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How do we actually fix the rental market?

  • 04-12-2020 10:26pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,653 ✭✭✭


    I'm not a home owner yet (saving for it) and have the experience of renting in Ireland in multiple cities over the past few years. I'm just wondering, how do we fix the rental market in Ireland? The high cost, the low quality, the lack of supply, the overcrowding, the crap protections for both the landlords and the tenants, the only viable option being to house share....

    How do we actually make it better? I've been contacting politicians for the past 5 years here and always get the same response of toothless policies they have mentioned they're using to fight the problem but clearly there's very little progress.

    It honestly feels like we are where we are by design, i remember the time when we had thousands upon thousands of vacant properties all over the country, perhaps I am looking through rose tinted glasses but it definitely seems like we're not heading in the right direction.


«1345

Comments

  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    yer man! wrote: »
    i remember the time when we had thousands upon thousands of vacant properties all over the country, perhaps I am looking through rose tinted glasses but it definitely seems like we're not heading in the right direction.

    Are you talking about during the last recession where thousands of properties were available but nobody could afford to buy them?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,933 ✭✭✭daheff


    Supply- much more needed
    Rules on what should be provided as part of a tenancy by landlord
    Rules on how much rent can be (function of renter's income)
    Deposit held by 3rd party with defined rules on when it can be forfeited or returned.

    Enforcement of rules & evictions after X number of days when rent has not been paid


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,108 ✭✭✭boombang


    daheff wrote: »
    Supply- much more needed
    Rules on what should be provided as part of a tenancy by landlord
    Rules on how much rent can be (function of renter's income)
    Deposit held by 3rd party with defined rules on when it can be forfeited or returned.

    Enforcement of rules & evictions after X number of days when rent has not been paid

    Agree, except for rent control. It causes problems. Plus you'd have people underdeclaring and doing funny sublets.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,127 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    Supply doesn't necessarily cause price decreases, insane supply during that boom and RIP off prices....

    Cost of building is too high, government creaming off too much in taxes...


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,643 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    Idbatterim wrote: »
    Supply doesn't necessarily cause price decreases, insane supply during that boom and RIP off prices....

    Because demand was inflated due to excessive credit leading to.......

    insufficient supply to meet the demand.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,636 ✭✭✭dotsman


    Idbatterim wrote: »
    Supply doesn't necessarily cause price decreases, insane supply during that boom and RIP off prices....

    Cost of building is too high, government creaming off too much in taxes...

    There was a ridiculous undersupply during the boom, hence the boom.

    There has been a massive shortage of suitable property (both residential and office) in our cities since the nineties. Ireland, as a country may have begun to modernise over the last 30 years, but our cities did not, and continue to be based on industrial era small towns.

    And with councils still displaying complete incompetence when it comes to planning, this will continue for decades to come. Even if/when they start doing proper planning, it will be 20+ years before it resolves the issue. Hence, the politicians (under pressure from the muppet mob) don't bother, instead always focusing on BS short term policies that either don't work, or often cause the problem to get worse.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,003 ✭✭✭handlemaster


    If a contract terms were to be respected by tenants and enforceable automatically without two years going through the courts when rent is not paid or damage is done that would help. Because landlords would then be more comfortable in accepting lower rents.

    Government accept that the private rental market is just that and not be used as a political punching ball with the sway of public opinion.

    Lower taxes on rental property for landlords. I know people say why should there be etc ... Well the government is taking a very large portion of the rent received each month but renters only see lm to think its the landlord why buckets the cash


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,439 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    yer man! wrote:
    I'm not a home owner yet (saving for it) and have the experience of renting in Ireland in multiple cities over the past few years. I'm just wondering, how do we fix the rental market in Ireland? The high cost, the low quality, the lack of supply, the overcrowding, the crap protections for both the landlords and the tenants, the only viable option being to house share....

    Thankfully the market is slowly making it's way to equilibrium, so this issue will be resolved soon!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 529 ✭✭✭Smouse156


    I think it’s pretty simple, a massive increase in supply built by government (providing land etc) not just for social housing on their own land.

