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CC3 -- Why I believe that a third option is needed for climate change

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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,877 ✭✭✭✭Thargor


    You still don't get it. First you say they're always rubbishing the idea, then you post evidence to the contrary. My point was that I've never seen anyone on TV strenuously denying that this event or that can be attributed to agw. Their watery statements are always qualified by a "but that's what we expect to see more of in future".

    We got it with the Australian fires, we get it with the US hurricanes, yet there is not one shred of evidence to support it. I heard it this week about the floods in the UK. All immediate automatic attribution. No judge or jury. Now whether some group subsequently denies that this is the case never sees the light of say. Sky News are not going to issue a correction a month later to state that a false statement was made a month ago. To the public the message gas already been absorbed. Another ugly face of anthro GW has been shown as far as they're concerned.
    Does anyone else want to take a crack at this lol :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    No sense of irony.. at all:



    The quest to find water on the moon. Of such importance to mankind.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Thargor wrote: »
    Does anyone else want to take a crack at this lol :D

    Yes, he is spot on.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,877 ✭✭✭✭Thargor


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Yes, he is spot on.
    Looks like we can add this Dr. Shannon George character and the New York Times to the list of conspirators...


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Thargor wrote: »
    Looks like we can add this Dr. Shannon George character and the New York Times to the list of conspirators...

    What was once recently labelled a 'communist conspiracy' is now a 'liberal conspiracy'.

    I find this extraordinarily interesting.

    New Moon



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    Thargor wrote: »
    Does anyone else want to take a crack at this lol :D

    But the point remains none the less.


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,877 ✭✭✭✭Thargor


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    What was once recently labelled a 'communist conspiracy' is now a 'liberal conspiracy'.

    I find this extraordinarily interesting.
    Extraordinary nonsensical rambling Donald Trump gibberish would be another way to find this.
    Nabber wrote: »
    But the point remains none the less.
    Hilarious the way Dr. Shannon George rode into the Sky News studio last night at 20:45 to confirm it just as we were being told it was all lies though, I must try and find the clip to go with that New York Times piece calling it an age old mantra and cliche, this thing that never happens :P


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Sorry but your point was that x Hiroshima bombs per second are being added nowadays. The exact same or even higher rate was being added 80 years ago too. There is nothing new about the current rate, however the way you and others state it would lead the uninitiated to believe that it is. But then that's what you want.
    It wasn’t just the rate of the energy being added, it’s the accumulation of such vast amounts of energy. Earth is in a net positive radiative balance which is accumulating energy at this enormous rate without the natural cooling phases to offset this warming.

    There are multi annual and multi decadal oscillations that transfer heat within the earths biosphere and keep the earth in relative equilibrium. (things like the AMO, PDO, ENSO etc),

    Human GHGs are having an effect powerful enough to overwhelm these natural oscillations pushing earths systems out of equilibrium


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    You still don't get it. First you say they're always rubbishing the idea, then you post evidence to the contrary. My point was that I've never seen anyone on TV strenuously denying that this event or that can be attributed to agw. Their watery statements are always qualified by a "but that's what we expect to see more of in future".

    We got it with the Australian fires, we get it with the US hurricanes, yet there is not one shred of evidence to support it. I heard it this week about the floods in the UK. All immediate automatic attribution. No judge or jury. Now whether some group subsequently denies that this is the case never sees the light of say. Sky News are not going to issue a correction a month later to state that a false statement was made a month ago. To the public the message has already been absorbed. Another ugly face of anthro GW has been shown as far as they're concerned.


