Vuelta a España stage 13: Muros to Mirador de Ézaro (33.7km) ITT

mr spuckler

30+km of flat but into a headwind before the climb of 1.5km at 13.5% :eek:

I fear for Dan today







Start times in CET so 1 hour ahead.


Mikel Nieve Iturralde (Spa) Mitchelton-Scott 16:18:00

Aleksandr Vlasov (Rus) Astana Pro Team 16:20:00

Alejandro Valverde (Spa) Movistar Team 16:22:00

Felix Grossschartner (Aut) Bora-Hansgrohe 16:24:00

Wout Poels (Ned) Bahrain McLaren 16:26:00

Enric Mas Nicolau (Spa) Movistar Team 16:28:00

Daniel Martin (Irl) Israel Start-Up Nation 16:30:00

Hugh Carthy (GBr) EF Pro Cycling 16:32:00

Primoz Roglic (Slo) Team Jumbo-Visma 16:34:00

Richard Carapaz (Ecu) Ineos Grenadiers 16:36:00

Doc07

Most important TT ever for Dan Martin today. If he can be within 30s of podium after today hopefully he can make it back on the final climbing stage on Saturday.

mr spuckler

Seeing a few of the early riders climbing on their TT bikes, I guess Cavagna (who is on the road now) will be one to watch in that regard. Can't imagine any contenders will climb on the TT bike.

Daroxtar

Froome on the road now. Wonder if he's going to give it a shot today? It's the kind of profile that would really suit him if he has any form at all.

Inquitus

PCS Prediction for today's TT

dastardly00

Daroxtar wrote: »

Froome on the road now. Wonder if he's going to give it a shot today? It's the kind of profile that would really suit him if he has any form at all.

I read somewhere on Cyclingnews that Froome said he would be taking it easy today so that he's fresh to help Carapaz for the rest of the week

Inquitus

dastardly00 wrote: »

I read somewhere on Cyclingnews that Froome said he would be taking it easy today so that he's fresh to help Carapaz for the rest of the week

Sounds like a ready made excuse eh?

dastardly00

mr spuckler wrote: »

Seeing a few of the early riders climbing on their TT bikes, I guess Cavagna (who is on the road now) will be one to watch in that regard. Can't imagine any contenders will climb on the TT bike.

There is a dedicated 'pit-stop zone' on the climb and there will be a mechanic waiting there with a bike.

Going by this video, it's going to be tough work for the mechanic

https://twitter.com/As_Ciclismo/status/1323565579962372107

Raoul Duke

Inquitus wrote: »

PCS Prediction for today's TT

Who do they have beating Roglic?

mr spuckler

Froome going up on TT bike? I didn't see his splits but that probably tells me all I need to know!

Inquitus

Raoul Duke wrote: »

Who do they have beating Roglic?

Rémi Cavagna I would guess, personally I think Roglic will win the stage, but we shall see!

check_six

Inquitus wrote: »

PCS Prediction for today's TT

Wow that prediction sheet paints a pretty rosy picture. Is there any chance it'll be borne out in reality? Fingers crossed of course, but I can't remember Dan delivering a really above par Time Trial before. His previous better results in TTs seemed be on a level with the slight climber type lads, but not anywhere near the GC TT beasts.

retalivity

I think that chart is understating the loss that Dan/Carapaz will have, and overstating that of Roglic and Mas

Inquitus

check_six wrote: »

Wow that prediction sheet paints a pretty rosy picture. Is there any chance it'll be borne out in reality? Fingers crossed of course, but I can't remember Dan delivering a really above par Time Trial before. His previous better results in TTs seemed be on a level with the slight climber type lads, but not anywhere near the GC TT beasts.

I would love to see it play out like that but as relativity says above I think it's a bit too pro Dan Martin, and the reality will be a good bit worse.

Raoul Duke

retalivity wrote: »

I think that chart is understating the loss that Dan/Carapaz will have, and overstating Roglic and Mas's gaps.

Yeah, if Dan is in 2nd after today, it'll be far more of a shock to me than Pogacar's win at the time trial in the Tour.

mr spuckler

Go on Dan!!

retalivity

Some job by barta, the glasses half hanging off him!

mr spuckler

Early doors Carthy seemed to be bang on Oliviera's pace.

retalivity

Carthy's lower arms are tiny, like chicken bones.

Dan faster than Mas through the first checkpoint, didn't expect that!

Dodge

Dan 36s down on Bartra at first check

mr spuckler

Carthy 25s up on Dan at that check

dastardly00

mr spuckler wrote: »

Early doors Carthy seemed to be bang on Oliviera's pace.

That's a crazy fast time for Carthy

Dodge

GC gaps at first check

Carthy
Roglic +2s
Carapaz +4s
Martin + 25s
Mas + 33s

Doc07

Dan up on Mas but unfortunately for Dan Carthy is having a great TT

CantGetNoSleep

Carapaz is having a good ride too? Would be interesting for the race if Roglic had to attack I think

retalivity

Roglic not blowing everyone away on the TT? This is all very familiar....

check_six

Ok, so Dan is going decent so far. That's great.

Bold prediction time here is that Carthy is overcooking it on the flat...! (fingers crossed)

Dodge

check_six wrote: »

Ok, so Dan is going decent so far. That's great.

Bold prediction time here is that Carthy is overcooking it on the flat...! (fingers crossed)

Dan ahead of Mas at the second point is a big shock. Maybe he overlooked it too

check_six

retalivity wrote: »

Roglic not blowing everyone away on the TT? This is all very familiar....

In fairness the TdF was more a case of Pogacar going and winning the thing rather than Roglic throwing it away, I felt.

Dr. Bre

What happened the Mc in Carthy name ?

thebourke

all down to the climb

mr spuckler

check_six wrote: »

Bold prediction time here is that Carthy is overcooking it on the flat...! (fingers crossed)

He's 7 seconds up on Cavagna at the intermediate!

check_six

Dodge wrote: »

Dan ahead of Mas at the second point is a big shock. Maybe he overlooked it too

Dan's cooking is still bubbling along nicely at 25km. Carthy has flames leaping from the oven at this point (I hope!). His cake will be ruined!

Dodge

Gaps at the second check

Roglic
Carthy +1
Carapz + 19
Martin +60
Mas +65

Dr. Bre

All three grand tours have been close this year

mr spuckler

Interesting approach with the bike change from Mas.

edit...hoping they might show something of Dan here...

CantGetNoSleep

I am hoping that someone messes up the bike change

thebourke

good bike change from carthy

dastardly00

Good bike change from Roglic also

Dodge

First change for me to look at it now. That’s some climb! Jaysus

mr spuckler

That's a good TT from Dan tbf

Dodge

Dan 13th on the day. That’s easily his best ever ITT

Edit - Dan made up time on Carthy on the hill...

Yeah Dan did well there, doubt he could have done any more.

Dr. Bre

Roglic flys home

thebourke

great performance from roglic

retalivity

Feel sorry for Barta!

mr spuckler

Less than 5 seconds between Carapaz and Carthy now?

thebourke

3 horse race....

mr spuckler

5 fastest between timing point 2 and the finish.

Roglic 16:05
Martin 16:21
Barta 16:22
Carthy 16:29
Cattaneo 16:30

Injuryprone

Roglic looked like he took the foot off the pedal a bit for the 5k before the climb. He put over 20s on carapaz on the climb

mr spuckler

mr spuckler wrote: »

5 fastest between timing point 2 and the finish.

Roglic 16:05
Martin 16:21
Barta 16:22
Carthy 16:29
Cattaneo 16:30

Although that was printed before Carapaz finished and PCS don't have his final split time yet!