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February 2019 Boards weather forecast contest

  • 29-01-2019 7:38pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 13,187 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    Will edit in more later, most of you know the drill so here's the thread, predict IMT for Feb (5.3 is 1981-2010 normal), then predict MAX, MIN, PRC, SUN and bonus question will be ...

    BONUS _ What will be the delightful high on 14th at Shannon (A)? (only a temperature will qualify for points on this one) :cool:


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,713 ✭✭✭ Bsal


    Bsal___5.2__13.5__-4.5__85__95__BONUS_9.0


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Pauldry__5.9__14.0__-7__100__100__BONUS_11c


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,183 ✭✭✭ sdanseo


    sdanseo___5.0__12.9__-8.4__082__114__BONUS_5.9


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,569 ✭✭✭ 200motels


    200motels 5.8 14.1 -6.4 101 102. Bonus 12.3


  • Registered Users Posts: 622 ✭✭✭ Tae laidir


    Tae laidir ______6.0__14.2__-5.8__110__88__BONUS_9.8


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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,554 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    sryanbruen ____________ 4.6 _ 14.9 _ -6.8 _ 105 _ 90 ___ BONUS _ 6.1

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users Posts: 663 ✭✭✭ Tazio


    Tazio___4.8__11.5__-5.5__80__85__BONUS_10.5


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,772 ✭✭✭ dacogawa


    Dacogawa__5.2__14.4__-6.4__125__82__BONUS_10.8c


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,756 ✭✭✭ rameire


    Rameire___5.4__15.1__-5.5__105__105__BONUS_12.0


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭ Joe Public


    Joe Public ___4.6__13.5__-7.4__110__103__BONUS_8.7


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,858 ✭✭✭ Artane2002


    Artane2002 ____________ 5.8 _ 14.7 _ -6.5 _ 110 _ 90 ___ BONUS _ 8.0


  • Registered Users Posts: 164 ✭✭ sunflower3


    Sunflower3__5.5__13.0__-5.2__85__110__BONUS_9.8 c


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,103 Mod ✭✭✭✭ DOCARCH


    DOCARCH___5.4__14.8__-6.4__95__115__BONUS__4.8


  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭ waterways


    waterways ___4.8__13.8__-7.8__115__79__7.2


  • Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭ kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit ___ 5.3 ___ 14 ___ -4.5 ___ 110 ___ 110 ___ 10


  • Registered Users Posts: 747 ✭✭✭ adam240610


    Adam240610_______6__14.1__-6.4__105__93_ BONUS 9


  • Registered Users Posts: 359 ✭✭ mrskinner


    Skinner_____4.9______13.9_____-5.9______99______99_______9.9


  • Registered Users Posts: 457 ✭✭ dasa29


    Dasa29___ 5.0 ___ 13 ___ -5.5 ___ 120 ___ 100 ___ 10


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,554 ✭✭✭✭ Rikand


    Rikand ____ 5.0 ____ 14.5 ____ -7.0 ____ 90 ____ 120 ____ 8.0


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,408 ✭✭✭ Jpmarn


    Jpmarn ___5.0__13.9__-6.5__122__105__BONUS_9.5


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,187 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    MTC __ 5.2 __ 14.5 __ -7.4 __ 105 __ 120 ___ 11.1

    NormaL __ 5.3 __ 15.0 __ -7.0 __ 100 __ 100 ____ 9.8

    what we want actually __ -1.0 __ 5.8 __ -20.5 __ 200 __ 200 ___ -4.5


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,664 ✭✭✭✭ JCX BXC


    JCXBXC ____________ 5.0 _ 13.9 _ -4.9_ 105 _ 95 ___ BONUS _ 6.2


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,995 ✭✭✭ John mac


    john mac__5.4__13.5__-6.0__95__100__BONUS_12.0


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,406 Mod ✭✭✭✭ mickger844posts


    mickger844posts__5.0__13.7__-6.1__90__90__BONUS_8.3c


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,408 ✭✭✭ Jpmarn



    what we want actually __ -1.0 __ 5.8 __ -20.5 __ 200 __ 200 ___ -4.5

    No thank you. It definitely won’t suit my farm. I’ll be fine with nearly normal February weather. Maybe a bit of a cold blast and an odd fall of snow won’t do much harm.


