Cheltenham: Day 1 - Tuesday 14/03/17

Johner

It's Cheltenham eve.

Declarations and jockey bookings for day one are out.

Will throw up some selections in a bit.

Johner

Supreme Novices Hurdle
Don't have a strong opinion on this now that my main fancy Moon Racer is running in the Champion Hurdle, backed Crack Mome a few months ago before he was beaten at Punchestown so will stick with him but without any confidence.

Arkle
Altior pisses in obviously, Charbel is the only horse that made Altior work a little bit so far albeit only for a few strides so I think he's the bet in the without market at 11/4.

Ultima Handicap Chase
I like Henri Parry Morgan at 12/1 in this if he jumps round, jumping has been a bit of an issue with him with a few unseats and falls beside his name. He was running a good race on New Years Day at Cheltenham before coming down. Went off 10/1 for the Hennessy, I think there's a race in him off this mark.

Champion Hurdle
Yanworth for me, stronger pace of a Champion Hurdle should allow him to travel better than he has and the track will suit much more than Kempton etc, think he could blow them away coming up the hill providing he stays with them and his jumping holds up.

Mares Hurdle
I think Apple's Jade can turn the tables on Limini here, she was ridden too forcefully at Punchestown against her the last day. She looks a cracking each way bet at 9/2.

National Hunt Chase
I really think if Edwulf jumps around he wins this easily, a horse with a huge amount of class but jumping is a real issue for him. Might back him in the fallers insurance market.

Haven't had a look at the last handicap yet.

Backstreet Moyes

Supreme Novice

Throwing the SkyBet money back bet on Labaik and backing River Wylde so i can cheer on something when Labaik refuses.

Arkle

Ordinary World w/o

Ultima

Between Holywell and The Young Master

Champion Hurdle

Going with Moon Racer he runs well fresh and he must be working well to go here.

Mares

VVM is the best horse in the race and I will be backing her.

4 Miler

Edwulf

Close Brothers

Foxtail Hill love the way he jumps and should go off in front so no worry about anything falling in front of him.

xlogo

Johner wrote:

Declarations and jockey bookings for day one are out.

Cheers - so what does Walsh ride in the first (the supreme)?

Johner

xlogo wrote: »

Cheers - so what does Walsh ride in the first (the supreme)?

He rides the favourite Melon.

PM me nudes

Melon

yaboya1

Edwulf rated 159??
That handicapper is some joker

Gringo180

Ibis Du Rheu in the Ultima have a sneaky feeling Nicholls has him aimed at this all season.

Macca07

Trio of Melon, Altior and Foxtail Hill

Copper_pipe

First Time - Hood Cilaos Emery
First Time - Tonguestrap Ch'tibello
First Time - Tonguestrap Apple's Jade
First Time - Blinkers Martello Tower.
First Time - Cheekpiece Missed Approach.
First Time - Tonguestrap Champers On Ice.
First Time - Blinkers Sizing Tennessee.
First Time - Cheekpiece Its'afreebee and Two Taffs.
First Time - Tonguestrap Two Taffs

PM me nudes

Have backed;

Cilaos Emery in the Supreme 20/1
Tully East in the Close Brothers 16/1
Noble Endeavour in the Ultima (few weeks ago) 14/1
Royal Caviar in the Arkle (few weeks ago) 16/1

Mgoraf

Any thoughts on river wylde for the supreme? Bad run at the course but 3/3 over hurtles and same winning jockey and trainer as last year.

WickIow Brave

Copper_pipe wrote: »

First Time - Hood Cilaos Emery
First Time - Tonguestrap Ch'tibello
First Time - Tonguestrap Apple's Jade
First Time - Blinkers Martello Tower.
First Time - Cheekpiece Missed Approach.
First Time - Tonguestrap Champers On Ice.
First Time - Blinkers Sizing Tennessee.
First Time - Cheekpiece Its'afreebee and Two Taffs.
First Time - Tonguestrap Two Taffs

Good man. Thanks for that. Tonguestrap on AJ very interesting. Champers On Ice has also had a wind op since his last run.

sting60

Kayf Tara's Excell over 2m at Cheltenham so on breeding Ballyandy and Supreme Force 66/1(has to improve but will on fast ground and big hill).Plenty on breeding that will canter around but find nothing from the last.The Ultima is down to 5 Singlefarmpayment,Holywell,Label Des Obeaux,The Druids Nephew,Coologue.Would have included Henri Pari Morgan but his jumping is an issue but well in.Word going around from Cheltenham last night that Brian Drew told someone that Moon Racer had a very successful wind operation and is flying time will tell .Based on last run and i feel Apples Jade will improve no end for that run.Amatures race see's meade with the fav but the sire has a shocking record with stayers here 0/10.Beware the Bear,Champers on Ice and Edwolf .In the last Sizing Tennessee 20/1 looks overpriced and is very solid and the extra trip is going to benefit Hammersly Lake 16/1in a big way.

