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October 2020 Boards weather forecast contest

  • 29-09-2020 7:47am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 13,213 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    1. . Predict the "IMT" (Irish Mean Temperature), an average for five locations, Claremorris, Mullingar, Casement, Oak Park and Shannon, for October. The average for 1981-2010 was 10.1 C.

    2. Predict the MAX, highest temperature at any of 25 reporting stations as listed on the met.ie website under "yesterday's weather" during the month of October.

    3. Predict the MIN, lowest temperature at any of 25 reporting stations as listed on the met.ie website under "yesterday's weather" during the month of October.

    4. Predict the PRC, average precip for eleven locations including the five listed above in addition to Malin Head, Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Johnstown Castle, Cork and Valentia, as a percentage of normal (which would be 100%).

    5. Predict the SUN, average sunshine for six locations (Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork, Valentia) as a percentage of normal.

    6. BONUS: What will be the lowest observed temperature at midnight at the end of October (Halloween night) as reported on the met.ie website for that hour (in other words at 00h 1st Nov)? Location not required.

    The deadline for on time entries is 0300h of Thursday 1st October, with the usual late penalties (one point deducted for every four hours or portion, larger penalties after 36h of one point per hour).

    Good luck. Here are the forecasts from "NormaL" and myself ...

    Normal ______ 10.1 _ 21.0 _ -2.8 _ 100 _ 100 __ 3.0

    M.T. Cranium __ 9.4 _ 19.5 _ -4.2 _ 150 _ 070 __ -0.5


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 165 ✭✭ sunflower3


    Sunflower3 ___ 9.8___ 19.0___-3.5 ___ 160 ___ 80 ___ 1.3


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,560 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    sryanbruen __ 9.7 _ 19.1 _ -3.1 _ 140 _ 75 __ 2.8

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,852 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Pauldry __ 9.9 _ 21.1 _ -3.8_ 155 _ 090 __ 5.4


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,570 ✭✭✭✭ Rikand


    Rikand ____ 10.0 ____ 20.0 ____ -4.0 _____ 90 _____ 120 _____ 4.0


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,626 ✭✭✭ appledrop


    Appledrop___9.9___19.5___-3.1___110%__90%___1.0


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,716 ✭✭✭ Bsal


    Bsal ______ 9.5 _ 19.0 _ -4.0 _ 150 _ 91 __ 7.0


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,569 ✭✭✭ 200motels


    200motels_________ 9.8 _ 19.1 _ -3.6_ 147 _ 091 __ 5.3


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,118 Mod ✭✭✭✭ DOCARCH


    DOCARCH __ 10.6 _ 21.3 _ -2.8 _ 125 _ 93 __ 3.0


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,406 Mod ✭✭✭✭ mickger844posts


    mickger844posts __ 9.7 _ 18.7 _ -3.3 _ 90 _ 80 __ 3.8


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 15,181 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Gonzo


    Gonzo ___ 9.4___ 18.8___-3.9 ___ 153 ___ 82 ___ 4.7


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  • Registered Users Posts: 318 ✭✭ kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit ___ 9.9 ___ 19.9 ___ -3.9 ___ 130 ___ 100 ___ -1.5°


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,997 ✭✭✭ John mac


    John Mac ______ 10.3 _ 20.3_ -2.6 _ 110 _ 97 __ 0.3


  • Registered Users Posts: 24 WesternStorm


    WesternStorm ______ 10.5 _ 19.5 _ -4.0 _ 90 _ 110 __ -2.0


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,421 ✭✭✭ Danno


    Danno __ 9.7 _ 17.8 _ -3.6 _ 85 _ 145 __ 1.8


  • Registered Users Posts: 458 ✭✭ dasa29


    Dasa29 ______ 10.2 _ 21.0_ -2.5 _ 100 _ 105 __ 2.0


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,861 ✭✭✭ Artane2002


    Artane2002 __ 9.6 _ 18.7 _ -3.6 _ 157 _ 80 __ 3.3


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,773 ✭✭✭ dacogawa


    Dacogawa __ 9.5 _ 20.1 _ -3.8_ 145 _ 082 _ -0.6


  • Registered Users Posts: 755 ✭✭✭ mr.stonewall


    Mrstonewall____9.8___19.4___-2.4____111___88___2.4


  • Registered Users Posts: 351 ✭✭ waterways


    waterways __ 9.9 _ 18.7 _ -3.9_ 145 _ 080 __ 1.1


  • Registered Users Posts: 623 ✭✭✭ Tae laidir


    Tae laidir ______ 10.4 _ 20.3 _ -3.3 _ 138 _ 94 __ 2.3


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  • Registered Users Posts: 360 ✭✭ mrskinner


    Skinner________10.1____20.1____-3.1____111____111____3.1


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,746 ✭✭✭ Joe Public


    Joe Public __ 8.4 _ 18.3 _ -4.8 _ 120 _ 83 __ 2


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,409 ✭✭✭ Jpmarn


    Jpmarn______ 8.7 _ 18.5_ -3.8 _ 125 __85 __ 1.4


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,894 ✭✭✭ BLIZZARD7


    BLIZZARD7______ 8.8 _ 18.7 _ -4.7 _ 150 _ 80 __ -3.0C

    On time for once !