    Not a shred of evidence except for all these shreds of evidence (a very small sample of all the very many studies that cover climate attribution)
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/01/200102143401.htm
    A study led by Kevin Reed, PhD, Assistant Professor in the School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (SoMAS) at Stony Brook University, and published in Science Advances, found that Hurricane Florence produced more extreme rainfall and was spatially larger due to human-induced climate change.

    https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0076.1
    The average latitude where tropical cyclones (TCs) reach their peak intensity has been observed to be shifting poleward in some regions over the past 30 years, apparently in concert with the independently observed expansion of the tropical belt. This poleward migration is particularly well observed and robust in the western North Pacific Ocean (WNP). Such a migration is expected to cause systematic changes, both increases and decreases, in regional hazard exposure and risk, particularly if it persists through the present century. Here, it is shown that the past poleward migration in the WNP has coincided with decreased TC exposure in the region of the Philippine and South China Seas, including the Marianas, the Philippines, Vietnam, and southern China, and increased exposure in the region of the East China Sea, including Japan and its Ryukyu Islands, the Korea Peninsula, and parts of eastern China. Additionally, it is shown that projections of WNP TCs simulated by, and downscaled from, an ensemble of numerical models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) demonstrate a continuing poleward migration into the present century following the emissions projections of the representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5). The projected migration causes a shift in regional TC exposure that is very similar in pattern and relative amplitude to the past observed shift. In terms of regional differences in vulnerability and resilience based on past TC exposure, the potential ramifications of these future changes are significant. Questions of attribution for the changes are discussed in terms of tropical belt expansion and Pacific decadal sea surface temperature variability.

    https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL082077
    Hurricane Maria was associated with record‐breaking rainfall over Puerto Rico, which caused unprecedented flooding and landslides across the island and led to widespread devastation. Here we analyze the extreme rainfall produced by Hurricane Maria using 35 historical weather stations with daily precipitation data from 1956–2016. We use a statistical analysis technique to determine how unusual Maria's rainfall was and if Maria's rainfall can be attributed to climate variability and/or climate change. We find that Hurricane Maria produced the single largest maximum rainfall event since 1956 and had the highest precipitation of 129 storms that have impacted the island since 1956. Our study concludes that extreme precipitation, like that of Hurricane Maria, has become much more likely in recent years and long‐term trends in atmospheric and sea surface temperature are both linked to increased precipitation in Puerto Rico. These results place Maria prominently in the context of extreme storms that have impacted Puerto Rico and indicate that such events are becoming increasingly likely.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Akrasia wrote: »
    It wasn’t just the rate of the energy being added, it’s the accumulation of such vast amounts of energy. Earth is in a net positive radiative balance which is accumulating energy at this enormous rate without the natural cooling phases to offset this warming.

    There are multi annual and multi decadal oscillations that transfer heat within the earths biosphere and keep the earth in relative equilibrium. (things like the AMO, PDO, ENSO etc),

    Human GHGs are having an effect powerful enough to overwhelm these natural oscillations pushing earths systems out of equilibrium

    Earth has been in a net positive radiative balance since around 1880, when natural warming started after a long period of relative stability. The equilibrium shifted from that point onwards. For decades after, natural warming similar to your alleged current anthro warming added fuel to the fire. This can happen without the effects of ghg.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Akrasia wrote: »
    Not a shred of evidence except for all these shreds of evidence (a very small sample of all the very many studies that cover climate attribution)
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/01/200102143401.htm


    https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0076.1


    https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL082077

    Again, these use the usual statement "these events are increasingly likely", while not providing technical proof that each event is actually attributable. Take, for example, Puerto Rico. The highest total since 1956. So up to then the record was from 1956. Their "proof" is a statistical statement that these events are more likely, yet they're taking one event as proof.

    When it comes to tropical cyclones I don't take a trend taken over just 30 years to be any indication of a longer term trend. Thirty years is typical of the cyclicity of natural tropical activity patterns, so it is impossible to discern a longer trend from it. Indeed, longer datasets show no difference in tropical activity, be it number or intensity of severe hurricanes/typhoons, ACE, etc., over the past century or more, despite the vast improvements in detection and classification tool of recent decades. Only last month the NHC added 9 new hurricanes to the 1961-65 seasons after reclassification studies found the need for the upgrades. How many more storms were similarly missed decades ago?

