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Peter O'Mahony

  • 08-02-2023 2:17pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 304 ✭✭daphil


    I was listening to Ger Gilroy's podcast on Off The Ball today and he had Statistics expert Derek McNamera on. Just listening to a brief outline of modern day statistics, would give you a headache.

    Anyway, I have been involved in rugby for 50 years, so I like to think I have learned a bit, even about the "unseen work". I am a Munster fan and in my head the Irish backrow on Saturday, rated, Doris 9, Van Der Flier 8 and O'Mahony 7.

    Surprise, surprise, according to McNamera's Statistics, (and these are the sort of Stats used by International teams), O'Mahony was "graded highest", of the Irish backrow.

    He had no mistake in the game in seems, and was "involved in everything".

    The whole program was interesting for a rugby geek and he starts to talk about the backrow about 7.45 minutes in, although the whole program is interesting.

    Maybe that's why Farrell keeps picking him.



«13

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,396 ✭✭✭Tefral


    Poor mans body is fecked but he keeps going.... some man to poach a ball.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I'd be really curious to see the detail on that.

    I thought O'Mahony had a solid game, and had already said elsewhere I'd retain him in the team this weekend, but to me if the statistics or the model is telling you Peter O'Mahony had a better game on Saturday than Caelan Doris, then there is something wrong with the model.

    I'm also confused about the "no mistakes" classification, as he did have a missed tackle (in addition to 5 made). Is this a situation akin to how Ringrose typically shoots the line where if you show defensive linespeed aggression and effectively force the ball carrier to make a decision it doesn't count as a mistake?

    Doris and VDF had 19 & 17 tackles respectively and missed 0.

    I don't doubt that an element of the statistics is down to the roles the players are fulfilling, but it's still unusual to think you can play a more limited role well and be deemed to have had a better game than the guy who plays a starring role well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 304 ✭✭daphil


    I did think, that although he played quiet well, that  Doris and Van Der Flier outshone him, but it seems that statistics now, for example do not just count tackles, but the type of tackle and it's effect, the angle you enter a ruck and a million other things,

    Another example that I heard mentioned by I think, Brien O'Driscoll, was Ringrose, shooting up in defence. A couple of times he missed the tackle, but he forced the opposition to ruck in an unplanned position and there are plus points in that. McNamera's reasoning seemed be that O'Mahony's display enabled the other two to play their own game and that it was an ideally matched back row. I also have to agree with Tefral, with regard to how he manages to keep going.

    It's a long way from your props cursing you for not putting the ball in touch.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭LRind2008


    An entire thread dedicated to Peter O'mahony, im not surprised.

    Had a look at the company above, a lot of their stats look extremely questionable and the weight and grading they give to certain involvements are massively skewed.

    Even when you look at some of their top perceived performers if you don't find any of the top 5 players in the world in any of you're lists then you are definitely grading involvements and the value of those involvements incorrectly.

    There are better companies doing the same thing but sadly arent free to use, I know Ulster have a team of guy doing this for them and that company also provides their software to football clubs in the UK who use is for recruitment of players, the guys mentioned on off the ball look like the AliExpress of stat companies.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 28,110 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Any statistical model that rated POM as the best back row in the France game is simply a bad model and should be scrapped.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,454 ✭✭✭Dave_The_Sheep


    It's Six Nations time alright.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,432 ✭✭✭FrannoFan


    Thread should be named after the stats guy

    Naming it pom is a lightening rod for the standard interprovincial craic.

    Newstalk must have a deal with that company as he's on every week. First time I listened he was trying to explain how ardie savea in the nz series was one of the worst performers. Was enough for me to disregard him as an analyst.

    If he's no claiming pom is better than vdf and dorris there is something seriously wrong with your modeling.

    He's being correctly selected for ireland at the moment but he's also the one most vulnerable to change if coaches wanted to go a different direction



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 28,110 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    More or less - he deserves his place and I have no issue with his selection. But while he may play a facilitation role etc etc, he is the third best backrow who took to the field Saturday and a model that says otherwise isn't very good.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,432 ✭✭✭FrannoFan


    Exactly. Totally agree.

