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Boards weather forecast contest for January 2021

  • 30-12-2020 8:36am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 13,185 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    1. Predict the IMT (average temperature at five locations, Claremorris, Mullingar, Casement, Oak Park, Shannon), 1981-2010 "normal" was 5.1 C.

    2. Predict the MAX and

    3. MIN (each from the roughly 25 stations normally reporting on the met.ie website).

    4. Predict the PRC as a percentage of normal values (the data used come from eleven locations, the five mentioned in part one, plus these six: Malin Head, Belmullet, Ballyhaise, Johnstown Castle, Cork, Valentia).

    5. Predict the SUN as a percentage of normal values (the data used come from six locations, Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Cork, Shannon and Valentia).

    6. Some guidance is suggesting a significant cold spell. What will be the maximum snow depth at Casement during January, and on which date? (no significant snow forecasts don't need a date) -- amount will be 7/10 of this bonus and timing will be 3/10 of the points awarded.

    Because I posted this rather late and there is the usual disruption of New Years involved, late penalties will be somewhat more lenient than usual, just 2 points for anyone coming in before 1500h 1st, and a maximum of 8 by 1500 2nd. After that it's a point an hour as usual. Any data already reported by the time of late forecasts, and used for those forecasts will be subject to spot deductions too (although I don't anticipate this will be a big factor).


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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 2,569 ✭✭✭ 200motels


    200motels 5.3
    10.5
    -5.5
    94
    89 2cm 10th


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,306 ✭✭✭ SleetAndSnow


    Not gonna lose -10 this time!

    SleetAndSnow 5.4_____11____ -4.2______ 91______ 85____ 3cm 11th


  • Registered Users Posts: 24 WesternStorm


    WesternStorm 4.5_____10.5____ -6.0______ 86______ 107____ 0cm (no significant snow)


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,373 ✭✭✭ Danno


    Danno 2.7_____12.7____ -12.4______ 135%______ 65%____ 20cm 25th


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,554 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    sryanbruen _____ 3.9 _ 13.1 _ -7.1 _ 085 _ 115 _ 4cm, 21st

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



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  • Registered Users Posts: 475 ✭✭ bazlers


    Bazlers_____3.3_____9.8_____-14.6_____85%_____105%______37CM 28th.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,713 ✭✭✭ Bsal


    Bsal _____ 3.2 _ 11.0 _ -6.0 _ 090 _ 105 _ 10cm, 22nd


  • Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭ kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit ___ 4.5° ___ 12.0 ___ -6.5 ___ 110 ___ 88 ___ 6cm, 6th.


  • Registered Users Posts: 164 ✭✭ sunflower3


    Sunflower3 _____ 3.5_ 12.5 _ -8.0 _ 090 _ 110 _ 6cm, 28th


  • Registered Users Posts: 281 ✭✭ eon1208


    4.3 _ 11.6 _ -6.6 _ 88% _ 107% _ 4cm, 14th January..


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,995 ✭✭✭ John mac


    john mac_____ 4.3 _ 12.4 _ -5.1 _ 97 _ 105 _ no significant snow


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    pauldry____ 4.5 _ 12.8_ -6 _ 90_ 115 _ 3cm jan 10th


  • Registered Users Posts: 622 ✭✭✭ Tae laidir


    Tae laidir _____ 4.6 _ 13.1 _ -6.2 _ 122 _ 100 _ 5cm, 9th


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,607 ✭✭✭ appledrop


    Appledrop___4.5___12.9__-6.2__80%__120%__2cm_ 9th Jan


  • Registered Users Posts: 457 ✭✭ dasa29


    Dasa29 _____ 4.6 _ 11.5 _ -6.5 _ 120 _ 110 _ 30cm, 24th


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,102 Mod ✭✭✭✭ DOCARCH


    DOCARCH____4.9___13.1____-5.2____090____110____7cm____13th


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,772 ✭✭✭ dacogawa


    Dacogawa____ 4.4 _ 12.9_ -7.9 _ 120_ 96 _ 12cm Jan 19th


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 15,171 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Gonzo


    Gonzo____4.3___13.3____-7.8____088____95____2cm____11th


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,858 ✭✭✭ Artane2002


    Artane2002____4.3___13.6____-6.7____085____110____3cm____22nd


  • Registered Users Posts: 745 ✭✭✭ mr.stonewall


    Mrstonewall___4.3___12.8____-7.6___77___135___3cm___19th


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  • Registered Users Posts: 153 ✭✭ CirrusBusiness


    CirrusBusiness___3.1__9.9__-11.2__120__75__28cm Jan 24th


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,185 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    M.T. Craniummm ______ 2.9 __ 13.5 _ --14.5 __ 090 __ 120 ___ 20.5 18th

    Norma L _____________ 5.1 __ 14.5 __ --7.0 __ 100 __ 100 ___ 1.0 late in month

    (that would be the average of a lot of zeroes and a few much higher numbers, I suppose normally the outcome would be zero).

    Best wishes for 2021, the year that could not fail to be better, you would imagine (at least I would).


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,894 ✭✭✭ BLIZZARD7


    BLIZZARD7______ 1.1 __ 10.3_ -17.8 __ 085 __ 135 ___ 40cm 17th

    Happy New year to all, let's start 2021 with a bang ! (A very cold bang...)


  • Registered Users Posts: 359 ✭✭ mrskinner


    Skinner____5.2____13.3____-6.5____85____111____5cm____21st


  • Registered Users Posts: 767 ✭✭✭ Snowbiee21


    BLIZZARD7 wrote: »
    BLIZZARD7______ 1.1 __ 10.3_ -17.8 __ 085 __ 135 ___ 40cm 17th

    Happy New year to all, let's start 2021 with a bang ! (A very cold bang...)

    40CM wow


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,607 ✭✭✭ appledrop


    Happy New Year everyone!

    OK starting to get a bit worried with M.T and Blizzard predictions.

    Snow of 28-40cm and min of -14 to -17.

    Please please not another 2010 on the way!


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭ Joe Public


    Joe Public 2.5____11.9____ -8.9____ 88____ 130____ 20cm 13th


  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭ waterways


    Wish all a good start in 2021!


    waterways_____ 3.8_ 11.3 _ -7.4 _ 75 _ 115 _ 2, 5th


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,408 ✭✭✭ Jpmarn


    Jpmarn ____________ 3.9 __ 12.1 __ --7.8__ 70 __ 130 ___ 2.0 ____20th


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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭ Funsterdelux


    Funsterdelux_____________5.0______12.5________-7.5______90 _____95__, 5cm, 15th


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