    Your crazy statement last week that the likes of Dennis and Ciara are down to warming oceans is typical of the unfounded nonsense being spouted by all and sundry, showing the limited understanding of how these systems actually formed (nothing to do with warm waters).


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »

    This is the guy that the NYT's gushingly calls a 'philanthropist'. Probably nothing to do with the fact that, as I only found out today, he owns the Washington Post. Money and 'prestige' talks to our MSM journalist friends it would seem...

    "Amazon—the world’s most valuable company—exploits workers, evades taxes, destroys the environment, undermines democracy, and creates tech that fuels police, the military, and ICE. This is the function of capitalism laid bare—profit over people. #PrimeDay boycott #NoTechForICE"

    — NYC-DSA Tech Action(@NYCDSATechWG) July 15, 2019


    Taken from this damning article about the already well documented worker exploitation by Amazon.

    https://www.commondreams.org/news/2019/07/15/decrying-low-wages-poor-working-conditions-and-support-ice-labor-advocates-call

    Exploiting the working classes to give to the already more than comfortably funded who in turn dictate to the working classes that they already consume too much.

    1917 is coming.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 216 ✭✭posidonia


    Earth has been in a net positive radiative balance since around 1880, when natural warming started after a long period of relative stability. The equilibrium shifted from that point onwards. For decades after, natural warming similar to your alleged current anthro warming added fuel to the fire. This can happen without the effects of ghg.

    Source for the bolded bit please.


    Do you really not think the lower parts of the atmosphere, the bit we live in, is warming fast? Don't you accept last January was the warmest ever recorded, globally averaged (and probably very mild where you live)?



    Don't you think CO2 is the ghg observations have shown it to be?



    And do you think it's just coincidence atmospheric ghg concentrations are rising very fast when burning massive amounts fossil fuels is liberating massive amounts of ghg?


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Earth has been in a net positive radiative balance since around 1880, when natural warming started after a long period of relative stability. The equilibrium shifted from that point onwards. For decades after, natural warming similar to your alleged current anthro warming added fuel to the fire. This can happen without the effects of ghg.
    Conveniently 1880 was roughly when human industrial activity started increasing GHGs


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Again, these use the usual statement "these events are increasingly likely", while not providing technical proof that each event is actually attributable. Take, for example, Puerto Rico. The highest total since 1956. So up to then the record was from 1956. Their "proof" is a statistical statement that these events are more likely, yet they're taking one event as proof.

    When it comes to tropical cyclones I don't take a trend taken over just 30 years to be any indication of a longer term trend. Thirty years is typical of the cyclicity of natural tropical activity patterns, so it is impossible to discern a longer trend from it. Indeed, longer datasets show no difference in tropical activity, be it number or intensity of severe hurricanes/typhoons, ACE, etc., over the past century or more, despite the vast improvements in detection and classification tool of recent decades. Only last month the NHC added 9 new hurricanes to the 1961-65 seasons after reclassification studies found the need for the upgrades. How many more storms were similarly missed decades ago?

    Your crazy statement last week that the likes of Dennis and Ciara are down to warming oceans is typical of the unfounded nonsense being spouted by all and sundry, showing the limited understanding of how these systems actually formed (nothing to do with warm waters).

    You said there wasn’t a shred of evidence. Please define shred of evidence


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,304 ✭✭✭✭ednwireland


    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/environment/2020/feb/19/one-in-ten-new-homes-in-england-built-on-land-with-high-flood-risk

    1 in 10 new homes in uk built in high flood risk areas . 1 in 5 in calderdale. built with big embankments which pushes flooding elsewhere.
    thousands more houses planned next to the river calder.......


