December 2022 Boards weather forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

1. Predict the IMT (Irish mean temperature, an average for five stations, Casement, Claremorris, Mullingar, Oak Park and Shannon). The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 5.4 C.

2. Predict the MAX, the highest daily maximum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

3. Predict the MIN, the lowest daily minimum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

4. Predict the PRC, the average rainfall expressed as percentage of normal at the eleven stations we normally use, which include the five mentioned for IMT and also Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Malin Head, Johnstown Castle, Cork and Valentia.

5. Predict the SUN, the total sunshine expressed as a percentage of normal at the six stations used (Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork, Valentia).

6. For the BONUS question, our traditional prediction of MAX and MIN on Christmas Day at Dub (A) and (for 3 point super-bonus), will it snow at any location among the 25 regular reporting stations on the met.ie website, and this includes 24th as well as 25th of December. If you get this right on Yes or No, it's worth 2 points for yes verifying, a correct location is worth 1 more point, but no locations will bring in the "No" scores at 3.

Deadline for entries will be 0300h Thursday 1st of December, with 1 point deductions for every 4h late to 1500h Monday 2nd, after which penalties are 1 point per hour (in addition to the 9 points accumulated to that time).

Good luck !!

sryanbruen

sryanbruen _____ 3.6 _ 14.2 _ -9.1 _ 080 _ 130 _ 3.6 -2.3 Yes, Mullingar

Bsal

Bsal _____ 4.8 _ 13.1 _ -4.5 _ 108 _ 104 _ 7.0_1.1 No

Danno

Danno _____ 2.7 _ 12.9 _ -12.3 _ 065 _ 160 _ 1.8 -8.8 Yes, Ballyhaise

(haven't had a great year at this contest, so hoping to go all out with a bang!) 😂

pauldry

Pauldry_____ 5.4 _ 13 _ -6 _ 85 _ 110 _ 9.0_3.1 No

dasa29

Dasa29 _____ 5.0 _ 11.5 _ -6.5 _ 120 _ 100 _ 6.0_-2.0 No

200motels

200motels____ 3.8 _ 13.6 _ -7.1 _ 083 _ 131 _ 3.8 -2.4 Yes, Mullingar

kindredspirit

Kindred Spirit ___ 5.1° ___ 14.0 ___ -6.5 ___ 80 ___ 115 ___ 8 & 1 No.

mrskinner

Skinner______5.7____14.4____-3.4____94____104____9,2,No.

John mac

john mac____ 5.8 _ 13.9 _ -5.1 _ 108 _ 98 _ 5.8 ,1.4 Yes, knock

Joe Public

Joe Public _____ 3.3 _ 13.3 _ -9.3 _ 83 _ 123___ 4.3 -3.3 Yes, Knock

Stuck on 3s because I have the tree up, Merry Christmas to all.

It's going to be a cold cold Christmas or maybe not ☃️

M.T. Cranium

M.T. Cranium ____ 6.0 _ 15.8 _ -4.9 _ 133 _ 105 __ 11.2 _ 5.8 __ no

NormaL ________ 5.4 _ 15.5 _ -6.5 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 8.2 _ 2.2 __ no

SleetAndSnow

SleetAndSnow_____ 4.3 _ 14.6 _ -6.2 _ 078 _ 140 _ 6_ -2.1 Yes, Knock

(May as well enter for the last one :P )

Gonzo

Gonzo ____ 4.9 _ 14.2 _ -7.8 _ 108 _ 112 __ 11.8 _ 4.3 __ no

DOCARCH

DOCARCH ____ 5.1 _ 15.1 _ -6.2 _ 090 _ 111 __ 8.1 _ -0.8 __ YES, Knock.

waterways

waterways _____ 5.6 __ 15.3 __ -4.0__ 91 __ 97 __ 9.0_4.0 No

We can only hope that Danno's SSW will not take place this winter.

Jpmarn

Jpmarn  ________ 4.2 _ 13.5 _ -7.5 _ 85 _ 95 ___ 4.2 _- 3.2 __ Yes Dublin

esposito

esposito _____ 4.6 _ 11.8 _ -8.6 _ 095 _ 104 _ 7.9_-1.1_ No

appledrop

Appledrop__5.0__14.5___-6.4__110__95__8.6__2.0__Snow? No way Jose.

I'll happily be wrong on the Snow as that will mean a rare white Christmas😁🌲.

dacogawa

Dacogawa ____ 5.3 _ 15.2 _ -8.7 _ 121 _ 100 __ 4.5 _ -2.8 yes - Dublin

appledrop

Danno -12.3 🥶😱.

Your bringing back memories of winter 2011, -13 degrees driving to parents and inlaws on Christmas Day, I'll never forget it for as long as I live.

adam240610

adam240610___ 3.5_ 14.8 _ -8.8 _ 103_ 111 _ 10.1_1.4 no

mr.stonewall

Mr stonewall___5.1___14.9___-7.4___88___102__7.8__2.2__no

Tae laidir

Tae laidir ________ 5.8 _ 15.8 _ -4.1 _ 88 _ 98 ___ 11.3 _ 5.0 __ no

sunflower3

Sunflower3_______ 5.0 _ 14.9 _ -6.1 _ 80 _ 105 ___ 8.3 _ 2.0 __ no

Artane2002

Artane2002 ________ 4.8 _ 14.7 _ -7.2 _ 085 _ 090 ___ 7.2 _ 3.2 __ no

bazlers

Bazlers__________2.9__13.1__-11.8__75_115

__7.2___-8__Yes Casement.

M.T. Cranium

Table of forecasts for December 2022

FORECASTER ________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN ___ 25th Dub (A) _ snow? 24/25

