Top Twitter Tipster

4068ac1elhodqr

There's a lad on Twitter that has had x40 (consecutive) win predictions in the footy, has anyone else come close to this record?

Btw his 41st prediction is live (73 mins) but not yet fulfilled. (Zagreb game over 1.5).

I'll post up link to him
- as soon as someone multiplies 25notes by x1.33, forty times* and then produces the total figure. (assuming @1.33 is the average return).

*(you will require a calculator for this process).

4068ac1elhodqr

The 41st forecast was fulfilled at 87mins.

4068ac1elhodqr

I suppose backing this at 86mins for a laugh wasn't the best idea, or was it?

Howjoe1

Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »

I suppose backing this at 86mins for a laugh wasn't the best idea, or was it?

skinny odds, but wasn't following the game to know how probably it was.

link to twitter?

4068ac1elhodqr

Howjoe1 wrote: »

skinny odds, but wasn't following the game to know how probably it was.

Neither I just assumed 41st was going to fulfill.

As soon as someone multiplies 25notes by x1.33, forty times compounded, and then produces the total figure. I'm too lazy to perform this 'digit laborious task' on a calculator, and an curious to the theoretical running total from initial 25.

Howjoe1

Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »

Neither I just assumed 41st was going to fulfill.

As soon as someone multiplies 25notes by x1.33, forty times compounded, and then produces the total figure. I'm too lazy to perform this 'digit laborious task' on a calculator, and an curious to the theoretical running total from initial 25.

is it 8.31 x 41 = 341.53

need about 75% strike rate to break even


but i could be totally wrong

4068ac1elhodqr

weeeee bit more than 341, any math wizards out there?
Here's the 1st three to get warmed up with

1). 25 @1.33 (avg) = 33.25
2). 33.25 @1.33 = 44.22
3). 44.22 @1.33 = 58.81
4).
5).
6)....
.
.
40)=

Howjoe1

Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »

weeeee bit more than 341, any math wizards out there?
Here's the 1st three to get warmed up with

1). 25 @1.33 (avg) = 33.25
2). 33.25 @1.33 = 44.22
3). 44.22 @1.33 = 58.81
4).
5).
6)....
.
.
40)=

sorry i was reading it ad a single 25 bet each time. very risky all in

Howjoe1

€3.9m

4068ac1elhodqr

Howjoe1 wrote: »

sorry i was reading it ad a single 25 bet each time. very risky all in

Yep it's compounded/rolled-over, like his peers it's setup as a 25-1k challenge over x10 bets, then they cash out and restart.

The x40 accumulation is more of a speculative scenario. While it's very unlikely to be feasible for various reasons, it could perhaps be performed under very unique, certain techniques.

4068ac1elhodqr

Howjoe1 wrote: »

€3.9m

Sounds about right, give or take a few bob.

Howjoe1

roll over 13 times for €1k

sounds easy....but..................

Harry Palmr

I'm doing one of these right now, started with a tenner and have it up to about 50 using the +1.5 goals market, of course now I've gone public the next bet will be a fail.

4068ac1elhodqr

One plus side is, perhaps it's better than lumping on a horse that may not want to run or jump or enjoy then rain.
You generally start low wait a fair while, then exit whenever you feel comfortable or after x10.
More entertainment value than anything.

Even his much lesser counterparts such as the badman-tipster complete more x10 challenges than fail.
There was a ratio floating about, something like only 1 from 40 challenges completing is your break-even point.
Completing over four challenges in a row is almost 'derren-brown-esq'.

mailburner

https://twitter.com/freetipsfooty

4068ac1elhodqr

Yes, that's the chap '@freetipsfooty', meant to post link just uploaded his tw handle via screengrab image.
There are a couple of others nearly as good, such as the @Betting_Buddha, but 41 wins is almost Guiness book or records material.

Worth mentioning his Accums and Doubles aren't always so good, still (on average) around 3 from 4 come trough, at higher odds of course.

spock.

Corey Ancient Neck wrote:

As soon as someone multiplies 25notes by x1.33, forty times compounded, and then produces the total figure. I'm too lazy to perform this 'digit laborious task' on a calculator, and an curious to the theoretical running total from initial 25.