    It seems to be a sales pitch slot.

    But it's not a great advertisement when your product produces stats completely at odds with the eye test



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,295 ✭✭✭Kalyke




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,337 ✭✭✭sprucemoose


    id have to disagree in theory on that one, lots of players can look great but actually do very little of the important stuff when it comes down to it

    whether this particular set of analytics is the best model is debatable but i did think at the time that what the guy was saying about savea was very interesting



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,655 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    The problem with his stats model is that it collects the data that he is looking for and its the same data he collects and correlates for all players in that position.

    So when he says POM was statistically the best player what he is really saying is that - In the particular set of statistics that we gathered and compared for the players in a certain set POM has the best numbers.

    It only takes into account what he is looking at, it ignores the players role in the team and the gameplan, it ignores his opposite numbers effectiveness, the knocks that are taken during a game and the bounce of the ball kinda stuff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,713 ✭✭✭ersatz


    Right, just looking at POM tracking Sexton before Sexton's pass to Doris, POM goes out and back in to service any ruck if Johnny is tackled but also ready for a pass if Johnny cuts back in creating a line up the wing, he's busting his balls flat out and not just running up the field but thinking quickly about where he needs to be depending on the decisions Johnny makes. Often that sort of running line will have an impact on the choices defenders are forced to make. It's not captured by stats but is definitely noted as a positive contribution by coaches. It's a tiny example of teamwork that is extremely difficult to capture as data and often has no impact on the game, but when it does it does.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,655 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    Its the same with other aspects, a player might hit a ruck as the third or fourth player and secure the ball and that counts as a stat for entering ruucks, but hes entering it because the players before him have left an opponent in a position to compete.

    He might not enter another one because the player who has gone before him had removed the threat from the opposition players.

    In one game POM might be dealing with a very competent poacher, and in another vdf might be doing that job

    A missed tackle might be attributed to a player when he wasnt the person supposed to be making that hit, he just tried and failed like sexton and Murray against penaud at the weekend.

    So a players stats are dependent on their teammates as well and in essence they are a load of bollocks when applied individually.





  • This was discussed in the main thread as well, the guy on the radio did not do a good job of explaining what exactly POM did better than anyone else. Mentioned it was a low number of mistakes but you are never, ever going to convince me he had a better game against Wales than Doris for example.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,655 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    Doris was excellent against wales alright, and continued his form into the French game.

    He is an early and pretty clear leader for player of the tournie along with the south african fella.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 11,106 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    I'm gonna try get to watch the game back, but I actually thought he played really well at the weekend (yet the stats criticism surfaced again).

    I love a stat, but I'm fairly convinced the pass / tackle / carry stats we're privy to are completely rudimentary (we don't even get ruck stats). I'd love to get a glimpse at some of the in-team stats they use.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,951 ✭✭✭✭phog


    Heaslip actually mentioned O'Mahony when naming players for having a good game v France.

    Now that could be he's afraid of Zebo or maybe it's because as a former back row player he understands what POM actually delivers for the team he plays for.

    Every coach selects him but there's a cohort of fans who think he's not worth his place especially when it comes to international games.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,709 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    This whole thread could be re-titled 'stats must be approached with caution'

    Any stats that show POM is rubbish clearly don't tell the story at all, similarly any stats which say he's better than VDF or Doris are highly questionable.

    POM starts every game, but always makes way for the sub, so it's reasonable to conclude Farrell thinks he's the third-best back-row available to him.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 11,106 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Not "always" tho, just "very recently". He was on longer for each of the 3 Tests in NZ.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,337 ✭✭✭sprucemoose


    or that hes the oldest of the three so may not be able to last as long?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Nah, come on. He’s been playing well etc, but he’s clearly the least influential / most replaceable of the three. He’s there on merit now, but the other two are world class players.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,432 ✭✭✭FrannoFan


    He was dead on his feet soon into second half and errors creeping in. (Missed a clear out, missed two lineouts) so they took him off. Age obviously a factor. Dorris 24 and vdf a machine



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,799 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Its ridiculous to suggest that because POM gets taken off after 50-60 mins, that this means the coach thinks he's the 3rd best player.