Copper_pipe

Like Its a freebee in the Close Brothers.

Was placed behind Yorkhill and Yanworth in last years Neptune.

Horses with first time head gear have a great record in the race.

9/1 Ew

Peintre Celebre

yaboya1 wrote: »

Edwulf rated 159??
That handicapper is some joker

He did win off a mark of 145 with his head in his chest, maybe 14 is harsh but he was gonna get ten anyway

WickIow Brave

Copper_pipe wrote: »

Like Its a freebee in the Close Brothers.

Was placed behind Yorkhill and Yanworth in last years Neptune.

Horses with first time head gear have a great record in the race.

9/1 Ew

All over it. Wins.

PM me nudes

WIND OP WATCH
Ch' Tibello
Mister Miyagi
Rock The World
Ballyoptic
Divin Bere
Dolos (TBC)
Southfield Royale
Diamond King
Cause Toujours
Champers on Ice (TBC)

Roundtd181

Anyone taking a few pints in Cheltenham this evening? Where is a good bar to go to meet like minded folk

Copper_pipe

Day 1 Trends Guide:

http://imgur.com/a/PdG8Y

2 Weeks work so be nice to provide us with a few winners!

BumperD

Roundtd181 wrote: »

Anyone taking a few pints in Cheltenham this evening? Where is a good bar to go to meet like minded folk

Beehive Montpellier place usually ok

dickenson famous5

Think melon and petty mouch ouri got big chances but my luck been out for a while edwulf will run well

OffalyMedic

My bets:
Ballyandy 3/1
Charbel 12/1
Singlefarmpayment 13/2
Petiti Mouchoir 15/2
Vroom Vroom Mag 11/4
Beware the Bear 7/1
All Hell Let Loose 11/4

rossom

I'm heading over tomorrow so not the same depth as usual!

1.30 Melon 10/3 (have this backed at 9s antepost and wouldn't be getting on at this price)
2.10 Altior 2/7
2.50 The Druids Nephew 10/1
3.30 Brain Power 7/1
4.10 Vroum Vroum Mag 3/1
4.50 Edwulf 11/2
5.30 Foxtail Hill 13/2

Foxtail Hill my most confident tomorrow

Shanotheslayer

https://gyazo.com/420c3821cb1874e191f69fceb24a84dc

Mine^

Copper_pipe

PP are 16/1 Starters insurance on Labaik

irish_major

The more I look at it the more I cannot believe how bad the champion is and even though I was gutted as I had a big ap bet on moon racer in the supreme, I think that he's a bet for the champion tomorrow. I cannot have pm. Will have an each way on my tent or yours also.
Going to back apples jade each way.

JP Liz V1

Any thoughts on Footpad in 3.30, Walsh/Mullins and is 19-1 with Paddy Power

Francie Barrett

Copper_pipe wrote: »

PP are 16/1 Starters insurance on Labaik

I think I've heard it all now - starters insurance? Are they for fcukn' real? And only 16/1? Bet365 offer 50/1 at 1/4 the odds.

chinguetti

For what its worth:

1.30 River Wylde
2.10 Charbel w/o Altoir
2.50 Nobel Endeavor
3.30 Brain Power - can't figure out this race at all
4.10 Rock on The Moor e/w
4.50 Bigbadjohn
5.30 Sizing Tennesse e/w

Johner

JP Liz V1 wrote: »

Any thoughts on Footpad in 3.30, Walsh/Mullins and is 19-1 with Paddy Power

On all known form shouldn't be good enough to win.

Gregk961

I dont get the fuss here about Labaik, youll probably get your money back if he refuses but If hes such a header surely a manic Cheltenham atmosphere would sink his chances once the racing begins anyway.