25 * (1.33^41) = 2.99 m

Only takes one line in a calculator

Harry Palmr

So which bookie has allowed a stake of over 2 million to be placed? :pac:

callaway92

Harry Palmr wrote: »

So which bookie has allowed a stake of over 2 million to be placed? :pac:

4068ac1elhodqr

Harry Palmr wrote: »

So which bookie has allowed a stake of over 2 million to be placed? :pac:

Indeed, as mentioned this was a 'theoretical' total. Saying that, if a small (very eager) syndicate with access to say 20 online accounts each (including exchanges), along with distributed locations featuring high catchment areas of shops throughout Ire&UK, perhaps would they could cause a few headaches.

djhaxman

He also has a free app for Android and iOS, he only started it up a couple of weeks ago but it works pretty well at notifying you of a tip.

The guy is brilliant at this, I've never seen the likes of him before.

clairewithani

djhaxman wrote: »

He also has a free app for Android and iOS, he only started it up a couple of weeks ago but it works pretty well at notifying you of a tip.

The guy is brilliant at this, I've never seen the likes of him before.

What is the name of the app please?

4068ac1elhodqr

Twatter is probably the easiest port of all, assuming notifications are switched on.
There was a facepage, but it kept getting closed down, due to terms of use policy.

https://twitter.com/freetipsfooty he just put a x4-ACCA, these are not part of the 41+ challenge series, decent(ish) all the same.
The App also appears to be free, perhaps he's getting more than enough goodwill donations, and affiliate link revenues already.

Obviously the fun run will end sooner or later, guesstimate it will make it to around #47.

djhaxman

clairewithani wrote: »

What is the name of the app please?

It's Free Football Tips

abarkie

Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »

Twatter is probably the easiest port of all, assuming notifications are switched on.
There was a facepage, but it kept getting closed down, due to terms of use policy.

https://twitter.com/freetipsfooty he just put a x4-ACCA, these are not part of the 41+ challenge series, decent(ish) all the same.
The App also appears to be free, perhaps he's getting more than enough goodwill donations, and affiliate link revenues already.

Obviously the fun run will end sooner or later, guesstimate it will make it to around #47.

It stopped sooner then, including this acca

djhaxman

abarkie wrote: »

It stopped sooner then, including this acca

He didn't post a tip last night. Another thing I like about him, he doesn't rush it, if there's nothing he fancies then he won't tip.

His accas are ****e. It's how he makes his money, with the 30% cut of the losses. I won't begrudge him that though, he's made lots of people lots of money with the challenge bets.

4068ac1elhodqr

Yes the challenge series is a separate entity to the token acca's, his competitors are better at this task.
It's almost the same as rolling a 5-sided dice with 4 red sides (80%) and 1 black,
but managing to roll on reds 41 times in succession, a phenonomenonomen.

Thereby some skill leverage must be attached, whether statistical research, knowledge or otherwise.
Odds vary depending on timing, it's usually recommended to wait until 1.4 for popular markets such as 'Over 0.5'
going earlier may be much lower 1.15 or 1.2, 85min+ does have a high frequency also, for 2.5.

djhaxman

42 wins in a row now, that one was quick!

4068ac1elhodqr

The 42nd came in fast, sub-4mins response time was required.

4068ac1elhodqr

Red card at 63' so may well be 1-2 to Rangers, or over 2.5 @1.36.
The odds were skinny on 42nd only 1.3.

4068ac1elhodqr

clairewithani

Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »

And I didn't even join in at 42....will join number 43 just in time for the crash. 😕

4068ac1elhodqr

This 43rd one is also a bit short 1.28, may reach 1.4 later.

djhaxman

It would help if Dundee could hit the feckin target.

The run ends here by the looks of it. 26 shots, 0 goals.

4068ac1elhodqr

clairewithani wrote: »

will join number 43 just in time for the crash. 😕

Ah well that's the fun-run over for now, must have been well over a 6 weeks worth of consecutive 42 wins.

On the plus side his days 9-fold ACCA seems to doing fine so far.

He's starting a new 25-1k challenge. As always invest very little, expect much, prepare for the worst, and get out when the goings good.

clairewithani

Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »

This 43rd one is also a bit short 1.28, may reach 1.4 later.

FFS self fulfilling prophecy

Sorry I meant to quote mine, not this.

djhaxman

To make matters worse it was the only game in England and Scotland without a goal.

