Snow Showers and potential Accumulations - Ulster (Northern especially)

pauldry

What a pathetic forecast. I was sure it would snow.

Ah well.

When is next heatwave due

Gaoth Laidir

Belfast Aldergrove still down with a slight chance of snow showers throughout the day, becoming slightly heavier overnight. Only a slight chance.


TAF EGAA 300457Z 3006/3106 30005KT 9999 FEW008 SCT025
TEMPO 3006/3010 BKN007
PROB30 TEMPO 3006/3010 5000 -SHRASN -SHSN BKN004
PROB30 TEMPO 3010/3018 5000 -SHRASN -SHSN BKN007
TEMPO 3018/3106 1500 SHRASN -SHSN BKN004
PROB30 TEMPO 3018/3106 0800 SHSN BKN001=

Nqp15hhu

pauldry wrote: »

What a pathetic forecast. I was sure it would snow.

Ah well.

When is next heatwave due

It did snow and it’s not melting.

Nqp15hhu

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Belfast Aldergrove still down with a slight chance of snow showers throughout the day, becoming slightly heavier overnight. Only a slight chance.


TAF EGAA 300457Z 3006/3106 30005KT 9999 FEW008 SCT025
TEMPO 3006/3010 BKN007
PROB30 TEMPO 3006/3010 5000 -SHRASN -SHSN BKN004
PROB30 TEMPO 3010/3018 5000 -SHRASN -SHSN BKN007
TEMPO 3018/3106 1500 SHRASN -SHSN BKN004
PROB30 TEMPO 3018/3106 0800 SHSN BKN001=

“ Tonight:

Wintry showers becoming heavier and more prolonged in evening and spreading south, with some lying snow at low levels. Drier later in night with a few clear spells and frosty. Minimum temperature -2 °C”

Nqp15hhu

Wait to see all the drone owners descending on local mountain for their retweet from bbc news forecasters.., always the same people... not really a fair competition.

Nqp15hhu

Really random snowline. Snow at sea level and nothing at 500 feet

polarhullar

The last full moon of 2020 known as the #coldmoon setting this morning on a cold and snowy Benevenagh.

Nqp15hhu

Currently in a snow showers

https://streamable.com/rqzdcf

zerosugarbuzz

polarhullar wrote: »

A nice power cut wouldn't go a miss either, just like the old days. Couldn't even tell you the last time we had a power cut!

Be careful what you wish for. With the Green Party policies being implemented and power stations being shut down power cuts could become a thing in the near future.

polarhullar

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

Currently in a snow showers

https://streamable.com/rqzdcf

That's a great walk across there.

Nqp15hhu

I think there is 4cm up here, not much due to the diversion of the showers to the SE. It is subzero but not too cold.

[IMG][/img][IMG][/img][IMG][/img][IMG][/img][IMG][/img]

nacho libre

Some of us further south might see the odd snow shower tonight if we are lucky

Pangea

Snowing heavy here now in Donegal ,massive flakes , not lying unfortunately

Donegal Ken

Image send on to me this morning from Dunlewey, Donegal.

nacho libre

Pangea wrote: »

Snowing heavy here now in Donegal ,massive flakes , not lying unfortunately

Just cloudy here and cold.

I think you could well have some settling snow before tomorrow morning.

Nqp15hhu

The lake weirdly appears to be partly frozen

Nqp15hhu

The lake weirdly appears to be partly frozen

[IMG][/img]https://i.imgur.com/w98dBOL.jpg [IMG][/img]

nacho libre

Donegal Ken wrote: »

Image send on to me this morning from Dunlewey, Donegal.

That's an incredible scene. How high up is that spot?

Donegal Storm

Donegal Ken wrote: »

Image send on to me this morning from Dunlewey, Donegal.

Yep plenty of snow to fairly low levels in west Donegal, nothing here closer to the sea but looking inland everything is white with a good covering on all the hills

Donegal Storm

nacho libre wrote: »

That's an incredible scene. How high up is that spot?

maps.ie says 265m

From looking at the hills around here I'd guess lying snow level is around 200m though there's a patchy covering to maybe under 100m

Slashermcguirk

It clearly did snow but obviously not in your back garden

pauldry wrote: »

What a pathetic forecast. I was sure it would snow.

Ah well.

When is next heatwave due

Gaoth Laidir

Some accumulation at Ballypatrick Forest (156 m amsl) during this morning, 5 cm lying snow at midday. None of the other NI stations was reporting lying snow.

joujoujou

Morning photos, taken near the place where Sligo, Mayo and Roscommon meet one another.

Ox mountains:



Benbulben:



Truskmore:



Keshcorran:



Yeah, I know, a bit blurry. But shot from quite a distance. As an example - Benbulben is 47 km away from me.

Nqp15hhu

joujoujou wrote: »

Morning photos, taken near the place where Sligo, Mayo and Roscommon meet one another.

Ox mountains:



Benbulben:



Truskmore:



Keshcorran:



Yeah, I know, a bit blurry. But shot from quite a distance. As an example - Benbulben is 47 km away from me.

How can see those from dungiven?

joujoujou

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

How can see those from dungiven?

Dunno, never been there.

Nqp15hhu

I am back from my 6 mile hike. At midday the Freezing level appeared to be about 900-1000 feet as the snow above that was frozen solid. It might be a little higher now.

What surprised me was the partially frozen lake. I don’t believe it fell below -2c last night. I assumed one would need several nights of -5c or less for a frozen lake no?

[IMG][/img][IMG][/img][IMG][/img][IMG][/img][IMG][/img]

joujoujou

Gone out 5 minutes ago - no more nice views as before.

