Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Betting Log [Division]

  • 02-03-2017 5:17pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭


    €200 to €10,000 Betting Log

    Thread betting guidelines

    Football bets only.

    I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet.

    I will choose the best price from a range of bookmakers: Bet365 | BetFred | BetVictor | Paddy Power | Stan James | Ladbrokes | Coral | William Hill

    Each bet stake will be for 5%, 10% or 15% of the current bank amount.

    *Should the betting log be completed successfully I will donate €500 of the winnings to Concern Worldwide - a charity that works with the world’s poorest people to transform their lives.


    I will kick the betting log off with the game of the week, Liverpool v Arsenal, which could have a big bearing on the Champions League places in the English Premier League.

    Starting Balance: €200

    English Premier League
    Liverpool v Arsenal
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 74.4%
    Stake €20


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Liverpool 3-1 Arsenal

    Balance: €213


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Champions League
    Napoli v Real Madrid
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 67.5%
    Stake €21


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Napoli 1-3 Real Madrid

    Balance: €228


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    English Premier League
    Bournemouth v West Ham
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.6 William Hill
    Estimated Win Percentage: 70.6%
    Stake €23


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Bournemouth 3-2 West Ham

    Balance: €242


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    English FA Cup
    Chelsea v Manchester Utd
    Bet: Chelsea To Win @ 1.8 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 63.7%
    Stake €24


    Champions League
    Monaco v Manchester City
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 60.2%
    Stake €36


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,961 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Division wrote: »


    Champions League
    Monaco v Manchester City
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 60.2%
    Stake €36

    seriously good price you got on that one
    I don't see it now on pp and best besides is 8/15, just sorry I didn't look
    when I first seen this


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    mailburner wrote: »
    seriously good price you got on that one
    I don't see it now on pp and best besides is 8/15, just sorry I didn't look
    when I first seen this

    They definitely made a mistake with that one over at Paddy Towers. The next best priced bookie at the time I posted was 1.57 and the over 2.5 goals was 1.36 and BTTS was 1.33. It is the reason this was my first 15% bet of the log.

    The market disappeared from their website sometime yesterday which I hope means that a lot of people got on it.


    2qbue7b.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Chelsea 1-0 Man Utd
    Monaco 3-1 Man City

    Balance: €301


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    English Premier League
    Bournemouth v Swansea
    Bet: Bournemouth To Score 2 Or More Goals @ 1.9 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 63%
    Stake €30


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Bournemouth 2-0 Swansea

    Balance: €328


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    World Cup Qualifier
    Peru v Uruguay
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.25 William Hill
    Estimated Win Percentage: 53%
    Stake €32


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Peru 2-1 Uruguay

    Balance: €368


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,961 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    You're making this look easy, long may it continue
    followed you on the last one


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    English Premier League
    Crystal Palace v Arsenal
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
    Stake €36


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    English Premier League
    Everton v Leicester
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.62 Bet Victor
    Estimated Win Percentage: 68%
    Stake €36


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Champions League
    Borussia Dortmund v Monaco
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 67%
    Stake €36


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Everton 4-2 Leicester (Bet Won)
    Crystal Palace 3-0 Arsenal (Bet Lost) #WengerOut
    Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Monaco (Bet Won)

    Balance: €379


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    English Premier League
    Tottenham v Bournemouth
    Bet: Tottenham To Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
    Stake €38

    English Premier League
    Man Utd v Chelsea
    Bet: Chelsea To Win - Draw No Bet @ 2.05 Bet Victor
    Estimated Win Percentage: 56% (ex. push)
    Stake €38

    Champions League
    Monaco v Borussia Dortmund
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 73%
    Stake €38


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,077 ✭✭✭✭eh i dunno


    Only seeing this now. Brilliant stuff


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Tottenham 4-0 Bournemouth (Bet Won)
    Man Utd 2-0 Chelsea (Bet Lost)
    Monaco 3-1 Borussia Dortmund (Bet Won)

    Balance: €387


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    English Premier League
    West Ham v Everton
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
    Stake €38


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    West Ham 0-0 Everton

    Balance: €349


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,077 ✭✭✭✭eh i dunno


    Division wrote: »
    West Ham 0-0 Everton

    Balance: €349

    Would still be 0-0 if they were playing now. dreadful game


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    English Premier League
    Liverpool v Crystal Palace
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.8 Bet365
    Estimated Win Percentage: 61%
    Stake €34


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Liverpool 1-2 Crystal Palace (Bet Won)

    Balance: €379

    Spanish La Liga
    Real Madrid v Barcelona
    Bet: Real Madrid To Win or Draw & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
    Stake €56


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Real Madrid 2-3 Barcelona (Bet Lost)

    Balance: €323

    English Premier League
    Crystal Palace v Tottenham
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Bet365
    Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
    Stake €32


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,772 ✭✭✭byronbay2


    Division wrote: »
    Real Madrid 2-3 Barcelona (Bet Lost)

    Balance: €323

    English Premier League
    Crystal Palace v Tottenham
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Bet365
    Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
    Stake €32

    Pretty significant drift on this, plenty of 1.91 available on BTTS now.

    Very unlucky with the previous bet btw.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    byronbay2 wrote: »
    Pretty significant drift on this, plenty of 1.91 available on BTTS now.