    It's about intensity. If POM's role is to go out there and give it absolutely everything for 50-60 minutes knowing that he'll likely be brought off, that's different from a player knowing he'll likely play the full 80 mins and therefore will be asked to manage his energy differently. (this can be done if someone elses role is to do the energy sapping stuff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,799 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Peter O Mahony is world class.

    Anyone who knows anything about rugby knows this.

    Any of the players are replacable. Even the mighty Johnny Sexton was taken off after 50 mins against France, and we didn't collapse

    Dan Sheehan is world class, but he was replaced by Herring and Kelleher. Furlong is world class, but he was successfully replaced by Bealham....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,845 ✭✭✭clsmooth


    What would you say are the world class parts of his game?



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 28,110 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It's also fairly ridiculous to suggest he's not the 3rd best player in a backrow with the reigning WPOTY and Doris (an early candidate for the same award). There is no shame in that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,468 ✭✭✭Buddy Bubs


    Turnovers and winning opposition lineouts would be 2 that spring to mind very quickly.

    His very presence cuts down opposition lineout options for sure.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,709 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    Exactly this

    POM is an excellent player and utterly deserving of his place. Farrell has dropped him a couple of times now and he keeps coming back better again, I wouldn't drop him for anyone.

    POM is also the third-best of our starting back row by literally any measure and more importantly, in the coach's opinion. When the other two are VDF and Doris, there really is no shame in that.

    Both the above statements are true and do not contradict each other.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,325 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    I think O Mahony goes down as one of the all time greats for Ireland. It's a difficult choice but he'd get on our best ever selection. Van De Flier and Doris have been good but have a long way to go to be considered in O Mahony's bracket.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    He’s not. Not at this point, maybe not ever.

    He’s a very good player who has been integral to Ireland for years, and is worth his place in the team at the moment in my view.

    But he is not at the level of the two players alongside him the Irish back row.

    Your points on the other players being replaced is irrelevant.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    This intensity stuff is a nonsense too. He is less involved in the game than the other two. I know the point about him playing in wider channels means he has lower tackle stats and lower carries than his back row partners, but it's also because he's not as good a carrier or tackler than those two either.

    He has significantly less ruck involvements than VdF or Doris, and doesn't play with anything resembling the intensity Van der Flier in particular is asked to play at. Watch Ireland's defensive sets - VdF is invariably the one doing the traditional openside role of charging at the opposition 10, energy sapping stuff, that a lot of the time doesn't generate a stat.

    Claiming that POM comes off the field after 60 mins because he's spent after putting in more or greater intensity than those other players is patently untrue.

    I don't want this to be a thing of beating up on the guy (O'Mahony). I think he's a great player who has been central to a lot of Ireland's massive games, but you're inviting this forensic criticism of his game by trying to claim he's something he isn't, or that he is as important as VdF or Doris.

    There is also a significant slice of "provincial BS" in your arguments here too, as it feels like this is coming from your position as a Munster fan rather than anything else.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 11,106 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    He has significantly less ruck involvements than VdF or Doris

    Significantly less? Do you have any stats on this, FTD? Cos that's not my impression at all tbh.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yeah, actually I did go and specifically look at the performance of the 3 starting backrowers for the French game.

    For the period up to the 56:08 mark when O'Mahony was on the field; I counted each player's 'involvement' in a series of play, counting tackles, rucks hit, carries. I didn't count scrums or mauls, since all three players are involved in these invariably (there wasn't a particularly high amount of either in this game in any event).

    For the 56 mins; O'Mahony had 34 involvements, of which 6 were negative involvements (3 missed tackles, 2 spilled lineouts and 1 penalty concession). He hit 15 rucks by my reckoning, of which 14 were offensive rucks (Ireland in possession). He made 7 tackles. O'Mahony carried 5 times for 3 metres, and passed the ball once. He also had the latch on Andrew Porter for his try.

    Josh van der Flier had 48 involvements, of which 2 were negative (1 penalty concession and 1 missed tackle). He hit 25 rucks during this period, of which 17 were offensive and 8 were defensive. During this sequence, Van der Flier carried 7 times, and passed twice.