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Watched this disheartening video last night that might be of interest to others:



    Seems that the much respected David Attenbourogh has no problem with using deceptive talk and gross imagery to push the idea of climate change. Quite disgusting in fact that they use the real suffering of animals (which he and his camera crew seem to get off on filming) to cause as much distress to his audience, many of which are children and young adults, as possible. In my opinion, these 'nature documentary' types seem to enjoy filming the suffering of animals to an obscene degree, because nobody in their right mind could stand there with a camera and be so utterly detached to the horror of what they are filming as to be able to keep that camera pin point focused on it.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    posidonia wrote: »
    Source for the bolded bit please.

    Evidence already posted several times in the form of charts and graphs. Natural warming started near the end of the 19th century, therefore the equilibrium was forced upwards.
    Do you really not think the lower parts of the atmosphere, the bit we live in, is warming fast? Don't you accept last January was the warmest ever recorded, globally averaged (and probably very mild where you live)?

    Don't you think CO2 is the ghg observations have shown it to be?

    And do you think it's just coincidence atmospheric ghg concentrations are rising very fast when burning massive amounts fossil fuels is liberating massive amounts of ghg?

    The lower troposphere is warming, but by how much is a source of great debate. There is no agreement between different datasets. Also, the lower stratopshere is not cooling, unlike is supposed to be happening with increasing ghg. I've posted evidence of this in this thread a few weeks ago.

    Also, a recent report states that CO2 is not increasing as expected and the IPCC's RCP8.5 can be pretty much disregarded from now on. I read it recently but can't find the source right now. I will post it later.
    Akrasia wrote: »
    Conveniently 1880 was roughly when human industrial activity started increasing GHGs

    Coincidentally, more like, or are you trying to imply that the tiny increase in CO2 at that stage had a similar effect on temperatures back then as the much larger increase is allegedly having on temperatures now? Are you a natural climate change "skeptic" (to use your term)?
    Akrasia wrote: »
    You said there wasn’t a shred of evidence. Please define shred of evidence

    Evidence that explains in detail the physical mechanisms that have been measured or observed to have had an irrefutable cause on that particular event, not some theoretical study that implies a greater general probability.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Watched this disheartening video last night that might be of interest to others:

    So that's what Akrasia looks like. Almost word for word the same unfounded hyperbole that we read in his posts.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/environment/2020/feb/19/one-in-ten-new-homes-in-england-built-on-land-with-high-flood-risk

    1 in 10 new homes in uk built in high flood risk areas . 1 in 5 in calderdale. built with big embankments which pushes flooding elsewhere.
    thousands more houses planned next to the river calder.......
    Which is precisely why more people are being affected by "climate change", we're simply using land that historically would have been left alone due to flooding, also we are (mis)managing the river systems by moving the water elsewhere. This means that areas that historically would never have flooded are now getting flooded and blaming "climate change".



    That is being repeated globally!


    We are the architects of our own disasters. Taxing CO2 in the name of climate change will do nothing to resolve these types of issues.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 216 ✭✭posidonia


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Watched this disheartening video last night that might be of interest to others:



    Seems that the much respected David Attenbourogh has no problem with using deceptive talk and gross imagery to push the idea of climate change. Quite disgusting in fact that they use the real suffering of animals (which he and his camera crew seem to get off on filming) to cause as much distress to his audience, many of which are children and young adults, as possible. In my opinion, these 'nature documentary' types seem to enjoy filming the suffering of animals to an obscene degree, because nobody in their right mind could stand there with a camera and be so utterly detached to the horror of what they are filming as to be able to keep that camera pin point focused on it.


    Examples of where they 'get off' please. Also, please show some examples of where they 'enjoy' the suffering of animals. There are none of either in the video you link - just a load of insults directed at Mr Attenborough.


    How could Mr Attenborough save such animals as the walrus falling of cliffs?



    Do you criticise those who report war for not taking up guns themselves? How do you think they can watch suffering and not intervene?


    The answer is that reporters report.


  • Registered Users Posts: 216 ✭✭posidonia


    Evidence already posted several times in the form of charts and graphs. Natural warming started near the end of the 19th century, therefore the equilibrium was forced upwards.



