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Flash contest -- Highest Ireland and UK temps 16-19 July

  • 12-07-2022 10:32pm
    Registered Users Posts: 13,888 ✭✭✭✭

    Models and most forecasts are showing potential for record-breaking heat in the time frame of Sunday 17th to Tuesday 19th in the UK and possibly also in Ireland (more likely to be confined to Sunday-Monday here).

    This contest will be mainly about the maximum to be recorded in Ireland and I have widened the net to 16th to 19th just in case. No need to specify locations or times but mention them if you wish. Optional, add a value for the UK, again timing and location not required.

    Note __ the contest closes at noon Saturday, any entries time stamped after that will not be ranked.

    Regarding the UK portion of this, there was a similar contest (already closed) on Net-weather and yours truly is in with 40.3 which I said would be on Monday in Herts, reason being that the contest when announced cut off the time on Monday so if the peak is Tuesday that will be too bad for the entrants. I would say from a casual reading the consensus of about 100 entries is around 39 C. In our version of the contest you have Tuesday available to consider.

    The Ireland portion of this (or the main event) will be based on official reporting stations only, as listed on the website and as normally shown under current weather and then yesterday's weather for daily summaries. This may be a moot point because it's hard to beat two or three of these locations even on a larger grid of stations. We've had discussions on this forum about Shannon being a bit of a hot spot in situations where it is getting the maximum available heating, due to proximity of sensors to tarmac. Other locations that often run warmer than most would include Mountdillon, Oak Park and the Dublin area stations notably but not always confined to Phoenix Park.

    Good luck if you do enter. Once again, the deadline is Saturday at noon (the highest value is not expected to be Saturday but in case it is, I didn't want any nowcasts to win).



  • Registered Users Posts: 943 ✭✭✭Neddyusa

    32.4C. Mt Dillon. Monday

  • Registered Users Posts: 2,604 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor

    35.2C Oakpark

    42.4C UK

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,198 ✭✭✭esposito

    33.7 C for Ireland

    39.6 C in the UK

  • Registered Users Posts: 6,486 ✭✭✭pauldry

    32.1c Shannon

    39.9c Heathrow

    Post edited by pauldry on

  • Registered Users Posts: 185 ✭✭CirrusBusiness

    33.8C Oakpark, Ireland

    41.3C Peterborough, UK

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,115 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen

    31.8C Mt Dillon

    39.0C Cambridge

  • Registered Users Posts: 420 ✭✭Little snowy old me

    30.2 Oakpark

    37.4 Heathrow

  • Registered Users Posts: 13,888 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium

    I should mention that anyone can revise closer to the deadline by edit or new post and I will only track the last known positions of each entrant. Ties will be broken by order of entry (which includes new times of edits but avoid that problem by checking the entries and choosing a new unique value). If ties are based on equal errors on either side of a result, then that kind of tie will stand as a tie.

    I won't change these even if they look improbable by Friday night, as I expect by then most values will have an owner.

    30.7 Ireland and 40.3 UK

  • Registered Users Posts: 9,806 ✭✭✭Oscar Bravo

    30.5C @ Mount Dillon

    38.7C UK

  • Registered Users Posts: 400 ✭✭tiegan

    29.9C Ireland

    37.2C UK

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,918 ✭✭✭Artane2002

    32.1C Shannon

    39.2C Cambridge

  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno

    Shannon 32.7c Monday; Oak Park 32.9c Tuesday.

    38.6c Brize Norton (UK)

    • Interestingly, I think Wales will set it's 'national' record with 35.4c coming in there.

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,751 ✭✭✭Bsal

    32.0 Ireland

    39.2 UK

  • Registered Users Posts: 421 ✭✭HorseSea

    31.5c Ireland and 39.2 UK.

  • Registered Users Posts: 15,033 ✭✭✭✭Supercell

    30.4 Elphin, Co Roscommon, 38.2 Biggin Hill or somewhere nearby UK

    Only one person so far forecasting an Irish record yet quite a few forecasting UK ones.

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network -

  • Registered Users Posts: 3,014 ✭✭✭StevenToast

    33.1 Shannon

    40.2 Heathrow

    "Don't piss down my back and tell me it's raining." - Fletcher

  • Subscribers Posts: 39,468 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat

    32.8 Ireland

    41.6 uk

  • Registered Users Posts: 420 ✭✭Little snowy old me

    I'm changing mine....