4068ac1elhodqr

He'll still have some credibility for a fair while yet.
Think today's 'SATURDAY EURO ACCA | PAYS 50/1 + A 50% BONUS' is looking good,
just needs A.Madrid, later tonight - to complete the 9-fold, can't argue with that.

abarkie

Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »

He'll still have some credibility for a fair while yet.
Think today's 'SATURDAY EURO ACCA | PAYS 50/1 + A 50% BONUS' is looking good,
just needs A.Madrid, later tonight - to complete the 9-fold, can't argue with that.

Did he send that out on his app / twitter page or however he sends them out?

Harry Palmr

Harry Palmr wrote: »

I'm doing one of these right now, started with a tenner and have it up to about 50 using the +1.5 goals market, of course now I've gone public the next bet will be a fail.

Guess what happened?! Oh well. Maybe I'll have another go (game ended 0-1).

4068ac1elhodqr

abarkie wrote: »

Did he send that out on his app / twitter page or however he sends them out?

Was link for it on Twitter, which is the best method to get any of these tipsters links (set notifications on). They're all 365 affiliated populated slips, but any book of choice can naturally be used. It's 0-0 at 60mins for A.Madrid currently. There is also links on the App's which may be separate/additional, but too much botha.

abarkie

Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »

Was link for it on Twitter, which is the best method to get any of these tipsters links (set notifications on). They're all 365 affiliated populated slips, but any book of choice can naturally be used. It's 0-0 at 60mins for A.Madrid currently. There is also links on the App's which may be separate/additional, but too much botha.

What is the 365 affiliated bit?

Does that mean he gets commission how many people view or something else?

Just curious

jbt123

abarkie wrote: »

What is the 365 affiliated bit?

Does that mean he gets commission how many people view or something else?

Just curious

Usually any accounts signing up using the link then the tipster benefits from the losses of that sign up. Can be as much as 30%.or fixed flat fee.

Having said that not all affiliated tipsters are bad, just like not all VIP tipsters are good. In fact the majority of tipsters charging are absolutely stealing people's money, but fools and money... You know the rest.

djhaxman

abarkie wrote: »

What is the 365 affiliated bit?

Does that mean he gets commission how many people view or something else?

Just curious

http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-trending-36580678

He would have made money off that loss yesterday, but only from people who use his affiliate link to set up an account. I had my account long before following him so he doesn't get a cent that way.

4068ac1elhodqr

djhaxman wrote: »

http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-trending-36580678
He would have made money off that loss yesterday

It may be more a case of a positive balance credit^, rather than available accessible funds, as he had had more wins than losses recently 42W 1L (excluding ACCAs*) in this series. *With the accumulators always best to allow for at least one to fail e.g. choose 5-folds from a 6 selection.

^ "When a tip does come good the betting company deducts money from the tipster's account. While the tipster doesn't owe the money back to the betting site, they will need to make that money back through other losses before they earn for themselves."

365 are widely regarded as having the best affiliate program, which is the reason of their popularity with tipsters. Their accounts aren't published (private co), so it's hard to know if FFT with his 56k followers, had any negative impact on profits over the last month or two.

It seems his confidence has grown, as is now on a 10-50k challenge, instead of the normal 10k amount over approx 21 attempts. Unless it's a charitable cause he may need further losses at the apex of this next challenge, so exit early.

abarkie

Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »

Their accounts aren't published (private co), so it's hard to know if FFT with his 56k followers, had any negative impact on profits over the last month or two.

Do you mean bet365?

The accounts are freely available in the public domain

https://beta.companieshouse.gov.uk/company/04241161/filing-history

March 2015 are the last ones filed

4068ac1elhodqr

Maybe so, but think their parent/holding co is Hillside (private ltd co)
https://beta.companieshouse.gov.uk/company/04130869
Either way they're not short of a few bob.

FFT's tips probably only a small dent, unless he repeats the recent form.

famagusta

he's starting another one today, £10 to £50,000.

starts at half six,

Over 2.0 Kickers Offenbach v FC Nottingen
Alternative Goal Line

4068ac1elhodqr

Over 2 AL is tad short as always @1.230, perhaps his fans are shortening the prices.
Under 3.5 @ 1.44 might be better.

djhaxman

Wish he'd stick to inplays..... Best I think we'll get here is a refund.

tinpib

djhaxman wrote: »

Wish he'd stick to inplays..... Best I think we'll get here is a refund.

Feck all difference between a win and a refund at today's odds :pac:

edit: Phew one goal on 58mins. I was about to have an existential crisis there. Could still get out unscathed at least.

edit2: Puke.. 1:0. uggghhh...