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Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion : 2019 and Winter 2020

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    #1082
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,822 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Nice high Dew points atm.

    DP 17C here near Tralee atm

    anim_wrm5.gif

    anim_ibi3.gif

    pointrosee_uk_eft2.png

    KeoMuYy.gif


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    #1083
    Say my name
    Registered Users Posts: 11,062 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    Oscar Bravo wrote: »
    First of the lightning off the south coast of England now.

    Sparking up in Spain and western France too.
    Trajectory seems to be inline with forecasts. Southwest England.


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    #1084
    Mortelaro
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,431 ✭✭✭Mortelaro


    Joanna's forecast there now had it completely dry overnight even in East Ulster in complete contrast to meteogroup/BBC and the UK met office

    And this is within the next 12 hrs...


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    #1085
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,875 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Not a mention of Thunder on the forecast there now

    The rain off the West Coast looks to be pulling away and breaking up


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    #1086
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    This setup looks similar to June 29th last, it was the cold front off the west coast that sparked mid-level storms over us as it moved inland.


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    #1087
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,822 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Upper Trough approaching.

    ECM 12Z out now and showing much bigger chance of Thunderstorms in the center of the country in the early hours moving N or NNE, about 02.00 to 06.00 as it clears the N.

    Might be a few surprises yet ???

    ZNe58sT.gif

    Q4zNtsf.png

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    0wQ0m5l.png


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    #1088
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    I'll give it until 1 am myself to see what the potential is. Can't rule anything out. It is a "nowcast" situation.


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    #1089
    PukkaStukka
    Registered Users Posts: 2,154 ✭✭✭PukkaStukka


    Nothing happening here in Cornwall despite all the hype. There's stuff heading this way over the Brest peninsula but it's not sparking and something tells me it'll stay like that :(


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    #1090
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,117 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Kilkee Co Clare now

    E1-AA3142-9-A3-B-4477-A9-BE-8-E9102-D5-AA43.jpg


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    #1091
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Disappointing thus far across southwest England and Wales. But I think northern England, southern and western Scotland are the places to be tonight.


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    #1092
    Comhrá
    Registered Users Posts: 4,757 ✭✭✭Comhrá


    Wow, looks exactly like a supercell somewhere in Kansas or Oklahoma.

    Amazing structure to that cloud.


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    #1093
    Comhrá
    Registered Users Posts: 4,757 ✭✭✭Comhrá


    a few echoes showing up off the South coast now.


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    #1094
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,822 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Convective Weather has updated its map to include more of the S and a corridor right up the center of Ireland.

    06izj9D.png


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    #1095
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,822 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    https://twitter.com/meteociel/status/1153756993657741312?s=20


    Translated from French by
    Thunderstorms that seem to be much more shy than expected in Normandy, for the moment no significant development on satellite images, temperatures still sometimes > 35 ° C north of the Pays de la Loire, vigilance remains until midnight. ⚠️


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    #1096
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,822 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Couple of sferics just now.


    8CeSyD0.png


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    #1097
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Really kicking off now just west of Le Havre.


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    #1098
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users Posts: 10,066 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Anyone any links to cams in Brighton? should be lively by 11pm


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    #1099
    lolie
    Registered Users Posts: 2,330 ✭✭✭lolie


    Oscar Bravo wrote: »
    Anyone any links to cams in Brighton? should be lively by 11pm

    Heres one.
    https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/brighton/brighton-pier.html


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    #1100
    Nibs05
    Registered Users Posts: 669 ✭✭✭Nibs05


    Oscar Bravo wrote: »
    Anyone any links to cams in Brighton? should be lively by 11pm


    Dawlish cam

    https://youtu.be/mAjfGCgMXBg


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    #1101
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,875 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Nibs05 wrote: »
    Dawlish cam

    https://youtu.be/mAjfGCgMXBg

    Skyline webcams in HD several for Brighton and the South Coast


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    #1102
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Sferics over south Wales just now.


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    #1103
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,707 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    A couple of recent strikes in south Wales/Swansea area.

    Edit: As KDF said above....:)


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    #1104
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,108 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Kilkee Co Clare now

    Spotted that myself, beautiful.


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    #1105
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Just observing the satellite there may be a small bit of hope for south east, eastern fringes perhaps later with some new cloud formation just off Cornwall now and an ok angle of approach.

    Still i'd have to favor a just off shore scenario here but stranger things have happened...


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    #1106
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    South coast of England around the Isle of White east in for a fun time in the next hour or so. Storms moving north and expanding then.


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    #1107
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Kicking off on the Dawlish webcam (for those who want their fix :P )

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mAjfGCgMXBg


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    #1108
    Nibs05
    Registered Users Posts: 669 ✭✭✭Nibs05


    https://youtu.be/G6IqTfsD3-w

    Nice flashes


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    #1109
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    A lot of intra cloud strikes there.


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    #1110
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,707 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Kermit.de.frog wrote: »
    A lot of intra cloud strikes there.

    ....and a train! :p


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    #1111
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    lebowski.gif


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