Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on [email protected] for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact [email protected]

December 2022 Boards weather forecast contest

  • 28-11-2022 8:12am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 14,049 ✭✭✭✭


    1. Predict the IMT (Irish mean temperature, an average for five stations, Casement, Claremorris, Mullingar, Oak Park and Shannon). The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 5.4 C.

    2. Predict the MAX, the highest daily maximum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

    3. Predict the MIN, the lowest daily minimum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

    4. Predict the PRC, the average rainfall expressed as percentage of normal at the eleven stations we normally use, which include the five mentioned for IMT and also Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Malin Head, Johnstown Castle, Cork and Valentia.

    5. Predict the SUN, the total sunshine expressed as a percentage of normal at the six stations used (Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork, Valentia).

    6. For the BONUS question, our traditional prediction of MAX and MIN on Christmas Day at Dub (A) and (for 3 point super-bonus), will it snow at any location among the 25 regular reporting stations on the met.ie website, and this includes 24th as well as 25th of December. If you get this right on Yes or No, it's worth 2 points for yes verifying, a correct location is worth 1 more point, but no locations will bring in the "No" scores at 3.


    Deadline for entries will be 0300h Thursday 1st of December, with 1 point deductions for every 4h late to 1500h Monday 2nd, after which penalties are 1 point per hour (in addition to the 9 points accumulated to that time).


    Good luck !!



«13

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 13,268 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    sryanbruen _____ 3.6 _ 14.2 _ -9.1 _ 080 _ 130 _ 3.6 -2.3 Yes, Mullingar



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,760 ✭✭✭Bsal


    Bsal _____ 4.8 _ 13.1 _ -4.5 _ 108 _ 104 _ 7.0_1.1 No



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Danno _____ 2.7 _ 12.9 _ -12.3 _ 065 _ 160 _ 1.8 -8.8 Yes, Ballyhaise

    (haven't had a great year at this contest, so hoping to go all out with a bang!) 😂



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,648 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Pauldry_____ 5.4 _ 13 _ -6 _ 85 _ 110 _ 9.0_3.1 No



  • Registered Users Posts: 525 ✭✭✭dasa29


    Dasa29 _____ 5.0 _ 11.5 _ -6.5 _ 120 _ 100 _ 6.0_-2.0 No



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 2,599 ✭✭✭200motels


    200motels____ 3.8 _ 13.6 _ -7.1 _ 083 _ 131 _ 3.8 -2.4 Yes, Mullingar



  • Registered Users Posts: 335 ✭✭kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit ___ 5.1° ___ 14.0 ___ -6.5 ___ 80 ___ 115 ___ 8 & 1 No.



  • Registered Users Posts: 380 ✭✭mrskinner


    Skinner______5.7____14.4____-3.4____94____104____9,2,No.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,078 ✭✭✭John mac


    john mac____ 5.8 _ 13.9 _ -5.1 _ 108 _ 98 _ 5.8 ,1.4 Yes, knock



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,771 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Joe Public _____ 3.3 _ 13.3 _ -9.3 _ 83 _ 123___ 4.3 -3.3 Yes, Knock

    Stuck on 3s because I have the tree up, Merry Christmas to all.

    It's going to be a cold cold Christmas or maybe not ☃️



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 14,049 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    M.T. Cranium ____ 6.0 _ 15.8 _ -4.9 _ 133 _ 105 __ 11.2 _ 5.8 __ no

    NormaL ________ 5.4 _ 15.5 _ -6.5 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 8.2 _ 2.2 __ no



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,616 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    SleetAndSnow_____ 4.3 _ 14.6 _ -6.2 _ 078 _ 140 _ 6_ -2.1 Yes, Knock


    (May as well enter for the last one :P )



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,305 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Gonzo ____ 4.9 _ 14.2 _ -7.8 _ 108 _ 112 __ 11.8 _ 4.3 __ no



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,271 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    DOCARCH ____ 5.1 _ 15.1 _ -6.2 _ 090 _ 111 __ 8.1 _ -0.8 __ YES, Knock.



