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Tuesday 3rd May 2022

  • 01-05-2022 2:30pm
    #1
    Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭


    3.25 Lingfield I think ISOLA ROSSA ~ 7/2 sets the standard here



Comments

  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    2.20 Lingfield

    Looks a poor enough Class 5, but I definitely want to be against FAIR AND SQUARE ~ 11/8 , who's a serial crossbar-hitter, and is yet to win in 15 starts,, Has come placed 4 times over C & D in Class 5s and 6s, so will try to find at least one to do, either win or e/w



  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    4.00 Lingfield TOUCHWOOD & IMPEACH look the obvious ones, and CHARMING KID looks an outsider with a mini squeak in this 6f Class 4 affair,,

    atm am siding with IMPEACH @ ~ 3/1, who is just about capable of making all at this level,,, TOUCHWOOD looks a bit short @ ~ 6/4 on the back of a second at the course, but that was over 7f,, he won a Class 4 the time before that, but that was at Kempton on Standard/Slow going,,,

    am not gone on the chances of OOH IS IT ~ 4/1 in that same race, as I feel 6f on the AW is not very suitable for Evans' 4yr old gelding,,



  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    4.35 Lingfield

    Think the race is between ALABLAQ & SWISS PRIDE ,,, BOWLING RUSSIAN can be given a squeak, at a price, if getting a decent break - is drawn in seven, so not too sure,,

    PURE DREAMER has no form (never raced) on AW, so will overlook,,, TWILIGHT HEIR is not w/o a chance, but hasn't a great draw in box 9,,, Hard to rule out ALABLAQ either,,,

    Too many with chances - will try and narrow down to one pick



  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    2.30 Fakenham

    DUBAI GUEST ~ 6/1 looks the one to be on atm,, ran a couple of okay races at the course at the start of last year,,, first run for new trainer lto was alright.. goes okay on soft, and slightly worse than good ground,, wouldn't rule him out on strictly good going however

    AJAY'S WAYS ~ 6/1 can have a say if the ground gets softer than the current description of good,, is a CD winner from January, and came third, over further, at the course in March,,, hard to fancy if there's no soft in going description tho,,,

    GO ALL THE WAY ~ 5/2 looks to be a poor fav,, will only be his 2nd run in England tho, but I can leave him off,,

    BROOKSWAY FAIR ~ 5/1 doesn't look the most dependable one, but he is capable of going well if held up,, The best going he's ever raced on is good to soft, and he also sports first-time cheekpieces, plus he's only 6yrs old,,, impossible to dismiss his claims out of hand,,,



  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    4.15 Fakenham

    The ultra consistent TOMMIE BEAU ~ 11/2 almost looks incapable of running a poor race,,, as long as the going doesn't go heavy, then he'd have a great chance,, is up to a Class 3, and races over 3f further than what he's won at before, but they're only minor quibbles,,

    Slightly less consistent is GAME LINE ~ 12/1 , but last year's winner can't be overlooked racing off the same mark,,

    The ~ 3/1 paper fav RED HAPPY is only 5yrs old, and is being stepped up significantly in trip, and hard to fancy.. he's reasonably lightly raced too, and had little success on soft & heavy going in his early races,,, looks a fair place lay prospect atm, and possibly an even better one if he shortens, or the track gets soft... has shown serious improvement since his 4th run however, so perhaps the improvement shown is not solely down to the better ground he's being running on,, but yeah, if it does get soft, and he's at top o market, then I'm liking him less and less to fill a place here,,,

    DEBDEN BANK ~ 4/1 looks a bit short,,, is likely to be hassled for the lead, as he likes to race prominent,, races over 5f further than he's ever tried before; so as well as staying being a question mark, the slightly slower (imo) pace should see him have more company up front, which I'm thinking he won't like (inasmuch as i can have a clue about what a horse either 'likes' or doesn't 😋 - more horses close to him should inconvenience him at least),, He flopped at a slightly shorter trip the last time he tackled a Class 3, which was over 3m 1f at Cheltenham last October... Can't fault his last run tho, when he won at Southwell over 3m. But for reasons already mentioned I wouldn't be hanging my hat on that run being a standout piece of form as far as winnin the 'Snellings' Norfolk National goes - norfolking chance he has, one who is suitably bullish, might opine 😃,,, A possible place lay if he sees some money - even if he doesn't, as 4s seems very short..