    If we looked like we had an oversupply (not likely) then the Airbnb rules could be relaxed and some form of NCT for landlord properties to kick out the sub standard crap. I wouldn’t advocate the latter until we had an oversupply.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,653 ✭✭✭yer man!


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Are you talking about during the last recession where thousands of properties were available but nobody could afford to buy them?

    There were obviously more during the recession yeah as ppl had no money to buy them and the bank was not lending. But in the boom time itself, we were building far far more houses than we are today I believe? I know this was fueled by unsustainable credit and was a defacto bubble but still. There seems to be pent up demand for houses in Ireland, from people that can afford them but there's just not much there to buy. Like I'm at the point of saying give the developer whatever that want, tax breaks, relaxed planning laws, anything, just feckin build!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    Rental market is in really bad shape, with rental prices worst than sales price. I'm afraid it will be disaster for someone looking for rental property by September next year.
    The only way currently to get out of it, is build, build, build...
    The other question, how to ramp up construction, and competition on Supply side.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Smouse156 wrote: »
    I think it’s pretty simple, a massive increase in supply built by government (providing land etc) not just for social housing on their own land.

    Three questions about this, firstly, where would the money come from to build tens/hundreds of thousands of properties? Secondly, the new maternity hospital is an example of what happens when the government gets involved in large construction projects. Thirdly, would you be concerned about another Ballymun flats-type scenario if the Government got into a large scale housing project to provide free/affordable housing to those that need it?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,439 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Three questions about this, firstly, where would the money come from to build tens/hundreds of thousands of properties? Secondly, the new maternity hospital is an example of what happens when the government gets involved in large construction projects. Thirdly, would you be concerned about another Ballymun flats-type scenario if the Government got into a large scale housing project to provide free/affordable housing to those that need it?

    oh ffs, the usual chestnuts, publicly funded via borrowing, baring in mind, it is possible to part self fund, but we re not into that stuff at all, we d rather borrow from others for some strange reason, public developments are generally done by private sector contracts, and why would we result back to failed developments such as ballymun!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Three questions about this, firstly, where would the money come from to build tens/hundreds of thousands of properties? Secondly, the new maternity hospital is an example of what happens when the government gets involved in large construction projects. Thirdly, would you be concerned about another Ballymun flats-type scenario if the Government got into a large scale housing project to provide free/affordable housing to those that need it?

    Agree with this. And with Public projects comes corruption. You really need to have trustable and efficient government. I don't believe in this as a solution to fix rental market.
    Some may point to Singapore, as an example, but I don't think it can be replicated here.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    oh ffs, the usual chestnuts, publicly funded via borrowing, baring in mind, it is possible to part self fund, but we re not into that stuff at all, we d rather borrow from others for some strange reason, public developments are generally done by private sector contracts, and why would we result back to failed developments such as ballymun!

    Offs?

    The cost of building a 2-3 bed house in greater Dublin area is approx €300k, a little less when done by direct procurement by LA’s, so consider how much 30k properties would cost to build.

    https://www.google.ie/amp/s/www.irishtimes.com/business/construction/cost-of-building-homes-can-be-much-cheaper-1.4351897?mode=amp

    Self fund with what?

    The maternity hospital is a private contract with BAM.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,439 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Offs?

    The cost of building a 2-3 bed house in greater Dublin area is approx €300k, a little less when done by direct procurement by LA’s, so consider how much 30k properties would cost to build.

    https://www.google.ie/amp/s/www.irishtimes.com/business/construction/cost-of-building-homes-can-be-much-cheaper-1.4351897%3fmode=amp

    Self fund with what?

