EuroMillion - MainBalls - Selections

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jacool wrote: »

Someone in Cork took Boylessports for €99000 on the draw just over - 03 - 08 - 16 - 40 - 43
They backed €3 on four-timer 03 - 08 - 16 - 40
Ironically, the first ball out was #43 !!
Wasn't you Accumulator, no?

Afraid not, 03 and 08 weren't on the radar of recent, sure 99large wouldn't be bad for the price of a FrappaChocoFlatWhiteAmeraCochino.

Passed by a shop in the Nordic regions earlier today, they just got in new (machine automated checkbox) slips for new EM-hotpicks. So have input a few 5ball selections for the 1m squid. Ticket price is 150 new pennies, which is reasonable for this event of 666666.66666666666667/1.

jacool

Maddox Spicy Backhand wrote: »

Passed by a shop in the Nordic regions earlier today, they just got in new (machine automated checkbox) slips for new EM-hotpicks. So have input a few 5ball selections for the 1m squid. Ticket price is 150 new pennies, which is reasonable for this event of 666666.66666666666667/1.

Good luck with that! I gave you the 5 winning numbers on my thread

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Results tonight are decent enough and somewhat in line with the latest charts/approaches.
i.e. The newest most overdue (last appearance) ball comes out (1). And the 2rd worst mid-term performer (33) also.
The other three 29, 45, 47, have only been out once or twice only since start of 2018, but not primaries.



Not sure what the story is with '365 they have just pulled the Euromillions from their site, and voided all open bets.
Either it's a loss-leader for them or Camelot or someone has kicked up a fuss. Shops only now.

Now 42, with over 100days since seen, is near certain to appear within the next few draws.

filbert the fox

Maddox Spicy Backhand wrote: »

Results tonight are decent enough and somewhat in line with the latest charts/approaches.
i.e. The newest most overdue (last appearance) ball comes out (1). And the 2rd worst mid-term performer (33) also.
The other three 29, 45, 47, have only been out once or twice only since start of 2018, but not primaries.



Not sure what the story is with '365 they have just pulled the Euromillions from their site, and voided all open bets.
Either it's a loss-leader for them or Camelot or someone has kicked up a fuss. Shops only now.

Now 42, with over 100days since seen, is near certain to appear within the next few draws.

Why ? If a coin tossed 49 times shows a head there's still a 50/50 chance on the fiftieth toss.

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filbert the fox wrote: »

Why ? If a coin tossed 49 times shows a head there's still a 50/50 chance on the fiftieth toss.

This is correct, and we can all agree on such logic.

However... From the large data set we can also apply (unfounded or illogical) theories of likelyhood, or probability that seem to have some value to them.

i.e. Three 100/1 doubles since mid-Janurary, and few near missed on 1500/1 trebles.

Many of the foucsed primaries have came out in succession last week (16, 40, 1).

This week would expect to see the remaining/new primaries either 18 or 42, along with some secondaries.

There is also another good reason to seek access to the bookies and if accessible, the (uks) new EM-Hotpick type game.

That is i) lower shop ticket price ii) greater payout (by 'huge factor') for 1/2/3/4/5 main balls than regular type ticket.

Such has been the demand for 'hotpick' type games from the bookies, the EM authorities (DCMS) have started to shut down their availability using rushed in legislation.

Such has been the loss to their own sales, from 6 Apr EM's has been made unavailable from many bookies.

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Ugly irrelevant balls tonight, hold steady for 18 & 42 on Friday.

Bet365 have recently been blocked by the lotto operators (pending appeal)
It's shops only now.

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Bad set of number again there on Friday. On the plus side the remaining set of primary and secondaries perhaps have a slight enhancement now after no show recently.

Primaries: 18 or 42, maybe 33.

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Maddox Spicy Backhand wrote: »

Primaries: 18 or 42, maybe 33.

Well that's 33 scratched off for next time. 27 and 50 are two of the most frequent balls ever.

filbert the fox

The silence around here is deafening...

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filbert the fox wrote: »

The silence around here is deafening...

True enough, haven't been doing as much since '365 were forced to close down their market on this, earlier this month. Prefer not to do regular shop tickets as very inefficient.

The regular bookies still offer them (for the time being) to the dismay of the main lotto operators, but again the hassle of pushing by the fotb zombies and ensuring slips are correct and safe.