M.T. Cranium _________ 6.0 _ 15.8 _ -4.9 _ 133 _ 105 __ 11.2 __ 5.8 __ No

Tae laidir ____________ 5.8 _ 15.8 _ -4.1 _ 088 _ 098 __ 11.3 __ 5.0 __ No

john mac ____________ 5.8 _ 13.9 _ -5.1 _ 108 _ 098 ___ 5.8 __ 1.4 __ Yes, Knock

MrSkinner ___________ 5.7 _ 14.4 _ -3.4 _ 094 _ 104 ___ 9.0 __ 2.0 __ No

waterways ___________5.6 _ 15.3 _ -4.0 _ 091 _ 097 ___ 9.0 __ 4.0 __ No

__ NormaL __________ 5.4 _ 15.5 _ -6.5 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 8.2 __ 2.2 __ No

Pauldry _____________ 5.4 _ 13.0 _ -6.0 _ 085 _ 110 ___ 9.0 __ 3.1 __ No

Dacogawa ___________ 5.3 _ 15.2 _ -8.7 _ 121 _ 100 ___ 4.5 _ -2.8 __ Yes, Dublin

DOCARCH ___________ 5.1 _ 15.1 _ -6.2 _ 090 _ 111 ___ 8.1 _ -0.8 __ Yes, Knock.

Mr stonewall _________ 5.1 _ 14.9 _ -7.4 _ 088 _ 102 ___ 7.8 __ 2.2 __ No

Kindred Spirit ________ 5.1 _ 14.0 _ -6.5 _ 080 _ 115 ___ 8.0 __ 1.0 __ No

Sunflower3 __________ 5.0 _ 14.9 _ -6.1 _ 080 _ 105 ___ 8.3 __ 2.0 __ No

Appledrop ___________ 5.0 _ 14.5 _ -6.4 _ 110 _ 095 ___ 8.6 __ 2.0 __ No .

Dasa29 _____________ 5.0 _ 11.5 _ -6.5 _ 120 _ 100 ___ 6.0 _ -2.0 __ No

___ Con Sensus ______ 5.0 _ 14.2 _ -6.5 _ 088 _ 105 ___ 7.8 __ 1.4 __ No (15/26)

Gonzo ______________ 4.9 _ 14.2 _ -7.8 _ 108 _ 112 __ 11.8 __ 4.3 __ No

Artane2002 __________4.8 _ 14.7 _ -7.2 _ 085 _ 090 ___ 7.2 __ 3.2 __ No

Bsal ________________4.8 _ 13.1 _ -4.5 _ 108 _ 104 ___ 7.0 __ 1.1 __ No

esposito ____________ 4.6 _ 11.8 _ -8.6 _ 095 _ 104 ___ 7.9 _ -1.1 __ No

SleetAndSnow ________4.3 _ 14.6 _ -6.2 _ 078 _ 140 ___ 6.0 _ -2.1 __ Yes, Knock

Jpmarn _____________ 4.2 _ 13.5 _ -7.5 _ 085 _ 095 ___ 4.2 _ -3.2 __ Yes, Dublin

200motels __________3.8 _ 13.6 _ -7.1 _ 083 _ 131 ___ 3.8 _ -2.4 __ Yes, Mullingar

sryanbruen __________ 3.6 _ 14.2 _ -9.1 _ 080 _ 130 ___ 3.6 _ -2.3 __ Yes, Mullingar

adam240610 _________3.5 _ 14.8 _ -8.8 _ 103 _ 111 ___10.1 __1.4 __ No

Joe Public ___________ 3.3 _ 13.3 _ -9.3 _ 083 _ 123 ___ 4.3 _ -3.3 __ Yes, Knock

Bazlers _____________ 2.9 _ 13.1 _-11.8 _ 075 _ 115 ___ 7.2 _ -8.0 __ Yes, Casement

Danno ______________ 2.7 _ 12.9 _-12.3_ 065 _ 160 ___ 1.8 _ -8.8 __ Yes, Ballyhaise

BLIZZARD7 ___ (-5) ___ 0.7 _ 12.7 _ -14.7 _ 120 _ 120 __ 1.7__ -5.8 __ Yes, Casement

WolfEire ___ (-5) ______ 4.7 _ 14.3 _ -8.7 _ 95 _ 100 __ 10.7__ 5.8 __ no

===================================

For the snowfall question, 11/25 selected "yes" and of those, Knock had four votes, Mullingar, Dublin and Casement had two each, and Ballyhaise one. NormaL and Con Sensus can only score 3 if there is no snow 24th-25th.

Lots of spread in the forecasts with perhaps two camps, a cold/dry/sunny group and a mildish/wet/cloudy group.

BLIZZARD7

BLIZZARD7 _________ 0.7 _ 12.7 _ -14.7 _ 120 _ 120 __ 1.7__ -5.8 __ Yes, Casement

M.T. Cranium

I am aware of some errors in the table of forecast entry for BLIZZARD7 above, thought I had changed them but now it's too late to edit the table. If a moderator happens to have that superpower go ahead and use it, but I will score from the entry not the wrong data.

WolfeEire

Sorry I'm late, MT. It's ok if you cant include

WolfEire

4.7 _ 14.3 _ -8.7 _ 95 _ 100 __ 10.7__ 5.8 __ no