ThomasFlynn wrote: »
Do you think the 2020 US election is increasingly likely to be fought over social issues rather than economic ones?
I'm thinking about what the democrats strategy will be in 2020, following the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh its increasingly likely the #MeToo movement is going to be the front and centre of this campaign, perhaps it will be the number 1 important issue for democrats in 2020 (certainly if Harris or Gilibrand are the nominee).
I think the strategy for the democrats will likely to keep calling out Trump as a racist, sexist, bigot, racist, sexist, bigot, racist, sexist, bigot etc keep reminding people of his bigotry in order to encourage huge minority and female turnout whilst pointing out his corruption as well etc. I think it will be about ending the white (male) entitlement too.
I'm skeptical however it will be fought over economic issues as much. The democrats have strong links to wall street and the corporate friendly wing of the party will not approve of too much change, ala Bernie 'break up the big banks' style change or to certain extent Liz Warren's aggressive approach to the banks. I think insiders simply want Trump out without having to change the political system too much if they can, ala as it were before Trump.
You'll notice the likes of CNN, who are huge champions of #MeToo, Kapaernick and other forms of social change, but were against Bernie Sanders in 2016 and very very critical of the occupy wall street movement and I think they have their pulse on the democratic party at the moment.
Also there's a good chance the economy will be strong in 2020 (low unemployment, high GDP), and it might be more difficult to attack Trump on it.