    The lower troposphere is warming, but by how much is a source of great debate. There is no agreement between different datasets. Also, the lower stratopshere is not cooling, unlike is supposed to be happening with increasing ghg. I've posted evidence of this in this thread a few weeks ago.

    Also, a recent report states that CO2 is not increasing as expected and the IPCC's RCP8.5 can be pretty much disregarded from now on. I read it recently but can't find the source right now. I will post it later.




    Your post has, at least, got me to understand the nonsense that people like Pielke have been pushing wrt RCP8.5.


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Watched this disheartening video last night that might be of interest to others:



    Seems that the much respected David Attenbourogh has no problem with using deceptive talk and gross imagery to push the idea of climate change. Quite disgusting in fact that they use the real suffering of animals (which he and his camera crew seem to get off on filming) to cause as much distress to his audience, many of which are children and young adults, as possible. In my opinion, these 'nature documentary' types seem to enjoy filming the suffering of animals to an obscene degree, because nobody in their right mind could stand there with a camera and be so utterly detached to the horror of what they are filming as to be able to keep that camera pin point focused on it.

    A few posts ago you said you don't go seeking out climate change skeptics.....

    Will you show your open mind by reading what actual experts have to say on the likes of Crockford and other pseudo experts under the pay of groups like the GWPF and the Heartland Institute?
    Approximately 80% of the denier blogs cited here referred
    to one particular denier blog, Polar Bear Science, by Susan
    Crockford, as their primary source of discussion and debate
    on the status of polar bears. Notably, as of this writing,
    Crockford has neither conducted any original research nor
    published any articles in the peer-reviewed literature on
    the effects of sea ice on the population dynamics of polar
    bears. However, she has published notes and “briefings”
    through a conservative think tank, the Global Warming
    Policy Foundation (GWPF), and is described by them as
    “an expert on polar bear evolution.” Similarly, the Heartland
    Institute, another conservative think tank that downplays
    AGW, describes her as “one of the world’s foremost experts
    on polar bears.” Prominent among blogs giving Crockford’s
    blog disproportionate attention are WUWT and CD, suggesting that her blog reaches a large audience.
    The GWPF articles by Crockford claim that contrary
    to available scientific and empirical evidence, polar bears
    will easily adapt to any changes that Arctic ecosystems may
    experience in coming decades (Crockford 2014, 2015).
    Crockford’s blog frequently extracts partial research outcomes and portrays them as contrary to the documented
    effects of AGW on sea ice or polar bears—supporting a “scientific uncertainty” frame. For example, when alleging sea
    ice recovered after 2012, Crockford downplayed the contribution of sea-ice loss to polar-bear population declines
    in the Beaufort Sea. Similarly, in GWPF reports and on
    her blog, Crockford vigorously criticizes, without supporting evidence, the findings of several leading researchers
    who have studied polar bears in the field for decades. In
    this manner, her blogs highlight a second frame, “public
    accountability of science,” evidenced by her claims that
    scientists overstate their findings. For example, Crockford
    recently called the findings of a new peer-reviewed and vetted paper by USGS scientists (Durner et al. 2017) “bogus,”
    “lame,” and “dangerous.” (Crockford 2017). Rhetorical
    devices to evoke fear and other emotions, such as implying
    that the public is under threat from deceitful scientists, are
    common tactics employed by science-denier groups (Barry
    et al. 2008).
    A primary approach of Crockford’s and other denier
    blogs is to frame uncertainty by focusing on the present and
    to question the accuracy of future predictions—implying
    that the rapid loss of Arctic ice recorded over the past 40
    years induced by AGW cannot serve as a guide to future
    conditions. This contrasts with the scientific consensus
    that polar bears will ultimately disappear if Arctic sea-ice
    declines continue unabated (Amstrup et al. 2010). Despite
    the roughly linear relationship between observed sea-ice
    decline and global mean temperature (Amstrup et al. 2010),
    biological responses are often nonlinear. As in other ecosystems, when critical thresholds in habitat availability are
    passed, tipping points occur, and species dependent on that
    habitat suddenly experience sharp declines (Dai et al. 2012).
    Moreover, habitat loss is not always immediately followed
    by abundance declines of species dependent on that habitat.
    Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/article-abstract/68/4/281/4644513 by guest on 20 February 2020
    Forum
    284 BioScience • April 2018 / Vol. 68 No. 4 https://academic.oup.com/bioscience
    Instead, the phenomenon of “extinction debt” can create
    temporal gaps between the two processes (Kuussaari et al.
    2009). These important aspects, vital to our understanding
    of future prospects for species in shrinking habitats, including polar bears, are ignored by Crockford’s and other AGWdenying blogs.
    Denier blogs
    From the paper
    "Internet Blogs, Polar Bears, and
    Climate-Change Denial by Proxy" by
    JEFFREY A. HARVEY, DAPHNE VAN DEN BERG, JACINTHA ELLERS, REMKO KAMPEN, THOMAS W. CROWTHER,
    PETER ROESSINGH, BART VERHEGGEN, RASCHA J. M. NUIJTEN, ERIC POST, STEPHAN LEWANDOWSKY,
    IAN STIRLING, MEENA BALGOPAL, STEVEN C. AMSTRUP, AND MICHAEL E. MANN