  • Registered Users Posts: 748 ✭✭✭ adam240610


    Adam240610 9.1__20.1__-4.2__100__111_3.3


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,570 ✭✭✭✭ Rikand


    Last night must have been cold with all the sub -4's posted over night lol


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,183 ✭✭✭ sdanseo


    Been a while but sure better late than not at all. Memory has never been my strong suit!

    sdanseo______ 10.5 _ 20.5 _ -4.0 _ 125 _ 095 __ 2.1°C


  • Registered Users Posts: 281 ✭✭ eon1208


    9.7, 18.6, -3.7, 127%, 93%, 1.9


  • Registered Users Posts: 351 ✭✭ waterways


    Rikand wrote: »
    Last night must have been cold with all the sub -4's posted over night lol


    Indeed a fresh start of the month at Makree Castle with -0.8 and MT Dillon with -0.5.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,213 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    Table of forecasts for October 2020


    FORECASTER ________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ Temp 24h 31st


    DOCARCH ___________ 10.6 _ 21.3 _ -2.8 _ 125 _ 093 ___ 3.0

    sdanseo __ (-4) ______ 10.5 _ 20.5 _ -4.0 _ 125 _ 095 ___ 2.1

    WesternStorm ________10.5 _ 19.5 _ -4.0 _ 090 _ 110 __ -2.0

    Tae laidir ____________10.4 _ 20.3 _ -3.3 _ 138 _ 094 ___ 2.3

    John Mac ____________10.3 _ 20.3 _ -2.6 _ 110 _ 097 ___ 0.3

    Dasa29 _____________ 10.2 _ 21.0 _ -2.5 _ 100 _ 105 ___ 2.0


    Normal _____________ 10.1 _ 21.0 _ -2.8 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 3.0


    MrSkinner ___________10.1 _ 20.1 _ -3.1 _ 111 _ 111 ___ 3.1

    Rikand ______________10.0 _ 20.0 _ -4.0 _ 090 _ 120 ___ 4.0

    Pauldry ______________ 9.9 _ 21.1 _ -3.8 _ 155 _ 090 ___ 5.4

    Kindred Spirit _________ 9.9 _ 19.9 _ -3.9 _ 130 _ 100 __ -1.5

    Appledrop ____________ 9.9 _ 19.5 _ -3.1 _ 110 _ 090 ___ 1.0

    waterways ____________9.9 _ 18.7 _ -3.9 _ 145 _ 080 ___ 1.1

    Mrstonewall ___________9.8 _ 19.4 _ -2.4 _ 111 _ 088 ___ 2.4

    200motels ____________9.8 _ 19.1 _ -3.6 _ 147 _ 091 ___ 5.3


    ___ Con Sensus _______ 9.8 _ 19.4 _ -3.7 _ 125 _ 091 ___ 2.1


    Sunflower3 ___________ 9.8 _ 19.0 _ -3.5 _ 160 _ 080 ___ 1.3

    sryanbruen ___________ 9.7 _ 19.1 _ -3.1 _ 140 _ 075 ___ 2.8

    mickger844posts ______ 9.7 _ 18.7 _ -3.3 _ 090 _ 080 ___ 3.8

    Eon1208 ___ (-5) _____ 9.7 _ 18.6 _ -3.7 _ 127 _ 093 ___ 1.9

    Danno _______________9.7 _ 17.8 _ -3.6 _ 085 _ 145 ___ 1.8

    Artane2002 __________ 9.6 _ 18.7 _ -3.6 _ 157 _ 080 ___ 3.3

    Dacogawa ___________ 9.5 _ 20.1 _ -3.8 _ 145 _ 082 __ -0.6

    Bsal ________________ 9.5 _ 19.0 _ -4.0 _ 150 _ 091 ___ 7.0

    M.T. Cranium _________ 9.4 _ 19.5 _ -4.2 _ 150 _ 070 __ -0.5

    Gonzo _______________9.4 _ 18.8 _ -3.9 _ 153 _ 082 ___ 4.7

    Adam240610 ___ (-2) __9.1 _ 20.1 _ -4.2 _ 100 _ 111 ___ 3.3

    BLIZZARD7 __________ 8.8 _ 18.7 _ -4.7 _ 150 _ 080 __ -3.0

    Jpmarn ______________8.7 _ 18.5 _ -3.8 _ 125 _ 085 ___ 1.4

    Joe Public ____________8.4 _ 18.3 _ -4.8 _ 120 _ 083 ___ 2.0


    The group consensus appears to be a rather cool and wet October with more cloud than usual,

    although there's quite a range of opinion.

    Welcome back Danno and sdanseo, and good to see some of the "occasionals" becoming regular participants.

    It appears that all 21 of the forecasters who have enough participation to qualify for the annual title have placed their bids.

    The annual scoring was just updated in the September thread and it looks quite competitive to me, no big leads and quite a few scores bunched up in the middle of the table, so almost anything could happen with three months left to go. Good luck to everyone.


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