Charts ( Up to T120 ) Summer 2022 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**
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It depends on which model you look at and this will always change from run to run. The south-east will usually be the driest part of the country and this includes very wet weeks like the coming week, but the south-east could still see 40/50mm of rain in the coming week.
The GFS 14 day precipitation forecast is showing between 150 and 200mm of rain over the next 2 weeks in western areas and between 40 and 90mm of rain elsewhere.
GFS over the next week or so.
There is a chance this precipitation charts will get upgraded as other models are looking wetter than the GFS.
GFS run for Wexford, this looks much wetter than anything we have seen all year so far for the south-east.
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GFS 12z brings less rain to Leinster and south Munster and an almost doubling of rainfall totals in western areas compared to the 6z. Let's see what the next one brings. Regardless still looks wet next week.
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Lots of spread still on the models, ECM showing the SW /S which Met Eireann mentioned tonight after the news, UKMO showing the Northern half of the country quite windy on Saturday, ICON showing very blustery across the country on Saturday, strong along the Atlantic coasts. So a lot of uncertainty yet on where will get the strongest winds and how strong. Deepening area of LP right on our door step , jet doing its bit to help spin it , very hard to predict but will no doubt get clearer nearer the time.
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Dont have readings for today but almost certain over 25mm, looks like we could get another 40 -50mm here in Kerry out by the coast up to Sun night.
Blustery overland tomorrow , windy along the coasts and coastal fringes, some marine gale warnings in place and small craft warnings for tomorrow and small craft warnings in place for Sunday , some of those big convective showers could be gusty.
Will we see Orange rainfall warnings come into effect ?? AROME Hi REs is really going for it, models starting to show some very high toatls in the West
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Some heavy rain forecast later Mon into Tues and again through the day on Weds ( we will stop there for now 😀 ).
LP over us or close by with plenty of frontal rain followed by showers.
Just a rough idea of rainfall accumulations up to Thurs.
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Plenty of rainfall to come in the next 24hrs as the LP unravels its fronts over Ireland with the center brushing off the W of Ireland, interesting to see if there is more in the way of convective shower activity in the W, NW, N tomorrow especially in the afternoon. High totals on elevated ground.
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A slow improvement in the weather as high pressure tries to ridge in from the south-west as we get closer to the weekend. After a fairly dissapointing May and June, many are wondering where summer has gone and will we finally get a taste of summer over the next 7 days. At the moment the models are looking a bit on the dissapointing side if you want hot weather and bags of sunshine.
Southern, central and eastern areas should see an improvement though this week with temperatures lifitng into the low twenties at times with some sunshine on offer each day but it won't be unbroken gin blue skies. Inland parts of south-western and mid western areas may also be included in this. Cloud cover will vary but where decent sunny spells occurs it will feel fairly pleasant with temperatures generally 18 to 23C this week with the low twenties kicking in from about Wednesday and lasting throughout the weekend.
The north-western half of the country will be cooler and more prone to Atlantic cloud, wind and drizzle with temperatures there generally 14 to 19C, coolest near the coasts and across Donegal. By Friday the warmth may extend into the mid west, but the north-west corner looks to remain fairly cool into the weekend. Friday and Saturday look to be the best days for the mid west and south-west with temperatures there generally in the low 20s providing there is enough sunshine to lift the temperatures up.
There are signs that this high pressure may begin to break down from the north-west during Sunday and into Monday with a band of rain possibly cutting into the high pressure spoiling things early next week, but that is along way out and could change between now and then. The following week I will cover in the 120+ FI thread, there is a great deal of uncertainty with that week.
There will be little to no rainfall for most areas over the coming week and into the weekend, however there will be drizzle or showers at times across western coasts and the north-west in particular but rainfall shouldn't be as heavy as recent times.
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Looks quite cloudy again tomorrow for most of the country, set to brighten in in Leinster and E Munster from the afternoon, good temperatures in the SE /S
Cloudy for large parts of the country again on Fri but better in the S, SE and maybe the E and NE, similar temperature to Thurs
Cloudy again on Saturday it would appear, possibly brightening towards evening in the Southern half of the country, feeling warm and humid which could lead to widespread fog overnight into Sun morning which should burn off quickly, widespread warm day 20 to 24 or 25C away from coasts, very mild overnight, another warm day on Monday getting into the mid 20's.
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Looks like a very warm day tomorrow getting up to 25 or 26C perhaps. Getting quite warm here in Kerry until the sea breeze kicks in and then probably knocking a couple of degrees off along coastal areas but should still be very decent. Cloud looks stubborn at first for parts but should burn off in most places.
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AROME showing getting up to 21-25C generally, warmest in the midlands , shows 27 or 28C around Dublin , heat island effect factored in perhaps, that and staying mostly cloud free until late afternoon / early evening and no onshore breeze as such with winds running parallel to the shore from the S in fact good land fetch tomorrow heating up the air until it peaks in the afternoon.
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