    POTTERS LEGEND ~ 5/1 is twelve and has a big weight to carry (although the jockey takes 10lbs off) ,,, he came 2nd lto at the course over shorter,, normally runs in Class 2s,,, hard to have a strong opinion on his chances, but I think the trip will be too far for him,,, softer ground might help him see out the trip if it rains; but overall I'd rather be against him,,,



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  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    4.45 Fakenham

    A Class 6 Maiden Hunters' Chase

    5 due to go to post,, no point over-analysing it or backing a shortie,, FIDDLER OF DOONEY ~ 5/1, and MEGABOOST ~ 25/1 are my two agin the field

    The 7/4 paper fav SOCIALISER is the only one that has had a relatively recent run,,, Looks to have had at least four runs (going on form figures) , but can only see two of them going on the formguide i'm looking at,,, Will have a look in Racing Post on the day to see what's up with that, but Socialiser looks a definite place lay proposition going on the two PtP runs of his that I'm aware of,,,, Will hope he shortens, and he might do, as he's trained by Jamie Snowden; with the rest looking as tho they're in the care of 'unlicensed' (if that's the correct terminology) trainers/handlers/whatever yer havin yerself - doesn't mean they've nae chance tho in this donkey derby 😆



  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    2.20 Haven't been able to find anything to oppose the fav here,,, Lord Gorgeous and Jazzy Princess may try and lead, and possibly Bankrupt may try go on here,,,

    can't make a solid case for the fav at all neither tho,, he'll likely have competition for the lead should he try make all,,, can come from just off the pace with a well delivered run, perhaps, a tactic which saw him come 2nd before over CD,,, mebbe a small win bet at no smaller than 13/8, on account of the William Buick factor, but otherwise this horse, and the race itself, are of little interest,,

    pin to collar - a lay at less than evens and win at 2s or bigger = no real opinion at all

    #itried 😋



  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Very hard to split Isola Rossa ~ 7/2 , Daphne May ~ 3/1 and Wonder Elmossman ~ 7/4 here,,

    Isola Rossa looks the best value here, but all three are CD winners, and all have sound claims,,,,,,,

    might do a rake of e/w doubles/multis with these three (only 7 declared so just the two places) and a few of the other picks on this thread for shrapnail

    #wishiniwaslucky 🤗



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Hey leff, you haven't tipped anything in 2:50 Lingers yet, what about Vazire 7/1, frankel's filly, to chase two hot favorites home?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    She's much shorter than that but she's come up in my notifications too... Shall we go for it?



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  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




    Alright 👼 j@u? 😃

    you haven't tipped anything in 2:50 Lingers yet,

    what's all that aboot? i've practically a page of opinions up there - some people is never happy 😏

    I looked at three in betting at top of it,, can't even pick a guaranteed placer,, think yours may want further than 7fs so i do is my conclusion,,

    gluck in yer punting endeavours anyroad :)



  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Worth an e/w go @ 7/1 or so,,, should get up for a place at least - based on her staying on lto o'er seven,,, extra furlong plus experience be two pluseses for Vazire,,, that's me expert opinion mrs 😀



  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    At 6/4? too short j - Cannot rule out Wonder Elmossman ~ 11/4, who's wide draw shouldn't be an impediment, as likely he'll be bang up there early... and then there's Daphne May ~ 4/1 who might be held up from the one box, and she won well lto from that same draw - despite being unlucky in running,,

    I can't split them at all at all 😴 Daphne might be vulnerable up in grade - maybe,,, pity all three of them are in same race

    Isola Rossa should go bigger i reckon at some stage



  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Went for Wonder Elmossman 3/1 - should give a good a/c, and unlikely to incur trouble in running,, that'll do me :)

    gluck everybody 😊



  • Posts: 7,792 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Yankee

    2.20 L Fair And Square

    2.50 L Vasire

    4.00 L Impeach

    2.30 F Dubai Guest



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,311 ✭✭✭liamtech


    got a few vouchers in the Punchestown NAP contest in my PP - think i will go trebles and 4folds on that selection! Thanks @[Deleted User]

    GL ALL!

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Drifting like a barge. I only got to look at it now, not even worth cashing out before off on PP, what will be will be.

    Post edited by j@utis on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    COUNT OTTO is backed mad in this, from 5/1 into 2/1, probably on the basis that he's dropping in class slightly, hasn't ran in class 4 for over a year and he's back on winnable mark too. Favorite has strong claims, it's a 7 runner race, only two places pay, I stay out. Ooh Is It - in my notebook for not clear run, but nah, no takers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    And btw, Rosa wins in 3:25 @7/4, I haven't even noticed the bump in the balance on my PP lol.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Let's follow the crowd in 4:35 with Swiss Price, everybody's thinking that booking Buick to ride is significant, I don't quite think so, but he's in my tracker for possible coming back to form, small stakes.



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