    Caelan Doris had 44 involvements, of which 3 were negative (1 spilled lineout, 2 missed tackles). He also hit 25 rucks, split 11 offensive and 14 defensive. Over this period, he had carried 11 times, and passed 3 times. He had one turnover, but I believe should have had two more.

    So yeah, I think it's fair to say both Doris and VdF had significantly more ruck involvements. It's not hard to see when you watch the way Ireland play, and the positions O'Mahony typically takes up. He's often one man in from the touchline, and the play at times just doesn't drift towards him. I do think from observing the game like this (literally ruck to ruck) it's noticeable how clever he is, and how judicious he is in terms of his involvements (he doesn't fold into many rucks where he isn't going to make a difference), and had one really notable clean out (after Sexton's break down the left touchline and the ball back infield).

    Josh van der Flier's energy and workrate is off the charts. He is proximate to virtually everything. Just hunts the ball around the field, and must cover an astronomical amount of grass. He had a couple of monster clear outs during this sequence too, and is really impactful in his clear outs.

    Doris' tackle stats were low by his normal numbers in this game, but his involvement otherwise, showing up to carry, ruck and link the play is so noticeable. He has obviously been empowered by management as well to hunt for turnovers, because it's noticeable how often he goes after opposition ball (only Beirne and Porter noted for similar impact).

    Finally, when observing like this, the impact of James Ryan in particular is so evident. He hits an astronomical amount of rucks, especially when Ireland are attacking, and makes a huge amount of tackles. Through two games this season, he's made 30 tackles, missing 0.

    I'm going to do similar analysis on the Welsh game when I get a chance.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 11,106 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Yeah, actually I did…

    I was thinking more an independent source, with a greater sample size than 1 game tbh.

    And even if we grant your stats above as accurate, POM is hitting 23.5 rucks per 80 mins, vs 25 for both VdF and Doris.

    So again, significantly fewer? Nah.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]



    No, as far as I can see the data doesn't exist, or isn't freely available anywhere. By all means feel free to go and collate it yourself if you're doubting the credibility of it, or my "independence".

    I'm the one who actually did the work and looked at this, but you're giving your "impression" of it.

    Once again, though, I'm not the one slating him here. I posted the statement about him having less ruck involvements in response to a statement that he invariably is the one who comes off (which isn't necessarily true in and of itself anyway) simply because he is expending the most energy, or is the most involved during the period he's on the field, something which I think is demonstrably not the case.

    Or are you agreeing with that statement? Do you think he's generally as visible and as impactful as Van der Flier and Doris?

    He's a really good player, and very important to us, but he isn't at the level of the other two in the back row alongside, and is more replaceable. I don't think that's an outlandish statement, and don't really understand the fuss around it.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 11,106 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    You said “significantly less”. Even by your own stats, that’s not the case. I’m just pointing that out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,845 ✭✭✭clsmooth


    So to summarise:

    Do you have stats to back that up?

    Yes, here they are.

    I want stats done by someone else and for more games as these don’t fit my narrative.

    Excellent detail Fresh to Death. So POM is completely emptying himself for 55mins as per Akrasia whilst it looks like the two others completely empty themselves for 80mins and achieve slightly more output per minute doing it at a higher accuracy using the admittedly small sample size of the French game.

    I think POM brings a lot of balance to the back row especially in the lineout and can provide big momentum changing moments a bit like Beirne. I think he’s played his way back in at 6 over the last year and should stay in the team ahead of Conan for now.

    Would argue that he isn’t a world class poacher a la Pocock or Warburton in their prime. And would argue that he isn’t and has never been world class player if a loose definition of a world class player is being seen as one of the best 2 players in the world in your position for a period. You could make arguments for Sexton, Murray, VDF, Furlong and Doris under that criteria.

    Going forward Baird and Coombes look like great replacements for him for the next cycle. It’s amazing how little we noticed the loss of Stander which seemed like a big blow when he announced his retirement.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    But it is significantly less - it's 10 whole rucks less in this specific example - that's sizable.