  • Registered Users Posts: 368 ✭✭waterways


    waterways _____ 5.6 __ 15.3 __ -4.0__ 91 __ 97 __ 9.0_4.0 No

    We can only hope that Danno's SSW will not take place this winter.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,466 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    Jpmarn  ________ 4.2 _ 13.5 _ -7.5 _ 85 _ 95 ___ 4.2 _- 3.2 __ Yes Dublin



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,236 ✭✭✭esposito


    esposito _____ 4.6 _ 11.8 _ -8.6 _ 095 _ 104 _ 7.9_-1.1_ No



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,500 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Appledrop__5.0__14.5___-6.4__110__95__8.6__2.0__Snow? No way Jose.

    I'll happily be wrong on the Snow as that will mean a rare white Christmas😁🌲.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,820 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    Dacogawa ____ 5.3 _ 15.2 _ -8.7 _ 121 _ 100 __ 4.5 _ -2.8 yes - Dublin



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,500 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Danno -12.3 🥶😱.

    Your bringing back memories of winter 2011, -13 degrees driving to parents and inlaws on Christmas Day, I'll never forget it for as long as I live.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 803 ✭✭✭adam240610


    adam240610___ 3.5_ 14.8 _ -8.8 _ 103_ 111 _ 10.1_1.4 no



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,400 ✭✭✭mr.stonewall


    Mr stonewall___5.1___14.9___-7.4___88___102__7.8__2.2__no



  • Registered Users Posts: 686 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Tae laidir ________ 5.8 _ 15.8 _ -4.1 _ 88 _ 98 ___ 11.3 _ 5.0 __ no



  • Registered Users Posts: 182 ✭✭sunflower3


    Sunflower3_______ 5.0 _ 14.9 _ -6.1 _ 80 _ 105 ___ 8.3 _ 2.0 __ no



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,942 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Artane2002 ________ 4.8 _ 14.7 _ -7.2 _ 085 _ 090 ___ 7.2 _ 3.2 __ no



  • Registered Users Posts: 562 ✭✭✭bazlers


    Bazlers__________2.9__13.1__-11.8__75_115

    __7.2___-8__Yes Casement.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,049 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Table of forecasts for December 2022


    FORECASTER ________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN ___ 25th Dub (A) _ snow? 24/25

    M.T. Cranium _________ 6.0 _ 15.8 _ -4.9 _ 133 _ 105 __ 11.2 __ 5.8 __ No

    Tae laidir ____________ 5.8 _ 15.8 _ -4.1 _ 088 _ 098 __ 11.3 __ 5.0 __ No

    john mac ____________ 5.8 _ 13.9 _ -5.1 _ 108 _ 098 ___ 5.8 __ 1.4 __ Yes, Knock

    MrSkinner ___________ 5.7 _ 14.4 _ -3.4 _ 094 _ 104 ___ 9.0 __ 2.0 __ No

    waterways ___________5.6 _ 15.3 _ -4.0 _ 091 _ 097 ___ 9.0 __ 4.0 __ No

    __ NormaL __________ 5.4 _ 15.5 _ -6.5 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 8.2 __ 2.2 __ No

    Pauldry _____________ 5.4 _ 13.0 _ -6.0 _ 085 _ 110 ___ 9.0 __ 3.1 __ No

    Dacogawa ___________ 5.3 _ 15.2 _ -8.7 _ 121 _ 100 ___ 4.5 _ -2.8 __ Yes, Dublin

    DOCARCH ___________ 5.1 _ 15.1 _ -6.2 _ 090 _ 111 ___ 8.1 _ -0.8 __ Yes, Knock.