    The maternity hospital is a private contract with BAM.

    yes, so what? we re in a period of deflation, our economy needs money, and fast, money is created by borrowing, both in the public and private sectors, the majority being in the private sector, in the form of credit, and we all know what happens when you overly rely on that!

    it is possibly to part self fund via public banks, but we have no interest in doing so, we d rather borrow from foreign entities, for some bloody reasons!

    yes bam are one of our major public contractors, and you d be damn naïve to think no one knew it was gonna go miles over budget, before a shovel was used!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 532 ✭✭✭Turquoise Hexagon Sun


    Reduce the number of student visas from non EEA areas.

    Figures show that around 13,500 first residence permits were issued to students entering higher education in Ireland from non-European Economic Area (EEA) countries in 2017 – a 45% increase on the same figure from 2013
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.thejournal.ie/international-student-numbers-origin-ireland-2017-4643317-May2019/%3famp=1

    It don't think its a coincidence that since 2013 there was nearly a 50% increase in non EEA student visas. Thats 13,500 Visas they gave out to students coming to Ireland. Where is this 45% increase of students going to live. I'll give you a clue. Its not student accommodation. Its normal rental accommodation. Locals are competing against a 45% increase in students. Its mental.

    I'm all for students coming and studying. I think its great. Its not their fault. Its our sham government and politicans trying to make a quick buck and import a temporary cheap, working part-time working class and so their friends that own some English schools can get a influx of students for their English School businesses whilst screwing over local population.

    Government gives out all the 3 year visas. They get cash from those student visas. They have to have 5000 euros in the bank to attain the visas to prove they can pay their way if there are problems. This money may or may not prop the economy a bit. 13,500 people putting 5,000 each into Irish bank accounts... But wait.

    Government overcrowds rental market and guess who are the beneficiaries of an overcrowded rental market? All those politicians that own a second or third rental property. They arent going to want change anything.

    Its rotten to the core.

    So, how so we fix it? First of all stop giving out 13,500 visas when we don't have the infrastructure.

    All these 13,500 are competing with locals on rental. That 13,500 is controlable. Its a decision made by our government.

    That's only non EAA visas. It doesnt even account for anyone moving to Ireland within Europe.

    This is not a critique of students or freely moving around Europe. This is a critique of greedy politicians.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,676 ✭✭✭genericgoon


    In the long run, public (not social) housing on cost-rental (i.e. where rent set to cover development/maintenance cost) basis delivered by Approved Housing Bodies. Model works well in other countries and already has decent level of support in Irish political scene despite the greater political rewards of giving houses away on the cheap. Would be a natural complement to HAP going forward too to make that more circular in terms of public housing provision and g'tee a supply of tenants. But importantly scheme should be open to everyone w/o principal residence to ensure long-term broad support.

    In short term, an aggressive tax credit approach may make an impact in RPZs. Offer tax credit equivalent to effective tax rate of 0-25% on rental income if a number of tenancy and rent value conditions met.

    Opportunity to shake-up market by tying the credit to a "standard" contract which would have conditions such as deposits being held by a third party, remove the unilateral spurious reasons for termination (family, renovation) and longer eviction notice periods. In terms of rent levels, would set at X% (say 15-20%) of median income (per capita not household since renters disproportionately single) in that local authority with a ceiling amount compared to national median income (say 30%) to prevent too high divergences.

    As quid pro quo (alongside the credit), could have a fast track RTB process for evictions with these tenancies (arguing is appropriate since contract fair & standardized) where rent is not paid. So landlords see a quicker resolution but tenants are getting the additional regulatory mechanism of Revenue clawbacks if the conditions of receiving the credit (as outlined in the "standard" contract) were not adhered to.