    29.8 Oakpark

    36.2 Heathrow

  • Registered Users Posts: 96 ✭✭zisdead

    32.2. Monday , Casement

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,115 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen

    Just a note to some of those predicted locations, Gravesend station in Kent closed in August 2018 and Elphin in Roscommon closed sometime in 2016.

  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,085 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH

    31.3c IRL (Athenry)

    39.2c UK

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,287 ✭✭✭Billcarson

    32.8c for ireland

    39.4c for the UK

  • Registered Users Posts: 15,033 ✭✭✭✭Supercell

    Thanks sryanbruen, so in that case I'll go with :

    Mt Dillon 30.4, Roscommon and 38.2 Biggin Hill or somewhere nearby UK

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network -

  • Registered Users Posts: 5,608 ✭✭✭Chris_5339762

    31.5c for Shannon

    41 for the UK, probably Heathrow

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,194 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo

    32.9C Shannon on the Monday (IE)

    33.5C Churchtown on the Monday (IE) unnofficial station won't be counted.

    39.6 Heathrow on the Tuesday (UK)

  • Registered Users Posts: 13,888 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium

    Table of entries

    (entries are still welcome, this is to help you avoid already chosen values, and to help me with the eventual workload of this table of entries ... I will keep an eye out for revisions ... noting only the temps predicted for the contest, locations and dates will not be ranked ... this table may be repeated with more entries about once a day until deadline Saturday noon.

    The table goes in order of Ireland maxima, UK will not necessarily follow same order.

    Number in brackets is post number, which is not quite order of entry since some may revise and other posts may not contain entries. This is to settle ties but it remains the obligation of the entrant not the organizer to monitor for duplicate entries made before your own which automatically means you cannot win the contest -- ties created by equal errors from two different values will count as ties regardless of order of entry. )

    FORECASTER _________ Ireland ___ UK

    January Snowstorm (3) _ 35.2 ____ 42.4

    CirrusBusiness (6) ______33.8 ____ 41.3

    esposito (4) ___________33.7 ____ 39.6

    WJL (13) _____________ 33.5 ____ 39.1

    Rougies (36) __________ 33.5 ____ 38.5

    StevenToast (18) _______33.1 ____ 40.2

    Danno (14) ___________ 32.9 ____ 38.6

    Gonzo (28) ___________ 32.9 ____ 39.6

    sydthebeat (19) ________32.8 ____ 41.6

    Billcarson (24) _________32.8 ____ 39.4

    neddyusa (2) __________32.4 ____ -- --

    zisdead (21) __________ 32.2 ____ -- --

    Little Old Snowy Me (35)_ 32.2 ____ 38.4

    Pauldry (5)* __________ 32.1 ____ 39.9

    Artane2002 (12) _______ 32.1 ____ 39.2

    bsal (15) _____________ 32.0 ____ 39.2

    YanSno (33) ___________31.9 ____ 41.2

    sryanbruen (7) _________31.8 ____ 39.0

    HorseSea (16) _________31.5 ____ 39.2

    Chris_5339762 (26) ____ 31.5 ____ 41.0

    Larbre34 (32) _________ 31.5 ____ 39.3

    DOCARCH (23) ________ 31.3 ____ 39.2

    gameoverdude (30) ____ 30.8 ____ 41.5

    M.T. Cranium (9) _______30.7 ____ 40.3

    Oscar Bravo (10) _______30.5 ____ 38.7

    Supercell (17) _________30.4 ____ 38.2

    tiegan (11) ___________ 29.9 ____ 37.2


    There are already several entries that are duplicates of earlier ones. Later in each case needs to revise to remain eligible for first place. (edit _ oddly there are now several more despite this notice _ check the list above and see if you repeated an earlier submitted forecast)

    Post edited by M.T. Cranium on

  • Registered Users Posts: 5,554 ✭✭✭gameoverdude

    Irl - hot, too damn hot (for me). 30.8

    Eng - scorcio. 41.5

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  • Registered Users Posts: 185 ✭✭CirrusBusiness

    My UK temp in the table needs correcting M.T. 41.3 for UK temp as per original post. You have it in as 31.3 in the table of entries. Thanks