    The other poster suggested O'Mahony would be withdrawn because:

    If POM's role is to go out there and give it absolutely everything for 50-60 minutes knowing that he'll likely be brought off, that's different from a player knowing he'll likely play the full 80 mins and therefore will be asked to manage his energy differently. (this can be done if someone elses role is to do the energy sapping stuff.

    Are you saying you share this view?

    This view is patently untrue. He carries less, tackles less and hits less rucks. He most certainly isn't doing the "energy sapping" stuff (by comparison to the other two), and that would be obvious to anyone just watching the game, never mind the stats.

    The reason he was withdrawn in this game was that his energy levels were starting to visibly lag (there is a lot of kick tennis in those first fifteen mins of the second half and he's noticeably slower getting himself back into the play etc), and he had just had three consecutive errors - a missed tackle on 47 mins and line out spills on 51 mins and 54 mins (immediately before his withdrawal).



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Also, I didn't catch your edit here till later - but no this stat isn't correct:

    And even if we grant your stats above as accurate, POM is hitting 23.5 rucks per 80 mins, vs 25 for both VdF and Doris.

    As I made clear, those stats are just for the period for when O'Mahony is on the pitch, so are exactly comparable. O'Mahony hit 15 rucks per 56 mins, while Doris and Van der Flier hit 25 rucks per 56 minutes.

    Doris hit 42 rucks in his full 80 mins, while VdF hit 45 rucks in his. Your extrapolation also assumes O'Mahony's energy levels will be maintained for the full 80, something I'd dispute as he appeared to be visibly lagging a bit in his last 5-8 mins on the field.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,579 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    I see this a cross a lot of sports where people misunderstand the role of a player. At 33 years of age in a game where players have got bigger and stronger POM should not be making the international team. But he is.

    People may often misunderstand his role. He is probably never close to the action he is not a premier ball carrier or specialist tackler. His job is to be that bit further away from the action. He is not making that first line tackle or that first line break.

    Doris at 25 is starting into his prime, VDF at 30 is coming off his prime PIM will be 34 going into the WC

    Professional coaches are totally ruthless he would not be there if there was better than him at his job.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Here's an independent source for you too, that guy who for some reason OTB are bringing on in recent times. Based on his numbers (this is pre the France game) O'Mahony hits a lot less rucks than Van Der Flier or Doris too:

    This post was titled "How Ireland's back row divide up their workload" - and his implication is that O'Mahony's largest contribution is his carrying, followed by rucking.

    However, if you look at the full season of 2022 (there's a larger sample size for you too), O'Mahony carried only 40 times for 115m (2.9m per carry), from his 540 mins (10 games, 7 starts).

    Josh van der Flier carried 81 times for 222m (2.7m per carry), in his 773 mins (10 games, 10 starts), and Caelan Doris carried 95 times for 317m (3.3m per carry, from his 797 mins (11 games, 11 starts).

    On a per minute basis, O'Mahony carries the least frequently (one carry per 13.5 minutes, versus VDF 1 per 9.5 mins, and Doris 1 per 8.3 mins).

    He also notably tackles less than the other two (he's on 64 (88% accuracy) versus JVDF on 159 (94% accuracy) and Doris 141 (96% accuracy).

    So, if this is saying carrying is the biggest part of his workload, but we know he carries less than the other two, and rucking forms significantly bigger parts of their workloads, then it is very safe to say that he rucks less than them.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yeah, except I didn't say anywhere in this thread that he doesn't deserve to be where he is. I've said the complete opposite on multiple occasions.

    I made what I thought though was the surely not outrageous statement that he is not as impactful or as important to us as the guys alongside him, one of whom is the current World Rugby Player of the Year, and the other is a guy who's been actually outplaying the World Player of the Year for the past 8 months or so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 741 ✭✭✭phily2002


    POM was brilliant at the tail end of last year but hasn't found that form this year. He was solid against Wales, most ratings had him 6-7 which I think was fair. I thought he struggled a bit against France, similar to the Wales performance(mostly only brought rucking) but he had quite a few errors, 2 knock ons, penalty against, missed tackles. I thought his support play wasn't great out wide either. On the Sexton break he struggled to keep up and was too far back for a pass/offload from Dorris. On the Dupont tackle against Hansen, he started beside Hansen but was slow jogging at the 22 when Hansen needed support. If he'd made more of an effort here we would have scored.