Instead, after a few 100/1 doubles in this experiment, will now be changing poa, into getting the new HotPicks done for me, with the aim of the main5 (1m).

Total of just x5 lines. x1s, x1d - these will focus mainly on (current) primaries of 18 & 42. x1t (using alt secondaries) and x2 (mixed) quintuples for the magic 1m.

Interesting to note there was x2 of the 5main ball winners in the regular EM game here with a measly 24k each, had they got someone to get them the (lower priced) new HP's, it would be 1m each.

filbert the fox

Maddox Spicy Backhand wrote: »

True enough, haven't been doing as much since '365 were forced to close down their market on this, earlier this month. Prefer not to do regular shop tickets as very inefficient.

The regular bookies still offer them (for the time being) to the dismay of the main lotto operators, but again the hassle of pushing by the fotb zombies and ensuring slips are correct and safe.

Instead, after a few 100/1 doubles in this experiment, will now be changing poa, into getting the new HotPicks done for me, with the aim of the main5 (1m).

Total of just x5 lines. x1s, x1d - these will focus mainly on (current) primaries of 18 & 42. x1t (using alt secondaries) and x2 (mixed) quintuples for the magic 1m.

Interesting to note there was x2 of the 5main ball winners in the regular EM game here with a measly 24k each, had they got someone to get them the (lower priced) new HP's, it would be 1m each.

The original Euromillions brochure from the National Lottery gave odds on matching 5 numbers in both the main draw and the Plus draw. The odds differed for both on the basis that it is more difficult to achieve match 5 without the bonus than with.

Hence, match 5 only should be rewarded much greater than they are for the main draw....

any thoughts?

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filbert the fox wrote: »

The original Euromillions brochure from the National Lottery gave odds on matching 5 numbers in both the main draw and the Plus draw. The odds differed for both on the basis that it is more difficult to achieve match 5 without the bonus than with.

Hence, match 5 only should be rewarded much greater than they are for the main draw....

any thoughts?

I largely ignore and avoid any use of the 'plus draw', simply as this experiment is focused on the EU's 'steady' data set of x50 main balls from conception back in 2004 (14yrs).

The retail ticket price of this plus draw €3.50 is also excessive, and the max price is only 1/2m, or circa 30k in the main draw.

Much lower is the 5ball main draw, because it offers an {unrealistic incentive} opportunity, for the top tier EM 100m or so, prize. Whereas the plus draw does not offer this.

Instead, since the restriction placed on 365, the new draw from the UK offers the best method. A straight £1m (€1.2m) for the match 5, with retail price of 1.50stg (€1.75).

That's half the regular draw price, and twice the max target prize.

This can be done in the Nordic regions or via relatives/associates, but ensure some sort of agreement or contract is in place e.g. 5/10% commission of prize in return for fulfillment.

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Pretty much self-explanitory for tonights EM lucky balls.



Have pinned 32, 18, 16 and 42 and few others to the 'vision board'.
Done mixed array lines from 7balls of pick 1/2/3/4/5. (5pts only/max).
Since 365's restriction only using EMHotPicks (1m for 5).

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Hello there number 42

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Only managed to get a single (Pick 1) done before tonights deadline. Alas, that #18 doesn't want to appear (just yet).
Interesting to see '81day wait ball' (#6) burn-out, with two straight successive appearances.

Revert to the new regular 5pt (5lines) for Tuesday, plenty of time to remember to do them hopefully.
There's a few other 'waiters', a 'primary enhanced', indicative appearance patterns, and multiple areas for 'expectancy/elasticity of demand fulfilment'.

Added a thin layer or two of complexity to the calculation for Tues (below).
After all the 'artifical quantum constructed reality matrix' we (might) live in, isn't always an easy hack.
Ultimate focus is the '5ball 1m squids'. Same technique: Hotpick 1/2/3/4 & 5.

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Completely forgot about lotto with all the other euro action today (Eurovision).
Only managed a single (18) ball done over the weekend, which is now 75days shy.



Looking at the results there was x3 right beside out focused primaries (18/36/38).

Only 1 winner (of match 5 main in Ireland) with just 26k for the effort.
But that would have been '1m smackers' if done via the hotpicks route, some difference.