    If you really wanted to juice things you could have credit be greater for early adopters and where rent pressure is highest and taper as time/improvement occurs but then have the grandfathered rate only being kept if stay in the program on a continuous basis without breaks (allowing for reasonable time to find new tenant). This whole contract approach can then be applied to the cost rental housing (with state subvention if cost rental > median income) thus bringing market hopefully to more mature rental model seen elsewhere.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,503 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    incentivise all that money sitting in savings accounts earning next to nothing , direct it towards building houses , this means making it possible to evict rogue tenants

    i dont mean that everyone with a fat savings account needs or wants to roll up their sleeves and become landlords but the money the thing could be done through some sort of pension plan


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 529 ✭✭✭Smouse156


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Three questions about this, firstly, where would the money come from to build tens/hundreds of thousands of properties? Secondly, the new maternity hospital is an example of what happens when the government gets involved in large construction projects. Thirdly, would you be concerned about another Ballymun flats-type scenario if the Government got into a large scale housing project to provide free/affordable housing to those that need it?

    Firstly money would come from European development bank or to increase borrowing now before the EU tightens up the borrowing rules.

    Secondly, the development of the hospital by BAM should yield lessons, however, very few companies actually had the skills etc to build this project. Housing is a far simpler prospect.

    Thirdly I’m not advocating for mass social, just mass building with a 90/10 or even 80/20 non-social/social mix.

    They profits they could make on the sales would cover the costs and even make profits since their finance costs are close to zero. The only downside is they give up some useless land that isn’t doing anything currently

    There are other issues clearly but if there was an actual will there to do this they would...sadly there isnt


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,170 ✭✭✭✭ED E


    Ireland has a hangup about evictions due to our past, fixing it is political suicide. Won't happen.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Smouse156 wrote: »
    Firstly money would come from European development bank or to increase borrowing now before the EU tightens up the borrowing rules.

    Secondly, the development of the hospital by BAM should yield lessons, however, very few companies actually had the skills etc to build this project. Housing is a far simpler prospect.

    Thirdly I’m not advocating for mass social, just mass building with a 90/10 or even 80/20 non-social/social mix.

    They profits they could make on the sales would cover the costs and even make profits since their finance costs are close to zero. The only downside is they give up some useless land that isn’t doing anything currently

    There are other issues clearly but if there was an actual will there to do this they would...sadly there isnt

    And then wait for all the s**te when delays occur, costs overrun, people start objecting to planning, complaining that the prices are too high, that the Government is profiting from housing same as greedy developers, and that more housing should be used for social housing etc.

    What happens if people don’t want to live there and they remain unsold?

    But you are right, that is just what we need, to borrow another couple of billion and wait for the contractors to start screwing the State. Good plan.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 529 ✭✭✭Smouse156


    Dav010 wrote: »
    And then wait for all the s**te when delays occur, costs overrun, people start objecting to planning, complaining that the prices are too high, that the Government is profiting from housing same as greedy developers, and that more housing should be used for social housing etc.

    What happens if people don’t want to live there and they remain unsold?

    But you are right, that is just what we need, to borrow another couple of billion and wait for the contractors to start screwing the State. Good plan.

    Despite your idiotic comments what I have suggested is the right thing to do! Houses unsold?? Have you seen the current supply? The whinging could be ignored in a similar way to the large developments that bypass the council.

    If you read what I said, I claimed if the state this they would make a decent profit and repay those billions.

    But as a delusional landlord like yourself that believes rents haven’t dropped in Dublin over the last year, is clearly someone that hasn’t a clue so no point in talking to you anyway.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    "Smouse156 wrote: »

    If you read what I said, I claimed if the state this they would make a decent profit and repay those billions.

    Cause that’s the way property speculation always works, when you are building tens of thousands of houses/apartments at €300k plus each.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 529 ✭✭✭Smouse156


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Cause that’s the way property speculation always works, when you are building tens of thousands of houses/apartments at €300k plus each.

    They can borrow at zero percent. They can wait out any unsold houses or allocate to the massive social housing list. It would be great if an oversupply was our pressing issue


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,316 ✭✭✭✭the_syco


    daheff wrote: »
    Rules on how much rent can be (function of renter's income)
    How about rules on how much tax the landlord has to pay based on the renters income?
    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    why would we result back to failed developments such as ballymun!
    The issues in Ballymun flats happened because the government stopped funding maintenance.

