ 15.1 _ 27.0 _ 2.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 14.5

Deadline 03z Tues 1st Aug, usual late penalties apply.

Artane2002

Artane2002 _____________ 15.6 _ 26.3 _ 4.5 _ 120 _ 090 __ 14.2

sryanbruen

sryanbruen _________14.9 _ 24.1 _ 2.2 _ 125 _ 090 __ 13.1

dasa29

Dasa29 _________15.5 _ 24.5 _ 4.0 _ 130 _ 090 __ 13.5

200motels

200motels---------- 14.8 _ 23.2 _ 2.5 _ 129 _ 092 __ 13.3

esposito

esposito _________15.3_ 27.2 _ 3.4 _ 130 _ 085 __ 14.6

Gonzo

Gonzo _________14.8 _ 24.8 _ 3.1 _ 128 _ 082 __ 12.4

sunflower3

Sunflower3 _____________ 14.9 _ 26.7 _ 3.0 _ 120 _ 90 __ 13.5

Cornerstonelad

Cornerstonelad________15.5__27.1___2.9__125___88____14.00

kindredspirit

Kindred Spirit ___ 15.3 ___ 25.4 ___ 3.0 ___ 90 ___ 95 ___ 13.1

pauldry

Pauldry___ 15.1___ 26.1___ 2.8 ___ 198___ 101 ___ 12.4

Bsal

Bsal _____________ 15.6 _ 25.9 _ 2.7 _ 95 _ 125 __ 14.1

Joe Public

Joe Public _________15.5 _ 29.3 _4.8_ 120 _ 089 __ 15.4

DOCARCH

DOCARCH _________15.3 _ 27.2 _ 0.8 _ 093 _ 108 _ 14.6

rameire

Rameire _________15.4 _ 26.5 _ 2.0 _ 155 _ 080 __ 11.8

waterways

waterways ___ 15.2 ___ 26.8 ___ 2.0 ___ 117 ___ 106 ___ 12.1

Tae laidir

Tae Laidir ___________ 15.8 _ 28.0 _ 3.3 _ 114 _ 98 __ 14.0

dacogawa

15.5 _ 29.6 _ 3.1 _ 145 _ 096 __ 13.8

John mac

john mac_____________ 16.1 _ 27.0 _ 2.4 _ 110 _ 98 __ 13.7

mrskinner

Skinner____15.5____25.6____3.1____105____85____14.5

Jpmarn

Jpmarn  _________15.7 _ 26.7 _ 3.5 _ 145 _ 095 __ 13.1

mr.stonewall

Mr Stonewall 15.7___26.8___3.4____85___105___14.2

appledrop

Appledrop____15.5____24.7_____2.5____135___90___13.2

adam240610

adam240610____________ 15.1 _ 27.0 _ 2.0 _ 90 _ 118 __ 13.8

M.T. Cranium

I had a question about the BONUS, one forecaster (and perhaps more?) thought it applied to precip (as in lowest value of max precip) but I had intended it to apply to MAX temps, as in lowest daily maximum temperature. If you gave a value applying to PRC and wish to revise it, send me a p.m. or post a new value. Thanks. My wording was not as clear as it should have been there. I can't easily tell who might be thinking of a PRC value to send specific messages.

M.T. Cranium

Table of forecasts for August 2023

please see previous post for info on Bonus, adjustments can be made if desired __

FORECASTER _________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN _ Low max

john mac _____________16.1 _ 27.0 _ 2.4 _ 110 _ 098 ___ 13.7

Tae Laidir ____________ 15.8 _ 28.0 _ 3.3 _ 114 _ 098 ___ 14.0

Mr Stonewall __________15.7 _ 26.8 _ 3.4 _ 085 _ 105 ___ 14.2

Jpmarn _____________15.7 _ 26.7 _ 3.5 _ 145 _ 095 ___ 13.1

Artane2002 ___________15.6 _ 26.3 _ 4.5 _ 120 _ 090 ___ 14.2

Bsal _________________15.6 _ 25.9 _ 2.7 _ 095 _ 125 ___ 14.1

dacogawa ____________ 15.5 _ 29.6 _ 3.1 _ 145 _ 096 ___ 13.8

Joe Public ____________ 15.5 _ 29.3 _ 4.8 _ 120 _ 089 ___ 15.4

Cornerstonelad ________15.5 _ 27.1 _ 2.9 _ 125 _ 088 ___ 14.0

Mr Skinner __________ 15.5 _ 25.6 _ 3.1 _ 105 _ 085 ___ 14.5

Appledrop ____________15.5 _ 24.7 _ 2.5 _ 135 _ 090 ___ 13.2

Dasa29 ______________15.5 _ 24.5 _ 4.0 _ 130 _ 090 ___ 13.5

___ Con Sensus _______15.5 _ 26.7 _ 3.0 _ 123 _ 091 ___ 13.6

Rameire _____________ 15.4 _ 26.5 _ 2.0 _ 155 _ 080 ___ 11.8

M.T. Cranium _________ 15.3 _ 27.7 _ 2.5 _ 135 _ 085 ___ 13.7

esposito _____________ 15.3 _ 27.2 _ 3.4 _ 130 _ 085 ___ 14.6

DOCARCH ____________15.3 _ 27.2 _ 0.8 _ 093 _ 108 ___ 14.6

Kindred Spirit _________15.3 _ 25.4 _ 3.0 _ 090 _ 095 ___ 13.1

waterways ___________ 15.2 _ 26.8 _ 2.0 _ 117 _ 106 ___ 12.1

adam240610__________15.1 _ 27.0 _ 2.0 _ 090 _ 118 ___ 13.8

NormaL _____________ 15.1 _ 27.0 _ 2.0 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 14.5

Pauldry _____________ 15.1 _ 26.1 _ 2.8 _ 198 _ 101 ___ 12.4

Sunflower3 __________ 14.9 _ 26.7 _ 3.0 _ 120 _ 090 ___ 13.5

sryanbruen __________ 14.9 _ 24.1 _ 2.2 _ 125 _ 090 ___ 13.1

Gonzo ______________ 14.8 _ 24.8 _ 3.1 _ 128 _ 082 ___ 12.4

200motels ___________ 14.8 _ 23.2 _ 2.5 _ 129 _ 092 ___ 13.3

appledrop

Sweet Jaysus it's grim out there, lashing all day and currently on 13 degrees.

I wouldn't be surprised if we get our lowest Max minimum for month today.

M.T. Cranium

16.6 at Sherkin Island was the low max for 1st.

M.T. Cranium

2nd _ Oak Park and Valentia at 16.7 failed to replace the low max of 16.6 from previous day.

(will track daily but only report on close calls or new low max, anything over 17 will not be worth a report)

appledrop

It must have warmed up in evening yesterday M.T because it was certainly no higher than 13 or 14 degrees all during day in Dublin.

appledrop

Max of just 13.9 at Knock yesterday.