Gregk961

De Bromheads in the first should outrun his odds, unlikely he will place but hes not the no hoper his odds suggest. And he has certainly achieved more on the course than Melon!

HarshOstrich

I've changed my mind a hundred times but I've finally picked mine for tomorrow.

1.30 ballyandy

2.10 charbel w/o fav

2.50 ibis du rheu

3.30 was my toughest choice.
I think moon racer will finish ahead of yanworth.
Not getting good vibes on buveur d'air.

4.10 jers girl

4.50 a genie in a bottle

5.30 foxtail hill

cruais

Treble EW

13.30 Bunk off Early 7/1
14.10 Cloudy Dream 20/1
Q4.50 Un Temps Pour Tout 14/1

Treble EW

Yanworth 5/2
Vroum Vroum Mag 9/4
A Genie in a Bottle 5/1

Also did a small Accum on Rossoms selections. Thank u Rossom

mitch23

For what it's worth a lucky 15

Ibis de rheu
Beware the bear
Foxtail hill
Charabel without altior

Outlaw Pete

Bets for tomorrow:

Supreme: Melon (every bit as good as he's rumoured to be I suspect - but small enough stakes even so)

Mare's Hurdle: Limini looks a better horse than Apple's Jade for me, despite the obvious messing last time out).

Champion: Buveur D’Air TBP - 6/4 with Betfair (as not convinced he needs it as Soft as people say and see him involved in the finish for sure).

Gringo180

Gregk961 wrote: »

I dont get the fuss here about Labaik, youll probably get your money back if he refuses but If hes such a header surely a manic Cheltenham atmosphere would sink his chances once the racing begins anyway.

You wont see a more laid back horse than him tomorrow. Hes just too smart for this game

Copper_pipe

Cheltenham clerk Simon Claisse said: "Conditions are good to soft. It may dry out throughout the day and we could see good in places."

Backstreet Moyes

To be honest I can see Labaik 10 lengths clear after the last and throwing Jack Kennedy off.

Copper_pipe

Ladbrokes are money back as a free bet is Limini or VVM win the mares race.

Max 25 euro

I said

Right the wife gone to work kids to school then into town hopefully back a few winners and when I arrive home ****faced this evening the wife won't get to upset when I repeat the same stories over and over. Good hunting everyone.
River wylde for me in the opener.
Royal caviar in the Arkle w/o alitor.
Holywell in the ultima.
Footpad in the champion wide open race.
Rock on the moor e/w.

superfurry1

Following Alan King today it seems e/w
1:30 Elgin 25-1 Solid
3:30 Sceau Royal 33-1 not stretched in kingwell
4:10 Miss Crick 100-1 will enjoy ground
4:50 Kerrow 25-1 never raced this distance

krustydoyle

Colin's Sister NR in the Mares

BurtMacklin

Copper_pipe wrote: »

Ladbrokes are money back as a free bet is Limini or VVM win the mares race.

Max 25 euro

Is that basically a free €25 punt on Apple's Jade or what way would you work that?

collie0708

My bets hopefully get a good start today

1:30-River Wylde
2:10-Altior
2:50-singlefarmpayment
3:30-Brainpower
4:10-VVM
4:50-Beware the bear
5:10-it's a freebee

Copper_pipe

BurtMacklin wrote: »

Is that basically a free €25 punt on Apple's Jade or what way would you work that?

If you think that they'll win it then it's worth a punt on Apples Jade you'd think.

Jers Girl could spoil the party too

gazza1

1.30 Melon
2.10 Royal Caviar ew
2.50 Holywell ew
3.30 Yanworth
4.10 VVM
4.50 Edwulf
5.30 All he'll let loose ew

Good luck today and let's hope they all return safely

BurtMacklin

Copper_pipe wrote: »

If you think that they'll win it then it's worth a punt on Apples Jade you'd think.

Jers Girl could spoil the party too

Ha, I don't overly fancies AJ, I was just wondering if that was the smart move betting wise using the offer. Thanks.

Shanotheslayer

BurtMacklin wrote: »

Ha, I don't overly fancies AJ, I was just wondering if that was the smart move betting wise using the offer. Thanks.

It's smart if you think VVM/Limini win it. AJ being next best is the safety option. If €25 is a regular stake for you than its worth it in that scenario.

Backstreet Moyes

Was thinking Jers Girl but she has been poor this year.

Hammered by Nicholas Canyon who is half the horse he was last year.