    If no-one supplies tax to fund the maintenance in their locality, what do you think will happen?
    Reduce the number of student visas from non EEA areas.
    The colleges get a lot of money from said students, as they have to pay the college the full amount of their fees.
    Smouse156 wrote: »
    Have you seen the current supply?
    You mean "Have you seen the current supply near Dublin?"
    Where the prices stay high.
    Smouse156 wrote: »
    They can borrow at zero percent. They can wait out any unsold houses or allocate to the massive social housing list. It would be great if an oversupply was our pressing issue
    As Ireland has an issue evicting people who don't pay their mortgages, no-one will lend Ireland money to build houses at zero percent.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43 Meathman12


    Changing rules in some local authorities where a brother and sister can't share a bedroom might help.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,316 ✭✭✭✭the_syco


    Meathman12 wrote: »
    Changing rules in some local authorities where a brother and sister can't share a bedroom might help.
    If they're over a certain amount of years old, they must have separate bedrooms. Think it's 12 years old.

    Or do you think a 9 year old girl and her 16 year old brother is totally okay in sleeping in the same bedroom?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43 Meathman12


    the_syco wrote: »
    If they're over a certain amount of years old, they must have separate bedrooms. Think it's 12 years old.

    Or do you think a 9 year old girl and her 16 year old brother is totally okay in sleeping in the same bedroom?

    It seems to be ok when the home is owned by the family.


    How to solve housing problem
    Incentivise owners of empty units to have them occupied. That might mean improved taxation or improved landlord rights.

    Build highrise
    Developers say financing is impossible.
    Will private homeowners buy into high rise when they could have undesirable neighbours?
    Benefits of high rise includes higher population density.
    This may lead to better services in the area.

    Better infrastructure outside the cities.

    All have been mentioned in media before I think.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 423 ✭✭Government buildings


    You would want to be insane to get into the rental property business in Ireland. If you do, you are really losing your control over your property. You can get into the business, but it's very hard to get out. You lose more control with each new rule imposed by Government. It will soon be that when you rent, you cede ownership.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭3DataModem


    yer man! wrote: »
    I'm not a home owner yet (saving for it) and have the experience of renting in Ireland in multiple cities over the past few years. I'm just wondering, how do we fix the rental market in Ireland? The high cost, the low quality, the lack of supply, the overcrowding, the crap protections for both the landlords and the tenants, the only viable option being to house share....

    How do we actually make it better? I've been contacting politicians for the past 5 years here and always get the same response of toothless policies they have mentioned they're using to fight the problem but clearly there's very little progress.

    It honestly feels like we are where we are by design, i remember the time when we had thousands upon thousands of vacant properties all over the country, perhaps I am looking through rose tinted glasses but it definitely seems like we're not heading in the right direction.

    Enforcement.

    1. Guaranteed Quality
    A system where a tenant can pay 75.00 for an inspection, and if the property fails (apart from wear and tear or recent issues) the landlord covers the fee (deducted from rent) and if not remediated in 30 days, the tenant deducts a fine from the rent and submits it to the inspection authority. This could initially be a voluntary service for landlords to opt-in to, and could be included in the advertisement.

    2. Landlord Protection
    A system where a landlord can get a bailiff to eject a tenant after 60 days of zero rent.

    3. Tenant Enforcement
    A system where the RTB can put a lien on state future income (tax credits, social welfare, tax refunds) of defaulting tenants. This may also encourage renting to SW recipients.

    4. Long Term Tenancies
    Long term leases with market rent adjustments capped at CPI + 2%, with a framework for rent reduction for maintenance / improvement by tenant.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 423 ✭✭Government buildings


    As regards rental income, say you expect to get €1k income per month from your rented house which is fully owned by you, you would need another rented house fully owned by you yielding another €1k per month to give to the taxman.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 423 ✭✭Government buildings


    Some of the reasons property prices are too high is that the building regulations are too expensive, health and safety regs are ridiculously high, and higher standards of insulation etc all result in higher costs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43 Meathman12


    Some of the reasons property prices are too high is that the building regulations are too expensive, health and safety regs are ridiculously high, and higher standards of insulation etc all result in higher costs.

