So this Hurricane

Avatar MIA

"Met Éireann has confirmed that Ophelia is the most powerful hurricane to have ever been this far east in the Atlantic on record."

Surely that means we are in uncharted territory :eek:

Personally I'll be parking the cars away from houses.

YeaYeaSure

Hopefully it won't be as bad as predicted. I would be wary though after the last time they called a red warning on us and cancelled all the schools there was barely a puff of a breeze here .

server down

YeaYeaSure wrote: »

Hopefully it won't be as bad as predicted. I would be wary though after the last time they called a red warning on us and cancelled all there schools there was barely a puff of a breeze here .

If that was Darwin - it was very destructive.

YeaYeaSure

server down wrote: »

If that was Darwin - it was very destructive.

Indeed Darwin was very destructive. The red warning I'm referring to was a year later if I remember correctly.

Estrellita

namloc1980 wrote: »

Most people I've spoken to think this is going to be nothing. Bit of wind and rain. The fact it's still a cat 3 hurricane and only 24 hours away doesn't seem to be getting through to people.

It is concerning. I've been following MT's thread since the beginning, keeping a mindful eye on it. With thanks to him and the other knowledgeable posters posting charts and forecasts I've been able to warn people that Monday isn't exactly going to be just a day for great drying. Most took the advice with a thanks for the heads up attitude, others I got the 'sure it'll be grand' one, what else can you say.

It's currently a Cat 3 hurricane which is expected to turn ex-tropical storm. Make no mistake about it, hurricane force winds are on the way.

It's worth keeping an eye on the weather forum for those interested in protecting their property and themselves, and preparing for power outages. For those too cool for skool and busy playing the whole thing down, turn your damn trampolines upside down and put your bins and other loose shít in the garden away.

Estrellita

YeaYeaSure wrote: »

Hopefully it won't be as bad as predicted. I would be wary though after the last time they called a red warning on us and cancelled all the schools there was barely a puff of a breeze here .

Wouldn't you agree that it's better to be safe than sorry? Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.

YeaYeaSure

Estrellita wrote: »

Wouldn't you agree that it's better to be safe than sorry? Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.

Certainly to a degree . But closing schools and shutting down public transport for no reason should not be tolerated either. Like I said , hope it's not as bad as predicted .

The_Kew_Tour

I aint no freaking weather expert and im totally at other end

I also hate doom and gloom merchants in general

I have been in Hurricane once in Florida and it aint pretty.

I hope I am wrong tomorrow but people thinking this will be Grand might be in for one hell of a shock

Surely Shops and Business and Work places must be close tomorrow to be safe?

trixiebust

I'd say the insurance companies are all presently sh!tting collective bricks right now.

fryup

YeaYeaSure wrote: »

Hopefully it won't be as bad as predicted. I would be wary though after the last time they called a red warning on us and cancelled all the schools there was barely a puff of a breeze here .

well this is the dilemma ME face, if they cry wolf too often no one will take them seriously...they really have to be bang on with this one esp considering all the fore-warnings

OldMrBrennan83

This post has been deleted.

Donal55

trixiebust wrote: »

I'd say the insurance companies are all presently sh!tting collective bricks right now.

Not really. Just another reason to jack up the prices on you.

The mud hadn't stopped flowing in Donegal and Derry last month and they were straight outta the traps justifying their impending increases.

server down

YeaYeaSure wrote: »

Certainly to a degree . But closing schools and shutting down public transport for no reason should not be tolerated either. Like I said , hope it's not as bad as predicted .

It should be tolerated. Precisely because it could save lives. Your attitude may endanger people.

Yes met eireann will get some red warnings wrong but the precautionary principle applies.

Divelment.com

Watch the roofs come off all the shoddy Celtic Tiger builds!

YeaYeaSure

server down wrote: »

It should be tolerated. Precisely because it could save lives. Your attitude may endanger people.

Yes met eireann will get some red warnings wrong but the precautionary principle applies.

For me if they get big calls wrong a couple of times. It should call for heads to roll. It would in any other job. I am also counting under playing storms as much as over blowing them BTW.

trixiebust

Divelment.com wrote:

Watch the roofs come off all the shoddy Celtic Tiger builds!

That's what I'm in. The thing is timber framed too. I've been saying for years now poorly this house was built. Maybe I'm about to find out?!!