    Very unlucky with the previous bet btw.

    Tough to see Messi scoring the winner with the last kick of the ball after Madrid missed a few good scoring opportunities.

    I was talking to someone about this drift in the odds and have been looking for team news but I can't explain the drift in the odds. People seem to be totally disregarding recent form.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Crystal Palace 0-1 Tottenham (Bet Lost)

    Balance: €291

    Champions League
    Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
    Bet: Exactly 2 or 3 Goals @ 2.05 Bet Victor
    Estimated Win Percentage: 57%
    Stake €29


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Real Madrid 3-0 Atletico Madrid (Bet Won)

    Balance: €318

    Europa League
    Celta Vigo v Man Utd
    Bet: Man Utd Win - Draw No Bet @ 1.7 William Hill
    Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
    Stake €31


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Irish Premier Division
    Bray Wanderers v St Patricks Athletic
    Bet: Bray Wanderers To Win & Over 3.5 Goals @ 5.5 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 24%
    Stake €16

    Irish Premier Division
    Cork City v Finn Harps
    Bet: Cork City To Score in Both Halves @ 1.72 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 66%
    Stake €31


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Celta Vigo 0-1 Man Utd (Bet Won)
    Bray Wanderers 1-1 St Patricks Athletic (Bet Lost)
    Cork City 5-0 Finn Harps (Bet Won)

    Balance: €346


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    English Premier League
    Arsenal v Man Utd
    Bet: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 Stan James
    Estimated Win Percentage: 76%
    Stake €34


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Arsenal 2-0 Man Utd (Bet Won)

    Balance: €361


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Champions League
    Juventus v Monaco
    Bet: Juventus Win & Under 3.5 Goals @ 2.45 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 47%
    Stake €36

    Champions League
    Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid
    Bet: Exactly 2 or 3 Total Goals @ 2.1 Bet Victor
    Estimated Win Percentage: 54%
    Stake: €36

    Europa League
    Man Utd v Celta Vigo
    Bet: Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 52%
    Stake: €36


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,961 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Division wrote: »
    Champions League
    Juventus v Monaco
    Bet: Juventus Win & Under 3.5 Goals @ 2.45 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 47%
    Stake ?36

    Champions League
    Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid
    Bet: Exactly 2 or 3 Total Goals @ 2.1 Bet Victor
    Estimated Win Percentage: 54%
    Stake: ?36

    Europa League
    Man Utd v Celta Vigo
    Bet: Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 52%
    Stake: ?36

    great picking there so far, the unders now best at 8/11, I was amazed
    at that price


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    mailburner wrote: »
    great picking there so far, the unders now best at 8/11, I was amazed
    at that price

    The under 2.5 goal odds will drop again for the Tottenham v Man Utd game at the weekend.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Juventus 2-1 Monaco (Bet Won)
    Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid (Bet Won)
    Man Utd 1-1 Celta Vigo (Bet Won)

    Balance: €493

    Fairly good start to the week:)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,961 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Division wrote: »
    The under 2.5 goal odds will drop again for the Tottenham v Man Utd game at the weekend.

    I wouldn't be that sure myself, will wait to see what utd team is out but if they played like they did v arsenal spurs will put at least two past them


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    mailburner wrote: »
    I wouldn't be that sure myself, will wait to see what utd team is out but if they played like they did v arsenal spurs will put at least two past them

    I'm not talking about the actual result of the game, just the movement in the odds. That alone is enough to make money regardless of the result of the game.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,961 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Division wrote: »
    I'm not talking about the actual result of the game, just the movement in the odds. That alone is enough to make money regardless of the result of the game.

    apologies, thought you were going for the unders again :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    mailburner wrote: »
    apologies, thought you were going for the unders again :)

    I still have to price the game up but there is a market related to the unders that is getting my attention:) Boylesports may have been a bit too generous.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Italian Serie A
    Fiorentina v Lazio
    Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 Coral
    Estimated Win Percentage: 69%
    Stake: €49


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Fiorentina 3-2 Lazio (Bet Won)

    Balance: €523


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Italian Serie A
    Napoli v Fiorentina
    Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Bet365
    Estimated Win Percentage: 67%
    Stake: €52

    Spanish La Liga
    Malaga v Real Madrid
    Bet: Real Madrid To Win & Both Teams To Score @ 2.05 William Hill
    Estimated Win Percentage: 56%
    Stake: €52


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Napoli 4-1 Fiorentina (Bet Won)
    Malaga 0-2 Real Madrid (Bet lost)

    Balance: €506

    The forum might get a bit quieter over the summer months so I can send tips by WhatsApp also. Send a message to +353857415392 and I'll start a WhatsApp broadcast list.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Irish Premier Division
    Drogheda v Bray Wanderers
    Bet: Bray Wanderers To Win @ 1.73 Paddy Power
    Estimated Win Percentage: 63%
    Stake: €25


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Drogheda 0-0 Bray Wanderers (Bet Lost)

    Balance: €481

    Europa League
    Ajax v Man Utd
    Bet: Exactly 2 or 3 Goals @ 2.0 Stan James
    Expected Win Percentage: 55%
    Stake: €48


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Ajax 0-2 Man Utd (Bet Won)

    Balance: €529


  • Advertisement
Advertisement