    Which h&s regs?

    Will the higher standard of insulation not mean lower heating costs?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43 Meathman12


    3DataModem wrote: »
    Enforcement.

    1. Guaranteed Quality
    A system where a tenant can pay 75.00 for an inspection, and if the property fails (apart from wear and tear or recent issues) the landlord covers the fee (deducted from rent) and if not remediated in 30 days, the tenant deducts a fine from the rent and submits it to the inspection authority. This could initially be a voluntary service for landlords to opt-in to, and could be included in the advertisement.

    2. Landlord Protection
    A system where a landlord can get a bailiff to eject a tenant after 60 days of zero rent.

    3. Tenant Enforcement
    A system where the RTB can put a lien on state future income (tax credits, social welfare, tax refunds) of defaulting tenants. This may also encourage renting to SW recipients.

    4. Long Term Tenancies
    Long term leases with market rent adjustments capped at CPI + 2%, with a framework for rent reduction for maintenance / improvement by tenant.

    1 Good
    2 Good but the number of days should be lower than the rental deposit. Maybe insist tenant pays an insurance policy to cover damage to property.
    3 Good but ultimately could result in a bad SW tenant receiving little or no welfare for long term
    4 Good but do you link it to cpi or mortgage interest? Does cpi loosely track the interest rates.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭3DataModem


    Meathman12 wrote: »
    4 Good but do you link it to cpi or mortgage interest? Does cpi loosely track the interest rates.

    CPI, not mortgage interest.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,439 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Some of the reasons property prices are too high is that the building regulations are too expensive, health and safety regs are ridiculously high, and higher standards of insulation etc all result in higher costs.

    The main reason has been in fact the deregulation of the financial sector, which has been more or less allowed to create as much money as it wants in the form of credit, it has been the fact of this ease of availability of credit, that has in fact caused the rapid rise in property and land prices, this has also been coupled with policies that have caused a low wage inflation environment, stagnant in some cases, along side increasing precariousness of employment, which has lead us into our current mess.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    The main reason has been in fact the deregulation of the financial sector, which has been more or less allowed to create as much money as it wants in the form of credit, it has been the fact of this ease of availability of credit, that has in fact caused the rapid rise in property and land prices, this has also been coupled with policies that have caused a low wage inflation environment, stagnant in some cases, along side increasing precariousness of employment, which has lead us into our current mess.

    Prior to Covid Ireland had almost full employment and amongst the best wages in Europe. Also, the CB rules on mortgages linking amount you can borrow to earnings is intended to reign in the amount you can borrow, so credit is not nearly as easy as it used to be before the last recession. It is also worth considering that a significant percentage of purchases are cash buys, nothing to do with easy credit.

    https://www.google.ie/amp/s/www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/wage-growth-in-irish-economy-accelerates-at-fastest-rate-in-a-decade-1.3999939?mode=amp


    Wages actually went up 6% in Q2, the highest increase on record.

    https://www.cso.ie/en/statistics/earnings/earningsandlabourcosts/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,876 ✭✭✭The J Stands for Jay


    Mad_maxx wrote: »
    i dont mean that everyone with a fat savings account needs or wants to roll up their sleeves and become landlords but the money the thing could be done through some sort of pension plan

    It's been available through pension plans for years. Not many people are interested because of the concentration of investment risk.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,439 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Prior to Covid Ireland had almost full employment and amongst the best wages in Europe. Also, the CB rules on mortgages linking amount you can borrow to earnings is intended to reign in the amount you can borrow, so credit is not nearly as easy as it used to be before the last recession. It is also worth considering that a significant percentage of purchases are cash buys, nothing to do with easy credit.

    https://www.google.ie/amp/s/www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/wage-growth-in-irish-economy-accelerates-at-fastest-rate-in-a-decade-1.3999939%3fmode=amp


