Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email Niamh on [email protected] for help. Thanks :)
New AMA with a US police officer (he's back!). You can ask your questions here

Strong winds will develop late Wednesday 18th

  • 17-11-2020 8:22am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 13,213 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    There's fairly broad model consensus that strong winds (west to northwest) will develop especially near Atlantic coasts and across most of Ulster late Wednesday, with potential for gusts to 120 km/hr. For now I have given this a Level 1 tag but expect it may be a level 2 (orange alert) event in a few places, notably Galway, Mayo, and Donegal. There is a polar low type of feature embedded in the flow moving southeast across western Scotland tomorrow night and strong winds could briefly appear in central and eastern counties as it drops towards the north Irish Sea.

    Having started this off, I won't be around much until this evening now, so over to you weather forum ...


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 9,183 ✭✭✭ sdanseo


    00z ECM & GFS very similar

    Nothing too dramatic, Level 1 / yellow seems about right.

    eacdfc8b4b0870c3f95d76177efb5996.png

    b31d8b087c6552587cf1f4539100e728.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,393 ✭✭✭ Oscar Bravo


    Status Yellow - Wind warning for Galway, Mayo, Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick

    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    Southwest to west winds veering northwest will reach mean speed 50 to 65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110km/h.

    The combination of strong winds coupled with high tides brings an increased risk of coastal flooding.

    Valid: 15:00 Wednesday 18/11/2020 to 01:00 Thursday 19/11/2020

    Issued: 09:00 Tuesday 17/11/2020


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,183 ✭✭✭ sdanseo


    Gerry Murphy just there making a big deal of it, emphasized "very strong gusts" a few times.

    Maybe Harmonie showing something ECM isn't.

    (Totally OT, but am almost embarrassed to admit RTE was even on in the background.. last time I looked at the TV was lunchtime. This work from home is now having undesired side effects- Daithi O Sé and his pal would bore the pants off even the most dedicated septuagenarian housewife. Traumatic.)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,376 ✭✭✭ Reckless Abandonment


    Gerry ramping ?? Surely that can't be good :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,202 ✭✭✭ Gaoth Laidir


    sdanseo wrote: »
    Gerry Murphy just there making a big deal of it, emphasized "very strong gusts" a few times.

    Maybe Harmonie showing something ECM isn't.

    (Totally OT, but am almost embarrassed to admit RTE was even on in the background.. last time I looked at the TV was lunchtime. This work from home is now having undesired side effects- Daithi O Sé and his pal would bore the pants off even the most dedicated septuagenarian housewife. Traumatic.)

    Throw it over to Virgin for the Judge Judy doubleheader. It's the only way to get through those late afternoon just-switched-off-the-laptop hours. Something to dumb down the brain a bit.


  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    Arome 18Z showing a strong sweep of W N/W winds running across the country for a time tomorrow night gusting up around 80 to 90 km/h. It is showing strongest winds in the W ,100 to 110 km/h, and later very strong winds channeling down the North Channel early Thurs morning.

    ECM and ICON showing strong winds further down along the W coast as far as Kerry gusting 100 km/h and up to 110 km/h on exposed headlands would think.

    ECM showing strong onshore winds ( 80 to 100 km/h ) penetrating inland for a time from Mayo down to Kerry.

    New colder airmass, feeling very cold tomorrow evening with the Windchill. Heavy showers, some of hail possible more so in the W, NW

    Looks like a fairy rough evening.

    The W looks like high end Yellow, will it go Orange for Mayo?? Sligo might also be included to yellow, in fact the central counties might need to be added to yellow warning also just for a few hours tomorrow night.


    anim_ubu1.gif

    anim_squ0.gif


    anim_gjh4.gif

    arpegeuk-43-27-0_sqp4.png


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    Tight isobars of the W coast tomorrow evening.


    1Ygi1Le.gif

    Edu3821.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,852 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Definitely a dangerous stormy period in Sligo tomorrow night. Probably gusting to 100 or 110. But 120 plus causes all sorts of chaos here so there might be a few branches about Thursday morning.


  • Registered Users Posts: 30,546 ✭✭✭✭ Graces7


    Gusty out here already. One of my cats got literally blown the length of the path in a sudden gust yesterday afternoon.