Ox Mountains:



Benbulben/Truskmore:



Keshcorran:



Oh, and heavy snowfall just started.

Supercell

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

I am back from my 6 mile hike. At midday the Freezing level appeared to be about 900-1000 feet as the snow above that was frozen solid. It might be a little higher now.

What surprised me was the partially frozen lake. I don’t believe it fell below -2c last night. I assumed one would need several nights of -5c or less for a frozen lake no?

Great pictures thanks, dont forget to close your /img

nacho libre

Great pictures. Just had a light rain shower. The clouds look a bit snowy further to the north, so maybe i'll get lucky later.

littlema

Birdies took a look at remaining snow on the Ox Mt's and decided to fill up.

Nqp15hhu

What do people think about this “event” tonight? The Met Office are bugging it up referencing snow lying at low levels but it appears to be coming with warmer air so how is that going to materialise?

joujoujou

AFAIR forecast for Ulster says there will be -2 to +2 in terms of air temperature, more than likely colder on the ground level. So quite a good chance for snow sticking, IMO.

Nqp15hhu

joujoujou wrote: »

AFAIR forecast for Ulster says there will be -2 to +2 in terms of air temperature, more than likely colder on the ground level. So quite a good chance for snow sticking, IMO.

The freezing level seems to rise to 700m though.

Donegal Ken

Caught this Shelf cloud coming in of Donegal Bay around midday

https://twitter.com/DonegalWeatherC/status/1344296239416958977

Nqp15hhu

Yeah back into the showery crap. Temp rising and becoming more marginal. I would prefer that we dropped below freezing first.

Why can’t we just have a couple of days of nice crisp weather? I hate this showery nonsense

Gaoth Laidir

Belfast's latest TAF has the switch to rain from around 8 am tomorrow.

TAF EGAA 301702Z 3018/3118 29005KT 9999 FEW008 SCT025
TEMPO 3018/3108 3000 SHRASN -SHSN BKN004
PROB30 TEMPO 3018/3107 1200 SHSN BKN001
TEMPO 3108/3118 7000 RA SHRA BKN012 PROB30
TEMPO 3108/3110 BKN007
BECMG 3111/3114 01011KT=

Derry has slight chance of sleet and light snow showers this evening (the forecast only goes to 9 pm).

TAF EGAE 301704Z 3018/3021 27007KT 9999 FEW008 SCT020
TEMPO 3018/3021 5000 SHRASN BKN007 BKN020CB
PROB30 TEMPO 3018/3021 2000 +SHRASN -SHSN=

polarhullar

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Belfast's latest TAF has the switch to rain from around 8 am tomorrow.



Derry has slight chance of sleet and light snow showers this evening (the forecast only goes to 9 pm).

Less than a mile from me. I'll see if I can stay awake long enough 🙈

Nqp15hhu

It’s not going to snow low down. We’re back to the same nonsense we had last night except with a rising freezing level.

My humidity is 94%..., awful

Donegal Storm

Lots of sleet showers here right on the coast, some nice big snowflakes in the mix so I'd imagine anywhere with a bit of height should still be seeing more snow tonight

Meteorite58

Nice views from Donegal this morning.

https://twitter.com/UniqueAscent/status/1344264508181770241?s=20

joujoujou

Heavy snowfalls now here. No wind.

Sligo/Mayo/Roscommon border, 130m amsl.

Pretzill

It's much colder tonight - frost underfoot and beautiful.

South Sligo near the Roscommon Border
90m asl

Goldfinch8

Snow shower east of Castlebar now. Starting to stick also.

Meteorite58

Looks like plenty of potential tonight, no shortage of precipitation from showers in N and NW counties and then the outer edges of the occluded front look to pass down over the Eastern side of the country into tomorrow ,will be interesting to see if that produces snow and even in the SW looks like we could clip a trough and end up with some high terrain snow by morning. Lots of interest all over the island.

EURO 4 looks very active tonight/ early morning

nacho libre

Snowing now and sticking readily! Ideal setup with the freeze beforehand

Nqp15hhu

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Looks like plenty of potential tonight, no shortage of precipitation from showers in N and NW counties and then the outer edges of the occluded front look to pass down over the Eastern side of the country into tomorrow ,will be interesting to see if that produces snow and even in the SW looks like we could clip a trough and end up with some high terrain snow by morning. Lots of interest all over the island.

EURO 4 looks very active tonight/ early morning

What happened to the warm area? Last night when I looked we had -2c 850hPa coming in over Northern Ireland and freezing levels rising to 800 metres. Has that gone now?

Goldfinch8

nacho libre wrote: »

Great pictures. Just had a light rain shower. The clouds look a bit snowy further to the north, so maybe i'll get lucky later.

Thought the same thing myself late this afternoon as I could see the cloud tops of showers approaching the
North Mayo coast. They had that wintry look about them. Sure enough we have already seen some flakes this eve which is promising. A few more showers due overnight also. A bit of radar watching ahead tonight I think!

Nqp15hhu

Yes. I am not going crazy. The warm sector has been delayed but does come in about 6am.

Rising as high as 1300 metres.

Gaoth Laidir

Owen, incoming! Moderate snow shower now at Derry Eglington

METAR EGAE 302050Z 32013KT 6000 SHSN FEW009 BKN013 02/01 Q1006=

Nqp15hhu

Next possible event is Saturdays though the freezing level is 500 metres. Think I’ve learn’t my lesson on that and will have a mental note looking for 200 metre-300 metre freezing level to ensure snow to sea level.