Rare warm and dry August week ahead
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07-08-2022 12:08pm#1
It may be somewhat early to warrant an event thread but either now or never right.
Met Éireann have issued an advisory for the upcoming warm weather which could get hot by later this week.
Weather Advisory for Ireland
Ireland will experience a hot spell developing from Wednesday and continuing through the rest of the week and the weekend. Daytime temperatures will widely reach the mid to high twenties. Remaining uncomfortably warm overnight too. Updates will follow.
Impacts:
• Heat stress, especially for the more vulnerable of the population
• High Solar UV index
• Risk of water related incidents
Valid: 11:25 Sunday 07/08/2022 to 00:00 Monday 15/08/2022
Issued: 11:25 Sunday 07/08/2022
Updated: 12:25 Sunday 07/08/2022
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High pressure is building from the Azores at the moment and this looks set to push the jet stream further northward by mid-week allowing northern parts to get some sunshine and any shower risk to diminish.
At the start of the week, daytime highs mainly into the high teens in the north whilst it'll be closer to 23 or 24C in the south under longer spells of sunshine. We will see daily highs rise by a couple of degrees more by Wednesday time. There's the possibility of a local 30 degrees by the end of the week which would be interesting - the only summers where Ireland has had two months in the same year of somewhere in the country achieving at least 30C are 1976 and 1995. There likely won't be widespread 30s based on current guidance unlike the July heat spike but nonetheless, weather like this is rare enough in August so if you like warm and dry weather I would most certainly make the most of it. The last August heatwave and August 30C in Ireland was back in 2003. In that time, the country has had heatwaves in July 2005, July 2006, July 2013, June 2017, June/July 2018 and July 2021. It's about time August had one.
Classic belt of high pressure stretching from the Atlantic to Russia with slack warm easterly winds by Thursday. Stunning summery chart. Also see the main cloud is kept offshore to the northwest!
This warm weather is expected to go on until at least the 13th or 14th, there is the possibility of it hanging on a bit longer but the current guidance shows it breaking down by the 15th and going cooler. All this is subject to change.
As always, please be civil in the discussions. Everybody has different weather preferences, let's respect them and enjoy this rare August treat (of course if you like this kind of weather).
Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/
Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1
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Be careful what you are calling a septic pig hole, Ireland is my home, heritage and makes up my identity, with all it's flaws and failings and I feel compelled to stand up for it, Éire go Brách 🤣🤣.
Seriously hope you have a great holiday squarecircles, I know the weather has been poor in your area, hopefully when you get back you will find weather more appealing to you.
I'm off to greater London at the end of the week for a few days, looking very hot there getting past 30C, maybe 32 or 33C, might need to scale back some of the activities I had planned for central London, thinking I will take it easy and cut down on the travelling.
At home looking like getting up to the mid 20's Tues, up to 25 or 26C Weds, Thurs and Fri, high 20's Sat and Sun and remaining warm to hot on Monday by the looks of it but around then we could see a thundery breakdown somewhere in Ireland or England. Temps currently look to fall well back then on Tues.
For my own selfish reasons was hoping there might be thunderstorm's around London at the end of the week but currently anyway there doesn't seem to be a trigger until Mon orTues, but early days yet.
Fog might be prevalent overnight next week and could prove pesky as sea fog around some coasts Weds and Thurs. Rainfall looks to be at an absolute minimum
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GFs 12z really dials up the heat next weekend for the south-west of Ireland showing 31C for Shannon/Limerick areas, we could potentially be looking at 32C or 33C as the GFS usually undercooks it's temperatures by 1 to 3C.
Serious sea breeze for Meath and Louth on the above chart lowering temperatures by almost 10C.
However the 12z is a bit of an outlier for next weekend. Most other runs show a slight cooldown taking place from Saturday.
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GFs 12z really dials up the heat next weekend for the south-west of Ireland showing 31C for Shannon/Limerick areas, we could potentially be looking at 32C or 33C as the GFS usually undercooks it's temperatures by 1 to 3C.
So we should see a 37-38 reported at Shannon
carparkAirport then. 😉The positioning of that high is good for thunderstorms for here in the central Med. this week as it sets up a common dipole with the Genoa low. Hoping to see proper action before I go home. Sone distant thunderstorms have been popping up well inland, such as this one today, but 100 km away.
Still some scope for changes in the larger setup between now and next weekend but certainly during the week is looking good there.
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UKV going for widespread 30s on both Friday and Saturday across the south and the midlands on Saturday.
UKV dials in a 33C for Athlone on Saturday. Perhaps this is a bit overcooked with parts of the Irish midlands giving London a run for it's money.
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