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    All I see there Akrasia is the attempt to attack the source and not the content. Is there anything said in that video that is untrue?

    But isn't it funny that we have 'experts' regularly publicly condemning 'climate blogs' and the 'think tanks' such as the Heartland Institute for what they call misinformation, yet curiously give journalists a free pass when they do the same.. because they are 'too busy doing science', as you yourself recently said.

    Some things don't add up.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    posidonia wrote: »
    Examples of where they 'get off' please. Also, please show some examples of where they 'enjoy' the suffering of animals. There are none of either in the video you link - just a load of insults directed at Mr Attenborough.


    How could Mr Attenborough save such animals as the walrus falling of cliffs?



    Do you criticise those who report war for not taking up guns themselves? How do you think they can watch suffering and not intervene?


    The answer is that reporters report.

    How did Attenbourough and his crew get to these places to 'report' these horrors, which he seems to enjoy showing in slow motion to prolonged the traumatising impact, in the first place? And how is his ultra hi-tech media equipment fuelled in such far away places?

    And please, spare us the smoking analogies again. They don't wash.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    All I see there Akrasia is the attempt to attack the source and not the content. Is there anything said in that video that is untrue?

    But isn't it funny that we have 'experts' regularly publicly condemning 'climate blogs' and the 'think tanks' such as the Heartland Institute for what they call misinformation, yet curiously give journalists a free pass when they do the same.. because they are 'too busy doing science', as you yourself recently said.

    Some things don't add up.

    Yeah, some things don't add up. Like you saying you don't go looking for climate change skeptics while posting the latest hot video from the skeptosphere