    Mr stonewall _________ 5.1 _ 14.9 _ -7.4 _ 088 _ 102 ___ 7.8 __ 2.2 __ No

    Kindred Spirit ________ 5.1 _ 14.0 _ -6.5 _ 080 _ 115 ___ 8.0 __ 1.0 __ No

    Sunflower3 __________ 5.0 _ 14.9 _ -6.1 _ 080 _ 105 ___ 8.3 __ 2.0 __ No

    Appledrop ___________ 5.0 _ 14.5 _ -6.4 _ 110 _ 095 ___ 8.6 __ 2.0 __ No .

    Dasa29 _____________ 5.0 _ 11.5 _ -6.5 _ 120 _ 100 ___ 6.0 _ -2.0 __ No

    ___ Con Sensus ______ 5.0 _ 14.2 _ -6.5 _ 088 _ 105 ___ 7.8 __ 1.4 __ No (15/26)

    Gonzo ______________ 4.9 _ 14.2 _ -7.8 _ 108 _ 112 __ 11.8 __ 4.3 __ No

    Artane2002 __________4.8 _ 14.7 _ -7.2 _ 085 _ 090 ___ 7.2 __ 3.2 __ No

    Bsal ________________4.8 _ 13.1 _ -4.5 _ 108 _ 104 ___ 7.0 __ 1.1 __ No

    esposito ____________ 4.6 _ 11.8 _ -8.6 _ 095 _ 104 ___ 7.9 _ -1.1 __ No

    SleetAndSnow ________4.3 _ 14.6 _ -6.2 _ 078 _ 140 ___ 6.0 _ -2.1 __ Yes, Knock

    Jpmarn _____________ 4.2 _ 13.5 _ -7.5 _ 085 _ 095 ___ 4.2 _ -3.2 __ Yes, Dublin

    200motels __________3.8 _ 13.6 _ -7.1 _ 083 _ 131 ___ 3.8 _ -2.4 __ Yes, Mullingar

    sryanbruen __________ 3.6 _ 14.2 _ -9.1 _ 080 _ 130 ___ 3.6 _ -2.3 __ Yes, Mullingar

    adam240610 _________3.5 _ 14.8 _ -8.8 _ 103 _ 111 ___10.1 __1.4 __ No

    Joe Public ___________ 3.3 _ 13.3 _ -9.3 _ 083 _ 123 ___ 4.3 _ -3.3 __ Yes, Knock

    Bazlers _____________ 2.9 _ 13.1 _-11.8 _ 075 _ 115 ___ 7.2 _ -8.0 __ Yes, Casement

    Danno ______________ 2.7 _ 12.9 _-12.3_ 065 _ 160 ___ 1.8 _ -8.8 __ Yes, Ballyhaise

    BLIZZARD7 ___ (-5) ___ 0.7 _ 12.7 _ -14.7 _ 120 _ 120 __ 1.7__ -5.8 __ Yes, Casement

    WolfEire ___ (-5) ______ 4.7 _ 14.3 _ -8.7 _ 95 _ 100 __ 10.7__ 5.8 __ no

    ===================================

    For the snowfall question, 11/25 selected "yes" and of those, Knock had four votes, Mullingar, Dublin and Casement had two each, and Ballyhaise one. NormaL and Con Sensus can only score 3 if there is no snow 24th-25th.

    Lots of spread in the forecasts with perhaps two camps, a cold/dry/sunny group and a mildish/wet/cloudy group.

    Post edited by DOCARCH on


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,973 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    BLIZZARD7 _________ 0.7 _ 12.7 _ -14.7 _ 120 _ 120 __ 1.7__ -5.8 __ Yes, Casement



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,049 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    I am aware of some errors in the table of forecast entry for BLIZZARD7 above, thought I had changed them but now it's too late to edit the table. If a moderator happens to have that superpower go ahead and use it, but I will score from the entry not the wrong data.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 339 ✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare


    Sorry I'm late, MT. It's ok if you cant include

    WolfEire

    4.7 _ 14.3 _ -8.7 _ 95 _ 100 __ 10.7__ 5.8 __ no



Advertisement