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December 2020 Boards weather forecast contest

  • 28-11-2020 6:03pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 13,198 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    1. Predict the IMT (Irish mean temperature, an average for five stations, Casement, Claremorris, Mullingar, Oak Park and Shannon). The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 5.4 C.

    2. Predict the MAX, the highest daily maximum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

    3. Predict the MIN, the lowest daily minimum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

    4. Predict the PRC, the average rainfall expressed as percentage of normal at the eleven stations we normally use, which include the five mentioned for IMT and also Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Malin Head, Johnstown Castle, Cork and Valentia.

    5. Predict the SUN, the total sunshine expressed as a percentage of normal at the six stations used (Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork, Valentia).

    6. For the BONUS question, our traditional prediction of MAX and MIN on Christmas Day at Dub (A) and (for 3 point super-bonus), will it snow at any location among the 25 regular reporting stations on the met.ie website, and this includes 24th as well as 25th of December. If you get this right on Yes or No, it's worth 2 points for yes verifying, a correct location is worth 1 more point, but no locations will bring in the "No" scores at 3.

    Deadline for entries will be 0300h Tuesday 1st of December, with 1 point deductions for every 4h late to 1500h Monday 2nd, after which penalties are 1 point per hour (in addition to the 9 points accumulated to that time).

    Good luck !!

    I think the scoring will be very close after this current month ends, but that's just a hunch, I haven't had much time to study the situation.


«13

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 281 ✭✭ eon1208


    5.9, 13.4, -5.8, 96, 94, 8.2, -2.1, Yes, Ballyhaise...
    Happy Christmas MT...


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,555 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    sryanbruen _____ 5.5 _ 13.9 _ -4.2 _ 080 _ 105 _ 11.1, 4.8, No

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,713 ✭✭✭ Bsal


    Bsal _____ 5.6 _ 14.0 _ -5.0 _ 102 _ 97 _ 8.5, 2.1, No


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,852 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Pauldry _____ 5.7 _ 14.4_ -4.7 _ 120_ 89_ 10, 4.1, No


  • Site Banned Posts: 47 ✭✭✭ Saralace


    As it's la nina this year expect snow at Christmas


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,613 ✭✭✭ appledrop


    Appledrop --- 5.8__14.2___-4.0___105%___80%___11.2__2.5__No


  • Registered Users Posts: 165 ✭✭ sunflower3


    Sunflower3_____5.6__13.9___-4.5___85%___90%___9.5__1.5__No


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 15,179 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Gonzo


    Gonzo _____ 5.9 _ 14.1 _ -4.8 _ 096 _ 102 _ 12.4, 5.3, No


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14 Bdoon51


    Cra

    If I thought I was that smart I wouldn't be reading your posts.

    Brian


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,859 ✭✭✭ Artane2002


    Artane2002_____ 5.1 _ 13.8 _ -4.4 _ 100 _ 95 _ 10.2, 3.8, No

    going against the grain seemed to have worked out pretty well for November so I'll try it again for December!


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,198 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    There is a disturbance in the force ...

    M.T. Cranium ________ 4.9 _ 14.8 _ -6.7 _ 125 _ 110 __ 3.7 -2.5 yes (Casement)

    NormaL ____________ 5.4 _ 15.5 _ -6.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 8.0 2.0 no


  • Registered Users Posts: 458 ✭✭ dasa29


    dasa29 ________ 5.5 _ 14.0 _ -6.0 _ 105 _ 105 __ 6.5, -3.5, No


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,406 Mod ✭✭✭✭ mickger844posts


    mickger844posts _____ 5.0 _ 14.1 _ -4.0 _ 090 _ 105 _ 10.1, 2.8, No


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,107 Mod ✭✭✭✭ DOCARCH


    DOCARCH ________ 5.3 _ 15.1 _ -4.2 _ 95 _ 106 __ 4.8 -0.5 Yes (Knock AP)


  • Registered Users Posts: 751 ✭✭✭ mr.stonewall


    Mr Stonewall____4.9___14.3____-5.4___91___98___5.2,-1.1,yes


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭ Joe Public


    Joe Public_____5.9__12.9___-7.9___83%___110%___4.4__-2.5__Yes


  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭ waterways


    waterways ____________ 5.0 _ 13.5 _ -6.1 _ 103 _ 97 __ 9.0 2.7 yes


  • Registered Users Posts: 475 ✭✭ bazlers


    Bazlers_________5.1 _ 14.1 _ -6.4 _ 115 _ 120 _ 3.5 _ -2.8
    YES possibly Casement

    Extra extra bonus, predict the highest snow depth.
    (We shall keep this one for January🙃)


  • Registered Users Posts: 360 ✭✭ mrskinner


    Skinner____5.9____13.9____-4.9____79____89____9.9____0.9____nein(no)


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,995 ✭✭✭ John mac


    john mac _____ 5.5 _ 14.7 _ -4.6 _ 102 _ 105 _ 9.1, 1.8, yes, knock


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  • Registered Users Posts: 622 ✭✭✭ Tae laidir


    Tae laidir _____ 5.9 _ 13.9 _ -4.4 _ 115 _ 105 _ 11.2, 7.3, No


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,563 ✭✭✭✭ Rikand


    Rikand ___ 5.5 ___ 15.0 ___ -6.0 ___ 90 ___ 120 ____ 8.0 _ -2.0 _ yes (knock)


  • Registered Users Posts: 747 ✭✭✭ adam240610


    Adam240610 ____5.4__15.5__-6__100__100__8.0 2.0 no

    Feeling normal this month


  • Registered Users Posts: 24 WesternStorm


    WesternStorm ____5.0__14.6__-5__95__95__6.8 -0.5 no


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,772 ✭✭✭ dacogawa


    Dacogawa _____ 5.1 _ 14.3_ -5.7 _ 118_ 92_ 6, -2.4, Yes (Casement)


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,183 ✭✭✭ sdanseo


    sdanseo _____ 5.1 _ 14.0 _ -6.2 _ 099 _ 114 _ 6.8, -0.1, Yes (Knock Airport)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,409 ✭✭✭ Jpmarn


    Jpmarn ________ 4.8 _ 14.8 _ -5.5 _ 110_ 105 __ 7.5 -1.5 Yes (Knock AP)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,894 ✭✭✭ BLIZZARD7


    BLIZZARD7________ 3.0 _ 12.8 _ -11.5 _ 90_ 130 __ -0.5, -7.5 Yes (Casement)


  • Registered Users Posts: 663 ✭✭✭ Tazio


    Tazio _____ 5.1 _ 11.1 _ -3.2 _ 085 _ 101 _ 9.5, 2.2, No


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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭ Funsterdelux


    Funsterdelux____________ 5.2 _ 15.9_ -4.7 _ 93.4 _ 98.9 __ 7.0, -1.0 no


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