    Never see you posting any actual science, or papers in proper peer reviewed journals, like this one showing that Humans are more responsible for GHGs than previously thought
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-1991-8.epdf?referrer_access_token=Bc9gdX8_q-hZQU4RGrOZuNRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0NsP7YL6bUMs5U2mb93hxTh3dwZVOOig02DPQ_6gyAu8TquBxftD1bXHCSxzqEwtsqZwnmslfLub4qabo11Cl5QXL9fSCctxXLAO5Gy8SMazK2VuD8pCRfgfQRv_Px5L3Huc9ZU8EZ4bP1UrcEZlhl1JS5F9oQPIAutW3yas_ow6wYi951UIBqrGJwkcuqW1A7bC73S9iYBrakkf06qZRMqgfmKF5IEjCnMFYy5-4LBeZJ8zUYHPWytDZ8jUAO1B7FvQpZ0yLRSJj3yd30Or_g9&tracking_referrer=edition.cnn.com
    Or this one showing that more than 20% of the terrestrial globe is vulnerable to abrupt shifts due to increasing aridity
    https://science.sciencemag.org/content/367/6479/787
    Increasing aridity due to climate change is expected to affect multiple ecosystem structural and functional attributes in global drylands, which cover ∼45% of the terrestrial globe. Berdugo et al. show that increasing aridity promotes thresholds on the structure and functioning of drylands (see the Perspective by Hirota and Oliveira). Their database includes 20 variables summarizing multiple aspects and levels of ecological organization. They found evidence for a series of abrupt ecological events occurring sequentially in three phases, culminating with a shift to low-cover ecosystems that are nutrient- and species-poor at high aridity values. They estimate that more than 20% of land surface will cross at least one of the thresholds by 2100, which can potentially lead to widespread land degradation and desertification worldwide.


    Or this study showing the Colorado river has reduced in flow by 20% over the last century due to decreasing snow
    https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/02/19/science.aay9187

    Or the new findings announced this week that ocean acidity will virtually eliminate coral reefs by 2100 and warmer oceans will kill up to 90% of coral by 2040
    Scientists project 70 to 90 percent of coral reefs will disappear over the next 20 years as a result of climate change and pollution. Some groups are attempting to curb this decline by transplanting live corals grown in a lab to dying reefs. They propose new, young corals will boost the reef’s recovery and bring it back to a healthy state.

    But new research mapping where such restoration efforts would be most successful over the coming decades finds that by 2100, few to zero suitable coral habitats will remain. The preliminary findings suggest sea surface temperature and acidity are the most important factors in determining if a site is suitable for restoration.

    “By 2100, it’s looking quite grim,” said Renee Setter, a biogeographer at the University of Hawaii Manoa who will present the new findings.
    https://news.agu.org/press-release/warming-acidic-oceans-may-nearly-eliminate-coral-reef-habitats-by-2100/

    But all of these really worrying scientific findings that have been released in the past few weeks have slipped past your 'open mind' which somehow seems to come across propaganda from people with zero scientific credibility in the fields they are talking about.


  • Registered Users Posts: 216 ✭✭posidonia


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    How did Attenbourough and his crew get to these places to 'report' these horrors, which he seems to enjoy showing in slow motion to prolonged the traumatising impact, in the first place? And how is his ultra hi-tech media equipment fuelled in such far away places?

    And please, spare us the smoking analogies again. They don't wash.


    Look, I know you have some weird views but baseless, sick, insinuations like the ones you are making make you look like a crank.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    You didn't answer my question Akrasia. You call them 'skeptics' (it's actually spelt 'sceptics') yet, instead of proving the contents of that video wrong, which I would have welcomed, you just bombard me with total irrelevancy and appeals to authority.

    What gives, comrade?

    @Posidonia, what is 'sickly insinuated' in my post? I asked you a question, that is all. If you can't answer it, then at least say so.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 216 ✭✭posidonia


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    You didn't answer my question Akrasia. You call them 'skeptics' (it's actually spelt 'sceptics') yet, instead of proving the contents of that video wrong, which I would have welcomed, you just bombard me with total irrelevancy and appeals to authority.

    What gives, comrade?

    @Posidonia, what is 'sickly insinuated' in my post? I asked you a question, that is all. If you can't answer it, then at least say so.


    You, at least twice, said he enjoyed seeing animals suffer. That's a sick insinuation.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    posidonia wrote: »
    You, at least twice, said he enjoyed seeing animals suffer. That's a sick insinuation.

    Could you stand there with a camera and film a tormented animal with such precision, and in fact, go out of your way to do so?

    But I'll ask again, how does 'Sir' Attenbourough, hobnobber of the elite, and his crew regularly get to such far away places?

    New Moon



This discussion has been closed.
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