    Wages actually went up 6% in Q2, the highest increase on record.

    https://www.cso.ie/en/statistics/earnings/earningsandlabourcosts/

    its well known that wage inflation has remained low in comparison to the value of assets, particularly in relation to property and land prices, this can be easily seen in the data, this has become the norm across the world, particularly with countries that have engaged in so called free market polices, Ireland being one.

    central bank rules have virtually done nothing to prevent the rise of property and land prices, as there are still plenty of people, businesses, investment groups etc that have access to virtually infinite amounts of credit, the central bank rules have just locked a cohort of people out of these markets, my own region has just entered a major credit fueled development boom, property prices are already started to rise significantly, and id imagine speculation has already begun in regards property and land in the region due to these announcements.

    yes, some purchases have indeed being largely cash, but you d find most of these individuals and business's havent been short of cash anyway, the average person cannot compete with this kind of behavior, these are the folks that are simply locked out of the market


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    its well known that wage inflation has remained low in comparison to the value of assets, particularly in relation to property and land prices, this can be easily seen in the data, this has become the norm across the world, particularly with countries that have engaged in so called free market polices, Ireland being one.

    central bank rules have virtually done nothing to prevent the rise of property and land prices, as there are still plenty of people, businesses, investment groups etc that have access to virtually infinite amounts of credit, the central bank rules have just locked a cohort of people out of these markets, my own region has just entered a major credit fueled development boom, property prices are already started to rise significantly, and id imagine speculation has already begun in regards property and land in the region due to these announcements.

    yes, some purchases have indeed being largely cash, but you d find most of these individuals and business's havent been short of cash anyway, the average person cannot compete with this kind of behavior, these are the folks that are simply locked out of the market

    CB rules are there to prevent people borrowing more than they can afford, but if people can afford to borrow, I’m not sure the CB can prevent property prices rising as a result of cash purchases or people buying with mortgages linked to their wages.

    It is difficult to believe that anyone/business has infinite access to credit, those days are gone I would have thought.

    Surely property development in your region is a good thing when supply is needed? If you want to improve supply in the rental market, speculation is a normal part of that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,439 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Dav010 wrote: »
    CB rules are there to prevent people borrowing more than they can afford, but if people can afford to borrow, I’m not sure the CB can prevent property prices rising as a result of cash purchases or people buying with mortgages linked to their wages.

    It is difficult to believe that anyone/business has infinite access to credit, those days are gone I would have thought.

    Surely property development in your region is a good thing when supply is needed? If you want to improve supply in the rental market, speculation is a normal part of that.

    yes, again, cb rules have just prevented those who cannot afford to borrow from borrowing, but they have not prevented those than can afford to do so, in effect, the rules have just put a celling on top of those that cannot afford to borrow, locking them out of markets. credit is still available to those that can afford it, including towards external investors, and no, not much has truly changed in regards these matters, since the previous crash. we truly dont want to implement wealth taxes, particularly in relation to property and land, we still have a government who truly isnt all that interested in getting involved in increasing public housing stock, again, defaulting to the private sector to do so, including in financing this critical need, so yes, we re destined to repeat past failures, in relation to these issues.

    yes, increasing supply will help my region, but increasing demand will cause increasing prices, i.e. a positive feedback loop of pricing has begun in my region, and its very unlikely wage inflation will increase at the same rate of property and land prices, so......


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    yes, again, cb rules have just prevented those who cannot afford to borrow from borrowing, but they have not prevented those than can afford to do so, in effect, the rules have just put a celling on top of those that cannot afford to borrow, locking them out of markets. credit is still available to those that can afford it, including towards external investors, and no, not much has truly changed in regards these matters, since the previous crash. we truly dont want to implement wealth taxes, particularly in relation to property and land, we still have a government who truly isnt all that interested in getting involved in increasing public housing stock, again, defaulting to the private sector to do so, including in financing this critical need, so yes, we re destined to repeat past failures, in relation to these issues.

    yes, increasing supply will help my region, but increasing demand will cause increasing prices, i.e. a positive feedback loop of pricing has begun in my region, and its very unlikely wage inflation will increase at the same rate of property and land prices, so......