    I not sure he's doing enough to keep the Jersey. Conans a better option in the wide role, faster, better tackler and carrier. Coombes is tearing up trees and has been outperforming him and Baird has looked better at 6 this year.

    He rightfully got his Jersey back with his performances last year but since NZ 2nd test he hasn't come close to that level.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,779 ✭✭✭Dubinusa


    Outstanding work. Great analysis. Credit to you.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 11,106 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Ah look, we’re not uncovering corruption here, but I don’t think it’s unreasonable to ask for an independent source.

    Or, indeed, a bigger sample size than 1 game. Which you seem to agree with me on.

    Fair play to FTD for putting that together, it obviously took a lot of work. But he has in the past gotten the odd stat wrong too.

    I’m hoping to get to re-watch the French game later in the week anyways so might have a look at that level of detail myself, just out of interest.

    I think there’s a level of defensiveness from Munster fans when it comes to POM. On here, I can remember a number of regular posters for years saying he should be dropped from the squad; not the 15, not even the 23, the squad. That was clearly nonsense.

    And to be fair to FTD, he hasn’t said anything remotely close to that.

    It’s entirely possible that is colouring my view of POM’s ruck stats, but I thought he was excellent against France tbh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    I find the Munster view on POM very entertaining.


    There are posters posting on the Munster thread arguing that he should be dropped and protesting on the Ireland thread that he should be kept.


    My own view is that the back row is a very competitive position. POM is very good but has often been beside world class players.

    POM has been locked in in the 23 for the last decade and other very good players haven't gotten a chance.

    There have been times I felt that Ruddock, or Murphy or Henry or a few others were in better form and should have made the 23 ahead of POM.

    One thing I want to note about POM is that he has maintained his standard for so long. While he has been quiet at time he has always been very good.

    Other players I've felt were better suited for spots in the 23 have mostly had up and down periods of form and there was no one who I've felt was consistently better than POM over 3 of 4 years that has been behind him.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 11,106 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    I’m hoping to get to re-watch the French game later in the week anyways so might have a look at that level of detail myself, just out of interest.

    Finally got around to this, @[Deleted User] , which you might be interested in. First thing to note, it's a pain putting these together, so fair play to you for putting in the effort.

    Second, Doris does everything. He literally does everything, and brilliantly. If he keeps up this level of performance, he'll be in line for World Player of the Year, and in a RWC year, that's really exciting.

    But lastly, I got quite different ruck stats to you, especially for POM. If you look at total ruck stats, they broke down as follows for me:

    I also counted ruck arrivals in terms of 1st, 2nd and 3rd to the ruck for attacking rucks, they broke down as follows:

    You can see pretty clearly from that, POM is hitting attacking rucks first fairly significantly more frequently than Doris and VdF. I think this is exactly what you would expect, when you consider their comparative carrying stats.

    A lot has been said about Ireland's attack being enabled by our quick ruck speed (we've seen the stats about <3 second rucks). I think it's pretty clear POM is an integral part of delivering that.

    With regards overall involvements, I have it as POM 47, VdF 46 and Doris 49. And that's excluding lineout lifting, mauling and scrums, etc. but for the first 2, POM is invaribly more involved than the others. For example, on French lineouts, VdF rarely entered the maul, instead lining up in midfield. On a number of our lineouts, particularly in the 2nd half, Doris wasn't involved, and he lined up in midfield.

    So overall I'm not really seeing how he was less involved in the game than the other 2.

    I don't think it's accurate to say that POM delivers greater intensity across his ~60 mins. But I also don't think it's accurate to say he's less involved, and certainly not to the point of having significantly fewer ruck involvements.

    (And a complete aside, but 2 things I didn't entirely notice the first time watching the match were that 1) McCloskey had a brilliant game defensively and 2) Lowe had a poor game off the boot).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,075 ✭✭✭leakyboots


    Super research, fair play, would love to see a similar analysis of the backrow and Conan the last day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,539 ✭✭✭basillarkin


    POM is the most overrated Irish player since POC



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