Estrellita

YeaYeaSure wrote: »

But closing schools and shutting down public transport for no reason should not be tolerated either. .

I wouldn't call this no reason. The alternative is not warning people and the country is badly hit. The whole point of warning people is to allow them to prepare and keep themselves safe. People that refuse to take precautions or heed the possibility of a bad weather event inevitably end up putting themselves at risk or being a burden to emergency services.

If schools etc weren't closed down and this caused chaos you'd be the very one wondering why you weren't warned before you sent your children off to school.

I wouldn't treat this as 'the boy cried wolf' scenario.

AndyBoBandy

All this storm is going to do is Guarantee Theresa Mansion another few years in the limelight!

Surely theres at least 3/4 more Late Late Show appearances out of this if they play it right!

fryup

Patww79 wrote: »

This post has been deleted.

more to the point

server down

YeaYeaSure wrote: »

For me if they get big calls wrong a couple of times. It should call for heads to roll. It would in any other job. I am also counting under playing storms as much as over blowing them BTW.

No. They are giving the scientific consensus. The job wouldn’t be attractive if everybody is guaranteed to get fired. Since this is a non exact science based on your criteria, they will get fired.

You are part of the problem. Met.ie once got a red warning wrong in your parish and you want them fired. It’s attitudes mike that that makes them timid enough in releasing warnings.

The_Valeyard

Is it time to crack each other's heads open and feast on the goo inside?

Chester Copperpot

The_Valeyard wrote: »

Is it time to crack each other's heads open and feast on the goo inside?

Give it another 24 hours to be on the safe side for justification

mirrorwall14

server down wrote: »

No. They are giving the scientific consensus. The job wouldn’t be attractive if everybody is guaranteed to get fired. Since this is a non exact science based on your criteria, they will get fired.

You are part of the problem. Met.ie once got a red warning wrong in your parish and you want them fired. It’s attitudes mike that that makes them timid enough in releasing warnings.

Exactly. This is mathematical modeling involving probabilities. It’s never an exact science, the margin of error (particularly since we are a very small country compared to some of the weather systems) can be substantial.

In this case however the consensus among the models from a long way out has been quite incredible tbh

pitifulgod

YeaYeaSure wrote: »

For me if they get big calls wrong a couple of times. It should call for heads to roll. It would in any other job. I am also counting under playing storms as much as over blowing them BTW.

It's still a cat 3 hurricane and hasn't even arrived here yet. I would view these as sensible precautions that are entirely necessary to protect lives..

Harry Palmr

Just downgraded, now Cat 2. It'll be a a sub-tropical storm on Monday morning but that shouldn't fool anyone into thinking it's going to be "just a bit windy"

Samaris

It's better to be over-prepared and it to be an anticlimax when it hits us than to be under-prepared and only realise it too late. I'm preparing for this thing, and if it goes quiet, grand job, I still have a roof!

The hurricane, as I've gathered it, was supposed to start losing cohesion as it turned into an extratropical storm when it met the jet stream, due to intense upper-level shear chopping the top off the hurricane. However, it hit a patch of low shear and stayed intact for longer. It has started turning now and the eye was getting ragged last night, but it's still going to be intense when it does hit. But because this is -really unusual- here, the models aren't quite fixed even at 24hrs out. A slight waver could have the worst of it (the eastern side/the right side) smashing into the south coast and the eye over Galway, or the eye a bit further west or east with consequent impacts from the right wall of the hurricane closer to Cork or to the Irish sea (and the west coast of England). The direct track of the eye south-to-north is probably one of the better places to be, so Galway might appear to get a direct hit but actually not fare too badly at all.

You might prepare and get lucky, you might go "Ah sure it'll be fine" and get the worst of it.

BillyBobBS

Downgraded already. I'm hearing it won't even be a hurricane when it hits.

OldMrBrennan83

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FrancieBrady

BillyBobBS wrote: »

Downgraded already. I'm hearing it won't even be a hurricane when it hits.

It was never going to be.

iguana

BillyBobBS wrote: »

Downgraded already. I'm hearing it won't even be a hurricane when it hits.

It was never, ever going to hit Ireland as a hurricane. Our waters are too cold for the eye to maintain integrity this far north. Doesn't mean we won't get hit by hurricane force winds though.