    Something has truely changed, people’s borrowing is limited to what they can afford, not what they would like to borrow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,439 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Something has truely changed, people’s borrowing is limited to what they can afford, not what they would like to borrow.

    yes, for those that cannot meet the requirements, but nothing has changed for those that can meet the requirements, so not much has really changed, just a whole pile of people are locked out of the market, until they meet the requirements, or the requirements change


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    yes, for those that cannot meet the requirements, but nothing has changed for those that can meet the requirements, so not much has really changed, just a whole pile of people are locked out of the market, until they meet the requirements, or the requirements change

    I’m struggling to see the point you are trying to make, the amount you borrow is now linked to what you can afford, that is the way it should be and is prudent regulation by the CB. Doesn’t the lending regs apply to everyone no matter who much you earn?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,439 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Dav010 wrote: »
    I’m struggling to see the point you are trying to make, the amount you borrow is now linked to what you can afford, that is the way it should be and is prudent regulation by the CB. Doesn’t the lending regs apply to everyone no matter who much you earn?

    of course the regs apply to all, but some can already meet these regs, baring in mind, theres virtually nothing stopping external investors from entering the market, who already meet the regs


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    of course the regs apply to all, but some can already meet these regs, baring in mind, theres virtually nothing stopping external investors from entering the market, who already meet the regs

    But if they meet the lending requirements, what is the issue? If the prospective landlord cannot afford to borrow, do you really want them entering the rental market?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,439 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Dav010 wrote: »
    But if they meet the lending requirements, what is the issue? If the prospective landlord cannot afford to borrow, do you really want them entering the rental market?

    we have fooled ourselves into thinking requirements will prevent property and land prices from entering strong inflationary periods similar to the past, this is highly unlikely, because virtually nothing has changed in regards the access to credit, current requirements have just locked out a whole cohort of people from accessing these credit markets, yet this availability still actually exists, provided you meet requirements, many entities can meet these requirements, from individuals to major investors and investment groups, nothing has truly changed here


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 794 ✭✭✭Biker79


    The issue seems to be with those caught between being able to save up a deposit and get a mortgage, and those eligible for social housing support.

    There seems to be a large gulf between these two cohorts. A sort of no-mans-land where too many people get stuck.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,627 ✭✭✭Fol20


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    yes, again, cb rules have just prevented those who cannot afford to borrow from borrowing, but they have not prevented those than can afford to do so, in effect, the rules have just put a celling on top of those that cannot afford to borrow, locking them out of markets. credit is still available to those that can afford it, including towards external investors, and no, not much has truly changed in regards these matters, since the previous crash. we truly dont want to implement wealth taxes, particularly in relation to property and land, we still have a government who truly isnt all that interested in getting involved in increasing public housing stock, again, defaulting to the private sector to do so, including in financing this critical need, so yes, we re destined to repeat past failures, in relation to these issues.

    yes, increasing supply will help my region, but increasing demand will cause increasing prices, i.e. a positive feedback loop of pricing has begun in my region, and its very unlikely wage inflation will increase at the same rate of property and land prices, so......

    The ceiling for Cb is there for good reason. If people can borrow more money when they really can’t afford it. House prices will just go up more, developers will win here while ordinary people will be paying the mortgage into retirement. If you can’t afford it now are you suggesting they should be able to borrow more?

    As long as people can afford it. What’s wrong if investors are in this bracket?

    So people pay 50pc in tax. If they sell a property. They pay a further 33pc in any gains. They pay vat at 23pc and a whole load of other taxes yet you want to tax them further....I think they have already paid enough in tax, don’t you?

    So your saying increasing supply will increase demand?I think demand already outstrips supply so until supply eventually meets demand which will take a very long time as it is. Maybe you think that way


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