    And the wild noise the last two nights has been intense. But all normal in these winter months.

    All battened down and fuel etc well stocked inside. .

    Not yet seen here a gale to equal those in Orkney! Callum was the nearest.

    PS cat is fine! But a new experience for both of us .

    west mayo offshore


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    No great change in the charts today, a tad lighter in general , nothing too severe showing up, strong winds along Atlantic coasts, unless there is a big shift there seems to be no chance of any county going Orange warning level at this stage. Stronger winds cross the country quickly tonight.




    aromehd-52-26-0_olj3.png

    arpegeuk-52-26-0_glu5.png

    euro4_uk1-52-25-0_mmh8.png


  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    AROME 06Z has eased off the strongest winds

    anim_thz1.gif

    aromehd-52-20-0_jgh7.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,852 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    App on phone quite good at these storms and it says 90 to 100kph gusts top now.

    Was 110 last night.


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,393 ✭✭✭ Oscar Bravo


    Nothing to severe on Sligo TAF, a chance of gusts up to 50 knots between 8pm & 9pm

    TAF EISG 181100Z 1812/1821 23015KT 9999 SCT040
    BECMG 1812/1814 22020G30KT
    PROB40 TEMPO 1815/1820 4000 SHRA BKN012 SCT018CB
    BECMG 1818/1820 30025G35KT
    PROB40 TEMPO 1820/1821 31030G50KT


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,316 ✭✭✭✭ Discodog


    Very strong squally gusts accompanying the showers. Getting stronger with each shower.

    North Galway


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,784 ✭✭✭ froog


    wind picking up noticeably in cork.


  • Registered Users Posts: 30,546 ✭✭✭✭ Graces7


    It is more sustained than gusty here now, and it has gone very dark.

    When last I looked. the ocean was fascinating in the unusual pattern of ripples and breakers. It may just have been the state of the lower tide.

    West Mayo offshore


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,393 ✭✭✭ Oscar Bravo


    4pm
    Mace head gusting 52 knots(96 km/h).


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,541 ✭✭✭ corsav6


    A few surprising gusts here outside Newport, Mayo. Hopefully it's not like this all evening.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,454 ✭✭✭ Storm 10


    Picking up in Galway some strong gusts


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,393 ✭✭✭ Oscar Bravo


    5pm
    Mace head gust 55 knots (102km/h)


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 5,454 ✭✭✭ Storm 10


    Fierce windy in Galway good job its a North Westerly or Salthiil would be under water as the tides are very high


  • Registered Users Posts: 238 ✭✭ Aquals


    Not a breath of wind in Cork at the moment - is that it for the evening?


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,393 ✭✭✭ Oscar Bravo


    Aquals wrote: »
    Not a breath of wind in Cork at the moment - is that it for the evening?

    In Cork, yes.


  • Registered Users Posts: 30,546 ✭✭✭✭ Graces7


    Aquals wrote: »
    Not a breath of wind in Cork at the moment - is that it for the evening?

    met ie says until 1 am . The same as here. Just had a short pause here too.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,890 ✭✭✭ thecivvie


    83 km/h gust about an hour ago in west Connemara

    Join Ireland Weather Network




  • Registered Users Posts: 30,546 ✭✭✭✭ Graces7


    thecivvie wrote: »
    83 km/h gust about an hour ago in west Connemara

    Ouch! I would hate to be out in this for more than a minute. The light keeps flickering too...


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,852 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    102kph Mace Hd 6pm also


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    Been windy all day here near the coast in Kerry, blustery in the showers, wind getting stronger now but think we will be well out of the strongest winds, gusting just over 60 km/h here atm.


    rafales_uk_jlh5.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 30,546 ✭✭✭✭ Graces7


    An increase in activity and volume out here. Lights still holding. Coastal waters warning up to Force 9 . For much of the night ahead.

    And the dwelling just started shaking . HATE that! lol... ie gale building up.

    west mayo offshore.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 1,298 ✭✭✭ Hooter23


    They need to mention wind chill more in the forecast...it might be around 8 degrees outside but feels more like 0 degrees with the wind...and how it feels is much more important than the actual temperature when you are out in it...


Advertisement