  • Registered Users Posts: 622 ✭✭✭ Tae laidir


    Markee Castle - 3.9 yesterday for openers.
    Hope Markee Cattle nice and warm!


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,187 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    Table of forecasts for February 2019


    FORECASTER ___________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ Max 14th Shannon


    Tae laidir _______________ 6.0 _ 14.2 _ -5.8 _ 110 _ 088 ____ 9.8

    Adam240610 ____________ 6.0 _ 14.1 _ -6.4 _ 105 _ 093 ____ 9.0

    Pauldry _________________5.9 _ 14.0 _ -7.0 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 11.0

    Artane2002 _____________ 5.8 _ 14.7 _ -6.5 _ 110 _ 090 ____ 8.0

    200motels ______________ 5.8 _ 14.1 _ -6.4 _ 101 _ 102 ___ 12.3

    Sunflower3 ______________5.5 _ 13.0 _ -5.2 _ 085 _ 110 ____ 9.8

    Rameire ________________ 5.4 _ 15.1 _ -5.5 _ 105 _ 105 ___ 12.0

    DOCARCH _______________5.4 _ 14.8 _ -6.4 _ 095 _ 115 ____ 4.8

    john mac ____ (-1) _______ 5.4 _ 13.5 _ -6.0 _ 095 _ 100 ___ 12.0

    Kindred Spirit ____________5.3 _ 14.0 _ -4.5 _ 110 _ 110 ___ 10.0


    NormaL ________________ 5.3 _ 15.0 _ -7.0 _ 100 _ 100 ____ 9.8


    M.T. Cranium ____________ 5.2 _ 14.5 _ -7.4 _ 105 _ 120 ___ 11.1

    Dacogawa _______________5.2 _ 14.4 _ -6.4 _ 125 _ 082 ___ 10.8


    Con Sensus _____________ 5.2 _ 14.0 _ -6.2 _ 103 _ 100 ____ 9.7


    Bsal ___________________ 5.2 _ 13.5 _ -4.5 _ 085 _ 095 ____ 9.0

    Rikand _________________ 5.0 _ 14.5 _ -7.0 _ 090 _ 120 ____ 8.0

    JCXBXC ________________ 5.0 _ 13.9 _ -4.9 _ 105 _ 095 ____ 6.2

    Jpmarn _________________5.0 _ 13.9 _ -6.5 _ 122 _ 105 ____ 9.5

    mickger844posts __(-3) ___ 5.0 _ 13.7 _ -6.1 _ 090 _ 090 ____ 8.3

    Dasa29 _________________5.0 _ 13.0 _ -5.5 _ 120 _ 100 ___ 10.0

    sdanseo ________________ 5.0 _ 12.9 _ -8.4 _ 082 _ 114 ____ 5.9

    MrSkinner ______________ 4.9 _ 13.9 _ -5.9 _ 099 _ 099 ____ 9.9

    waterways ______________ 4.8 _ 13.8 _ -7.8 _ 115 _ 079 ____ 7.2

    Tazio __________________ 4.8 _ 11.5 _ -5.5 _ 080 _ 085 ___ 10.5

    sryanbruen ______________4.6 _ 14.9 _ -6.8 _ 105 _ 090 ____ 6.1

    Joe Public _______________4.6 _ 13.5 _ -7.4 _ 110 _ 103 ____ 8.7
    _____________________________________________________________

    24 forecasts, median (Con Sensus) is average of 12th and 13th ranked forecasts.

    welcome to Tazio, and good luck everyone.

    Our group forecast consensus seems to be very close to average values for February, a bit of everything expected by most it would seem.


  • Registered Users Posts: 622 ✭✭✭ Tae laidir


    Athenry - 5.1 yesterday.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,187 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    After the first week ...

    IMT was on 4.2 (1.1 below average), after quite a cold first three days.

    MAX so far was 12.9 (Shannon, Finner 5th) and MIN -5.1.

    PRC running at 121% with all stations fairly similar. That does not include heavy rain after midnight today, probably now closer to 150%.

    SUN was generous for a change after two rather dull months, a trend that began around 29th of January actually. The average was 176% of normal (1058/600).


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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Nearly sure 13c was recorded at a number of stations a couple of days ago.


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