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Here's tonight's hot balls for the EuroZillions. 5pts/lines of mixed arrays 1/2/3/4 & 5 - targetting the 1m.
Kept the visual representation of prediction likelyhood all fairly simple as you can see.

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x3 of the 10 or so 'hot balls' tonight, but none on the same ticket line Picks however.
No negative (red) numbers, and '89d' (day) ball '22' has occured, so it can be elimated now, leaving just x2 of this category now.

The highest prize won in Ire on the main draw was just a single ticket with €3,076 for 4+2.

50 is a 'super hot ball', showing both pattern likelyhood and dual-stage elasticity, as well a all time most drawn. 49 was in a similar position.

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Just the one hot ball (16) across the 3 of the 4 lines tonight.
Will be removed from the hotlist for Friday.



Few of the other numbers were just 'slightly favourable' inc. 4/16/31 or nuetral.
Only cool ball 39 severely over performing, avoiding this type of repeater.
Funny enough the jacool chap favoured this, over on the other thread.

Whereas I'd now opt the opposite approach - that of overdue expectation, rather than high repeating trender.
Again expecting 18 to start steamrolling, sooner rather than later.

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Completely forgot about EM on Tue, guess it's easy to associate lotto's with the traditional fri/saturdays.

Couple of nice shy balls 1 & 37, as mentioned over on jacools thread.
Probably only would have choosen one of these, and very likely not on same line if both.
37 was marked on a recent work-in-progress chart as an doulbe indicative pattern.



Ah well, back to focusing on Friday.

Only doing these via the 'hotpicks', including '5=1m' method after recent restrictions.

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Here's tonight's loverley chart, draw usually takes place around 8:30pm. Just need 5 for the 1m.
Expecting to see plenty of 'mid-range' balls, 12-36 inc type of range.
After the missed 37 apex, perhaps it's time for the t-100 neighbours.
If 18 comes out, it'll probably arrived in seqential draws also, like buses.

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Maddox Spicy Backhand wrote: »

Expecting to see plenty of 'mid-range' balls, 12-36 inc type of range.

4/5 mid-rangers (results marked as yellow ball)



..but just the one baller (16) win, still no sign of 18, which was across all the other 2/3/4 and 5 lines. 16 can be fully elimanted for the next few draws as has been removed from 'x11' low status. Still, a single ball call returns @10, as now using access to the new HotPicks market.



This (HP) is the only game to play now if you can find access to that uk market, especially after the closure of 365's route. The full 5ball offers 1m, where as 5balls in regular main draw sees just circa 30k in the EM's.

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Les resultats (just one hot ball #38 me thinks):

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17-18-24-29-40. Two lovely balls tonight, 'super-primaries' infact:

The (x8 la, t-86) ball of #18, and the other
(x10 la, double sector A expansion) ball of #40.



Had many of tonight balls on shop Hotpick 2/3/4/5, but not all on the same line.
Will have to update the chart for next time. Have a feeling 18 could show again.

Interesting again the (main draw) of EM just one single winner of 3k(c).
All others €167 or less. There was the other raffle thing though.

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Nasty enough balls tonight, however someone in the fair Isle has beaten the euroland collective, and collected their €17m.
9-15-22-39-45.

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News is that a syndicate of 32 people from a hardware shop in Thurles, Co Tipperary is understood to have won last night's €17m EuroMillions jackpot. It means each member of the Stakelums Home and Hardware syndicate is set to collect around €531,000.

Amazingfun

I am happy for them, the lucky buggers :pac:

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Amazingfun wrote: »

I am happy for them, the lucky buggers :pac:

True enough, but think not everyone who worked there, may have been in the syndicate, and thus may still need to show up for the daily grind.

Ire has approx 10% of the jackpot winners over the last 2yrs or so. The UK leads with 22%, Spain 17%, Portugal 17%, France 16% and Belgium 12%.
Only Swiss, Austria and Lux do really bad.

Will settle for just the 5main balls (no stars needed) and a handy 1m.

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Close today to the 1,000,000 squids golden ticket (3/5).
All fairly hot numbers, ah well.

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Haven't had chance to have a go on Tues, and loe & behold a pair of recent hot primaries show up (36 & 38).



Looking at the regular results above, surprised people still play the regular EM lotto, and not this type of hotpicking (Pick 1/2/3/4/5) selections.
Will update the chart for tonight, the bar chart stack hasn't be cleaned up for a while.